\begin{table}[htbp]\centering\small \caption{Final: mean WIS of the cumulative-return forecast by horizon (minutes)} \label{tab:final_wis} \begin{adjustbox}{max width=\textwidth} \begin{tabular}{lcccc} \toprule Model & $H=5$ & $H=15$ & $H=30$ & $H=60$ \\ \midrule Random walk (trailing RMS) & 0.0009 {\scriptsize[0.0008, 0.0009]} & 0.0014 {\scriptsize[0.0014, 0.0015]} & 0.0020 {\scriptsize[0.0019, 0.0021]} & 0.0028 {\scriptsize[0.0026, 0.0029]} \\ Seasonal volatility & 0.0008 {\scriptsize[0.0008, 0.0009]} & 0.0014 {\scriptsize[0.0013, 0.0015]} & 0.0019 {\scriptsize[0.0018, 0.0020]} & 0.0027 {\scriptsize[0.0025, 0.0028]} \\ EWMA-$t$ & 0.0008 {\scriptsize[0.0008, 0.0009]} & 0.0014 {\scriptsize[0.0013, 0.0015]} & 0.0019 {\scriptsize[0.0018, 0.0020]} & 0.0027 {\scriptsize[0.0025, 0.0028]} \\ HAR-RV & 0.0008 {\scriptsize[0.0008, 0.0009]} & 0.0014 {\scriptsize[0.0013, 0.0015]} & 0.0019 {\scriptsize[0.0018, 0.0020]} & 0.0026 {\scriptsize[0.0025, 0.0028]} \\ GARCH(1,1)-$t$ & 0.0008 {\scriptsize[0.0008, 0.0009]} & 0.0014 {\scriptsize[0.0013, 0.0015]} & 0.0019 {\scriptsize[0.0018, 0.0020]} & 0.0027 {\scriptsize[0.0025, 0.0028]} \\ Ridge & 0.0008 {\scriptsize[0.0008, 0.0009]} & 0.0014 {\scriptsize[0.0013, 0.0015]} & 0.0019 {\scriptsize[0.0018, 0.0020]} & 0.0026 {\scriptsize[0.0025, 0.0028]} \\ Elastic net & 0.0008 {\scriptsize[0.0008, 0.0009]} & 0.0014 {\scriptsize[0.0013, 0.0015]} & 0.0019 {\scriptsize[0.0018, 0.0020]} & 0.0026 {\scriptsize[0.0025, 0.0028]} \\ LightGBM & 0.0008 {\scriptsize[0.0008, 0.0009]} & 0.0014 {\scriptsize[0.0013, 0.0015]} & 0.0019 {\scriptsize[0.0018, 0.0020]} & 0.0026 {\scriptsize[0.0025, 0.0028]} \\ MLP (1m) & 0.0008 {\scriptsize[0.0008, 0.0009]} & 0.0014 {\scriptsize[0.0013, 0.0015]} & 0.0019 {\scriptsize[0.0018, 0.0020]} & 0.0026 {\scriptsize[0.0025, 0.0028]} \\ TCN (1m) & 0.0008 {\scriptsize[0.0008, 0.0009]} & 0.0014 {\scriptsize[0.0013, 0.0015]} & 0.0019 {\scriptsize[0.0018, 0.0020]} & 0.0026 {\scriptsize[0.0025, 0.0028]} \\ MRPT-S (1m+5m+30m) & 0.0008 {\scriptsize[0.0008, 0.0009]} & 0.0014 {\scriptsize[0.0013, 0.0015]} & 0.0019 {\scriptsize[0.0018, 0.0020]} & 0.0026 {\scriptsize[0.0025, 0.0028]} \\ MRPT-S (1m only) & 0.0008 {\scriptsize[0.0008, 0.0009]} & 0.0014 {\scriptsize[0.0013, 0.0015]} & 0.0019 {\scriptsize[0.0018, 0.0020]} & 0.0026 {\scriptsize[0.0025, 0.0028]} \\ MRPT-B (1m+5m+30m) & 0.0008 {\scriptsize[0.0008, 0.0009]} & 0.0014 {\scriptsize[0.0013, 0.0015]} & 0.0019 {\scriptsize[0.0018, 0.0020]} & 0.0026 {\scriptsize[0.0025, 0.0028]} \\ \bottomrule \end{tabular} \end{adjustbox} \begin{minipage}{0.95\textwidth}\scriptsize Cluster-bootstrap (trading-day) 95\% intervals in brackets.\end{minipage} \end{table}