\begin{table}[htbp]\centering\small \caption{Main (held-out instruments): mean WIS of the cumulative-return forecast by horizon (minutes)} \label{tab:main_wis_heldout} \begin{adjustbox}{max width=\textwidth} \begin{tabular}{lcccc} \toprule Model & $H=5$ & $H=15$ & $H=30$ & $H=60$ \\ \midrule Random walk (trailing RMS) & 0.0007 {\scriptsize[0.0007, 0.0007]} & 0.0012 {\scriptsize[0.0011, 0.0012]} & 0.0016 {\scriptsize[0.0016, 0.0016]} & 0.0022 {\scriptsize[0.0021, 0.0023]} \\ Seasonal volatility & 0.0007 {\scriptsize[0.0006, 0.0007]} & 0.0011 {\scriptsize[0.0011, 0.0012]} & 0.0015 {\scriptsize[0.0015, 0.0016]} & 0.0021 {\scriptsize[0.0021, 0.0022]} \\ EWMA-$t$ & 0.0007 {\scriptsize[0.0006, 0.0007]} & 0.0011 {\scriptsize[0.0011, 0.0011]} & 0.0015 {\scriptsize[0.0015, 0.0016]} & 0.0021 {\scriptsize[0.0021, 0.0022]} \\ HAR-RV & 0.0007 {\scriptsize[0.0006, 0.0007]} & 0.0011 {\scriptsize[0.0011, 0.0011]} & 0.0015 {\scriptsize[0.0015, 0.0016]} & 0.0021 {\scriptsize[0.0020, 0.0022]} \\ GARCH(1,1)-$t$ & 0.0007 {\scriptsize[0.0006, 0.0007]} & 0.0011 {\scriptsize[0.0011, 0.0012]} & 0.0016 {\scriptsize[0.0015, 0.0016]} & 0.0021 {\scriptsize[0.0021, 0.0022]} \\ Ridge & 0.0007 {\scriptsize[0.0006, 0.0007]} & 0.0011 {\scriptsize[0.0011, 0.0011]} & 0.0015 {\scriptsize[0.0015, 0.0016]} & 0.0021 {\scriptsize[0.0020, 0.0022]} \\ Elastic net & 0.0007 {\scriptsize[0.0006, 0.0007]} & 0.0011 {\scriptsize[0.0011, 0.0011]} & 0.0015 {\scriptsize[0.0015, 0.0016]} & 0.0021 {\scriptsize[0.0020, 0.0022]} \\ LightGBM & 0.0007 {\scriptsize[0.0007, 0.0007]} & 0.0011 {\scriptsize[0.0011, 0.0011]} & 0.0015 {\scriptsize[0.0015, 0.0016]} & 0.0021 {\scriptsize[0.0020, 0.0022]} \\ MLP (1m) & 0.0007 {\scriptsize[0.0006, 0.0007]} & 0.0011 {\scriptsize[0.0011, 0.0011]} & 0.0015 {\scriptsize[0.0015, 0.0016]} & 0.0021 {\scriptsize[0.0020, 0.0022]} \\ TCN (1m) & 0.0007 {\scriptsize[0.0006, 0.0007]} & 0.0011 {\scriptsize[0.0011, 0.0011]} & 0.0015 {\scriptsize[0.0015, 0.0016]} & 0.0021 {\scriptsize[0.0020, 0.0022]} \\ MRPT-S (1m+5m+30m) & 0.0007 {\scriptsize[0.0006, 0.0007]} & 0.0011 {\scriptsize[0.0011, 0.0011]} & 0.0015 {\scriptsize[0.0015, 0.0016]} & 0.0021 {\scriptsize[0.0020, 0.0022]} \\ MRPT-S (1m only) & 0.0007 {\scriptsize[0.0006, 0.0007]} & 0.0011 {\scriptsize[0.0011, 0.0011]} & 0.0015 {\scriptsize[0.0015, 0.0016]} & 0.0021 {\scriptsize[0.0020, 0.0022]} \\ MRPT-B (1m+5m+30m) & 0.0007 {\scriptsize[0.0006, 0.0007]} & 0.0011 {\scriptsize[0.0011, 0.0011]} & 0.0015 {\scriptsize[0.0015, 0.0016]} & 0.0021 {\scriptsize[0.0020, 0.0022]} \\ \bottomrule \end{tabular} \end{adjustbox} \begin{minipage}{0.95\textwidth}\scriptsize Cluster-bootstrap (trading-day) 95\% intervals in brackets.\end{minipage} \end{table}