% ============================================================================ % UQO Working Paper No. 6 -- references.bib % Every entry verified against Crossref on 2026-10-17 (editorial-board revision); % DOIs recorded. See docs/CHANGELOG-REVISION.md for the verification log. % ============================================================================ % ---------------------------------------------------------------- realized volatility @article{Andersen1997, author = {Andersen, Torben G. and Bollerslev, Tim}, title = {Intraday Periodicity and Volatility Persistence in Financial Markets}, journal = {Journal of Empirical Finance}, year = {1997}, volume = {4}, number = {2--3}, pages = {115--158}, doi = {10.1016/S0927-5398(97)00004-2} } @article{Andersen1998, author = {Andersen, Torben G. and Bollerslev, Tim}, title = {Deutsche Mark--Dollar Volatility: Intraday Activity Patterns, Macroeconomic Announcements, and Longer Run Dependencies}, journal = {Journal of Finance}, year = {1998}, volume = {53}, number = {1}, pages = {219--265}, doi = {10.1111/0022-1082.85732} } @article{Andersen2001, author = {Andersen, Torben G. and Bollerslev, Tim and Diebold, Francis X. and Labys, Paul}, title = {The Distribution of Realized Exchange Rate Volatility}, journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association}, year = {2001}, volume = {96}, number = {453}, pages = {42--55}, doi = {10.1198/016214501750332965} } @article{Andersen2003, author = {Andersen, Torben G. and Bollerslev, Tim and Diebold, Francis X. and Labys, Paul}, title = {Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility}, journal = {Econometrica}, year = {2003}, volume = {71}, number = {2}, pages = {579--625}, doi = {10.1111/1468-0262.00418} } @article{Andersen2007, author = {Andersen, Torben G. and Bollerslev, Tim and Diebold, Francis X.}, title = {Roughing It Up: Including Jump Components in the Measurement, Modeling, and Forecasting of Return Volatility}, journal = {Review of Economics and Statistics}, year = {2007}, volume = {89}, number = {4}, pages = {701--720}, doi = {10.1162/rest.89.4.701} } @article{AitSahalia2005, author = {A{\"i}t-Sahalia, Yacine and Mykland, Per A. and Zhang, Lan}, title = {How Often to Sample a Continuous-Time Process in the Presence of Market Microstructure Noise}, journal = {Review of Financial Studies}, year = {2005}, volume = {18}, number = {2}, pages = {351--416}, doi = {10.1093/rfs/hhi016} } @article{BarndorffNielsen2002, author = {Barndorff-Nielsen, Ole E. and Shephard, Neil}, title = {Econometric Analysis of Realized Volatility and Its Use in Estimating Stochastic Volatility Models}, journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B}, year = {2002}, volume = {64}, number = {2}, pages = {253--280}, doi = {10.1111/1467-9868.00336} } @article{Bollerslev2016, author = {Bollerslev, Tim and Patton, Andrew J. and Quaedvlieg, Rogier}, title = {Exploiting the Errors: A Simple Approach for Improved Volatility Forecasting}, journal = {Journal of Econometrics}, year = {2016}, volume = {192}, number = {1}, pages = {1--18}, doi = {10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.10.007} } @article{Corsi2009, author = {Corsi, Fulvio}, title = {A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility}, journal = {Journal of Financial Econometrics}, year = {2009}, volume = {7}, number = {2}, pages = {174--196}, doi = {10.1093/jjfinec/nbp001} } @article{HansenLunde2006, author = {Hansen, Peter R. and Lunde, Asger}, title = {Realized Variance and Market Microstructure Noise}, journal = {Journal of Business \& Economic Statistics}, year = {2006}, volume = {24}, number = {2}, pages = {127--161}, doi = {10.1198/073500106000000071} } @article{Liu2015, author = {Liu, Lily Y. and Patton, Andrew J. and Sheppard, Kevin}, title = {Does Anything Beat 5-Minute {RV}? {A} Comparison of Realized Measures Across Multiple Asset Classes}, journal = {Journal of Econometrics}, year = {2015}, volume = {187}, number = {1}, pages = {293--311}, doi = {10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.02.008} } @article{Zhang2005, author = {Zhang, Lan and Mykland, Per A. and A{\"i}t-Sahalia, Yacine}, title = {A Tale of Two Time Scales: Determining Integrated Volatility with Noisy High-Frequency Data}, journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association}, year = {2005}, volume = {100}, number = {472}, pages = {1394--1411}, doi = {10.1198/016214505000000169} } % ---------------------------------------------------------------- connectedness @article{Antonakakis2020, author = {Antonakakis, Nikolaos and Chatziantoniou, Ioannis and Gabauer, David}, title = {Refined Measures of Dynamic Connectedness Based on Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregressions}, journal = {Journal of Risk and Financial Management}, year = {2020}, volume = {13}, number = {4}, pages = {84}, doi = {10.3390/jrfm13040084} } @article{Barunik2016, author = {Barun{\'i}k, Jozef and Ko{\v{c}}enda, Ev{\v{z}}en and V{\'a}cha, Luk{\'a}{\v{s}}}, title = {Asymmetric Connectedness on the {U.S.} Stock Market: Bad and Good Volatility Spillovers}, journal = {Journal of Financial Markets}, year = {2016}, volume = {27}, pages = {55--78}, doi = {10.1016/j.finmar.2015.09.003} } @article{Barunik2017, author = {Barun{\'i}k, Jozef and Ko{\v{c}}enda, Ev{\v{z}}en and V{\'a}cha, Luk{\'a}{\v{s}}}, title = {Asymmetric Volatility Connectedness on the Forex Market}, journal = {Journal of International Money and Finance}, year = {2017}, volume = {77}, pages = {39--56}, doi = {10.1016/j.jimonfin.2017.06.003} } @article{Barunik2018, author = {Barun{\'i}k, Jozef and K{\v{r}}ehl{\'i}k, Tom{\'a}{\v{s}}}, title = {Measuring the Frequency Dynamics of Financial Connectedness and Systemic Risk}, journal = {Journal of Financial Econometrics}, year = {2018}, volume = {16}, number = {2}, pages = {271--296}, doi = {10.1093/jjfinec/nby001} } @article{Demirer2018, author = {Demirer, Mert and Diebold, Francis X. and Liu, Laura and Yilmaz, Kamil}, title = {Estimating Global Bank Network Connectedness}, journal = {Journal of Applied Econometrics}, year = {2018}, volume = {33}, number = {1}, pages = {1--15}, doi = {10.1002/jae.2585} } @article{DieboldYilmaz2009, author = {Diebold, Francis X. and Yilmaz, Kamil}, title = {Measuring Financial Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers, with Application to Global Equity Markets}, journal = {Economic Journal}, year = {2009}, volume = {119}, number = {534}, pages = {158--171}, doi = {10.1111/j.1468-0297.2008.02208.x} } @article{DieboldYilmaz2012, author = {Diebold, Francis X. and Yilmaz, Kamil}, title = {Better to Give than to Receive: Predictive Directional Measurement of Volatility Spillovers}, journal = {International Journal of Forecasting}, year = {2012}, volume = {28}, number = {1}, pages = {57--66}, doi = {10.1016/j.ijforecast.2011.02.006} } @article{DieboldYilmaz2014, author = {Diebold, Francis X. and Yilmaz, Kamil}, title = {On the Network Topology of Variance Decompositions: Measuring the Connectedness of Financial Firms}, journal = {Journal of Econometrics}, year = {2014}, volume = {182}, number = {1}, pages = {119--134}, doi = {10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.04.012} } @article{DieboldYilmaz2016, author = {Diebold, Francis X. and Yilmaz, Kamil}, title = {Trans-Atlantic Equity Volatility Connectedness: {U.S.} and {European} Financial Institutions, 2004--2014}, journal = {Journal of Financial Econometrics}, year = {2016}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {81--127}, doi = {10.1093/jjfinec/nbv021} } @article{GreenwoodNimmo2016, author = {Greenwood-Nimmo, Matthew and Nguyen, Viet Hoang and Rafferty, Barry}, title = {Risk and Return Spillovers among the {G10} Currencies}, journal = {Journal of Financial Markets}, year = {2016}, volume = {31}, pages = {43--62}, doi = {10.1016/j.finmar.2016.05.001} } @article{Koop1996, author = {Koop, Gary and Pesaran, M. Hashem and Potter, Simon M.}, title = {Impulse Response Analysis in Nonlinear Multivariate Models}, journal = {Journal of Econometrics}, year = {1996}, volume = {74}, number = {1}, pages = {119--147}, doi = {10.1016/0304-4076(95)01753-4} } @article{Lastrapes2021, author = {Lastrapes, William D. and Wiesen, Thomas F. P.}, title = {The Joint Spillover Index}, journal = {Economic Modelling}, year = {2021}, volume = {94}, pages = {681--691}, doi = {10.1016/j.econmod.2020.02.010} } @article{Pesaran1998, author = {Pesaran, M. Hashem and Shin, Yongcheol}, title = {Generalized Impulse Response Analysis in Linear Multivariate Models}, journal = {Economics Letters}, year = {1998}, volume = {58}, number = {1}, pages = {17--29}, doi = {10.1016/S0165-1765(97)00214-0} } % ---------------------------------------------------------------- time-series econometrics @article{DickeyFuller1979, author = {Dickey, David A. and Fuller, Wayne A.}, title = {Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root}, journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association}, year = {1979}, volume = {74}, number = {366}, pages = {427--431}, doi = {10.2307/2286348} } @article{Granger1969, author = {Granger, Clive W. J.}, title = {Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods}, journal = {Econometrica}, year = {1969}, volume = {37}, number = {3}, pages = {424--438}, doi = {10.2307/1912791} } @article{Kilian1998, author = {Kilian, Lutz}, title = {Small-Sample Confidence Intervals for Impulse Response Functions}, journal = {Review of Economics and Statistics}, year = {1998}, volume = {80}, number = {2}, pages = {218--230}, doi = {10.1162/003465398557465} } @book{KilianLutkepohl2017, author = {Kilian, Lutz and L{\"u}tkepohl, Helmut}, title = {Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, address = {Cambridge}, year = {2017}, doi = {10.1017/9781108164818} } @article{Kwiatkowski1992, author = {Kwiatkowski, Denis and Phillips, Peter C. B. and Schmidt, Peter and Shin, Yongcheol}, title = {Testing the Null Hypothesis of Stationarity against the Alternative of a Unit Root}, journal = {Journal of Econometrics}, year = {1992}, volume = {54}, number = {1--3}, pages = {159--178}, doi = {10.1016/0304-4076(92)90104-Y} } @book{Lutkepohl2005, author = {L{\"u}tkepohl, Helmut}, title = {New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis}, publisher = {Springer}, address = {Berlin}, year = {2005}, doi = {10.1007/978-3-540-27752-1} } @article{NeweyWest1987, author = {Newey, Whitney K. and West, Kenneth D.}, title = {A Simple, Positive Semi-Definite, Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix}, journal = {Econometrica}, year = {1987}, volume = {55}, number = {3}, pages = {703--708}, doi = {10.2307/1913610} } % ---------------------------------------------------------------- volatility transmission, contagion, multivariate GARCH @article{Ang2002, author = {Ang, Andrew and Bekaert, Geert}, title = {International Asset Allocation with Regime Shifts}, journal = {Review of Financial Studies}, year = {2002}, volume = {15}, number = {4}, pages = {1137--1187}, doi = {10.1093/rfs/15.4.1137} } @article{Baele2005, author = {Baele, Lieven}, title = {Volatility Spillover Effects in {European} Equity Markets}, journal = {Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis}, year = {2005}, volume = {40}, number = {2}, pages = {373--401}, doi = {10.1017/S0022109000002350} } @article{Engle2002, author = {Engle, Robert}, title = {Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models}, journal = {Journal of Business \& Economic Statistics}, year = {2002}, volume = {20}, number = {3}, pages = {339--350}, doi = {10.1198/073500102288618487} } @article{Fama1965, author = {Fama, Eugene F.}, title = {The Behavior of Stock-Market Prices}, journal = {Journal of Business}, year = {1965}, volume = {38}, number = {1}, pages = {34--105}, doi = {10.1086/294743} } @article{Forbes2002, author = {Forbes, Kristin J. and Rigobon, Roberto}, title = {No Contagion, Only Interdependence: Measuring Stock Market Comovements}, journal = {Journal of Finance}, year = {2002}, volume = {57}, number = {5}, pages = {2223--2261}, doi = {10.1111/0022-1082.00494} } @article{Hamao1990, author = {Hamao, Yasushi and Masulis, Ronald W. and Ng, Victor}, title = {Correlations in Price Changes and Volatility across International Stock Markets}, journal = {Review of Financial Studies}, year = {1990}, volume = {3}, number = {2}, pages = {281--307}, doi = {10.1093/rfs/3.2.281} } @article{King1990, author = {King, Mervyn A. and Wadhwani, Sushil}, title = {Transmission of Volatility between Stock Markets}, journal = {Review of Financial Studies}, year = {1990}, volume = {3}, number = {1}, pages = {5--33}, doi = {10.1093/rfs/3.1.5} } @article{Lin1994, author = {Lin, Wen-Ling and Engle, Robert F. and Ito, Takatoshi}, title = {Do Bulls and Bears Move across Borders? {International} Transmission of Stock Returns and Volatility}, journal = {Review of Financial Studies}, year = {1994}, volume = {7}, number = {3}, pages = {507--538}, doi = {10.1093/rfs/7.3.507} } @article{Longin2001, author = {Longin, Fran{\c{c}}ois and Solnik, Bruno}, title = {Extreme Correlation of International Equity Markets}, journal = {Journal of Finance}, year = {2001}, volume = {56}, number = {2}, pages = {649--676}, doi = {10.1111/0022-1082.00340} } @article{Mandelbrot1963, author = {Mandelbrot, Benoit}, title = {The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices}, journal = {Journal of Business}, year = {1963}, volume = {36}, number = {4}, pages = {394--419}, doi = {10.1086/294632} } % ---------------------------------------------------------------- FX, commodities, VIX @article{Arouri2011, author = {Arouri, Mohamed El Hedi and Jouini, Jamel and Nguyen, Duc Khuong}, title = {Volatility Spillovers between Oil Prices and Stock Sector Returns: Implications for Portfolio Management}, journal = {Journal of International Money and Finance}, year = {2011}, volume = {30}, number = {7}, pages = {1387--1405}, doi = {10.1016/j.jimonfin.2011.07.008} } @article{Baur2010, author = {Baur, Dirk G. and Lucey, Brian M.}, title = {Is Gold a Hedge or a Safe Haven? {An} Analysis of Stocks, Bonds and Gold}, journal = {Financial Review}, year = {2010}, volume = {45}, number = {2}, pages = {217--229}, doi = {10.1111/j.1540-6288.2010.00244.x} } @article{BekaertHoerova2014, author = {Bekaert, Geert and Hoerova, Marie}, title = {The {VIX}, the Variance Premium and Stock Market Volatility}, journal = {Journal of Econometrics}, year = {2014}, volume = {183}, number = {2}, pages = {181--192}, doi = {10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.05.008} } @article{Habib2012, author = {Habib, Maurizio M. and Stracca, Livio}, title = {Getting beyond Carry Trade: What Makes a Safe Haven Currency?}, journal = {Journal of International Economics}, year = {2012}, volume = {87}, number = {1}, pages = {50--64}, doi = {10.1016/j.jinteco.2011.12.005} } @article{Kang2017, author = {Kang, Sang Hoon and McIver, Ron and Yoon, Seong-Min}, title = {Dynamic Spillover Effects among Crude Oil, Precious Metal, and Agricultural Commodity Futures Markets}, journal = {Energy Economics}, year = {2017}, volume = {62}, pages = {19--32}, doi = {10.1016/j.eneco.2016.12.011} } @article{Mensi2013, author = {Mensi, Walid and Beljid, Makram and Boubaker, Adel and Managi, Shunsuke}, title = {Correlations and Volatility Spillovers across Commodity and Stock Markets: Linking Energies, Food, and Gold}, journal = {Economic Modelling}, year = {2013}, volume = {32}, pages = {15--22}, doi = {10.1016/j.econmod.2013.01.023} } @article{Ranaldo2010, author = {Ranaldo, Angelo and S{\"o}derlind, Paul}, title = {Safe Haven Currencies}, journal = {Review of Finance}, year = {2010}, volume = {14}, number = {3}, pages = {385--407}, doi = {10.1093/rof/rfq007} } @article{Reboredo2013, author = {Reboredo, Juan C.}, title = {Is Gold a Safe Haven or a Hedge for the {US} Dollar? {Implications} for Risk Management}, journal = {Journal of Banking \& Finance}, year = {2013}, volume = {37}, number = {8}, pages = {2665--2676}, doi = {10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.03.020} } @article{Vivian2012, author = {Vivian, Andrew and Wohar, Mark E.}, title = {Commodity Volatility Breaks}, journal = {Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money}, year = {2012}, volume = {22}, number = {2}, pages = {395--422}, doi = {10.1016/j.intfin.2011.12.003} } @article{Whaley2009, author = {Whaley, Robert E.}, title = {Understanding the {VIX}}, journal = {Journal of Portfolio Management}, year = {2009}, volume = {35}, number = {3}, pages = {98--105}, doi = {10.3905/jpm.2009.35.3.098} } % ---------------------------------------------------------------- cryptocurrencies @article{Baur2018, author = {Baur, Dirk G. and Hong, KiHoon and Lee, Adrian D.}, title = {Bitcoin: Medium of Exchange or Speculative Assets?}, journal = {Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money}, year = {2018}, volume = {54}, pages = {177--189}, doi = {10.1016/j.intfin.2017.12.004} } @article{Baur2019, author = {Baur, Dirk G. and Cahill, Daniel and Godfrey, Keith and Liu, Zhangxin (Frank)}, title = {Bitcoin Time-of-Day, Day-of-Week and Month-of-Year Effects in Returns and Trading Volume}, journal = {Finance Research Letters}, year = {2019}, volume = {31}, pages = {78--92}, doi = {10.1016/j.frl.2019.04.023} } @article{Bouri2017, author = {Bouri, Elie and Moln{\'a}r, Peter and Azzi, Georges and Roubaud, David and Hagfors, Lars Ivar}, title = {On the Hedge and Safe Haven Properties of {Bitcoin}: Is It Really More than a Diversifier?}, journal = {Finance Research Letters}, year = {2017}, volume = {20}, pages = {192--198}, doi = {10.1016/j.frl.2016.09.025} } @article{Bouri2020, author = {Bouri, Elie and Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain and Roubaud, David and Kristoufek, Ladislav and Lucey, Brian}, title = {Bitcoin, Gold, and Commodities as Safe Havens for Stocks: New Insight through Wavelet Analysis}, journal = {Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance}, year = {2020}, volume = {77}, pages = {156--164}, doi = {10.1016/j.qref.2020.03.004} } @article{Chaim2018, author = {Chaim, Pedro and Laurini, M{\'a}rcio P.}, title = {Volatility and Return Jumps in Bitcoin}, journal = {Economics Letters}, year = {2018}, volume = {173}, pages = {158--163}, doi = {10.1016/j.econlet.2018.10.011} } @article{ConlonMcGee2020, author = {Conlon, Thomas and McGee, Richard}, title = {Safe Haven or Risky Hazard? {Bitcoin} during the {COVID-19} Bear Market}, journal = {Finance Research Letters}, year = {2020}, volume = {35}, pages = {101607}, doi = {10.1016/j.frl.2020.101607} } @article{Corbet2018, author = {Corbet, Shaen and Meegan, Andrew and Larkin, Charles and Lucey, Brian and Yarovaya, Larisa}, title = {Exploring the Dynamic Relationships between Cryptocurrencies and Other Financial Assets}, journal = {Economics Letters}, year = {2018}, volume = {165}, pages = {28--34}, doi = {10.1016/j.econlet.2018.01.004} } @article{Corbet2020, author = {Corbet, Shaen and Larkin, Charles and Lucey, Brian}, title = {The Contagion Effects of the {COVID-19} Pandemic: Evidence from Gold and Cryptocurrencies}, journal = {Finance Research Letters}, year = {2020}, volume = {35}, pages = {101554}, doi = {10.1016/j.frl.2020.101554} } @article{Elsayed2022, author = {Elsayed, Ahmed H. and Gozgor, Giray and Lau, Chi Keung Marco}, title = {Risk Transmissions between Bitcoin and Traditional Financial Assets during the {COVID-19} Era: The Role of Global Uncertainties}, journal = {International Review of Financial Analysis}, year = {2022}, volume = {81}, pages = {102069}, doi = {10.1016/j.irfa.2022.102069} } @article{Eross2019, author = {Eross, Andrea and McGroarty, Frank and Urquhart, Andrew and Wolfe, Simon}, title = {The Intraday Dynamics of Bitcoin}, journal = {Research in International Business and Finance}, year = {2019}, volume = {49}, pages = {71--81}, doi = {10.1016/j.ribaf.2019.01.008} } @techreport{Iyer2022, author = {Iyer, Tara}, title = {Cryptic Connections: Spillovers between Crypto and Equity Markets}, institution = {International Monetary Fund}, type = {Global Financial Stability Notes}, number = {2022/001}, year = {2022}, doi = {10.5089/9781616358068.065} } @article{Ji2019a, author = {Ji, Qiang and Bouri, Elie and Lau, Chi Keung Marco and Roubaud, David}, title = {Dynamic Connectedness and Integration in Cryptocurrency Markets}, journal = {International Review of Financial Analysis}, year = {2019}, volume = {63}, pages = {257--272}, doi = {10.1016/j.irfa.2018.12.002} } @article{Ji2019b, author = {Ji, Qiang and Bouri, Elie and Roubaud, David and Kristoufek, Ladislav}, title = {Information Interdependence among Energy, Cryptocurrency and Major Commodity Markets}, journal = {Energy Economics}, year = {2019}, volume = {81}, pages = {1042--1055}, doi = {10.1016/j.eneco.2019.06.005} } @article{Katsiampa2017, author = {Katsiampa, Paraskevi}, title = {Volatility Estimation for {Bitcoin}: A Comparison of {GARCH} Models}, journal = {Economics Letters}, year = {2017}, volume = {158}, pages = {3--6}, doi = {10.1016/j.econlet.2017.06.023} } @article{Makarov2020, author = {Makarov, Igor and Schoar, Antoinette}, title = {Trading and Arbitrage in Cryptocurrency Markets}, journal = {Journal of Financial Economics}, year = {2020}, volume = {135}, number = {2}, pages = {293--319}, doi = {10.1016/j.jfineco.2019.07.001} } @article{Yousaf2023, author = {Yousaf, Imran and Pham, Linh and Goodell, John W.}, title = {The Connectedness between Meme Tokens, Meme Stocks, and Other Asset Classes: Evidence from a Quantile Connectedness Approach}, journal = {Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money}, year = {2023}, volume = {82}, pages = {101694}, doi = {10.1016/j.intfin.2022.101694} } % ---------------------------------------------------------------- intraday patterns in equities @article{Harris1986, author = {Harris, Lawrence}, title = {A Transaction Data Study of Weekly and Intradaily Patterns in Stock Returns}, journal = {Journal of Financial Economics}, year = {1986}, volume = {16}, number = {1}, pages = {99--117}, doi = {10.1016/0304-405X(86)90044-9} } @article{Wood1985, author = {Wood, Robert A. and McInish, Thomas H. and Ord, J. Keith}, title = {An Investigation of Transactions Data for {NYSE} Stocks}, journal = {Journal of Finance}, year = {1985}, volume = {40}, number = {3}, pages = {723--739}, doi = {10.1111/j.1540-6261.1985.tb04996.x} }