\begin{table}[htbp] \centering \begin{threeparttable} \caption{Summary Statistics of Prediction Market Prices} \label{tab:summary_stats} \begin{tabular}{l S S S S S S S} \toprule Market & {Mean} & {Std} & {Min} & {Max} & {Skew} & {Kurt} & {JB} \\ \midrule 50+ bps decrease & 0.058 & 0.042 & 0.004 & 0.150 & -0.03 & -1.45 & 12.7 \\ 25 bps decrease & 0.304 & 0.194 & 0.006 & 0.570 & -0.47 & -1.46 & 18.0 \\ No change & 0.608 & 0.235 & 0.300 & 0.981 & 0.55 & -1.41 & 19.1 \\ 25 bps increase & 0.034 & 0.026 & 0.005 & 0.250 & 3.98 & 30.46 & 5628.7 \\ 50+ bps increase & 0.016 & 0.016 & 0.002 & 0.095 & 1.66 & 3.55 & 135.8 \\ \bottomrule \end{tabular} \begin{tablenotes} \small \item \textit{Notes:} JB is the Jarque--Bera test statistic for normality. $^{***}$, $^{**}$, and $^{*}$ denote significance at the 1\%, 5\%, and 10\% levels. \end{tablenotes} \end{threeparttable} \end{table}