\begin{table}[htbp] \centering \begin{threeparttable} \caption{GARCH Model Estimates} \label{tab:garch} \begin{tabular}{l S l} \toprule Parameter & {Estimate} & (Std Err) \\ \midrule GARCH: mu & 0.1498 & (0.0921) \\ GARCH: omega & 0.0000 & (0.0385) \\ GARCH: alpha[1] & 0.1951 & (0.0383) \\ GARCH: beta[1] & 0.8049 & (0.0252) \\ GJR-GARCH: mu & 0.0960 & (0.3060) \\ GJR-GARCH: omega & 0.0000 & (0.2216) \\ GJR-GARCH: alpha[1] & 0.0000 & (0.5240) \\ GJR-GARCH: gamma[1] & 0.3037 & (0.3723) \\ GJR-GARCH: beta[1] & 0.8482 & (0.3778) \\ \bottomrule \end{tabular} \begin{tablenotes} \small \item \textit{Notes:} GARCH(1,1) model estimates for prediction market return volatility. $^{***}$, $^{**}$, $^{*}$ denote significance at 1\%, 5\%, 10\%. \end{tablenotes} \end{threeparttable} \end{table}