spb/sp-wallet

1# ma_trend / 223Same rule and parameters as version 1, on the universe tradable by SP Wallet agents on Base: ETH, LINK, AAVE.4Parameters were not re-tuned for this universe. The text below is version 1's.567**Hypothesis.** Trends persist: when the average price of the last 3 days is above the average of the last 20 days,8the asset is in an up-trend that is more likely to continue than to stop, and being out of the market otherwise9avoids the large drawdowns of a long-only holder.1011**Rule.** For each symbol: weight `1/N` if `mean(close[-72:]) > mean(close[-480:])`, otherwise 0 (USDC).1213**What would refute it.** Whipsaws: in a range-bound market the two averages cross often and every crossing costs14fee + slippage on the whole position. The rule is always late (it enters after the rise began and leaves after15the fall began); if trends are short relative to the 20-day window it loses to buy-and-hold.16