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1{2 "indexed": {3  "date-parts": [4   [5    2026,6    10,7    198   ]9  ],10  "date-time": "2026-10-19T08:22:43Z",11  "timestamp": 1792398163895,12  "version": "4.4.0"13 },14 "reference-count": 46,15 "publisher": "Oxford University Press (OUP)",16 "issue": "3",17 "license": [18  {19   "start": {20    "date-parts": [21     [22      2020,23      1,24      1125     ]26    ],27    "date-time": "2020-01-11T00:00:00Z",28    "timestamp": 157870080000029   },30   "content-version": "vor",31   "delay-in-days": 0,32   "URL": "https://academic.oup.com/journals/pages/open_access/funder_policies/chorus/standard_publication_model"33  }34 ],35 "content-domain": {36  "domain": [],37  "crossmark-restriction": false38 },39 "short-container-title": [],40 "published-print": {41  "date-parts": [42   [43    2020,44    5,45    146   ]47  ]48 },49 "abstract": "<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title>\n                  <jats:p>This article uses a structural model to show that foreclosures played a crucial role in exacerbating the recent housing bust and to analyse foreclosure mitigation policy. We consider a dynamic search model in which foreclosures freeze the market for non-foreclosures and reduce price and sales volume by eroding lender equity, destroying the credit of potential buyers, and making buyers more selective. These effects cause price-default spirals that amplify an initial shock and help the model fit both national and cross-sectional moments better than a model without foreclosure. When calibrated to the recent bust, the model reveals that the amplification generated by foreclosures is significant: ruined credit and choosey buyers account for 25.4% of the total decline in non-distressed prices and lender losses account for an additional 22.6%. For policy, we find that principal reduction is less cost-effective than lender equity injections or introducing a single seller that holds foreclosures off the market until demand rebounds. We also show that policies that slow down the pace of foreclosures can be counterproductive.</jats:p>",50 "DOI": "10.1093/restud/rdaa001",51 "type": "journal-article",52 "created": {53  "date-parts": [54   [55    2020,56    1,57    858   ]59  ],60  "date-time": "2020-01-08T23:20:07Z",61  "timestamp": 157852560700062 },63 "page": "1331-1364",64 "source": "Crossref",65 "is-referenced-by-count": 67,66 "title": [67  "How Do Foreclosures Exacerbate Housing Downturns?"68 ],69 "prefix": "10.1093",70 "volume": "87",71 "author": [72  {73   "given": "Adam M",74   "family": "Guren",75   "sequence": "first",76   "affiliation": [77    {78     "name": "Boston University and NBER"79    }80   ],81   "role": [82    {83     "vocabulary": "crossref",84     "role": "author"85    }86   ]87  },88  {89   "given": "Timothy J",90   "family": "McQuade",91   "sequence": "first",92   "affiliation": [93    {94     "name": "Stanford University"95    }96   ],97   "role": [98    {99     "vocabulary": "crossref",100     "role": "author"101    }102   ]103  }104 ],105 "member": "286",106 "published-online": {107  "date-parts": [108   [109    2020,110    1,111    11112   ]113  ]114 },115 "reference": [116  {117   "key": "2020042804062657900_B1",118   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",119   "first-page": "288",120   "DOI": "10.1016/j.jfineco.2015.03.005",121   "article-title": "House Prices, Collateral, and Self-employment",122   "volume": "117",123   "author": "ADELINO,",124   "year": "2015",125   "journal-title": "Journal of Financial Economics"126  },127  {128   "key": "2020042804062657900_B2",129   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",130   "first-page": "641",131   "DOI": "10.1111/j.1468-2354.2007.00440.x",132   "article-title": "Opportunistic Matching in the Housing Market",133   "volume": "48",134   "author": "ALBRECHT,",135   "year": "2007",136   "journal-title": "International Economic Review"137  },138  {139   "key": "2020042804062657900_B3",140   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",141   "first-page": "2527",142   "DOI": "10.1257/aer.104.8.2527",143   "article-title": "Estimates of the Size and Source of Price Declines Due to Nearby Foreclosures",144   "volume": "104",145   "author": "ANENBERG,",146   "year": "2014",147   "journal-title": "American Economic Review"148  },149  {150   "key": "2020042804062657900_B4",151   "article-title": "Capital Requirements, Risk Choice, and Liquidity Provision in a Business Cycle Model",152   "author": "BEGENAU,",153   "year": "2019",154   "journal-title": "Journal of Financial Economics,"155  },156  {157   "key": "2020042804062657900_B5",158   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",159   "DOI": "10.2139/ssrn.3394601",160   "article-title": "Banks Adjust Slowly: Evidence and Lessons For Modeling",161   "author": "BEGENAU,",162   "year": "2019"163  },164  {165   "key": "2020042804062657900_B6",166   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",167   "first-page": "2433",168   "DOI": "10.1111/jofi.12523",169   "article-title": "Consumer Ruthlessness and Mortgage Default During the 2007 to 2009 Housing Bust",170   "volume": "72",171   "author": "BHUTTA,",172   "year": "2017",173   "journal-title": "Journal of Finance"174  },175  {176   "key": "2020042804062657900_B7",177   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",178   "first-page": "747",179   "DOI": "10.1111/1540-6229.12021",180   "article-title": "Foreclosure’s Wake: The Credit Experiences of Individuals Following Foreclosure",181   "volume": "41",182   "author": "BREVOORT,",183   "year": "2013",184   "journal-title": "Real Estate Economics"185  },186  {187   "key": "2020042804062657900_B8",188   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",189   "first-page": "2108",190   "DOI": "10.1257/aer.101.5.2108",191   "article-title": "Forced Sales and House Prices",192   "volume": "101",193   "author": "CAMPBELL,",194   "year": "2011",195   "journal-title": "American Economic Review"196  },197  {198   "key": "2020042804062657900_B9",199   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",200   "first-page": "2381",201   "DOI": "10.1257/aer.102.6.2381",202   "article-title": "The Collateral Channel: How Real Estate Shocks Affect Corporate Investment",203   "volume": "102",204   "author": "CHANEY,",205   "year": "2012",206   "journal-title": "American Economic Review"207  },208  {209   "key": "2020042804062657900_B10",210   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",211   "first-page": "165",212   "DOI": "10.1016/j.red.2015.02.004",213   "article-title": "A Quantitative Analysis of the U.S. Housing and Mortgage Markets and the Foreclosure Crisis",214   "volume": "18",215   "author": "CHATTERJEE,",216   "year": "2015",217   "journal-title": "Review of Economic Dynamics"218  },219  {220   "key": "2020042804062657900_B11",221   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",222   "first-page": "43",223   "DOI": "10.1111/j.1540-6229.2009.00234.x",224   "article-title": "Estimating the House Foreclosure Discount Corrected for Spatial Price Interdependence and Endogeneity of Marketing Time",225   "volume": "37",226   "author": "CLAURETIE,",227   "year": "2009",228   "journal-title": "Real Estate Economics"229  },230  {231   "key": "2020042804062657900_B12",232   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",233   "DOI": "10.3386/w27358",234   "article-title": "The Effect of Foreclosures on Homeowners, Tenants, and Landlords",235   "author": "DIAMOND,",236   "year": "2020"237  },238  {239   "key": "2020042804062657900_B13",240   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",241   "first-page": "1865",242   "DOI": "10.1093/rfs/hhm037",243   "article-title": "Valuation in Over-the-Counter Markets",244   "volume": "20",245   "author": "DUFFIE,",246   "year": "2007",247   "journal-title": "Review of Financial Studies"248  },249  {250   "key": "2020042804062657900_B14",251   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",252   "first-page": "111",253   "DOI": "10.1016/j.jmoneco.2016.06.003",254   "article-title": "Phasing Out the GSEs",255   "volume": "81",256   "author": "ELENEV,",257   "year": "2016",258   "journal-title": "Journal of Monetary Economics"259  },260  {261   "key": "2020042804062657900_B15",262   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",263   "first-page": "490",264   "DOI": "10.1257/aer.100.2.490",265   "article-title": "What ‘Triggers’ Mortgage Default?",266   "volume": "100",267   "author": "ELUL,",268   "year": "2010",269   "journal-title": "American Economic Review"270  },271  {272   "key": "2020042804062657900_B16",273   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",274   "first-page": "234",275   "DOI": "10.1016/j.jue.2008.07.006",276   "article-title": "Negative Equity and Foreclosure: Theory and Evidence",277   "volume": "64",278   "author": "FOOTE,",279   "year": "2008",280   "journal-title": "Journal of Urban Economics"281  },282  {283   "key": "2020042804062657900_B17",284   "article-title": "The Effect of Debt on Default and Consumption: Evidence from Housing Policy in the Great Recession",285   "author": "GANONG,",286   "year": "2020"287  },288  {289   "key": "2020042804062657900_B18",290   "article-title": "Why Do Borrowers Default on Mortgages? A New Test Using High-Frequency Data",291   "author": "GANONG,",292   "year": "2020"293  },294  {295   "key": "2020042804062657900_B19",296   "article-title": "Mortgage Debt, Consumption, and Illiquid Housing Markets in the Great Recession",297   "author": "HEDLUND,",298   "year": "2019"299  },300  {301   "key": "2020042804062657900_B20",302   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",303   "first-page": "31",304   "DOI": "10.1016/j.jue.2012.01.002",305   "article-title": "Search and Matching in the Housing Market",306   "volume": "72",307   "author": "GENESOVE,",308   "year": "2012",309   "journal-title": "Journal of Urban Economics"310  },311  {312   "key": "2020042804062657900_B21",313   "article-title": "Unemployment, Negative Equity, and Strategic Default",314   "author": "GERARDI,",315   "year": "2017"316  },317  {318   "key": "2020042804062657900_B22",319   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",320   "first-page": "42",321   "DOI": "10.1016/j.jue.2015.02.004",322   "article-title": "Foreclosure Externalities: New Evidence",323   "volume": "87",324   "author": "GERARDI,",325   "year": "2015",326   "journal-title": "Journal of Urban Economics"327  },328  {329   "key": "2020042804062657900_B23",330   "article-title": "Financial Fragility with SAM?",331   "author": "GREENWALD,",332   "year": "2019"333  },334  {335   "key": "2020042804062657900_B24",336   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",337   "first-page": "1473",338   "DOI": "10.1111/jofi.12044",339   "article-title": "The Determinants of Attitudes Toward Strategic Default on Mortgages",340   "volume": "68",341   "author": "GUISO,",342   "year": "2013",343   "journal-title": "The Journal of Finance"344  },345  {346   "key": "2020042804062657900_B25",347   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",348   "first-page": "1172",349   "DOI": "10.1086/697207",350   "article-title": "House Price Momentum and Strategic Complementarity",351   "volume": "126",352   "author": "GUREN,",353   "year": "2018",354   "journal-title": "Journal of Political Economy"355  },356  {357   "key": "2020042804062657900_B26",358   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",359   "first-page": "1172",360   "DOI": "10.1257/aer.104.4.1172",361   "article-title": "Search, Liquidity, and the Dynamics of House Prices and Construction",362   "volume": "104",363   "author": "HEAD,",364   "year": "2014",365   "journal-title": "American Economic Review"366  },367  {368   "key": "2020042804062657900_B27",369   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",370   "first-page": "1",371   "DOI": "10.1016/j.jmoneco.2016.08.005",372   "article-title": "Illiquidity and Its Discontents: Trading Delays and Foreclosures in the Housing Market",373   "volume": "83",374   "author": "HEDLUND,",375   "year": "2016",376   "journal-title": "Journal of Monetary Economics"377  },378  {379   "key": "2020042804062657900_B28",380   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",381   "first-page": "289",382   "DOI": "10.3982/QE483",383   "article-title": "The Cyclical Dynamics of Illiquid Housing, Debt, and Foreclosures",384   "volume": "7",385   "author": "HEDLUND,",386   "year": "2016",387   "journal-title": "Quantitative Economics"388  },389  {390   "key": "2020042804062657900_B29",391   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",392   "first-page": "739",393   "DOI": "10.1257/0002828054201477",394   "article-title": "House Prices, Borrowing Constraints, and Monetary Policy in the Business Cycle",395   "volume": "95",396   "author": "IACOVIELLO,",397   "year": "2005",398   "journal-title": "American Economic Review"399  },400  {401   "key": "2020042804062657900_B30",402   "article-title": "The Housing Boom and Bust: Model Meets Evidence",403   "author": "KAPLAN,",404   "year": "2019",405   "journal-title": "Journal of Political Economy"406  },407  {408   "key": "2020042804062657900_B31",409   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",410   "first-page": "32",411   "DOI": "10.1006/juec.2000.2180",412   "article-title": "A Theory of Liquidity in Residential Real Estate Markets",413   "volume": "49",414   "author": "KRAINER,",415   "year": "2001",416   "journal-title": "Journal of Urban Economics"417  },418  {419   "key": "2020042804062657900_B32",420   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",421   "first-page": "498",422   "DOI": "10.2307/2556060",423   "article-title": "Leverage and House-Price Dynamics in U.S. Cities",424   "author": "LAMONT,",425   "year": "1999",426   "journal-title": "RAND Journal of Economics"427  },428  {429   "key": "2020042804062657900_B33",430   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",431   "first-page": "2132",432   "DOI": "10.1257/aer.101.5.2132",433   "article-title": "House Prices, Home Equity-Based Borrowing, and the U.S. Household Leverage Crisis",434   "volume": "101",435   "author": "MIAN,",436   "year": "2011",437   "journal-title": "American Economic Review"438  },439  {440   "key": "2020042804062657900_B34",441   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",442   "first-page": "2197",443   "DOI": "10.3982/ECTA10451",444   "article-title": "What Explains the 2007-2009 Drop in Employment?",445   "volume": "82",446   "author": "MIAN,",447   "year": "2014",448   "journal-title": "Econometrica"449  },450  {451   "key": "2020042804062657900_B35",452   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",453   "first-page": "2587",454   "DOI": "10.1111/jofi.12310",455   "article-title": "Foreclosures, House Prices, and the Real Economy",456   "volume": "70",457   "author": "MIAN,",458   "year": "2015",459   "journal-title": "Journal of Finance"460  },461  {462   "key": "2020042804062657900_B36",463   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",464   "first-page": "225",465   "DOI": "10.1111/j.1540-6229.2012.00344.x",466   "article-title": "The Postforeclosure Experience of U.S. Households",467   "volume": "41",468   "author": "MOLLOY,",469   "year": "2013",470   "journal-title": "Real Estate Economics"471  },472  {473   "key": "2020042804062657900_B37",474   "doi-asserted-by": "crossref",475   "first-page": "3991",476   "DOI": "10.1257/aer.104.12.3991",477   "article-title": "Hot and Cold Seasons in the Housing Market",478   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"URL": "https://academic.oup.com/restud/article/87/3/1331/5700747"613  }614 },615 "subtitle": [],616 "short-title": [],617 "issued": {618  "date-parts": [619   [620    2020,621    1,622    11623   ]624  ]625 },626 "references-count": 46,627 "journal-issue": {628  "issue": "3",629  "published-online": {630   "date-parts": [631    [632     2020,633     1,634     11635    ]636   ]637  },638  "published-print": {639   "date-parts": [640    [641     2020,642     5,643     1644    ]645   ]646  }647 },648 "URL": "https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdaa001",649 "relation": {},650 "ISSN": [651  "0034-6527",652  "1467-937X"653 ],654 "issn-type": [655  {656   "value": "0034-6527",657   "type": "print"658  },659  {660   "value": "1467-937X",661   "type": "electronic"662  }663 ],664 "subject": [],665 "published-other": {666  "date-parts": [667   [668    2020,669    5670   ]671  ]672 },673 "published": {674  "date-parts": [675   [676    2020,677    1,678    11679   ]680  ]681 }682}