1{2 "experiment": 9,3 "name": "transition_perm_phi_minus20",4 "hypothesis": "Dynamics: after a permanent negative A shock the observed index falls on impact, inventory builds up, volume drops then recovers; the composition term is transitory when delta=0; its sign depends on G (dampening for the truncated normal, amplifying for the exponential).",5 "rows": 401,6 "columns": [7 "t",8 "theta",9 "P_obs",10 "P_fix",11 "Q",12 "S",13 "share_urgent_sales",14 "mean_tom_sold_months",15 "pbar_c0",16 "eta_c0",17 "n_c0",18 "pbar_c8",19 "eta_c8",20 "n_c8",21 "scenario"22 ],23 "env": {24 "python": "3.14.4",25 "numpy": "2.4.4",26 "scipy": "1.17.1",27 "pandas": "3.0.2",28 "config_hash": "0a165f317815d76c",29 "seed": 20261020,30 "timestamp": "2026-10-20T08:18:03"31 },32 "converged": true,33 "iterations": 28,34 "max_update": 8.39939131580536e-0835}