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1{"status": "ok", "message-type": "work-list", "message-version": "1.0.0", "message": {"facets": {}, "total-results": 772162, "items": [{"indexed": {"date-parts": [[2025, 5, 14]], "date-time": "2025-05-14T12:57:28Z", "timestamp": 1747227448582, "version": "3.40.5"}, "posted": {"date-parts": [[2021, 3, 4]]}, "group-title": "pico", "reference-count": 0, "publisher": "Copernicus GmbH", "content-domain": {"domain": [], "crossmark-restriction": false}, "abstract": "<jats:p>&amp;lt;p&amp;gt;Deep Learning (DL) is becoming an increasingly important tool to produce accurate streamflow prediction across a wide range of spatial and temporal scales. However, classical DL networks do not incorporate uncertainty information but only return a point prediction. Monte-Carlo Dropout (MC-Dropout) approach offers a mathematically grounded framework to reason about DL uncertainty which was used here as random diagonal matrices to introduce randomness to the streamflow prediction process. This study employed Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) to simulate daily streamflow records across a coastal plain drainage system, i.e., the Northeast Cape Fear River Basin, North Carolina, USA. We employed MC-Dropout approach with the DL algorithm to make streamflow simulation more robust to potential overfitting by introducing random perturbation during training period. Daily streamflow was calibrated during 2000-2010 and validated during 2010-2014 periods. Our results provide a unique and strong evidence that variational sampling via MC-Dropout acts as a dissimilarity detector. The MC-Dropout method successfully captured the predictive error after tuning a hyperparameter on a representative training dataset. This approach was able to mitigate the problem of representing model uncertainty in DL simulations without sacrificing computational complexity or accuracy metrics and can be used for all kind of DL-based streamflow (time-series) model training with dropout.&amp;lt;/p&amp;gt;</jats:p>", "DOI": "10.5194/egusphere-egu21-9145", "type": "posted-content", "created": {"date-parts": [[2021, 3, 4]], "date-time": "2021-03-04T05:25:27Z", "timestamp": 1614835527000}, "source": "Crossref", "is-referenced-by-count": 0, "title": ["Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning Simulation of Daily Streamflow with Monte Carlo Dropout"], "prefix": "10.5194", "author": [{"ORCID": "https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9157-3397", "authenticated-orcid": false, "given": "Sadegh", "family": "Sadeghi Tabas", "sequence": "first", "affiliation": [], "role": [{"role": "author", "vocabulary": "crossref"}]}, {"given": "Vidya", "family": "Samadi", "sequence": "additional", "affiliation": [], "role": [{"role": "author", "vocabulary": "crossref"}]}], "member": "3145", "deposited": {"date-parts": [[2021, 3, 4]], "date-time": "2021-03-04T05:28:35Z", "timestamp": 1614835715000}, "score": 35.45014, "resource": {"primary": {"URL": "https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU21/EGU21-9145.html"}}, "issued": {"date-parts": [[2021, 3, 4]]}, "references-count": 0, "URL": "https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-9145", "published": {"date-parts": [[2021, 3, 4]]}, "subtype": "other"}, {"indexed": {"date-parts": [[2026, 10, 13]], "date-time": "2026-10-13T18:16:58Z", "timestamp": 1791915418196, "version": "4.3.4"}, "reference-count": 20, "publisher": "Walter de Gruyter GmbH", "issue": "4", "license": [{"start": {"date-parts": [[2020, 12, 1]], "date-time": "2020-12-01T00:00:00Z", "timestamp": 1606780800000}, "content-version": "unspecified", "delay-in-days": 0, "URL": "http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0"}], "content-domain": {"domain": [], "crossmark-restriction": false}, "published-print": {"date-parts": [[2020, 12, 1]]}, "abstract": "<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title>\n               <jats:p>Although deep learning-based valuation models are spreading throughout the real estate industry following the artificial intelligence boom, property owners and investors continue to doubt the accuracy of the results. In this study, we specify a neural network for predicting house prices. We suggest a standard feed-forward network with two hidden layers, and show that it is sufficiently reasonable to apply its prediction to real-world projects such as property valuation. In addition, we propose a Bayesian neural network for describing uncertainty in house price predictions while providing a means to quantify uncertainty for each prediction. We choose Gangnam-gu, Seoul for the analysis, and predict house prices in the area using both networks. Although the Bayesian neural network did not perform better than the conventional network, it could provide a tool to measure the uncertainty inherent in predicted prices. The findings of this study show that a Bayesian approach can model uncertainty in property valuation, thereby promoting the adoption of deep learning tools in the real estate industry.</jats:p>", "DOI": "10.1515/remav-2020-0028", "type": "journal-article", "created": {"date-parts": [[2020, 12, 22]], "date-time": "2020-12-22T12:27:47Z", "timestamp": 1608640067000}, "page": "15-23", "source": "Crossref", "is-referenced-by-count": 16, "title": ["Representing Uncertainty in Property Valuation Through a Bayesian Deep Learning Approach"], "prefix": "10.1515", "volume": "28", "author": [{"given": "Changro", "family": "Lee", "sequence": "first", "affiliation": [{"name": "Department of Real Estate , Kangwon National University"}], "role": [{"vocabulary": "crossref", "role": "author"}]}, {"given": "Keith Key-Ho", "family": "Park", "sequence": "additional", "affiliation": [{"name": "Department of Geography , Seoul National University, Institute for Korean Regional Studies"}], "role": [{"vocabulary": "crossref", "role": "author"}]}], "member": "374", "published-online": {"date-parts": [[2020, 12, 12]]}, "reference": [{"key": "2021040703125191789_j_remav-2020-0028_ref_001_w2aab3b7b4b1b6b1ab1ab1Aa", "unstructured": "Blundell, C., Cornebise, J., Kavukcuoglu, K., & Wierstra, D. (2015). Weight uncertainty in neural networks. arXiv preprint arXiv:1505.05424."}, {"key": "2021040703125191789_j_remav-2020-0028_ref_002_w2aab3b7b4b1b6b1ab1ab2Aa", "unstructured": "Conway, J. (2018). Artificial intelligence and machine learning: current applications in real estate. Master’s Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts"}, {"key": "2021040703125191789_j_remav-2020-0028_ref_003_w2aab3b7b4b1b6b1ab1ab3Aa", "doi-asserted-by": "crossref", "unstructured": "French, N. (2001). Uncertainty in property valuation: The pricing of flexible leases. Journal of Corporate Real Estate, 3(1), 17–27. https://doi.org/10.1108/14630010110811454", "DOI": "10.1108/14630010110811454"}, {"key": "2021040703125191789_j_remav-2020-0028_ref_004_w2aab3b7b4b1b6b1ab1ab4Aa", "doi-asserted-by": "crossref", "unstructured": "French, N., & Gabrielli, L. (2004). The uncertainty of valuation. 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In Advances in neural information processing systems, 2348-2356."}, {"key": "2021040703125191789_j_remav-2020-0028_ref_008_w2aab3b7b4b1b6b1ab1ab8Aa", "unstructured": "Hasenclever, L., Webb, S., Lienart, T., Vollmer, S., Lakshminarayanan, B., Blundell, C., & Teh, Y. W. (2017). Distributed Bayesian learning with stochastic natural gradient expectation propagation and the posterior server. Journal of Machine Learning Research, 18(1), 3744–3780."}, {"key": "2021040703125191789_j_remav-2020-0028_ref_009_w2aab3b7b4b1b6b1ab1ab9Aa", "unstructured": "Harper, R., & Southern, J. (2019). A Bayesian Deep Learning Framework for End-To-End Prediction of Emotion from Heartbeat. arXiv preprint arXiv:1902.03043."}, {"key": "2021040703125191789_j_remav-2020-0028_ref_010_w2aab3b7b4b1b6b1ab1ac10Aa", "doi-asserted-by": "crossref", "unstructured": "Jang, H., & Lee, J. (2019). Generative Bayesian neural network model for risk-neutral pricing of American index options. 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Journal of Property Investment & Finance, 23(3), 269–285. https://doi.org/10.1108/14635780510599476", "DOI": "10.1108/14635780510599476"}, {"key": "2021040703125191789_j_remav-2020-0028_ref_013_w2aab3b7b4b1b6b1ab1ac13Aa", "unstructured": "Kendall, A., & Gal, Y. (2017). What uncertainties do we need in bayesian deep learning for computer vision? In Advances in neural information processing systems, 5574-5584."}, {"key": "2021040703125191789_j_remav-2020-0028_ref_014_w2aab3b7b4b1b6b1ab1ac14Aa", "doi-asserted-by": "crossref", "unstructured": "Kucharska-Stasiak, E. (2013). Uncertainty of property valuation as a subject of academic research. Real Estate Management and Valuation, 21(4), 17–25. https://doi.org/10.2478/remav-2013-0033", "DOI": "10.2478/remav-2013-0033"}, {"key": "2021040703125191789_j_remav-2020-0028_ref_015_w2aab3b7b4b1b6b1ab1ac15Aa", "doi-asserted-by": "crossref", "unstructured": "Mallinson, M., & French, N. (2000). Uncertainty in property valuation–The nature and relevance of uncertainty and how it might be measured and reported. Journal of Property Investment & Finance, 18(1), 13–32. https://doi.org/10.1108/14635780010316636", "DOI": "10.1108/14635780010316636"}, {"key": "2021040703125191789_j_remav-2020-0028_ref_016_w2aab3b7b4b1b6b1ab1ac16Aa", "doi-asserted-by": "crossref", "unstructured": "Meszek, W. (2007). Uncertainty phenomenon in property valuation. International Journal of Management and Decision Making, 8(5/6), 575–585. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJMDM.2007.013419", "DOI": "10.1504/IJMDM.2007.013419"}, {"key": "2021040703125191789_j_remav-2020-0028_ref_017_w2aab3b7b4b1b6b1ab1ac17Aa", "unstructured": "Neal, R. M. (2012). Bayesian learning for neural networks (Vol. 118). Springer Science & Business Media."}, {"key": "2021040703125191789_j_remav-2020-0028_ref_018_w2aab3b7b4b1b6b1ab1ac18Aa", "unstructured": "Seoul. (2017). Seoul Statistics. 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In Proceedings of the 28th international conference on machine learning (ICML-11) (pp. 681-688)."}], "container-title": ["Real Estate Management and Valuation"], "language": "en", "link": [{"URL": "https://content.sciendo.com/view/journals/remav/28/4/article-p15.xml", "content-type": "text/html", "content-version": "vor", "intended-application": "text-mining"}, {"URL": "https://www.sciendo.com/article/10.1515/remav-2020-0028", "content-type": "unspecified", "content-version": "vor", "intended-application": "similarity-checking"}], "deposited": {"date-parts": [[2021, 4, 7]], "date-time": "2021-04-07T06:17:50Z", "timestamp": 1617776270000}, "score": 33.45593, "resource": {"primary": {"URL": "https://www.sciendo.com/article/10.1515/remav-2020-0028"}}, "issued": {"date-parts": [[2020, 12, 1]]}, "references-count": 20, "journal-issue": {"issue": "4", "published-online": {"date-parts": [[2020, 12, 12]]}, "published-print": {"date-parts": [[2020, 12, 1]]}}, "alternative-id": 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