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1% ============================================================================2% UQO Working Paper Template — Economics / Finance3% ============================================================================4\documentclass[12pt,letterpaper]{article}56% --- Encoding & Language ---7\usepackage[utf8]{inputenc}8\usepackage[T1]{fontenc}9\usepackage[english]{babel}1011% --- Page Layout ---12\usepackage[13 letterpaper,14 top=1in,15 bottom=1in,16 left=1in,17 right=1in18]{geometry}1920% --- Typography ---21\usepackage{mathptmx} % Times-like font (text + math)22\usepackage{microtype} % Improved typographic refinements23\usepackage{setspace}24\onehalfspacing % 1.5 line spacing2526% --- Math ---27\usepackage{amsmath,amssymb,amsthm}2829% --- Tables ---30\usepackage{booktabs}31\usepackage{tabularx}32\usepackage{multirow}33\usepackage{threeparttable}34\usepackage{siunitx}35\sisetup{36 input-symbols = {()},37 table-format = -1.3,38 parse-numbers = false39}4041% --- Figures ---42\usepackage{graphicx}43\usepackage{subcaption}44\usepackage{float}4546% --- Colors & Links ---47\usepackage[dvipsnames]{xcolor}48\usepackage[49 colorlinks = true,50 linkcolor = NavyBlue,51 citecolor = NavyBlue,52 urlcolor = NavyBlue,53 breaklinks = true54]{hyperref}55\hypersetup{pdftitle={Beyond Hedonic Models: Spatiotemporal, Hierarchical and Probabilistic Architectures for Residential Real Estate Price Forecasting}, pdfauthor={Simon-Pierre Boucher}}5657% --- Bibliography ---58\usepackage[authoryear,round,semicolon]{natbib}59\bibliographystyle{aer}6061% --- Captions ---62\usepackage[63 font = small,64 labelfont = bf,65 labelsep = period,66 justification = justified,67 singlelinecheck = false68]{caption}6970% --- Headers & Footers ---71\usepackage{fancyhdr}72\pagestyle{fancy}73\fancyhf{}74\renewcommand{\headrulewidth}{0pt}75\fancyfoot[C]{\thepage}7677% --- Section Formatting ---78\usepackage{titlesec}79\titleformat{\section}{\large\bfseries}{\thesection.}{0.5em}{}80\titleformat{\subsection}{\normalsize\bfseries}{\thesubsection.}{0.5em}{}81\titleformat{\subsubsection}{\normalsize\itshape}{\thesubsubsection.}{0.5em}{}8283% --- Appendix Support ---84\usepackage[toc,page]{appendix}85\usepackage{longtable}86\usepackage{placeins}87\usepackage{tikz}88\usetikzlibrary{positioning,arrows.meta,fit,calc}89\usepackage{bm}90\input{tables/numbers}91\input{tables/numbers_missing}92\newcommand{\E}{\mathbb{E}}93\newcommand{\Var}{\mathrm{Var}}94\DeclareMathOperator*{\argmin}{arg\,min}9596% --- Misc ---97\usepackage{enumitem}98\setlist{nosep,leftmargin=*}99100% ============================================================================101% METADATA — Edit these fields for each working paper102% ============================================================================103\newcommand{\WPnumber}{23}104\newcommand{\WPtitle}{Beyond Hedonic Models: Spatiotemporal, Hierarchical and Probabilistic Architectures for Residential Real Estate Price Forecasting}105\newcommand{\WPsubtitle}{A pseudo-real-time evaluation on 632{,}000 Quebec transactions and 82 local market indices, 2021--2026}106\newcommand{\WPdate}{October 2026}107\newcommand{\WPversion}{1.0}108\input{sections/abstract}109\newcommand{\WPkeywords}{house price forecasting, machine learning, graph neural networks, state-space models, hierarchical Bayes, regime switching, probabilistic forecasting, Quebec}110\newcommand{\WPjel}{R31, C53, C45, C11, C21, C55}111112% --- Author ---113\newcommand{\WPauthor}{Simon-Pierre Boucher}114\newcommand{\WPaffiliation}{%115 Département des sciences administratives\\116 Université du Québec en Outaouais%117}118\newcommand{\WPemail}{simon-pierre.boucher@uqo.ca}119\newcommand{\WPaddress}{%120 Gatineau -- Pavillon Alexandre-Taché\\121 283, boulevard Alexandre-Taché\\122 Gatineau, Québec, Canada J9A 1L8%123}124125% ============================================================================126% DOCUMENT127% ============================================================================128\begin{document}129130% --- Title Page ---131\input{sections/titlepage}132133% --- Main Body ---134\input{sections/introduction}135\input{sections/literature}136\input{sections/data}137\input{sections/targets}138\input{sections/architectures}139\input{sections/benchmarks}140\input{sections/simulation}141\input{sections/framework}142\input{sections/results}143\input{sections/heterogeneity}144\input{sections/probabilistic}145\input{sections/interpretation}146\input{sections/ablation}147\input{sections/conclusion}148149% --- References ---150\newpage151\bibliography{references}152153% --- Appendix ---154\input{appendix/appendix}155156\end{document}157