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1\begin{table}[htbp]2\centering\scriptsize3\caption{Task B — MAE (×100) by level, horizon 3}\label{tab:het_b_level}4\begin{threeparttable}5\begin{tabular}{lrrr}6\toprule7Model & municipality & province & region \\8\midrule9No change & 4.38 & 2.44 & 3.58 \\10Mean growth & 4.22 & 2.00 & 3.25 \\11Momentum & 4.39 & 2.73 & 3.73 \\12Random walk with drift & 4.52 & 1.90 & 3.27 \\13Seasonal naive & 4.71 & 1.37 & 2.85 \\14AR(2), cell & 3.95 & 2.06 & 3.14 \\15Local linear trend & 6.84 & 3.16 & 5.22 \\16Ridge (panel) & 3.73 & 2.06 & 2.78 \\17LightGBM (panel) & 3.36 & 1.52 & 2.47 \\18MLP (panel) & 4.04 & 2.08 & 3.04 \\19LSTM & 4.06 & 2.36 & 3.31 \\20GRU & 3.85 & 2.06 & 3.06 \\21TCN & 3.98 & 1.91 & 3.27 \\22TFT-lite & 4.34 & 2.09 & 3.46 \\23BHPF & 3.78 & 2.11 & 2.86 \\24RAREF & 3.80 & 2.12 & 2.82 \\25QANSS & 3.75 & 1.77 & 2.57 \\26DSGFN & 3.93 & 1.90 & 2.84 \\27QREFA & 3.67 & 1.66 & 2.57 \\28\bottomrule29\end{tabular}30\end{threeparttable}31\end{table}32