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1\begin{table}[htbp]2\centering\scriptsize3\caption{Task A — Probabilistic accuracy (CRPS ×100, 90\% interval coverage \% and width ×100) of future sale-price forecasts by horizon band (months after the origin)}\label{tab:prob_a}4\resizebox{\textwidth}{!}{%5\begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrr}6\toprule7Model & 1-3: CRPS & 1-3: cov90 & 1-3: width90 & 4-6: CRPS & 4-6: cov90 & 4-6: width90 & 7-12: CRPS & 7-12: cov90 & 7-12: width90 \\8\midrule9Naive: municipal median & — & — & — & — & — & — & — & — & — \\10Hedonic OLS & 16.02 & 92 & 116.5 & 16.16 & 92 & 116.6 & 16.31 & 92 & 116.4 \\11Ridge & 16.02 & 92 & 116.5 & 16.16 & 92 & 116.6 & 16.31 & 92 & 116.4 \\12Elastic net & 16.01 & 92 & 116.5 & 16.15 & 92 & 116.7 & 16.29 & 92 & 116.5 \\13SVR (subsample) & — & — & — & — & — & — & — & — & — \\14Random forest & — & — & — & — & — & — & — & — & — \\15XGBoost & — & — & — & — & — & — & — & — & — \\16LightGBM & 13.53 & 88 & 91.9 & 13.72 & 87 & 92.7 & 13.92 & 84 & 92.2 \\17Quantile MLP & 22.12 & 98 & 256.3 & 22.08 & 98 & 257.3 & 21.88 & 98 & 255.8 \\18HSHN (no pooling) & 14.92 & 89 & 107.8 & 15.68 & 86 & 108.3 & 16.34 & 82 & 106.5 \\19HSHN (full pooling) & 15.04 & 88 & 108.0 & 15.87 & 85 & 108.4 & 16.56 & 82 & 106.6 \\20HSHN (partial pooling) & 14.92 & 89 & 107.9 & 15.68 & 86 & 108.3 & 16.35 & 82 & 106.6 \\21\bottomrule22\end{tabular}}23\end{table}24