1\begin{tabular}{@{}lrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr@{}}2\toprule3 & \multicolumn{8}{c}{2050} & \multicolumn{8}{c}{2100}\\4Scenario & Labor share & $w_L$ (2026=1) & GDP (2026=1) & $r$ (\%) & $W$/GDP & Land P/R & $V^Q$/GDP & $C_W$/GDP & Labor share & $w_L$ (2026=1) & GDP (2026=1) & $r$ (\%) & $W$/GDP & Land P/R & $V^Q$/GDP & $C_W$/GDP\\5\midrule6Baseline & 0.283 & 0.065 & 3.7 & 21.9 & 3.0 & 13.6 & 0.164 & 0.237 & 0.000 & 0.005 & 233.0 & 5.5 & 31.0 & 46.3 & 0.135 & 0.000\\7AI frozen at 2026 capability & 0.569 & 1.431 & 1.4 & 3.5 & 7.6 & 50.8 & 0.063 & 0.475 & 0.569 & 3.013 & 3.0 & 3.5 & 7.6 & 50.8 & 0.063 & 0.475\\8Rapid AGI (all tasks in 2032) & 0.001 & 0.029 & 44.7 & 25.3 & 12.6 & 31.0 & 0.095 & 0.001 & 0.000 & 0.004 & 243.9 & 3.8 & 34.8 & 49.8 & 0.132 & 0.000\\9Slow capability ($g_\alpha=0.05$) & 0.274 & 0.213 & 2.4 & 29.0 & 3.4 & 17.7 & 0.297 & 0.229 & 0.002 & 0.007 & 134.1 & 9.9 & 18.5 & 36.3 & 0.312 & 0.002\\10Fast capability ($g_\alpha=0.20$) & 0.066 & 0.029 & 7.5 & 54.2 & 3.8 & 20.8 & 0.169 & 0.056 & 0.000 & 0.004 & 246.3 & 4.0 & 34.1 & 49.1 & 0.132 & 0.000\\11Fast Moore ($g_{pQ}=0.34$), cheap energy & 0.080 & 0.019 & 9.7 & 37.2 & 4.4 & 19.3 & 0.377 & 0.068 & 0.000 & 0.004 & 244.3 & 5.0 & 32.6 & 47.5 & 0.136 & 0.000\\12Moore's law ends 2040 (floor 0.12) & 0.262 & 0.124 & 3.5 & 18.0 & 3.8 & 16.5 & 0.443 & 0.219 & 0.000 & 0.036 & 169.3 & 8.2 & 24.2 & 42.8 & 0.430 & 0.000\\13Compute price floor $10^{-3}$ & 0.282 & 0.065 & 3.7 & 22.1 & 2.9 & 13.0 & 0.164 & 0.236 & 0.000 & 0.002 & 244.1 & 5.3 & 32.0 & 46.6 & 0.021 & 0.000\\14Strong complements ($\sigma_N=\sigma_T=0.4$) & 0.137 & 0.063 & 3.2 & 21.7 & 7.9 & 44.9 & 0.121 & 0.115 & 0.000 & 0.003 & 21.2 & 4.0 & 34.8 & 49.6 & 0.033 & 0.000\\15\bottomrule16\end{tabular}17