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1\begin{tabular}{@{}lcrrrrr@{}}2\toprule3Scenario & Converged & max $|$residual$|$ & max income-identity gap / GDP & horizon check: $\Delta r$ & $\Delta\log K$ & seconds\\4\midrule5Baseline & yes & 1.7e-12 & 5.9e-16 & 5.8e-11 & 9.3e-10 & 430\\6AI frozen (everything at 2026) & yes & 1.2e-10 & 6.7e-16 & 1.1e-10 & 9.5e-09 & 261\\7Capability frozen, hardware cheapens & yes & 5.0e-10 & 5.6e-16 & 9.6e-10 & 1.5e-08 & 410\\8Terminal compute requirements $\times5$ & yes & 2.1e-12 & 5.7e-16 & 9.8e-11 & 1.5e-09 & 485\\9Rapid AGI (all tasks in 2032) & yes & 2.5e-12 & 5.3e-16 & 1.0e-11 & 1.6e-10 & 374\\10Fast Moore ($g_{pQ}=0.34$), cheap energy & yes & 7.0e-13 & 4.8e-16 & 3.4e-11 & 5.6e-10 & 419\\11Moore's law ends 2040 (floor 0.12) & yes & 2.0e-10 & 6.2e-16 & 1.5e-10 & 3.5e-09 & 270\\12Compute price floor $10^{-3}$ & yes & 6.0e-13 & 5.7e-16 & 6.3e-11 & 9.9e-10 & 775\\13Slow capability ($g_\alpha=0.05$) & yes & 2.3e-12 & 6.7e-16 & 3.4e-09 & 5.4e-08 & 613\\14Fast capability ($g_\alpha=0.20$) & yes & 2.5e-12 & 5.5e-16 & 1.9e-11 & 3.0e-10 & 368\\15Strong complements ($\sigma_N=\sigma_T=0.4$) & yes & 7.5e-13 & 5.3e-16 & 5.3e-12 & 9.4e-11 & 376\\16AI monopoly (markup 1.5) & yes & 3.8e-12 & 5.9e-16 & 6.5e-11 & 1.1e-09 & 441\\17Citizen fund (20\% of equity) & yes & 1.5e-12 & 6.3e-16 & 5.6e-11 & 8.9e-10 & 495\\18Land tax 50\% & yes & 4.5e-12 & 7.1e-16 & 6.0e-10 & 9.0e-09 & 495\\19Compute tax 30\% & yes & 2.9e-12 & 6.7e-16 & 6.8e-11 & 1.1e-09 & 443\\20Capital-income tax 20\% & yes & 8.9e-10 & 4.9e-16 & 1.4e-10 & 9.2e-09 & 430\\2150\% foreign-owned compute & yes & 1.7e-12 & 5.9e-16 & 6.0e-11 & 9.8e-10 & 514\\22$\gamma=1$ & yes & 5.2e-13 & 7.4e-15 & 3.7e-13 & 8.7e-12 & 571\\23$\gamma=4$ & yes & 4.1e-11 & 5.2e-16 & 1.9e-08 & 2.9e-07 & 505\\24Scarce land (share 8\%, $\sigma_T=0.4$) & yes & 3.1e-10 & 6.8e-16 & 5.2e-12 & 1.9e-09 & 401\\25Severe chip depreciation ($\delta_Q=0.45$) & yes & 3.6e-12 & 6.0e-16 & 4.7e-11 & 7.6e-10 & 498\\26Expert task never automated & yes & 1.2e-11 & 1.2e-15 & 1.0e-06 & 3.4e-05 & 695\\27\bottomrule28\end{tabular}29
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