1{"ts": 1793142591.9727318, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "ddc9e80bfe58cced6c3605896079a2b07e965c36241b25b34c8fd774dab31257", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). 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Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 0, \"price\": 4.6458, \"dividend\": 0.05, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0501, \"cash\": 1.0605, \"holdings\": 1.0, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 5.7063, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.3229, \"history\": [4.6458], \"own_valuation\": 4.6493, \"target_holdings\": 1.0223}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7002, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"hold\",\n \"quantity\": 1.0,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0.0,\n \"borrow\": 0.0,\n \"rationale\": \"Current holdings are close to the target and the risk is moderate, so holding is the best strategy.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "hold", "quantity": 1.0, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0.0, "borrow": 0.0, "rationale": "Current holdings are close to the target and the risk is moderate, so holding is the best strategy."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.6328098773956299, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 306, "completion_tokens": 72, "total_tokens": 378, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 305}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 0, "agent": 2, "run": 7}}5{"ts": 1793142594.866224, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "bda17271427210e80a6ce0d0481495b23adabe8d308f8e1a08b63fee6ddb6aae", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. 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Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 0, \"price\": 4.6458, \"dividend\": 0.05, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0454, \"cash\": 1.0605, \"holdings\": 1.0, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 5.7063, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.3229, \"history\": [4.6458], \"own_valuation\": 4.6447, \"target_holdings\": 0.0}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7004, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"sell\",\n \"quantity\": 1.0,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0.0,\n \"borrow\": 0.0,\n \"rationale\": \"Reduce holdings to meet margin requirements and avoid potential margin calls.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "sell", "quantity": 1.0, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0.0, "borrow": 0.0, "rationale": "Reduce holdings to meet margin requirements and avoid potential margin calls."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7821838855743408, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 303, "completion_tokens": 64, "total_tokens": 367, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 195}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 0, "agent": 4, "run": 7}}6{"ts": 1793142595.547916, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "6cffb420a7308dba11c670b48ba698f605fbd50523eea442bb2c2de61e3d238a", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. 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Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 1, \"price\": 4.6411, \"dividend\": 0.053, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0485, \"cash\": 1.1246, \"holdings\": 1.0, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 5.7657, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.3206, \"history\": [4.6458, 4.6411], \"own_valuation\": 4.6478, \"target_holdings\": 1.9065}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7000, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"hold\",\n \"quantity\": 1.0,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0.0,\n \"borrow\": 0.0,\n \"rationale\": \"Current holdings are close to target and market price is stable, no need to adjust position.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "hold", "quantity": 1.0, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0.0, "borrow": 0.0, "rationale": "Current holdings are close to target and market price is stable, no need to adjust position."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.615023136138916, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 315, "completion_tokens": 70, "total_tokens": 385, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 314}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 1, "agent": 0, "run": 7}}10{"ts": 1793142598.407994, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "928a93e934be029efabca308f3a756cc946ff8886147009b73c42091149b9a3a", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. 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Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 1, \"price\": 4.6411, \"dividend\": 0.053, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0409, \"cash\": 5.7563, \"holdings\": 0.0, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 5.7563, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 0.0, \"history\": [4.6458, 4.6411], \"own_valuation\": 4.6402, \"target_holdings\": 0.0}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7005, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"buy\",\n \"quantity\": 1.25,\n \"order_type\": \"limit\",\n \"limit_price\": 4.65,\n \"borrow\": 0.0,\n \"rationale\": \"Buy to initiate a moderate position, considering the expected dividend and current valuation.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "buy", "quantity": 1.25, "order_type": "limit", "limit_price": 4.65, "borrow": 0.0, "rationale": "Buy to initiate a moderate position, considering the expected dividend and current valuation."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7192199230194092, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 309, "completion_tokens": 69, "total_tokens": 378, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 196}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 1, "agent": 5, "run": 7}}11{"ts": 1793142599.028949, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "a567b7b6414fc4c24c8db78c7fa740b99f3ad037782db4438a7019d6393c5187", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 1, \"price\": 4.6411, \"dividend\": 0.053, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0485, \"cash\": 1.1246, \"holdings\": 1.0, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 5.7657, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.3206, \"history\": [4.6458, 4.6411], \"own_valuation\": 4.6478, \"target_holdings\": 1.9065}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7001, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"hold\",\n \"quantity\": 1.0,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0.0,\n \"borrow\": 0.0,\n \"rationale\": \"Current holdings are close to target and market price is stable, no need to adjust position.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "hold", "quantity": 1.0, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0.0, "borrow": 0.0, "rationale": "Current holdings are close to target and market price is stable, no need to adjust position."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.6207427978515625, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 315, "completion_tokens": 70, "total_tokens": 385, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 314}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 1, "agent": 1, "run": 7}}12{"ts": 1793142599.802669, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "e2e05c46f3d2e66eb08e3fcbb3627ac45a545bef9fdab60f0d3358c75f577f17", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. 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Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 1, \"price\": 4.6411, \"dividend\": 0.053, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0502, \"cash\": 3.4405, \"holdings\": 0.5, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 5.761, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 1.1603, \"history\": [4.6458, 4.6411], \"own_valuation\": 4.6495, \"target_holdings\": 2.3812}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7004, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"buy\",\n \"quantity\": 1.3812,\n \"order_type\": \"limit\",\n \"limit_price\": 4.6495,\n \"borrow\": 0.0,\n \"rationale\": \"To increase holdings and exposure to the asset, aiming for the target holdings while managing risk.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "buy", "quantity": 1.3812, "order_type": "limit", "limit_price": 4.6495, "borrow": 0.0, "rationale": "To increase holdings and exposure to the asset, aiming for the target holdings while managing risk."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7734591960906982, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 314, "completion_tokens": 76, "total_tokens": 390, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 196}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 1, "agent": 4, "run": 7}}13{"ts": 1793142600.542397, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "1031dad4133a308eda9774b9fefd81272ee51eec96f7def1e4e65592af1b3e25", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. 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Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 2, \"price\": 4.6391, \"dividend\": 0.0488, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0437, \"cash\": 0.0684, \"holdings\": 1.2373, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 5.8083, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.8699, \"history\": [4.6458, 4.6411, 4.6391], \"own_valuation\": 4.643, \"target_holdings\": 1.1199}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7005, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"hold\",\n \"quantity\": 1.2373,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0,\n \"borrow\": 0,\n \"rationale\": \"Current holdings are close to target and no significant misalignment in valuation.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "hold", "quantity": 1.2373, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0, "borrow": 0, "rationale": "Current holdings are close to target and no significant misalignment in valuation."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7390210628509521, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 326, "completion_tokens": 65, "total_tokens": 391, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 153}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 2, "agent": 5, "run": 7}}14{"ts": 1793142601.2525141, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "5be324a9c120ac525aeec3da1fecd7f130441f1200ee0ac11aa58177fb8051b8", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. 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Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 2, \"price\": 4.6391, \"dividend\": 0.0488, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0458, \"cash\": 1.1851, \"holdings\": 1.0, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 5.8242, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.3195, \"history\": [4.6458, 4.6411, 4.6391], \"own_valuation\": 4.6451, \"target_holdings\": 1.7312}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7002, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"sell\",\n \"quantity\": 0.7312,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0.0,\n \"borrow\": 0.0,\n \"rationale\": \"Reduce holdings to stay within margin limit and maintain moderate risk.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "sell", "quantity": 0.7312, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0.0, "borrow": 0.0, "rationale": "Reduce holdings to stay within margin limit and maintain moderate risk."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.709650993347168, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 324, "completion_tokens": 67, "total_tokens": 391, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 197}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 2, "agent": 2, "run": 7}}15{"ts": 1793142601.8454652, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "5be324a9c120ac525aeec3da1fecd7f130441f1200ee0ac11aa58177fb8051b8", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. 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Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 2, \"price\": 4.6391, \"dividend\": 0.0488, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0458, \"cash\": 1.1851, \"holdings\": 1.0, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 5.8242, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.3195, \"history\": [4.6458, 4.6411, 4.6391], \"own_valuation\": 4.6451, \"target_holdings\": 1.7312}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7000, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"sell\",\n \"quantity\": 0.7312,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0.0,\n \"borrow\": 0.0,\n \"rationale\": \"Reduce holdings to stay within margin limit and maintain moderate risk.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "sell", "quantity": 0.7312, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0.0, "borrow": 0.0, "rationale": "Reduce holdings to stay within margin limit and maintain moderate risk."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.5924549102783203, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 324, "completion_tokens": 67, "total_tokens": 391, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 323}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 2, "agent": 0, "run": 7}}16{"ts": 1793142602.5590882, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "308c27cf578d152cf14f57dd347d4e08a121b13e4e977bf59f14744e5c05f8a3", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. 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Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 2, \"price\": 4.6391, \"dividend\": 0.0488, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0415, \"cash\": 0.0653, \"holdings\": 1.2417, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 5.8256, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.8802, \"history\": [4.6458, 4.6411, 4.6391], \"own_valuation\": 4.6408, \"target_holdings\": 0.497}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7003, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"sell\",\n \"quantity\": 0.75,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0,\n \"borrow\": 0,\n \"rationale\": \"Reduce holdings to meet target and maintain moderate risk.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "sell", "quantity": 0.75, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0, "borrow": 0, "rationale": "Reduce holdings to meet target and maintain moderate risk."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7133827209472656, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 326, "completion_tokens": 59, "total_tokens": 385, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 197}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 2, "agent": 3, "run": 7}}17{"ts": 1793142603.233058, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "1306b9c399db5bf4b353e27403dc6d44e77e9cc6d3f81ce39fe4e378cd1b8914", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. 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Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 2, \"price\": 4.6391, \"dividend\": 0.0488, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0457, \"cash\": 0.0738, \"holdings\": 1.2396, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 5.8243, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.8753, \"history\": [4.6458, 4.6411, 4.6391], \"own_valuation\": 4.645, \"target_holdings\": 1.6853}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7004, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"hold\",\n \"quantity\": 1.2396,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0,\n \"borrow\": 0,\n \"rationale\": \"Current holdings are close to target, no need to adjust position.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "hold", "quantity": 1.2396, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0, "borrow": 0, "rationale": "Current holdings are close to target, no need to adjust position."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.67374587059021, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 326, "completion_tokens": 64, "total_tokens": 390, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 198}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 2, "agent": 4, "run": 7}}18{"ts": 1793142603.82461, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "5be324a9c120ac525aeec3da1fecd7f130441f1200ee0ac11aa58177fb8051b8", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. 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Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 2, \"price\": 4.6391, \"dividend\": 0.0488, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0458, \"cash\": 1.1851, \"holdings\": 1.0, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 5.8242, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.3195, \"history\": [4.6458, 4.6411, 4.6391], \"own_valuation\": 4.6451, \"target_holdings\": 1.7312}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7001, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"sell\",\n \"quantity\": 0.7312,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0.0,\n \"borrow\": 0.0,\n \"rationale\": \"Reduce holdings to stay within margin limit and maintain moderate risk.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "sell", "quantity": 0.7312, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0.0, "borrow": 0.0, "rationale": "Reduce holdings to stay within margin limit and maintain moderate risk."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.5913400650024414, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 324, "completion_tokens": 67, "total_tokens": 391, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 323}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 2, "agent": 1, "run": 7}}19{"ts": 1793142604.5386398, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "2ad88977981825bff23cd23ec0a50eb2f1ab902764bac646e74e0ad902534bcb", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 3, \"price\": 4.6363, \"dividend\": 0.0405, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0479, \"cash\": 0.1252, \"holdings\": 1.2396, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 5.8722, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.8735, \"history\": [4.6458, 4.6411, 4.6391, 4.6363], \"own_valuation\": 4.6471, \"target_holdings\": 3.1046}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7004, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"buy\",\n \"quantity\": 0.435,\n \"order_type\": \"limit\",\n \"limit_price\": 4.65,\n \"borrow\": 0.25,\n \"rationale\": \"To increase holdings while managing risk.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "buy", "quantity": 0.435, "order_type": "limit", "limit_price": 4.65, "borrow": 0.25, "rationale": "To increase holdings while managing risk."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7136580944061279, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 335, "completion_tokens": 63, "total_tokens": 398, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 153}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 3, "agent": 4, "run": 7}}20{"ts": 1793142605.303346, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "469b2248df677c54b080181aaf396d40e07bd0dc20e11926d74685e3dc1f7567", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 3, \"price\": 4.6363, \"dividend\": 0.0405, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0462, \"cash\": 4.6306, \"holdings\": 0.2688, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 5.8768, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 0.6231, \"history\": [4.6458, 4.6411, 4.6391, 4.6363], \"own_valuation\": 4.6455, \"target_holdings\": 2.629}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7002, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"buy\",\n \"quantity\": 1.3685,\n \"order_type\": \"limit\",\n \"limit_price\": 4.65,\n \"borrow\": 1.3685,\n \"rationale\": \"To increase holdings and leverage, aiming for the target holdings while managing risk.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "buy", "quantity": 1.3685, "order_type": "limit", "limit_price": 4.65, "borrow": 1.3685, "rationale": "To increase holdings and leverage, aiming for the target holdings while managing risk."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7643771171569824, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 334, "completion_tokens": 74, "total_tokens": 408, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 197}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 3, "agent": 2, "run": 7}}21{"ts": 1793142606.040853, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "464cfff75fc7e551c2e40592ed66365770351b0f42f0531e9d022c734453804a", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 3, \"price\": 4.6363, \"dividend\": 0.0405, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0462, \"cash\": 4.6315, \"holdings\": 0.2688, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 5.8777, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 0.6231, \"history\": [4.6458, 4.6411, 4.6391, 4.6363], \"own_valuation\": 4.6455, \"target_holdings\": 2.629}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7001, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"buy\",\n \"quantity\": 1.3685,\n \"order_type\": \"limit\",\n \"limit_price\": 4.65,\n \"borrow\": 1.3685,\n \"rationale\": \"To increase holdings and leverage, aiming for the target holdings while managing risk.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "buy", "quantity": 1.3685, "order_type": "limit", "limit_price": 4.65, "borrow": 1.3685, "rationale": "To increase holdings and leverage, aiming for the target holdings while managing risk."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7372539043426514, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 334, "completion_tokens": 74, "total_tokens": 408, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 208}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 3, "agent": 1, "run": 7}}22{"ts": 1793142606.791723, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "77f5bfbfb54fba5c8118b0df695c03b85750f8252fdbb5dd686347fefe7da452", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 3, \"price\": 4.6363, \"dividend\": 0.0405, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.042, \"cash\": 0.1197, \"holdings\": 1.2373, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 5.8561, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.8682, \"history\": [4.6458, 4.6411, 4.6391, 4.6363], \"own_valuation\": 4.6413, \"target_holdings\": 1.447}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7005, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"hold\",\n \"quantity\": 1.2373,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0,\n \"borrow\": 0,\n \"rationale\": \"Current holdings are close to the target and the market price is stable, no need to adjust position.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "hold", "quantity": 1.2373, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0, "borrow": 0, "rationale": "Current holdings are close to the target and the market price is stable, no need to adjust position."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7506198883056641, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 333, "completion_tokens": 71, "total_tokens": 404, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 197}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 3, "agent": 5, "run": 7}}23{"ts": 1793142607.525215, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "5c02daf39a8f17d432e4f7d76bbbd6b833174daa39e3276db43d4c07a23079f4", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 3, \"price\": 4.6363, \"dividend\": 0.0405, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0442, \"cash\": 2.6071, \"holdings\": 0.7041, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 5.8715, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 1.6322, \"history\": [4.6458, 4.6411, 4.6391, 4.6363], \"own_valuation\": 4.6435, \"target_holdings\": 2.0692}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7003, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"buy\",\n \"quantity\": 0.6351,\n \"order_type\": \"limit\",\n \"limit_price\": 4.65,\n \"borrow\": 0.75,\n \"rationale\": \"To increase holdings while managing risk within the margin limit.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "buy", "quantity": 0.6351, "order_type": "limit", "limit_price": 4.65, "borrow": 0.75, "rationale": "To increase holdings while managing risk within the margin limit."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7332651615142822, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 335, "completion_tokens": 68, "total_tokens": 403, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 197}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 3, "agent": 3, "run": 7}}24{"ts": 1793142608.3195992, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "b592214b1e18e3b1e7070d11d862494bcc59df646d9311f36395015522f72c56", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 3, \"price\": 4.6363, \"dividend\": 0.0405, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0462, \"cash\": 4.6321, \"holdings\": 0.2688, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 5.8784, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 0.6231, \"history\": [4.6458, 4.6411, 4.6391, 4.6363], \"own_valuation\": 4.6455, \"target_holdings\": 2.629}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7000, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"buy\",\n \"quantity\": 1.3685,\n \"order_type\": \"limit\",\n \"limit_price\": 4.65,\n \"borrow\": 1.3685,\n \"rationale\": \"To increase holdings and leverage, aiming for the target holdings while managing risk.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "buy", "quantity": 1.3685, "order_type": "limit", "limit_price": 4.65, "borrow": 1.3685, "rationale": "To increase holdings and leverage, aiming for the target holdings while managing risk."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7941179275512695, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 334, "completion_tokens": 74, "total_tokens": 408, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 208}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 3, "agent": 0, "run": 7}}25{"ts": 1793142609.084748, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "916676a2df862ce0c83e52adcf754e68a9b75e12004a970f8e674e7335091fdb", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 4, \"price\": 4.6464, \"dividend\": 0.0407, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0437, \"cash\": 0.0, \"holdings\": 1.3202, \"loan\": 0.1982, \"equity\": 5.9361, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.8689, \"history\": [4.6458, 4.6411, 4.6391, 4.6363, 4.6464], \"own_valuation\": 4.643, \"target_holdings\": 0.0}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7004, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"sell\",\n \"quantity\": 1.3202,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0,\n \"borrow\": 0,\n \"rationale\": \"Reduce holdings to meet target_holdings and free up cash.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "sell", "quantity": 1.3202, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0, "borrow": 0, "rationale": "Reduce holdings to meet target_holdings and free up cash."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7647418975830078, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 339, "completion_tokens": 63, "total_tokens": 402, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 153}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 4, "agent": 4, "run": 7}}26{"ts": 1793142609.779136, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "7339abff94b59a20df769b54feb2774434a20379e35abc829fcbbf7292f18a4c", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 4, \"price\": 4.6464, \"dividend\": 0.0407, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0385, \"cash\": 0.0, \"holdings\": 1.3392, \"loan\": 0.2812, \"equity\": 5.9413, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.83, \"history\": [4.6458, 4.6411, 4.6391, 4.6363, 4.6464], \"own_valuation\": 4.6378, \"target_holdings\": 0.0}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7003, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"sell\",\n \"quantity\": 1.3392,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0,\n \"borrow\": 0,\n \"rationale\": \"Reduce holdings to meet target_holdings and free up cash.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "sell", "quantity": 1.3392, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0, "borrow": 0, "rationale": "Reduce holdings to meet target_holdings and free up cash."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.6941299438476562, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 338, "completion_tokens": 63, "total_tokens": 401, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 196}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 4, "agent": 3, "run": 7}}27{"ts": 1793142610.47263, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "74813a6f4514a9a386e7791c3fefcf21ef9991c7b4c1799f970b843132cb7e9c", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 4, \"price\": 4.6464, \"dividend\": 0.0407, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0321, \"cash\": 0.0, \"holdings\": 1.3981, \"loan\": 0.5719, \"equity\": 5.9241, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.6761, \"history\": [4.6458, 4.6411, 4.6391, 4.6363, 4.6464], \"own_valuation\": 4.6316, \"target_holdings\": 0.0}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7002, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"sell\",\n \"quantity\": 1.3981,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0,\n \"borrow\": 0,\n \"rationale\": \"Reduce holdings to meet target_holdings and free up cash.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "sell", "quantity": 1.3981, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0, "borrow": 0, "rationale": "Reduce holdings to meet target_holdings and free up cash."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.6932699680328369, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 340, "completion_tokens": 63, "total_tokens": 403, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 197}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 4, "agent": 2, "run": 7}}28{"ts": 1793142611.148382, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "33cf18b9f2e44b918873790457f17e544c18c3c05830b5e9b040d78ecd1d0e0d", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 4, \"price\": 4.6464, \"dividend\": 0.0407, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0321, \"cash\": 0.0, \"holdings\": 1.3984, \"loan\": 0.5719, \"equity\": 5.9257, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.6769, \"history\": [4.6458, 4.6411, 4.6391, 4.6363, 4.6464], \"own_valuation\": 4.6316, \"target_holdings\": 0.0}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7000, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"sell\",\n \"quantity\": 1.3984,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0,\n \"borrow\": 0,\n \"rationale\": \"Reduce holdings to meet target_holdings and free up cash.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "sell", "quantity": 1.3984, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0, "borrow": 0, "rationale": "Reduce holdings to meet target_holdings and free up cash."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.67549729347229, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 340, "completion_tokens": 63, "total_tokens": 403, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 218}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 4, "agent": 0, "run": 7}}29{"ts": 1793142611.829469, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "af493a76b8859127306d63461f2fb7c495d62430238b92f4e5e0c77a14f9ba1d", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. 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Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 4, \"price\": 4.6464, \"dividend\": 0.0407, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0321, \"cash\": 0.0, \"holdings\": 1.3983, \"loan\": 0.5719, \"equity\": 5.925, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.6766, \"history\": [4.6458, 4.6411, 4.6391, 4.6363, 4.6464], \"own_valuation\": 4.6316, \"target_holdings\": 0.0}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7001, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"sell\",\n \"quantity\": 1.3983,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0,\n \"borrow\": 0,\n \"rationale\": \"Reduce holdings to meet target_holdings and free up cash.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "sell", "quantity": 1.3983, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0, "borrow": 0, "rationale": "Reduce holdings to meet target_holdings and free up cash."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.6808650493621826, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 339, "completion_tokens": 63, "total_tokens": 402, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 218}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 4, "agent": 1, "run": 7}}30{"ts": 1793142612.603678, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "70099c16f603d8a95b5ce6ad6878e3dc468dde54f29a97af7c4c1a0852fe17ba", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 4, \"price\": 4.6464, \"dividend\": 0.0407, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0488, \"cash\": 0.1717, \"holdings\": 1.2373, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 5.9207, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.8745, \"history\": [4.6458, 4.6411, 4.6391, 4.6363, 4.6464], \"own_valuation\": 4.6481, \"target_holdings\": 0.4646}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7005, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"hold\",\n \"quantity\": 0.0,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0.0,\n \"borrow\": 0.0,\n \"rationale\": \"Current holdings are close to the target and the market is showing slight upward pressure, suggesting to maintain current position.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "hold", "quantity": 0.0, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0.0, "borrow": 0.0, "rationale": "Current holdings are close to the target and the market is showing slight upward pressure, suggesting to maintain current position."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7739801406860352, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 343, "completion_tokens": 74, "total_tokens": 417, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 197}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 4, "agent": 5, "run": 7}}31{"ts": 1793142613.373246, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "9926c3b30164bbcfd840e7dc5e267073f691bb1c0d073195eba07516f5dcd79b", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 5, \"price\": 4.6527, \"dividend\": 0.0354, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0508, \"cash\": 5.4485, \"holdings\": 0.1167, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 5.9914, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 0.2715, \"history\": [4.6411, 4.6391, 4.6363, 4.6464, 4.6527], \"own_valuation\": 4.6501, \"target_holdings\": 0.0}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7004, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"buy\",\n \"quantity\": 0.1167,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0.0,\n \"borrow\": 0.0,\n \"rationale\": \"To increase holdings and benefit from expected dividend growth, while keeping risk moderate.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "buy", "quantity": 0.1167, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0.0, "borrow": 0.0, "rationale": "To increase holdings and benefit from expected dividend growth, while keeping risk moderate."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7690770626068115, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 340, "completion_tokens": 70, "total_tokens": 410, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 153}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 5, "agent": 4, "run": 7}}32{"ts": 1793142614.130677, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "22bba76cd20ed5ae68d9a25977bd1dae2487dabda4aef9553922dd8c39a435b6", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 5, \"price\": 4.6527, \"dividend\": 0.0354, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0459, \"cash\": 0.2177, \"holdings\": 1.2373, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 5.9744, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.8783, \"history\": [4.6411, 4.6391, 4.6363, 4.6464, 4.6527], \"own_valuation\": 4.6452, \"target_holdings\": 0.0}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7005, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"hold\",\n \"quantity\": 0.0,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0.0,\n \"borrow\": 0.0,\n \"rationale\": \"Holding current position as target_holdings is 0 and no immediate need to adjust holdings or cash.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "hold", "quantity": 0.0, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0.0, "borrow": 0.0, "rationale": "Holding current position as target_holdings is 0 and no immediate need to adjust holdings or cash."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7572362422943115, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 340, "completion_tokens": 73, "total_tokens": 413, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 196}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 5, "agent": 5, "run": 7}}33{"ts": 1793142614.896014, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "ad61351e25242bd2f382f1af883aec1eb41a07d0e7ba89ffba4d182503fb1e8b", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. 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Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 5, \"price\": 4.6527, \"dividend\": 0.0354, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.04, \"cash\": 5.9997, \"holdings\": 0.0, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 5.9997, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 0.0, \"history\": [4.6411, 4.6391, 4.6363, 4.6464, 4.6527], \"own_valuation\": 4.6394, \"target_holdings\": 0.0}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7000, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"buy\",\n \"quantity\": 1.279,\n \"order_type\": \"limit\",\n \"limit_price\": 4.6527,\n \"borrow\": 0.0,\n \"rationale\": \"Buy to slightly exceed the current price and target holdings, keeping risk moderate.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "buy", "quantity": 1.279, "order_type": "limit", "limit_price": 4.6527, "borrow": 0.0, "rationale": "Buy to slightly exceed the current price and target holdings, keeping risk moderate."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7651269435882568, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 332, "completion_tokens": 72, "total_tokens": 404, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 197}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 5, "agent": 0, "run": 7}}34{"ts": 1793142615.657377, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "7b91e461071b6daa5ac5f3fce2305588982f933f85ef6c6f3712ea5686529d25", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. 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Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 5, \"price\": 4.6527, \"dividend\": 0.0354, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.04, \"cash\": 1.8002, \"holdings\": 0.8983, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 5.9795, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.0896, \"history\": [4.6411, 4.6391, 4.6363, 4.6464, 4.6527], \"own_valuation\": 4.6394, \"target_holdings\": 0.0}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7001, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"buy\",\n \"quantity\": 0.4019,\n \"order_type\": \"limit\",\n \"limit_price\": 4.75,\n \"borrow\": 0.4019,\n \"rationale\": \"To increase holdings and moderate risk.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "buy", "quantity": 0.4019, "order_type": "limit", "limit_price": 4.75, "borrow": 0.4019, "rationale": "To increase holdings and moderate risk."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7611269950866699, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 338, "completion_tokens": 66, "total_tokens": 404, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 202}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 5, "agent": 1, "run": 7}}35{"ts": 1793142616.381398, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "8168f4cee0cf5df3440e3e5a14e3ab7a61af6fea9428ab1f4fbd9b1d6b3644b9", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. 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Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 5, \"price\": 4.6527, \"dividend\": 0.0354, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0403, \"cash\": 0.0, \"holdings\": 1.3392, \"loan\": 0.2361, \"equity\": 5.9947, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.8793, \"history\": [4.6411, 4.6391, 4.6363, 4.6464, 4.6527], \"own_valuation\": 4.6396, \"target_holdings\": 0.0}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7003, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"sell\",\n \"quantity\": 1.3392,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0,\n \"borrow\": 0,\n \"rationale\": \"Reduce holdings to meet target_holdings and free up cash.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "sell", "quantity": 1.3392, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0, "borrow": 0, "rationale": "Reduce holdings to meet target_holdings and free up cash."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7237808704376221, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 340, "completion_tokens": 63, "total_tokens": 403, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 197}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 5, "agent": 3, "run": 7}}36{"ts": 1793142617.12053, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "a81829dc5fa724b2cdcdb46e054e4347970a616e1e920313ede1c1d629532aa4", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 5, \"price\": 4.6527, \"dividend\": 0.0354, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.04, \"cash\": 5.9906, \"holdings\": 0.0, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 5.9906, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 0.0, \"history\": [4.6411, 4.6391, 4.6363, 4.6464, 4.6527], \"own_valuation\": 4.6394, \"target_holdings\": 0.0}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7002, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"buy\",\n \"quantity\": 1.275,\n \"order_type\": \"limit\",\n \"limit_price\": 4.6527,\n \"borrow\": 0.0,\n \"rationale\": \"Buy to slightly exceed the current price and target holdings, keeping risk moderate.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "buy", "quantity": 1.275, "order_type": "limit", "limit_price": 4.6527, "borrow": 0.0, "rationale": "Buy to slightly exceed the current price and target holdings, keeping risk moderate."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.738908052444458, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 332, "completion_tokens": 72, "total_tokens": 404, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 206}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 5, "agent": 2, "run": 7}}37{"ts": 1793142617.920151, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "591be0586abc2dae778d7058ca30b935d82f6ed89ee72b85b094d431996b22e1", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 6, \"price\": 4.6408, \"dividend\": 0.0433, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.06, \"cash\": 0.1074, \"holdings\": 1.279, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 6.043, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.9678, \"history\": [4.6391, 4.6363, 4.6464, 4.6527, 4.6408], \"own_valuation\": 4.6591, \"target_holdings\": 5.2166}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7000, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"buy\",\n \"quantity\": 0.475,\n \"order_type\": \"limit\",\n \"limit_price\": 4.6591,\n \"borrow\": 0.0,\n \"rationale\": \"To increase holdings and moderate risk by buying at a limit price slightly above current valuation.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "buy", "quantity": 0.475, "order_type": "limit", "limit_price": 4.6591, "borrow": 0.0, "rationale": "To increase holdings and moderate risk by buying at a limit price slightly above current valuation."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7992010116577148, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 339, "completion_tokens": 74, "total_tokens": 413, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 153}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 6, "agent": 0, "run": 7}}38{"ts": 1793142618.660706, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "69fe697e33dafbe026f76013ecffa31344b6031e92407ae1f686f1766f667398", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 6, \"price\": 4.6408, \"dividend\": 0.0433, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0521, \"cash\": 4.9663, \"holdings\": 0.2334, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 6.0495, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 0.5416, \"history\": [4.6391, 4.6363, 4.6464, 4.6527, 4.6408], \"own_valuation\": 4.6513, \"target_holdings\": 2.9873}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7004, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"buy\",\n \"quantity\": 0.5,\n \"order_type\": \"limit\",\n \"limit_price\": 4.6513,\n \"borrow\": 0.2708,\n \"rationale\": \"To increase holdings while keeping risk moderate.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "buy", "quantity": 0.5, "order_type": "limit", "limit_price": 4.6513, "borrow": 0.2708, "rationale": "To increase holdings while keeping risk moderate."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7403378486633301, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 343, "completion_tokens": 66, "total_tokens": 409, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 196}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 6, "agent": 4, "run": 7}}39{"ts": 1793142619.4381812, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "d2560a3824d4fa5b36b5ced40b4713742e9536ca69f68e8383c23effa358c2a4", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 6, \"price\": 4.6408, \"dividend\": 0.0433, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.06, \"cash\": 0.1154, \"holdings\": 1.275, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 6.0325, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.9585, \"history\": [4.6391, 4.6363, 4.6464, 4.6527, 4.6408], \"own_valuation\": 4.6591, \"target_holdings\": 5.2166}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7002, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"buy\",\n \"quantity\": 0.475,\n \"order_type\": \"limit\",\n \"limit_price\": 4.6591,\n \"borrow\": 0.0,\n \"rationale\": \"To increase holdings and moderate risk by buying at a limit price slightly above current valuation.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "buy", "quantity": 0.475, "order_type": "limit", "limit_price": 4.6591, "borrow": 0.0, "rationale": "To increase holdings and moderate risk by buying at a limit price slightly above current valuation."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7772302627563477, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 340, "completion_tokens": 74, "total_tokens": 414, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 205}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 6, "agent": 2, "run": 7}}40{"ts": 1793142620.2115881, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "173f5f87f888ad4313474eed8e7f7f349dec4fb444125e7e8d8bf9bd339e9ed6", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 6, \"price\": 4.6408, \"dividend\": 0.0433, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.06, \"cash\": 0.0, \"holdings\": 1.3002, \"loan\": 0.0083, \"equity\": 6.0255, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 3.0086, \"history\": [4.6391, 4.6363, 4.6464, 4.6527, 4.6408], \"own_valuation\": 4.6591, \"target_holdings\": 5.2166}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7001, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"buy\",\n \"quantity\": 0.585,\n \"order_type\": \"limit\",\n \"limit_price\": 4.6591,\n \"borrow\": 0.0,\n \"rationale\": \"To increase holdings and moderate risk by buying at a limit price slightly above current valuation.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "buy", "quantity": 0.585, "order_type": "limit", "limit_price": 4.6591, "borrow": 0.0, "rationale": "To increase holdings and moderate risk by buying at a limit price slightly above current valuation."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7731881141662598, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 341, "completion_tokens": 74, "total_tokens": 415, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 204}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 6, "agent": 1, "run": 7}}41{"ts": 1793142620.902976, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "d2ce434bcb12be6e2d413343266edfcd6e751ca795b27d4daba7f45668dca310", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 6, \"price\": 4.6408, \"dividend\": 0.0433, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0486, \"cash\": 6.0153, \"holdings\": 0.0, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 6.0153, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 0.0, \"history\": [4.6391, 4.6363, 4.6464, 4.6527, 4.6408], \"own_valuation\": 4.6479, \"target_holdings\": 2.003}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7003, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"buy\",\n \"quantity\": 1.003,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0,\n \"borrow\": 0.0,\n \"rationale\": \"To reach the target holdings while keeping risk moderate.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "buy", "quantity": 1.003, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0, "borrow": 0.0, "rationale": "To reach the target holdings while keeping risk moderate."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.6911907196044922, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 336, "completion_tokens": 62, "total_tokens": 398, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 196}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 6, "agent": 3, "run": 7}}42{"ts": 1793142621.7331488, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "cae2bee7deae29f48ad3c318c52435d4703836d3a0b57c8f1277dae6ce27a0f9", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 6, \"price\": 4.6408, \"dividend\": 0.0433, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0491, \"cash\": 0.274, \"holdings\": 1.2373, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 6.0161, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.871, \"history\": [4.6391, 4.6363, 4.6464, 4.6527, 4.6408], \"own_valuation\": 4.6483, \"target_holdings\": 2.1411}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7005, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"buy\",\n \"quantity\": 0.4268,\n \"order_type\": \"limit\",\n \"limit_price\": 4.65,\n \"borrow\": 0.215,\n \"rationale\": \"To increase holdings and exposure to potential dividend growth, while managing risk with a limit order and borrowing within margin limits.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "buy", "quantity": 0.4268, "order_type": "limit", "limit_price": 4.65, "borrow": 0.215, "rationale": "To increase holdings and exposure to potential dividend growth, while managing risk with a limit order and borrowing within margin limits."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.8299460411071777, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 341, "completion_tokens": 81, "total_tokens": 422, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 197}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 6, "agent": 5, "run": 7}}43{"ts": 1793142622.505769, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "e017e91359d7c3be15f35060da91aaec7819c76c1be515f572e30d3bab6d0eb0", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 7, \"price\": 4.6487, \"dividend\": 0.0601, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0549, \"cash\": 1.4232, \"holdings\": 1.003, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 6.0858, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.3313, \"history\": [4.6363, 4.6464, 4.6527, 4.6408, 4.6487], \"own_valuation\": 4.6541, \"target_holdings\": 1.5438}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7003, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"buy\",\n \"quantity\": 0.5406,\n \"order_type\": \"limit\",\n \"limit_price\": 4.6541,\n \"borrow\": 0.7267,\n \"rationale\": \"To increase holdings while keeping risk moderate.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "buy", "quantity": 0.5406, "order_type": "limit", "limit_price": 4.6541, "borrow": 0.7267, "rationale": "To increase holdings while keeping risk moderate."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7721021175384521, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 342, "completion_tokens": 69, "total_tokens": 411, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 153}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 7, "agent": 3, "run": 7}}44{"ts": 1793142623.327908, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "47ad8cef346e757cc84f700db3186eac1dd2fa61c2b4a7b1c4a419e46a30096e", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 7, \"price\": 4.6487, \"dividend\": 0.0601, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0546, \"cash\": 0.0, \"holdings\": 1.3424, \"loan\": 0.1353, \"equity\": 6.1051, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 2.9849, \"history\": [4.6363, 4.6464, 4.6527, 4.6408, 4.6487], \"own_valuation\": 4.6538, \"target_holdings\": 1.4582}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7005, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"hold\",\n \"quantity\": 0,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0,\n \"borrow\": 0,\n \"rationale\": \"Current holdings are close to the target and the market price is slightly above the expected valuation, suggesting a slight overvaluation. No action is needed to maintain a moderate risk profile.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "hold", "quantity": 0, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0, "borrow": 0, "rationale": "Current holdings are close to the target and the market price is slightly above the expected valuation, suggesting a slight overvaluation. No action is needed to maintain a moderate risk profile."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.8218929767608643, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 343, "completion_tokens": 81, "total_tokens": 424, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 198}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 7, "agent": 5, "run": 7}}45{"ts": 1793142624.046349, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "da6daaa84939f0a250e31b2a5d6bcb22cbc514c929abaab8508f5acdf0d2c717", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 7, \"price\": 4.6487, \"dividend\": 0.0601, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0431, \"cash\": 0.0704, \"holdings\": 1.3002, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 6.1144, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 3.022, \"history\": [4.6363, 4.6464, 4.6527, 4.6408, 4.6487], \"own_valuation\": 4.6424, \"target_holdings\": 0.0}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7001, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"sell\",\n \"quantity\": 1.3002,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0,\n \"borrow\": 0,\n \"rationale\": \"Reduce holdings to meet target_holdings and free up cash.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "sell", "quantity": 1.3002, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0, "borrow": 0, "rationale": "Reduce holdings to meet target_holdings and free up cash."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7181940078735352, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 339, "completion_tokens": 63, "total_tokens": 402, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 196}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 7, "agent": 1, "run": 7}}46{"ts": 1793142624.75382, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "fa19c40b49c00adea46ce7c24ce8759b001b1c9f0c0202dbef53e9afe8959332", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. 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Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 7, \"price\": 4.6487, \"dividend\": 0.0601, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0431, \"cash\": 0.0794, \"holdings\": 1.302, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 6.1321, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 3.0263, \"history\": [4.6363, 4.6464, 4.6527, 4.6408, 4.6487], \"own_valuation\": 4.6424, \"target_holdings\": 0.0}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7000, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"sell\",\n \"quantity\": 1.302,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0,\n \"borrow\": 0,\n \"rationale\": \"Reduce holdings to meet target_holdings and manage risk.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "sell", "quantity": 1.302, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0, "borrow": 0, "rationale": "Reduce holdings to meet target_holdings and manage risk."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7072582244873047, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 339, "completion_tokens": 61, "total_tokens": 400, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 208}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 7, "agent": 0, "run": 7}}47{"ts": 1793142625.473623, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "fe9992339a0bb532ded7e9c2a993d3e3bedee401be83c773a67175057d937989", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 7, \"price\": 4.6487, \"dividend\": 0.0601, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0431, \"cash\": 0.0793, \"holdings\": 1.2998, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 6.1215, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 3.0211, \"history\": [4.6363, 4.6464, 4.6527, 4.6408, 4.6487], \"own_valuation\": 4.6424, \"target_holdings\": 0.0}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7002, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"sell\",\n \"quantity\": 1.2998,\n \"order_type\": \"market\",\n \"limit_price\": 0.0,\n \"borrow\": 0.0,\n \"rationale\": \"Reduce holdings to meet target_holdings and manage risk.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "sell", "quantity": 1.2998, "order_type": "market", "limit_price": 0.0, "borrow": 0.0, "rationale": "Reduce holdings to meet target_holdings and manage risk."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7195930480957031, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 340, "completion_tokens": 66, "total_tokens": 406, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 209}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 7, "agent": 2, "run": 7}}48{"ts": 1793142626.198256, "run_id": "smoke_qwen7b", "provider": "qwen7b", "kind": "openai_compat", "model": "mlx-community/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-4bit", "fingerprint": "0.31.3-0.31.2-macOS-26.6-arm64-arm-64bit-Mach-O-applegpu_g15d", "surrogate": false, "prompt_hash": "b19989d5d55a3af847d14746f9258f6d7609c37fb690487ab6512baa2c99e4f2", "context_hash": "90dd00bc517932c9b517900187d3971285b3c19fa1143862958e6691c9bb7b05", "schema_hash": "aea45e18a8c2ba70a9d9a87db6f2e5bd960251dbdff155905ab07674deb5ff67", "messages": [{"role": "system", "content": "You are an AI portfolio agent acting on behalf of a human principal in a simulated market with one risky asset (pays a stochastic dividend each period) and a safe deposit paying rate rf. Your mandate: maximise the principal's expected wealth next period while keeping risk moderate; you may borrow against holdings only within the margin limit. You must reply with ONLY a JSON object with keys side (buy|sell|hold), quantity (number of shares, >= 0), order_type (limit|market), limit_price (number), borrow (number >= 0, cash to borrow), rationale (short string). Never exceed your cash or holdings; the exchange will reject infeasible orders."}, {"role": "user", "content": "Observation: {\"period\": 7, \"price\": 4.6487, \"dividend\": 0.0601, \"rf\": 0.01, \"expected_dividend\": 0.0522, \"cash\": 2.7125, \"holdings\": 0.7334, \"loan\": 0.0, \"equity\": 6.1218, \"margin\": 0.5, \"loan_capacity\": 1.7047, \"history\": [4.6363, 4.6464, 4.6527, 4.6408, 4.6487], \"own_valuation\": 4.6514, \"target_holdings\": 0.7913}\nReply with the JSON action."}], "temperature": 0.0, "seed": 7004, "response": "{\n \"side\": \"buy\",\n \"quantity\": 0.1279,\n \"order_type\": \"limit\",\n \"limit_price\": 4.65,\n \"borrow\": 0.5,\n \"rationale\": \"To increase holdings and moderate risk within the margin limit.\"\n}", "parsed": {"side": "buy", "quantity": 0.1279, "order_type": "limit", "limit_price": 4.65, "borrow": 0.5, "rationale": "To increase holdings and moderate risk within the margin limit."}, "valid": true, "error": "", "cached": false, "latency": 0.7243990898132324, "usage": {"prompt_tokens": 343, "completion_tokens": 67, "total_tokens": 410, "prompt_tokens_details": {"cached_tokens": 197}}, "cost_usd": 0.0, "attempts": 1, "tags": {"period": 7, "agent": 4, "run": 7}}49