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1% ============================================================================2% Figure: Main Result3% ============================================================================4\begin{figure}[htbp]5  \centering6  % --- Replace placeholder with actual figure file ---7  % \includegraphics[width=0.85\textwidth]{figures/main_result.pdf}8  %9  % Placeholder box (remove when replacing with actual figure)10  \fbox{\parbox{0.85\textwidth}{\centering\vspace{4cm}11    \textit{[Insert figure here: figures/main\_result.pdf]}12  \vspace{4cm}}}13  %14  \caption{Main Result --- Effect of $X$ on $Y$ Over Time}15  \label{fig:main_result}16  \begin{minipage}{0.85\textwidth}17    \vspace{0.3cm}18    \footnotesize\textit{Notes:} This figure plots \ldots{} over the sample period January~1990 to December~2023. The solid line represents \ldots{} The shaded area indicates the 95\% confidence interval. The dashed vertical line marks \ldots{}19  \end{minipage}20\end{figure}21
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