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spb/wp29_uqo

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1{2  "task_id": "F6-dev-01",3  "analysis_year": 2023,4  "n_excluded_missing": 20,5  "baseline_metric": 7.07645404460588,6  "model_metric": 3.5949979094078177,7  "pearson_r": 0.8613437957840087,8  "r_squared": 0.7419131345356038,9  "effect_estimate": 5.267173451958655,10  "intercept": 22.56709274982858,11  "effect_se": 0.21067528691162227,12  "effect_ci_low": 4.854257477179233,13  "effect_ci_high": 5.6800894267380775,14  "conclusion": "positive_effect",15  "feasibility": "complete",16  "feasibility_reason": null,17  "data_issues": [18    {19      "issue": "wb_indicators.csv mixes countries/economies with 44 regional/income/other aggregates (region == 'Aggregates').",20      "handling": "All aggregate entities excluded before any computation, per TASK rules."21    },22    {23      "issue": "Some entity names carry trailing whitespace in wb_entities.csv (e.g. 'Latin America & Caribbean ', 'Sub-Saharan Africa ').",24      "handling": "Strings stripped; join is on iso3 so no effect on the analysis."25    },26    {27      "issue": "ISO3 code 'NAM' (Namibia) would be read as missing by pandas' default NA parsing.",28      "handling": "CSV read with keep_default_na=False and only empty strings treated as missing."29    },30    {31      "issue": "In 2023, 20 countries/economies lack an indicator (GDP pc PPP missing for: ASM, CHI, CUB, ERI, GIB, GUM, IMN, LIE, MAF, MCO, MNP, NCL, PRK, PYF, SSD, SYR, VEN, VGB, VIR, YEM; LE missing for 0). Missingness is non-random (small territories, conflict/sanctioned economies such as SSD, SYR, YEM, VEN, PRK, CUB, ERI).",32      "handling": "Listwise exclusion, no imputation, counted in n_excluded_missing; discussed as a selection threat."33    },34    {35      "issue": "Very large year-to-year swings in life expectancy for CAF, SSD (e.g. CAF 18.8 years in 2022 vs 57.4 in 2023; SSD 35-40 in 2015-2017), reflecting crisis-mortality estimates/revisions.",36      "handling": "Only 2023 values enter the estimate; CAF 2023 value kept (plausible); a sensitivity excluding CAF is reported in the report."37    }38  ],39  "n_input_rows": {40    "wb_indicators.csv": 2349,41    "wb_entities.csv": 29642  },43  "n_analysed": 197,44  "random_seed": 045}
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