1origin_date,target_date,horizon,forecast,actual,model22015-10-01,2016-01-01,1,0.212823,1.049043,snaive32015-10-01,2016-01-01,1,1.834183,1.049043,ar_seas_aic42015-10-01,2016-04-01,2,4.548509,4.583383,snaive52015-10-01,2016-04-01,2,4.115760,4.583383,ar_seas_aic62015-10-01,2016-10-01,4,-0.944263,-0.310680,snaive72015-10-01,2016-10-01,4,0.012594,-0.310680,ar_seas_aic82016-01-01,2016-04-01,1,4.548509,4.583383,snaive92016-01-01,2016-04-01,1,4.012050,4.583383,ar_seas_aic102016-01-01,2016-07-01,2,1.469818,0.207093,snaive112016-01-01,2016-07-01,2,1.696369,0.207093,ar_seas_aic122016-01-01,2017-01-01,4,1.049043,3.095991,snaive132016-01-01,2017-01-01,4,1.869946,3.095991,ar_seas_aic142016-04-01,2016-07-01,1,1.469818,0.207093,snaive152016-04-01,2016-07-01,1,1.772584,0.207093,ar_seas_aic162016-04-01,2016-10-01,2,-0.944263,-0.310680,snaive172016-04-01,2016-10-01,2,-0.072064,-0.310680,ar_seas_aic182016-04-01,2017-04-01,4,4.583383,2.255260,snaive192016-04-01,2017-04-01,4,3.925225,2.255260,ar_seas_aic202016-07-01,2016-10-01,1,-0.944263,-0.310680,snaive212016-07-01,2016-10-01,1,-0.265679,-0.310680,ar_seas_aic222016-07-01,2017-01-01,2,1.049043,3.095991,snaive232016-07-01,2017-01-01,2,2.196338,3.095991,ar_seas_aic242016-07-01,2017-07-01,4,0.207093,0.408685,snaive252016-07-01,2017-07-01,4,1.336042,0.408685,ar_seas_aic262016-10-01,2017-01-01,1,1.049043,3.095991,snaive272016-10-01,2017-01-01,1,2.190790,3.095991,ar_seas_aic282016-10-01,2017-04-01,2,4.583383,2.255260,snaive292016-10-01,2017-04-01,2,4.028672,2.255260,ar_seas_aic302016-10-01,2017-10-01,4,-0.310680,1.325348,snaive312016-10-01,2017-10-01,4,0.010704,1.325348,ar_seas_aic322017-01-01,2017-04-01,1,4.583383,2.255260,snaive332017-01-01,2017-04-01,1,4.142939,2.255260,ar_seas_aic342017-01-01,2017-07-01,2,0.207093,0.408685,snaive352017-01-01,2017-07-01,2,1.125329,0.408685,ar_seas_aic362017-01-01,2018-01-01,4,3.095991,4.151411,snaive372017-01-01,2018-01-01,4,2.040250,4.151411,ar_seas_aic382017-04-01,2017-07-01,1,0.207093,0.408685,snaive392017-04-01,2017-07-01,1,0.908078,0.408685,ar_seas_aic402017-04-01,2017-10-01,2,-0.310680,1.325348,snaive412017-04-01,2017-10-01,2,0.398206,1.325348,ar_seas_aic422017-04-01,2018-04-01,4,2.255260,3.210451,snaive432017-04-01,2018-04-01,4,3.761059,3.210451,ar_seas_aic442017-07-01,2017-10-01,1,-0.310680,1.325348,snaive452017-07-01,2017-10-01,1,0.341060,1.325348,ar_seas_aic462017-07-01,2018-01-01,2,3.095991,4.151411,snaive472017-07-01,2018-01-01,2,2.265210,4.151411,ar_seas_aic482017-07-01,2018-07-01,4,0.408685,1.894085,snaive492017-07-01,2018-07-01,4,1.267738,1.894085,ar_seas_aic502017-10-01,2018-01-01,1,3.095991,4.151411,snaive512017-10-01,2018-01-01,1,2.384473,4.151411,ar_seas_aic522017-10-01,2018-04-01,2,2.255260,3.210451,snaive532017-10-01,2018-04-01,2,3.549901,3.210451,ar_seas_aic542017-10-01,2018-10-01,4,1.325348,-1.195220,snaive552017-10-01,2018-10-01,4,0.158558,-1.195220,ar_seas_aic562018-01-01,2018-04-01,1,2.255260,3.210451,snaive572018-01-01,2018-04-01,1,3.766296,3.210451,ar_seas_aic582018-01-01,2018-07-01,2,0.408685,1.894085,snaive592018-01-01,2018-07-01,2,0.767143,1.894085,ar_seas_aic602018-01-01,2019-01-01,4,4.151411,2.486024,snaive612018-01-01,2019-01-01,4,2.224319,2.486024,ar_seas_aic622018-04-01,2018-07-01,1,0.408685,1.894085,snaive632018-04-01,2018-07-01,1,0.695160,1.894085,ar_seas_aic642018-04-01,2018-10-01,2,1.325348,-1.195220,snaive652018-04-01,2018-10-01,2,0.187756,-1.195220,ar_seas_aic662018-04-01,2019-04-01,4,3.210451,5.317656,snaive672018-04-01,2019-04-01,4,3.801870,5.317656,ar_seas_aic682018-07-01,2018-10-01,1,1.325348,-1.195220,snaive692018-07-01,2018-10-01,1,0.325445,-1.195220,ar_seas_aic702018-07-01,2019-01-01,2,4.151411,2.486024,snaive712018-07-01,2019-01-01,2,1.966773,2.486024,ar_seas_aic722018-07-01,2019-07-01,4,1.894085,1.074613,snaive732018-07-01,2019-07-01,4,1.386704,1.074613,ar_seas_aic742018-10-01,2019-01-01,1,4.151411,2.486024,snaive752018-10-01,2019-01-01,1,1.794387,2.486024,ar_seas_aic762018-10-01,2019-04-01,2,3.210451,5.317656,snaive772018-10-01,2019-04-01,2,4.095038,5.317656,ar_seas_aic782018-10-01,2019-10-01,4,-1.195220,-0.585795,snaive792018-10-01,2019-10-01,4,-0.012029,-0.585795,ar_seas_aic802019-01-01,2019-04-01,1,3.210451,5.317656,snaive812019-01-01,2019-04-01,1,4.170370,5.317656,ar_seas_aic822019-01-01,2019-07-01,2,1.894085,1.074613,snaive832019-01-01,2019-07-01,2,1.305820,1.074613,ar_seas_aic842019-01-01,2020-01-01,4,2.486024,1.365522,snaive852019-01-01,2020-01-01,4,2.101913,1.365522,ar_seas_aic862019-04-01,2019-07-01,1,1.894085,1.074613,snaive872019-04-01,2019-07-01,1,1.433978,1.074613,ar_seas_aic882019-04-01,2019-10-01,2,-1.195220,-0.585795,snaive892019-04-01,2019-10-01,2,-0.328820,-0.585795,ar_seas_aic902019-04-01,2020-04-01,4,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive912019-04-01,2020-04-01,4,3.954805,-1.756529,ar_seas_aic922019-07-01,2019-10-01,1,-1.195220,-0.585795,snaive932019-07-01,2019-10-01,1,-0.369429,-0.585795,ar_seas_aic942019-07-01,2020-01-01,2,2.486024,1.365522,snaive952019-07-01,2020-01-01,2,2.125438,1.365522,ar_seas_aic962019-07-01,2020-07-01,4,1.074613,2.048535,snaive972019-07-01,2020-07-01,4,1.358926,2.048535,ar_seas_aic982019-10-01,2020-01-01,1,2.486024,1.365522,snaive992019-10-01,2020-01-01,1,2.101538,1.365522,ar_seas_aic1002019-10-01,2020-04-01,2,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive1012019-10-01,2020-04-01,2,4.028438,-1.756529,ar_seas_aic1022019-10-01,2020-10-01,4,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive1032019-10-01,2020-10-01,4,-0.016798,1.456843,ar_seas_aic1042020-01-01,2020-04-01,1,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive1052020-01-01,2020-04-01,1,3.944922,-1.756529,ar_seas_aic1062020-01-01,2020-07-01,2,1.074613,2.048535,snaive1072020-01-01,2020-07-01,2,1.549911,2.048535,ar_seas_aic1082020-01-01,2021-01-01,4,1.365522,3.955175,snaive1092020-01-01,2021-01-01,4,2.018491,3.955175,ar_seas_aic1102020-04-01,2020-07-01,1,1.074613,2.048535,snaive1112020-04-01,2020-07-01,1,0.818036,2.048535,ar_seas_aic1122020-04-01,2020-10-01,2,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive1132020-04-01,2020-10-01,2,1.326200,1.456843,ar_seas_aic1142020-04-01,2021-04-01,4,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive1152020-04-01,2021-04-01,4,3.360516,5.718468,ar_seas_aic1162020-07-01,2020-10-01,1,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive1172020-07-01,2020-10-01,1,1.471588,1.456843,ar_seas_aic1182020-07-01,2021-01-01,2,1.365522,3.955175,snaive1192020-07-01,2021-01-01,2,2.050564,3.955175,ar_seas_aic1202020-07-01,2021-07-01,4,2.048535,4.797236,snaive1212020-07-01,2021-07-01,4,1.348562,4.797236,ar_seas_aic1222020-10-01,2021-01-01,1,1.365522,3.955175,snaive1232020-10-01,2021-01-01,1,2.049133,3.955175,ar_seas_aic1242020-10-01,2021-04-01,2,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive1252020-10-01,2021-04-01,2,3.288245,5.718468,ar_seas_aic1262020-10-01,2021-10-01,4,1.456843,4.000499,snaive1272020-10-01,2021-10-01,4,0.163270,4.000499,ar_seas_aic1282021-01-01,2021-04-01,1,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive1292021-01-01,2021-04-01,1,3.509049,5.718468,ar_seas_aic1302021-01-01,2021-07-01,2,2.048535,4.797236,snaive1312021-01-01,2021-07-01,2,0.912460,4.797236,ar_seas_aic1322021-01-01,2022-01-01,4,3.955175,8.155133,snaive1332021-01-01,2022-01-01,4,2.251863,8.155133,ar_seas_aic1342021-04-01,2021-07-01,1,2.048535,4.797236,snaive1352021-04-01,2021-07-01,1,1.204958,4.797236,ar_seas_aic1362021-04-01,2021-10-01,2,1.456843,4.000499,snaive1372021-04-01,2021-10-01,2,-0.422446,4.000499,ar_seas_aic1382021-04-01,2022-04-01,4,5.718468,12.149214,snaive1392021-04-01,2022-04-01,4,3.833740,12.149214,ar_seas_aic1402021-07-01,2021-10-01,1,1.456843,4.000499,snaive1412021-07-01,2021-10-01,1,0.141853,4.000499,ar_seas_aic1422021-07-01,2022-01-01,2,3.955175,8.155133,snaive1432021-07-01,2022-01-01,2,1.424750,8.155133,ar_seas_aic1442021-07-01,2022-07-01,4,4.797236,3.329702,snaive1452021-07-01,2022-07-01,4,1.647516,3.329702,ar_seas_aic1462021-10-01,2022-01-01,1,3.955175,8.155133,snaive1472021-10-01,2022-01-01,1,2.209095,8.155133,ar_seas_aic1482021-10-01,2022-04-01,2,5.718468,12.149214,snaive1492021-10-01,2022-04-01,2,2.978970,12.149214,ar_seas_aic1502021-10-01,2022-10-01,4,4.000499,2.175574,snaive1512021-10-01,2022-10-01,4,0.343608,2.175574,ar_seas_aic1522022-01-01,2022-04-01,1,5.718468,12.149214,snaive1532022-01-01,2022-04-01,1,5.058240,12.149214,ar_seas_aic1542022-01-01,2022-07-01,2,4.797236,3.329702,snaive1552022-01-01,2022-07-01,2,1.785598,3.329702,ar_seas_aic1562022-01-01,2023-01-01,4,8.155133,2.422677,snaive1572022-01-01,2023-01-01,4,2.385142,2.422677,ar_seas_aic1582022-04-01,2022-07-01,1,4.797236,3.329702,snaive1592022-04-01,2022-07-01,1,4.303565,3.329702,ar_seas_aic1602022-04-01,2022-10-01,2,4.000499,2.175574,snaive1612022-04-01,2022-10-01,2,1.168519,2.175574,ar_seas_aic1622022-04-01,2023-04-01,4,12.149214,5.908274,snaive1632022-04-01,2023-04-01,4,4.137492,5.908274,ar_seas_aic1642022-07-01,2022-10-01,1,4.000499,2.175574,snaive1652022-07-01,2022-10-01,1,0.809970,2.175574,ar_seas_aic1662022-07-01,2023-01-01,2,8.155133,2.422677,snaive1672022-07-01,2023-01-01,2,2.554184,2.422677,ar_seas_aic1682022-07-01,2023-07-01,4,3.329702,3.975083,snaive1692022-07-01,2023-07-01,4,1.577017,3.975083,ar_seas_aic1702022-10-01,2023-01-01,1,8.155133,2.422677,snaive1712022-10-01,2023-01-01,1,2.996063,2.422677,ar_seas_aic1722022-10-01,2023-04-01,2,12.149214,5.908274,snaive1732022-10-01,2023-04-01,2,4.233632,5.908274,ar_seas_aic1742022-10-01,2023-10-01,4,2.175574,0.336488,snaive1752022-10-01,2023-10-01,4,0.320451,0.336488,ar_seas_aic1762023-01-01,2023-04-01,1,12.149214,5.908274,snaive1772023-01-01,2023-04-01,1,4.049319,5.908274,ar_seas_aic1782023-01-01,2023-07-01,2,3.329702,3.975083,snaive1792023-01-01,2023-07-01,2,1.564103,3.975083,ar_seas_aic1802023-01-01,2024-01-01,4,2.422677,1.007769,snaive1812023-01-01,2024-01-01,4,2.373529,1.007769,ar_seas_aic1822023-04-01,2023-07-01,1,3.329702,3.975083,snaive1832023-04-01,2023-07-01,1,2.157148,3.975083,ar_seas_aic1842023-04-01,2023-10-01,2,2.175574,0.336488,snaive1852023-04-01,2023-10-01,2,0.490554,0.336488,ar_seas_aic1862023-04-01,2024-04-01,4,5.908274,5.497796,snaive1872023-04-01,2024-04-01,4,4.119297,5.497796,ar_seas_aic1882023-07-01,2023-10-01,1,2.175574,0.336488,snaive1892023-07-01,2023-10-01,1,1.088593,0.336488,ar_seas_aic1902023-07-01,2024-01-01,2,2.422677,1.007769,snaive1912023-07-01,2024-01-01,2,2.630575,1.007769,ar_seas_aic1922023-07-01,2024-07-01,4,3.975083,1.239030,snaive1932023-07-01,2024-07-01,4,1.670616,1.239030,ar_seas_aic1942023-10-01,2024-01-01,1,2.422677,1.007769,snaive1952023-10-01,2024-01-01,1,2.384879,1.007769,ar_seas_aic1962023-10-01,2024-04-01,2,5.908274,5.497796,snaive1972023-10-01,2024-04-01,2,4.103709,5.497796,ar_seas_aic1982023-10-01,2024-10-01,4,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive1992023-10-01,2024-10-01,4,0.301670,-0.164982,ar_seas_aic2002024-01-01,2024-04-01,1,5.908274,5.497796,snaive2012024-01-01,2024-04-01,1,3.659621,5.497796,ar_seas_aic2022024-01-01,2024-07-01,2,3.975083,1.239030,snaive2032024-01-01,2024-07-01,2,1.501064,1.239030,ar_seas_aic2042024-01-01,2025-01-01,4,1.007769,2.467620,snaive2052024-01-01,2025-01-01,4,2.311266,2.467620,ar_seas_aic2062024-04-01,2024-07-01,1,3.975083,1.239030,snaive2072024-04-01,2024-07-01,1,2.086244,1.239030,ar_seas_aic2082024-04-01,2024-10-01,2,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive2092024-04-01,2024-10-01,2,0.441786,-0.164982,ar_seas_aic2102024-04-01,2025-04-01,4,5.497796,3.510585,snaive2112024-04-01,2025-04-01,4,4.162240,3.510585,ar_seas_aic2122024-07-01,2024-10-01,1,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive2132024-07-01,2024-10-01,1,0.174086,-0.164982,ar_seas_aic2142024-07-01,2025-01-01,2,1.007769,2.467620,snaive2152024-07-01,2025-01-01,2,2.285992,2.467620,ar_seas_aic2162024-07-01,2025-07-01,4,1.239030,2.026963,snaive2172024-07-01,2025-07-01,4,1.625884,2.026963,ar_seas_aic2182024-10-01,2025-01-01,1,1.007769,2.467620,snaive2192024-10-01,2025-01-01,1,2.179187,2.467620,ar_seas_aic2202024-10-01,2025-04-01,2,5.497796,3.510585,snaive2212024-10-01,2025-04-01,2,4.101868,3.510585,ar_seas_aic2222024-10-01,2025-10-01,4,-0.164982,0.888620,snaive2232024-10-01,2025-10-01,4,0.281159,0.888620,ar_seas_aic2242025-01-01,2025-04-01,1,5.497796,3.510585,snaive2252025-01-01,2025-04-01,1,4.192653,3.510585,ar_seas_aic2262025-01-01,2025-07-01,2,1.239030,2.026963,snaive2272025-01-01,2025-07-01,2,1.643862,2.026963,ar_seas_aic2282025-01-01,2026-01-01,4,2.467620,2.092560,snaive2292025-01-01,2026-01-01,4,2.332116,2.092560,ar_seas_aic2302025-04-01,2025-07-01,1,1.239030,2.026963,snaive2312025-04-01,2025-07-01,1,1.429401,2.026963,ar_seas_aic2322025-04-01,2025-10-01,2,-0.164982,0.888620,snaive2332025-04-01,2025-10-01,2,0.222715,0.888620,ar_seas_aic2342025-04-01,2026-04-01,4,3.510585,6.607773,snaive2352025-04-01,2026-04-01,4,4.120620,6.607773,ar_seas_aic2362025-07-01,2025-10-01,1,-0.164982,0.888620,snaive2372025-07-01,2025-10-01,1,0.410280,0.888620,ar_seas_aic2382025-07-01,2026-01-01,2,2.467620,2.092560,snaive2392025-07-01,2026-01-01,2,2.369787,2.092560,ar_seas_aic2402025-07-01,2026-07-01,4,2.026963,2.440232,snaive2412025-07-01,2026-07-01,4,1.646253,2.440232,ar_seas_aic242