1origin_date,target_date,horizon,forecast,actual,model22015-10-01,2016-01-01,1,0.212823,1.049043,snaive32015-10-01,2016-01-01,1,1.859489,1.049043,ar_sd_aic42015-10-01,2016-04-01,2,4.548509,4.583383,snaive52015-10-01,2016-04-01,2,4.120418,4.583383,ar_sd_aic62015-10-01,2016-10-01,4,-0.944263,-0.31068,snaive72015-10-01,2016-10-01,4,0.009914,-0.31068,ar_sd_aic82016-01-01,2016-04-01,1,4.548509,4.583383,snaive92016-01-01,2016-04-01,1,4.013076,4.583383,ar_sd_aic102016-01-01,2016-07-01,2,1.469818,0.207093,snaive112016-01-01,2016-07-01,2,1.697718,0.207093,ar_sd_aic122016-01-01,2017-01-01,4,1.049043,3.095991,snaive132016-01-01,2017-01-01,4,1.891664,3.095991,ar_sd_aic142016-04-01,2016-07-01,1,1.469818,0.207093,snaive152016-04-01,2016-07-01,1,1.773983,0.207093,ar_sd_aic162016-04-01,2016-10-01,2,-0.944263,-0.31068,snaive172016-04-01,2016-10-01,2,-0.073121,-0.31068,ar_sd_aic182016-04-01,2017-04-01,4,4.583383,2.25526,snaive192016-04-01,2017-04-01,4,3.928455,2.25526,ar_sd_aic202016-07-01,2016-10-01,1,-0.944263,-0.31068,snaive212016-07-01,2016-10-01,1,-0.267427,-0.31068,ar_sd_aic222016-07-01,2017-01-01,2,1.049043,3.095991,snaive232016-07-01,2017-01-01,2,2.219854,3.095991,ar_sd_aic242016-07-01,2017-07-01,4,0.207093,0.408685,snaive252016-07-01,2017-07-01,4,1.330437,0.408685,ar_sd_aic262016-10-01,2017-01-01,1,1.049043,3.095991,snaive272016-10-01,2017-01-01,1,2.214506,3.095991,ar_sd_aic282016-10-01,2017-04-01,2,4.583383,2.25526,snaive292016-10-01,2017-04-01,2,4.032199,2.25526,ar_sd_aic302016-10-01,2017-10-01,4,-0.31068,1.325348,snaive312016-10-01,2017-10-01,4,0.008387,1.325348,ar_sd_aic322017-01-01,2017-04-01,1,4.583383,2.25526,snaive332017-01-01,2017-04-01,1,4.143812,2.25526,ar_sd_aic342017-01-01,2017-07-01,2,0.207093,0.408685,snaive352017-01-01,2017-07-01,2,1.124101,0.408685,ar_sd_aic362017-01-01,2018-01-01,4,3.095991,4.151411,snaive372017-01-01,2018-01-01,4,2.064028,4.151411,ar_sd_aic382017-04-01,2017-07-01,1,0.207093,0.408685,snaive392017-04-01,2017-07-01,1,0.9061,0.408685,ar_sd_aic402017-04-01,2017-10-01,2,-0.31068,1.325348,snaive412017-04-01,2017-10-01,2,0.399563,1.325348,ar_sd_aic422017-04-01,2018-04-01,4,2.25526,3.210451,snaive432017-04-01,2018-04-01,4,3.763207,3.210451,ar_sd_aic442017-07-01,2017-10-01,1,-0.31068,1.325348,snaive452017-07-01,2017-10-01,1,0.342464,1.325348,ar_sd_aic462017-07-01,2018-01-01,2,3.095991,4.151411,snaive472017-07-01,2018-01-01,2,2.28994,4.151411,ar_sd_aic482017-07-01,2018-07-01,4,0.408685,1.894085,snaive492017-07-01,2018-07-01,4,1.261483,1.894085,ar_sd_aic502017-10-01,2018-01-01,1,3.095991,4.151411,snaive512017-10-01,2018-01-01,1,2.409491,4.151411,ar_sd_aic522017-10-01,2018-04-01,2,2.25526,3.210451,snaive532017-10-01,2018-04-01,2,3.551221,3.210451,ar_sd_aic542017-10-01,2018-10-01,4,1.325348,-1.19522,snaive552017-10-01,2018-10-01,4,0.159654,-1.19522,ar_sd_aic562018-01-01,2018-04-01,1,2.25526,3.210451,snaive572018-01-01,2018-04-01,1,3.764803,3.210451,ar_sd_aic582018-01-01,2018-07-01,2,0.408685,1.894085,snaive592018-01-01,2018-07-01,2,0.7639,1.894085,ar_sd_aic602018-01-01,2019-01-01,4,4.151411,2.486024,snaive612018-01-01,2019-01-01,4,2.25225,2.486024,ar_sd_aic622018-04-01,2018-07-01,1,0.408685,1.894085,snaive632018-04-01,2018-07-01,1,0.692014,1.894085,ar_sd_aic642018-04-01,2018-10-01,2,1.325348,-1.19522,snaive652018-04-01,2018-10-01,2,0.190176,-1.19522,ar_sd_aic662018-04-01,2019-04-01,4,3.210451,5.317656,snaive672018-04-01,2019-04-01,4,3.80456,5.317656,ar_sd_aic682018-07-01,2018-10-01,1,1.325348,-1.19522,snaive692018-07-01,2018-10-01,1,0.32822,-1.19522,ar_sd_aic702018-07-01,2019-01-01,2,4.151411,2.486024,snaive712018-07-01,2019-01-01,2,1.992209,2.486024,ar_sd_aic722018-07-01,2019-07-01,4,1.894085,1.074613,snaive732018-07-01,2019-07-01,4,1.380589,1.074613,ar_sd_aic742018-10-01,2019-01-01,1,4.151411,2.486024,snaive752018-10-01,2019-01-01,1,1.819095,2.486024,ar_sd_aic762018-10-01,2019-04-01,2,3.210451,5.317656,snaive772018-10-01,2019-04-01,2,4.099386,5.317656,ar_sd_aic782018-10-01,2019-10-01,4,-1.19522,-0.585795,snaive792018-10-01,2019-10-01,4,-0.015047,-0.585795,ar_sd_aic802019-01-01,2019-04-01,1,3.210451,5.317656,snaive812019-01-01,2019-04-01,1,4.172296,5.317656,ar_sd_aic822019-01-01,2019-07-01,2,1.894085,1.074613,snaive832019-01-01,2019-07-01,2,1.305644,1.074613,ar_sd_aic842019-01-01,2020-01-01,4,2.486024,1.365522,snaive852019-01-01,2020-01-01,4,2.127589,1.365522,ar_sd_aic862019-04-01,2019-07-01,1,1.894085,1.074613,snaive872019-04-01,2019-07-01,1,1.434044,1.074613,ar_sd_aic882019-04-01,2019-10-01,2,-1.19522,-0.585795,snaive892019-04-01,2019-10-01,2,-0.331702,-0.585795,ar_sd_aic902019-04-01,2020-04-01,4,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive912019-04-01,2020-04-01,4,3.95891,-1.756529,ar_sd_aic922019-07-01,2019-10-01,1,-1.19522,-0.585795,snaive932019-07-01,2019-10-01,1,-0.372408,-0.585795,ar_sd_aic942019-07-01,2020-01-01,2,2.486024,1.365522,snaive952019-07-01,2020-01-01,2,2.151297,1.365522,ar_sd_aic962019-07-01,2020-07-01,4,1.074613,2.048535,snaive972019-07-01,2020-07-01,4,1.352787,2.048535,ar_sd_aic982019-10-01,2020-01-01,1,2.486024,1.365522,snaive992019-10-01,2020-01-01,1,2.127658,1.365522,ar_sd_aic1002019-10-01,2020-04-01,2,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive1012019-10-01,2020-04-01,2,4.032203,-1.756529,ar_sd_aic1022019-10-01,2020-10-01,4,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive1032019-10-01,2020-10-01,4,-0.019778,1.456843,ar_sd_aic1042020-01-01,2020-04-01,1,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive1052020-01-01,2020-04-01,1,3.945379,-1.756529,ar_sd_aic1062020-01-01,2020-07-01,2,1.074613,2.048535,snaive1072020-01-01,2020-07-01,2,1.550912,2.048535,ar_sd_aic1082020-01-01,2021-01-01,4,1.365522,3.955175,snaive1092020-01-01,2021-01-01,4,2.041539,3.955175,ar_sd_aic1102020-04-01,2020-07-01,1,1.074613,2.048535,snaive1112020-04-01,2020-07-01,1,0.816231,2.048535,ar_sd_aic1122020-04-01,2020-10-01,2,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive1132020-04-01,2020-10-01,2,1.330588,1.456843,ar_sd_aic1142020-04-01,2021-04-01,4,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive1152020-04-01,2021-04-01,4,3.361318,5.718468,ar_sd_aic1162020-07-01,2020-10-01,1,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive1172020-07-01,2020-10-01,1,1.477449,1.456843,ar_sd_aic1182020-07-01,2021-01-01,2,1.365522,3.955175,snaive1192020-07-01,2021-01-01,2,2.074325,3.955175,ar_sd_aic1202020-07-01,2021-07-01,4,2.048535,4.797236,snaive1212020-07-01,2021-07-01,4,1.342526,4.797236,ar_sd_aic1222020-10-01,2021-01-01,1,1.365522,3.955175,snaive1232020-10-01,2021-01-01,1,2.07231,3.955175,ar_sd_aic1242020-10-01,2021-04-01,2,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive1252020-10-01,2021-04-01,2,3.289094,5.718468,ar_sd_aic1262020-10-01,2021-10-01,4,1.456843,4.000499,snaive1272020-10-01,2021-10-01,4,0.161611,4.000499,ar_sd_aic1282021-01-01,2021-04-01,1,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive1292021-01-01,2021-04-01,1,3.507841,5.718468,ar_sd_aic1302021-01-01,2021-07-01,2,2.048535,4.797236,snaive1312021-01-01,2021-07-01,2,0.909852,4.797236,ar_sd_aic1322021-01-01,2022-01-01,4,3.955175,8.155133,snaive1332021-01-01,2022-01-01,4,2.278229,8.155133,ar_sd_aic1342021-04-01,2021-07-01,1,2.048535,4.797236,snaive1352021-04-01,2021-07-01,1,1.203344,4.797236,ar_sd_aic1362021-04-01,2021-10-01,2,1.456843,4.000499,snaive1372021-04-01,2021-10-01,2,-0.427268,4.000499,ar_sd_aic1382021-04-01,2022-04-01,4,5.718468,12.149214,snaive1392021-04-01,2022-04-01,4,3.838628,12.149214,ar_sd_aic1402021-07-01,2021-10-01,1,1.456843,4.000499,snaive1412021-07-01,2021-10-01,1,0.137984,4.000499,ar_sd_aic1422021-07-01,2022-01-01,2,3.955175,8.155133,snaive1432021-07-01,2022-01-01,2,1.444811,8.155133,ar_sd_aic1442021-07-01,2022-07-01,4,4.797236,3.329702,snaive1452021-07-01,2022-07-01,4,1.644553,3.329702,ar_sd_aic1462021-10-01,2022-01-01,1,3.955175,8.155133,snaive1472021-10-01,2022-01-01,1,2.229779,8.155133,ar_sd_aic1482021-10-01,2022-04-01,2,5.718468,12.149214,snaive1492021-10-01,2022-04-01,2,2.977652,12.149214,ar_sd_aic1502021-10-01,2022-10-01,4,4.000499,2.175574,snaive1512021-10-01,2022-10-01,4,0.345388,2.175574,ar_sd_aic1522022-01-01,2022-04-01,1,5.718468,12.149214,snaive1532022-01-01,2022-04-01,1,5.052773,12.149214,ar_sd_aic1542022-01-01,2022-07-01,2,4.797236,3.329702,snaive1552022-01-01,2022-07-01,2,1.806765,3.329702,ar_sd_aic1562022-01-01,2023-01-01,4,8.155133,2.422677,snaive1572022-01-01,2023-01-01,4,2.411761,2.422677,ar_sd_aic1582022-04-01,2022-07-01,1,4.797236,3.329702,snaive1592022-04-01,2022-07-01,1,4.320146,3.329702,ar_sd_aic1602022-04-01,2022-10-01,2,4.000499,2.175574,snaive1612022-04-01,2022-10-01,2,1.166025,2.175574,ar_sd_aic1622022-04-01,2023-04-01,4,12.149214,5.908274,snaive1632022-04-01,2023-04-01,4,4.145549,5.908274,ar_sd_aic1642022-07-01,2022-10-01,1,4.000499,2.175574,snaive1652022-07-01,2022-10-01,1,0.802489,2.175574,ar_sd_aic1662022-07-01,2023-01-01,2,8.155133,2.422677,snaive1672022-07-01,2023-01-01,2,2.577478,2.422677,ar_sd_aic1682022-07-01,2023-07-01,4,3.329702,3.975083,snaive1692022-07-01,2023-07-01,4,1.599162,3.975083,ar_sd_aic1702022-10-01,2023-01-01,1,8.155133,2.422677,snaive1712022-10-01,2023-01-01,1,3.020414,2.422677,ar_sd_aic1722022-10-01,2023-04-01,2,12.149214,5.908274,snaive1732022-10-01,2023-04-01,2,4.240857,5.908274,ar_sd_aic1742022-10-01,2023-10-01,4,2.175574,0.336488,snaive1752022-10-01,2023-10-01,4,0.323399,0.336488,ar_sd_aic1762023-01-01,2023-04-01,1,12.149214,5.908274,snaive1772023-01-01,2023-04-01,1,4.049265,5.908274,ar_sd_aic1782023-01-01,2023-07-01,2,3.329702,3.975083,snaive1792023-01-01,2023-07-01,2,1.583915,3.975083,ar_sd_aic1802023-01-01,2024-01-01,4,2.422677,1.007769,snaive1812023-01-01,2024-01-01,4,2.398704,1.007769,ar_sd_aic1822023-04-01,2023-07-01,1,3.329702,3.975083,snaive1832023-04-01,2023-07-01,1,2.175071,3.975083,ar_sd_aic1842023-04-01,2023-10-01,2,2.175574,0.336488,snaive1852023-04-01,2023-10-01,2,0.4917,0.336488,ar_sd_aic1862023-04-01,2024-04-01,4,5.908274,5.497796,snaive1872023-04-01,2024-04-01,4,4.127055,5.497796,ar_sd_aic1882023-07-01,2023-10-01,1,2.175574,0.336488,snaive1892023-07-01,2023-10-01,1,1.081548,0.336488,ar_sd_aic1902023-07-01,2024-01-01,2,2.422677,1.007769,snaive1912023-07-01,2024-01-01,2,2.651728,1.007769,ar_sd_aic1922023-07-01,2024-07-01,4,3.975083,1.23903,snaive1932023-07-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