1origin_date,target_date,horizon,forecast,actual,model22015-10-01,2016-01-01,1,1.834183,1.049043,ar_seas_aic32016-01-01,2016-04-01,1,4.012050,4.583383,ar_seas_aic42016-04-01,2016-07-01,1,1.772584,0.207093,ar_seas_aic52016-07-01,2016-10-01,1,-0.265679,-0.310680,ar_seas_aic62016-10-01,2017-01-01,1,2.190790,3.095991,ar_seas_aic72017-01-01,2017-04-01,1,4.142939,2.255260,ar_seas_aic82017-04-01,2017-07-01,1,0.908078,0.408685,ar_seas_aic92017-07-01,2017-10-01,1,0.341060,1.325348,ar_seas_aic102017-10-01,2018-01-01,1,2.384473,4.151411,ar_seas_aic112018-01-01,2018-04-01,1,3.766296,3.210451,ar_seas_aic122018-04-01,2018-07-01,1,0.695160,1.894085,ar_seas_aic132018-07-01,2018-10-01,1,0.325445,-1.195220,ar_seas_aic142018-10-01,2019-01-01,1,1.794387,2.486024,ar_seas_aic152019-01-01,2019-04-01,1,4.170370,5.317656,ar_seas_aic162019-04-01,2019-07-01,1,1.433978,1.074613,ar_seas_aic172019-07-01,2019-10-01,1,-0.369429,-0.585795,ar_seas_aic182019-10-01,2020-01-01,1,2.101538,1.365522,ar_seas_aic192020-01-01,2020-04-01,1,3.944922,-1.756529,ar_seas_aic202020-04-01,2020-07-01,1,0.818036,2.048535,ar_seas_aic212020-07-01,2020-10-01,1,1.471588,1.456843,ar_seas_aic222020-10-01,2021-01-01,1,2.049133,3.955175,ar_seas_aic232021-01-01,2021-04-01,1,3.509049,5.718468,ar_seas_aic242021-04-01,2021-07-01,1,1.204958,4.797236,ar_seas_aic252021-07-01,2021-10-01,1,0.141853,4.000499,ar_seas_aic262021-10-01,2022-01-01,1,2.209095,8.155133,ar_seas_aic272022-01-01,2022-04-01,1,5.058240,12.149214,ar_seas_aic282022-04-01,2022-07-01,1,4.303565,3.329702,ar_seas_aic292022-07-01,2022-10-01,1,0.809970,2.175574,ar_seas_aic302022-10-01,2023-01-01,1,2.996063,2.422677,ar_seas_aic312023-01-01,2023-04-01,1,4.049319,5.908274,ar_seas_aic322023-04-01,2023-07-01,1,2.157148,3.975083,ar_seas_aic332023-07-01,2023-10-01,1,1.088593,0.336488,ar_seas_aic342023-10-01,2024-01-01,1,2.384879,1.007769,ar_seas_aic352024-01-01,2024-04-01,1,3.659621,5.497796,ar_seas_aic362024-04-01,2024-07-01,1,2.086244,1.239030,ar_seas_aic372024-07-01,2024-10-01,1,0.174086,-0.164982,ar_seas_aic382024-10-01,2025-01-01,1,2.179187,2.467620,ar_seas_aic392025-01-01,2025-04-01,1,4.192653,3.510585,ar_seas_aic402025-04-01,2025-07-01,1,1.429401,2.026963,ar_seas_aic412025-07-01,2025-10-01,1,0.410280,0.888620,ar_seas_aic422015-10-01,2016-04-01,2,4.115760,4.583383,ar_seas_aic432016-01-01,2016-07-01,2,1.696369,0.207093,ar_seas_aic442016-04-01,2016-10-01,2,-0.072064,-0.310680,ar_seas_aic452016-07-01,2017-01-01,2,2.196338,3.095991,ar_seas_aic462016-10-01,2017-04-01,2,4.028672,2.255260,ar_seas_aic472017-01-01,2017-07-01,2,1.125329,0.408685,ar_seas_aic482017-04-01,2017-10-01,2,0.398206,1.325348,ar_seas_aic492017-07-01,2018-01-01,2,2.265210,4.151411,ar_seas_aic502017-10-01,2018-04-01,2,3.549901,3.210451,ar_seas_aic512018-01-01,2018-07-01,2,0.767143,1.894085,ar_seas_aic522018-04-01,2018-10-01,2,0.187756,-1.195220,ar_seas_aic532018-07-01,2019-01-01,2,1.966773,2.486024,ar_seas_aic542018-10-01,2019-04-01,2,4.095038,5.317656,ar_seas_aic552019-01-01,2019-07-01,2,1.305820,1.074613,ar_seas_aic562019-04-01,2019-10-01,2,-0.328820,-0.585795,ar_seas_aic572019-07-01,2020-01-01,2,2.125438,1.365522,ar_seas_aic582019-10-01,2020-04-01,2,4.028438,-1.756529,ar_seas_aic592020-01-01,2020-07-01,2,1.549911,2.048535,ar_seas_aic602020-04-01,2020-10-01,2,1.326200,1.456843,ar_seas_aic612020-07-01,2021-01-01,2,2.050564,3.955175,ar_seas_aic622020-10-01,2021-04-01,2,3.288245,5.718468,ar_seas_aic632021-01-01,2021-07-01,2,0.912460,4.797236,ar_seas_aic642021-04-01,2021-10-01,2,-0.422446,4.000499,ar_seas_aic652021-07-01,2022-01-01,2,1.424750,8.155133,ar_seas_aic662021-10-01,2022-04-01,2,2.978970,12.149214,ar_seas_aic672022-01-01,2022-07-01,2,1.785598,3.329702,ar_seas_aic682022-04-01,2022-10-01,2,1.168519,2.175574,ar_seas_aic692022-07-01,2023-01-01,2,2.554184,2.422677,ar_seas_aic702022-10-01,2023-04-01,2,4.233632,5.908274,ar_seas_aic712023-01-01,2023-07-01,2,1.564103,3.975083,ar_seas_aic722023-04-01,2023-10-01,2,0.490554,0.336488,ar_seas_aic732023-07-01,2024-01-01,2,2.630575,1.007769,ar_seas_aic742023-10-01,2024-04-01,2,4.103709,5.497796,ar_seas_aic752024-01-01,2024-07-01,2,1.501064,1.239030,ar_seas_aic762024-04-01,2024-10-01,2,0.441786,-0.164982,ar_seas_aic772024-07-01,2025-01-01,2,2.285992,2.467620,ar_seas_aic782024-10-01,2025-04-01,2,4.101868,3.510585,ar_seas_aic792025-01-01,2025-07-01,2,1.643862,2.026963,ar_seas_aic802025-04-01,2025-10-01,2,0.222715,0.888620,ar_seas_aic812025-07-01,2026-01-01,2,2.369787,2.092560,ar_seas_aic822015-10-01,2016-10-01,4,0.012594,-0.310680,ar_seas_aic832016-01-01,2017-01-01,4,1.869946,3.095991,ar_seas_aic842016-04-01,2017-04-01,4,3.925225,2.255260,ar_seas_aic852016-07-01,2017-07-01,4,1.336042,0.408685,ar_seas_aic862016-10-01,2017-10-01,4,0.010704,1.325348,ar_seas_aic872017-01-01,2018-01-01,4,2.040250,4.151411,ar_seas_aic882017-04-01,2018-04-01,4,3.761059,3.210451,ar_seas_aic892017-07-01,2018-07-01,4,1.267738,1.894085,ar_seas_aic902017-10-01,2018-10-01,4,0.158558,-1.195220,ar_seas_aic912018-01-01,2019-01-01,4,2.224319,2.486024,ar_seas_aic922018-04-01,2019-04-01,4,3.801870,5.317656,ar_seas_aic932018-07-01,2019-07-01,4,1.386704,1.074613,ar_seas_aic942018-10-01,2019-10-01,4,-0.012029,-0.585795,ar_seas_aic952019-01-01,2020-01-01,4,2.101913,1.365522,ar_seas_aic962019-04-01,2020-04-01,4,3.954805,-1.756529,ar_seas_aic972019-07-01,2020-07-01,4,1.358926,2.048535,ar_seas_aic982019-10-01,2020-10-01,4,-0.016798,1.456843,ar_seas_aic992020-01-01,2021-01-01,4,2.018491,3.955175,ar_seas_aic1002020-04-01,2021-04-01,4,3.360516,5.718468,ar_seas_aic1012020-07-01,2021-07-01,4,1.348562,4.797236,ar_seas_aic1022020-10-01,2021-10-01,4,0.163270,4.000499,ar_seas_aic1032021-01-01,2022-01-01,4,2.251863,8.155133,ar_seas_aic1042021-04-01,2022-04-01,4,3.833740,12.149214,ar_seas_aic1052021-07-01,2022-07-01,4,1.647516,3.329702,ar_seas_aic1062021-10-01,2022-10-01,4,0.343608,2.175574,ar_seas_aic1072022-01-01,2023-01-01,4,2.385142,2.422677,ar_seas_aic1082022-04-01,2023-04-01,4,4.137492,5.908274,ar_seas_aic1092022-07-01,2023-07-01,4,1.577017,3.975083,ar_seas_aic1102022-10-01,2023-10-01,4,0.320451,0.336488,ar_seas_aic1112023-01-01,2024-01-01,4,2.373529,1.007769,ar_seas_aic1122023-04-01,2024-04-01,4,4.119297,5.497796,ar_seas_aic1132023-07-01,2024-07-01,4,1.670616,1.239030,ar_seas_aic1142023-10-01,2024-10-01,4,0.301670,-0.164982,ar_seas_aic1152024-01-01,2025-01-01,4,2.311266,2.467620,ar_seas_aic1162024-04-01,2025-04-01,4,4.162240,3.510585,ar_seas_aic1172024-07-01,2025-07-01,4,1.625884,2.026963,ar_seas_aic1182024-10-01,2025-10-01,4,0.281159,0.888620,ar_seas_aic1192025-01-01,2026-01-01,4,2.332116,2.092560,ar_seas_aic1202025-04-01,2026-04-01,4,4.120620,6.607773,ar_seas_aic1212025-07-01,2026-07-01,4,1.646253,2.440232,ar_seas_aic1222015-10-01,2016-01-01,1,0.212823,1.049043,snaive1232016-01-01,2016-04-01,1,4.548509,4.583383,snaive1242016-04-01,2016-07-01,1,1.469818,0.207093,snaive1252016-07-01,2016-10-01,1,-0.944263,-0.310680,snaive1262016-10-01,2017-01-01,1,1.049043,3.095991,snaive1272017-01-01,2017-04-01,1,4.583383,2.255260,snaive1282017-04-01,2017-07-01,1,0.207093,0.408685,snaive1292017-07-01,2017-10-01,1,-0.310680,1.325348,snaive1302017-10-01,2018-01-01,1,3.095991,4.151411,snaive1312018-01-01,2018-04-01,1,2.255260,3.210451,snaive1322018-04-01,2018-07-01,1,0.408685,1.894085,snaive1332018-07-01,2018-10-01,1,1.325348,-1.195220,snaive1342018-10-01,2019-01-01,1,4.151411,2.486024,snaive1352019-01-01,2019-04-01,1,3.210451,5.317656,snaive1362019-04-01,2019-07-01,1,1.894085,1.074613,snaive1372019-07-01,2019-10-01,1,-1.195220,-0.585795,snaive1382019-10-01,2020-01-01,1,2.486024,1.365522,snaive1392020-01-01,2020-04-01,1,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive1402020-04-01,2020-07-01,1,1.074613,2.048535,snaive1412020-07-01,2020-10-01,1,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive1422020-10-01,2021-01-01,1,1.365522,3.955175,snaive1432021-01-01,2021-04-01,1,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive1442021-04-01,2021-07-01,1,2.048535,4.797236,snaive1452021-07-01,2021-10-01,1,1.456843,4.000499,snaive1462021-10-01,2022-01-01,1,3.955175,8.155133,snaive1472022-01-01,2022-04-01,1,5.718468,12.149214,snaive1482022-04-01,2022-07-01,1,4.797236,3.329702,snaive1492022-07-01,2022-10-01,1,4.000499,2.175574,snaive1502022-10-01,2023-01-01,1,8.155133,2.422677,snaive1512023-01-01,2023-04-01,1,12.149214,5.908274,snaive1522023-04-01,2023-07-01,1,3.329702,3.975083,snaive1532023-07-01,2023-10-01,1,2.175574,0.336488,snaive1542023-10-01,2024-01-01,1,2.422677,1.007769,snaive1552024-01-01,2024-04-01,1,5.908274,5.497796,snaive1562024-04-01,2024-07-01,1,3.975083,1.239030,snaive1572024-07-01,2024-10-01,1,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive1582024-10-01,2025-01-01,1,1.007769,2.467620,snaive1592025-01-01,2025-04-01,1,5.497796,3.510585,snaive1602025-04-01,2025-07-01,1,1.239030,2.026963,snaive1612025-07-01,2025-10-01,1,-0.164982,0.888620,snaive1622015-10-01,2016-04-01,2,4.548509,4.583383,snaive1632016-01-01,2016-07-01,2,1.469818,0.207093,snaive1642016-04-01,2016-10-01,2,-0.944263,-0.310680,snaive1652016-07-01,2017-01-01,2,1.049043,3.095991,snaive1662016-10-01,2017-04-01,2,4.583383,2.255260,snaive1672017-01-01,2017-07-01,2,0.207093,0.408685,snaive1682017-04-01,2017-10-01,2,-0.310680,1.325348,snaive1692017-07-01,2018-01-01,2,3.095991,4.151411,snaive1702017-10-01,2018-04-01,2,2.255260,3.210451,snaive1712018-01-01,2018-07-01,2,0.408685,1.894085,snaive1722018-04-01,2018-10-01,2,1.325348,-1.195220,snaive1732018-07-01,2019-01-01,2,4.151411,2.486024,snaive1742018-10-01,2019-04-01,2,3.210451,5.317656,snaive1752019-01-01,2019-07-01,2,1.894085,1.074613,snaive1762019-04-01,2019-10-01,2,-1.195220,-0.585795,snaive1772019-07-01,2020-01-01,2,2.486024,1.365522,snaive1782019-10-01,2020-04-01,2,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive1792020-01-01,2020-07-01,2,1.074613,2.048535,snaive1802020-04-01,2020-10-01,2,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive1812020-07-01,2021-01-01,2,1.365522,3.955175,snaive1822020-10-01,2021-04-01,2,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive1832021-01-01,2021-07-01,2,2.048535,4.797236,snaive1842021-04-01,2021-10-01,2,1.456843,4.000499,snaive1852021-07-01,2022-01-01,2,3.955175,8.155133,snaive1862021-10-01,2022-04-01,2,5.718468,12.149214,snaive1872022-01-01,2022-07-01,2,4.797236,3.329702,snaive1882022-04-01,2022-10-01,2,4.000499,2.175574,snaive1892022-07-01,2023-01-01,2,8.155133,2.422677,snaive1902022-10-01,2023-04-01,2,12.149214,5.908274,snaive1912023-01-01,2023-07-01,2,3.329702,3.975083,snaive1922023-04-01,2023-10-01,2,2.175574,0.336488,snaive1932023-07-01,2024-01-01,2,2.422677,1.007769,snaive1942023-10-01,2024-04-01,2,5.908274,5.497796,snaive1952024-01-01,2024-07-01,2,3.975083,1.239030,snaive1962024-04-01,2024-10-01,2,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive1972024-07-01,2025-01-01,2,1.007769,2.467620,snaive1982024-10-01,2025-04-01,2,5.497796,3.510585,snaive1992025-01-01,2025-07-01,2,1.239030,2.026963,snaive2002025-04-01,2025-10-01,2,-0.164982,0.888620,snaive2012025-07-01,2026-01-01,2,2.467620,2.092560,snaive2022015-10-01,2016-10-01,4,-0.944263,-0.310680,snaive2032016-01-01,2017-01-01,4,1.049043,3.095991,snaive2042016-04-01,2017-04-01,4,4.583383,2.255260,snaive2052016-07-01,2017-07-01,4,0.207093,0.408685,snaive2062016-10-01,2017-10-01,4,-0.310680,1.325348,snaive2072017-01-01,2018-01-01,4,3.095991,4.151411,snaive2082017-04-01,2018-04-01,4,2.255260,3.210451,snaive2092017-07-01,2018-07-01,4,0.408685,1.894085,snaive2102017-10-01,2018-10-01,4,1.325348,-1.195220,snaive2112018-01-01,2019-01-01,4,4.151411,2.486024,snaive2122018-04-01,2019-04-01,4,3.210451,5.317656,snaive2132018-07-01,2019-07-01,4,1.894085,1.074613,snaive2142018-10-01,2019-10-01,4,-1.195220,-0.585795,snaive2152019-01-01,2020-01-01,4,2.486024,1.365522,snaive2162019-04-01,2020-04-01,4,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive2172019-07-01,2020-07-01,4,1.074613,2.048535,snaive2182019-10-01,2020-10-01,4,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive2192020-01-01,2021-01-01,4,1.365522,3.955175,snaive2202020-04-01,2021-04-01,4,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive2212020-07-01,2021-07-01,4,2.048535,4.797236,snaive2222020-10-01,2021-10-01,4,1.456843,4.000499,snaive2232021-01-01,2022-01-01,4,3.955175,8.155133,snaive2242021-04-01,2022-04-01,4,5.718468,12.149214,snaive2252021-07-01,2022-07-01,4,4.797236,3.329702,snaive2262021-10-01,2022-10-01,4,4.000499,2.175574,snaive2272022-01-01,2023-01-01,4,8.155133,2.422677,snaive2282022-04-01,2023-04-01,4,12.149214,5.908274,snaive2292022-07-01,2023-07-01,4,3.329702,3.975083,snaive2302022-10-01,2023-10-01,4,2.175574,0.336488,snaive2312023-01-01,2024-01-01,4,2.422677,1.007769,snaive2322023-04-01,2024-04-01,4,5.908274,5.497796,snaive2332023-07-01,2024-07-01,4,3.975083,1.239030,snaive2342023-10-01,2024-10-01,4,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive2352024-01-01,2025-01-01,4,1.007769,2.467620,snaive2362024-04-01,2025-04-01,4,5.497796,3.510585,snaive2372024-07-01,2025-07-01,4,1.239030,2.026963,snaive2382024-10-01,2025-10-01,4,-0.164982,0.888620,snaive2392025-01-01,2026-01-01,4,2.467620,2.092560,snaive2402025-04-01,2026-04-01,4,3.510585,6.607773,snaive2412025-07-01,2026-07-01,4,2.026963,2.440232,snaive242