1origin_date,target_date,horizon,forecast,actual,model22015-10-01,2016-01-01,1,0.212823,1.049043,snaive32015-10-01,2016-01-01,1,2.139312,1.049043,direct_sdum_ybar442015-10-01,2016-04-01,2,4.548509,4.583383,snaive52015-10-01,2016-04-01,2,4.067662,4.583383,direct_sdum_ybar462015-10-01,2016-10-01,4,-0.944263,-0.310680,snaive72015-10-01,2016-10-01,4,-0.052155,-0.310680,direct_sdum_ybar482016-01-01,2016-04-01,1,4.548509,4.583383,snaive92016-01-01,2016-04-01,1,3.941076,4.583383,direct_sdum_ybar4102016-01-01,2016-07-01,2,1.469818,0.207093,snaive112016-01-01,2016-07-01,2,1.526433,0.207093,direct_sdum_ybar4122016-01-01,2017-01-01,4,1.049043,3.095991,snaive132016-01-01,2017-01-01,4,1.955027,3.095991,direct_sdum_ybar4142016-04-01,2016-07-01,1,1.469818,0.207093,snaive152016-04-01,2016-07-01,1,1.517041,0.207093,direct_sdum_ybar4162016-04-01,2016-10-01,2,-0.944263,-0.310680,snaive172016-04-01,2016-10-01,2,0.151462,-0.310680,direct_sdum_ybar4182016-04-01,2017-04-01,4,4.583383,2.255260,snaive192016-04-01,2017-04-01,4,3.943821,2.255260,direct_sdum_ybar4202016-07-01,2016-10-01,1,-0.944263,-0.310680,snaive212016-07-01,2016-10-01,1,0.212275,-0.310680,direct_sdum_ybar4222016-07-01,2017-01-01,2,1.049043,3.095991,snaive232016-07-01,2017-01-01,2,2.130916,3.095991,direct_sdum_ybar4242016-07-01,2017-07-01,4,0.207093,0.408685,snaive252016-07-01,2017-07-01,4,1.419184,0.408685,direct_sdum_ybar4262016-10-01,2017-01-01,1,1.049043,3.095991,snaive272016-10-01,2017-01-01,1,2.060893,3.095991,direct_sdum_ybar4282016-10-01,2017-04-01,2,4.583383,2.255260,snaive292016-10-01,2017-04-01,2,4.067300,2.255260,direct_sdum_ybar4302016-10-01,2017-10-01,4,-0.310680,1.325348,snaive312016-10-01,2017-10-01,4,-0.074784,1.325348,direct_sdum_ybar4322017-01-01,2017-04-01,1,4.583383,2.255260,snaive332017-01-01,2017-04-01,1,3.885349,2.255260,direct_sdum_ybar4342017-01-01,2017-07-01,2,0.207093,0.408685,snaive352017-01-01,2017-07-01,2,1.361739,0.408685,direct_sdum_ybar4362017-01-01,2018-01-01,4,3.095991,4.151411,snaive372017-01-01,2018-01-01,4,2.010484,4.151411,direct_sdum_ybar4382017-04-01,2017-07-01,1,0.207093,0.408685,snaive392017-04-01,2017-07-01,1,1.508387,0.408685,direct_sdum_ybar4402017-04-01,2017-10-01,2,-0.310680,1.325348,snaive412017-04-01,2017-10-01,2,0.187395,1.325348,direct_sdum_ybar4422017-04-01,2018-04-01,4,2.255260,3.210451,snaive432017-04-01,2018-04-01,4,3.854544,3.210451,direct_sdum_ybar4442017-07-01,2017-10-01,1,-0.310680,1.325348,snaive452017-07-01,2017-10-01,1,0.152592,1.325348,direct_sdum_ybar4462017-07-01,2018-01-01,2,3.095991,4.151411,snaive472017-07-01,2018-01-01,2,2.136205,4.151411,direct_sdum_ybar4482017-07-01,2018-07-01,4,0.408685,1.894085,snaive492017-07-01,2018-07-01,4,1.364562,1.894085,direct_sdum_ybar4502017-10-01,2018-01-01,1,3.095991,4.151411,snaive512017-10-01,2018-01-01,1,2.021648,4.151411,direct_sdum_ybar4522017-10-01,2018-04-01,2,2.255260,3.210451,snaive532017-10-01,2018-04-01,2,3.874403,3.210451,direct_sdum_ybar4542017-10-01,2018-10-01,4,1.325348,-1.195220,snaive552017-10-01,2018-10-01,4,-0.004675,-1.195220,direct_sdum_ybar4562018-01-01,2018-04-01,1,2.255260,3.210451,snaive572018-01-01,2018-04-01,1,3.777083,3.210451,direct_sdum_ybar4582018-01-01,2018-07-01,2,0.408685,1.894085,snaive592018-01-01,2018-07-01,2,1.275361,1.894085,direct_sdum_ybar4602018-01-01,2019-01-01,4,4.151411,2.486024,snaive612018-01-01,2019-01-01,4,2.110777,2.486024,direct_sdum_ybar4622018-04-01,2018-07-01,1,0.408685,1.894085,snaive632018-04-01,2018-07-01,1,1.226993,1.894085,direct_sdum_ybar4642018-04-01,2018-10-01,2,1.325348,-1.195220,snaive652018-04-01,2018-10-01,2,-0.034037,-1.195220,direct_sdum_ybar4662018-04-01,2019-04-01,4,3.210451,5.317656,snaive672018-04-01,2019-04-01,4,3.840883,5.317656,direct_sdum_ybar4682018-07-01,2018-10-01,1,1.325348,-1.195220,snaive692018-07-01,2018-10-01,1,-0.094774,-1.195220,direct_sdum_ybar4702018-07-01,2019-01-01,2,4.151411,2.486024,snaive712018-07-01,2019-01-01,2,1.859061,2.486024,direct_sdum_ybar4722018-07-01,2019-07-01,4,1.894085,1.074613,snaive732018-07-01,2019-07-01,4,1.412604,1.074613,direct_sdum_ybar4742018-10-01,2019-01-01,1,4.151411,2.486024,snaive752018-10-01,2019-01-01,1,2.057552,2.486024,direct_sdum_ybar4762018-10-01,2019-04-01,2,3.210451,5.317656,snaive772018-10-01,2019-04-01,2,3.771008,5.317656,direct_sdum_ybar4782018-10-01,2019-10-01,4,-1.195220,-0.585795,snaive792018-10-01,2019-10-01,4,-0.054793,-0.585795,direct_sdum_ybar4802019-01-01,2019-04-01,1,3.210451,5.317656,snaive812019-01-01,2019-04-01,1,3.859708,5.317656,direct_sdum_ybar4822019-01-01,2019-07-01,2,1.894085,1.074613,snaive832019-01-01,2019-07-01,2,1.431728,1.074613,direct_sdum_ybar4842019-01-01,2020-01-01,4,2.486024,1.365522,snaive852019-01-01,2020-01-01,4,2.119702,1.365522,direct_sdum_ybar4862019-04-01,2019-07-01,1,1.894085,1.074613,snaive872019-04-01,2019-07-01,1,1.287677,1.074613,direct_sdum_ybar4882019-04-01,2019-10-01,2,-1.195220,-0.585795,snaive892019-04-01,2019-10-01,2,-0.038279,-0.585795,direct_sdum_ybar4902019-04-01,2020-04-01,4,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive912019-04-01,2020-04-01,4,3.904953,-1.756529,direct_sdum_ybar4922019-07-01,2019-10-01,1,-1.195220,-0.585795,snaive932019-07-01,2019-10-01,1,0.027444,-0.585795,direct_sdum_ybar4942019-07-01,2020-01-01,2,2.486024,1.365522,snaive952019-07-01,2020-01-01,2,2.100750,1.365522,direct_sdum_ybar4962019-07-01,2020-07-01,4,1.074613,2.048535,snaive972019-07-01,2020-07-01,4,1.386724,2.048535,direct_sdum_ybar4982019-10-01,2020-01-01,1,2.486024,1.365522,snaive992019-10-01,2020-01-01,1,2.060074,1.365522,direct_sdum_ybar41002019-10-01,2020-04-01,2,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive1012019-10-01,2020-04-01,2,3.823732,-1.756529,direct_sdum_ybar41022019-10-01,2020-10-01,4,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive1032019-10-01,2020-10-01,4,-0.075313,1.456843,direct_sdum_ybar41042020-01-01,2020-04-01,1,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive1052020-01-01,2020-04-01,1,3.871991,-1.756529,direct_sdum_ybar41062020-01-01,2020-07-01,2,1.074613,2.048535,snaive1072020-01-01,2020-07-01,2,1.359404,2.048535,direct_sdum_ybar41082020-01-01,2021-01-01,4,1.365522,3.955175,snaive1092020-01-01,2021-01-01,4,2.091723,3.955175,direct_sdum_ybar41102020-04-01,2020-07-01,1,1.074613,2.048535,snaive1112020-04-01,2020-07-01,1,1.821989,2.048535,direct_sdum_ybar41122020-04-01,2020-10-01,2,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive1132020-04-01,2020-10-01,2,0.594862,1.456843,direct_sdum_ybar41142020-04-01,2021-04-01,4,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive1152020-04-01,2021-04-01,4,3.662866,5.718468,direct_sdum_ybar41162020-07-01,2020-10-01,1,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive1172020-07-01,2020-10-01,1,0.439793,1.456843,direct_sdum_ybar41182020-07-01,2021-01-01,2,1.365522,3.955175,snaive1192020-07-01,2021-01-01,2,2.590164,3.955175,direct_sdum_ybar41202020-07-01,2021-07-01,4,2.048535,4.797236,snaive1212020-07-01,2021-07-01,4,1.413077,4.797236,direct_sdum_ybar41222020-10-01,2021-01-01,1,1.365522,3.955175,snaive1232020-10-01,2021-01-01,1,2.398567,3.955175,direct_sdum_ybar41242020-10-01,2021-04-01,2,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive1252020-10-01,2021-04-01,2,4.020435,5.718468,direct_sdum_ybar41262020-10-01,2021-10-01,4,1.456843,4.000499,snaive1272020-10-01,2021-10-01,4,-0.023257,4.000499,direct_sdum_ybar41282021-01-01,2021-04-01,1,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive1292021-01-01,2021-04-01,1,3.763389,5.718468,direct_sdum_ybar41302021-01-01,2021-07-01,2,2.048535,4.797236,snaive1312021-01-01,2021-07-01,2,1.525465,4.797236,direct_sdum_ybar41322021-01-01,2022-01-01,4,3.955175,8.155133,snaive1332021-01-01,2022-01-01,4,2.164935,8.155133,direct_sdum_ybar41342021-04-01,2021-07-01,1,2.048535,4.797236,snaive1352021-04-01,2021-07-01,1,0.882923,4.797236,direct_sdum_ybar41362021-04-01,2021-10-01,2,1.456843,4.000499,snaive1372021-04-01,2021-10-01,2,-0.529030,4.000499,direct_sdum_ybar41382021-04-01,2022-04-01,4,5.718468,12.149214,snaive1392021-04-01,2022-04-01,4,3.660323,12.149214,direct_sdum_ybar41402021-07-01,2021-10-01,1,1.456843,4.000499,snaive1412021-07-01,2021-10-01,1,-0.448111,4.000499,direct_sdum_ybar41422021-07-01,2022-01-01,2,3.955175,8.155133,snaive1432021-07-01,2022-01-01,2,1.248390,8.155133,direct_sdum_ybar41442021-07-01,2022-07-01,4,4.797236,3.329702,snaive1452021-07-01,2022-07-01,4,1.255768,3.329702,direct_sdum_ybar41462021-10-01,2022-01-01,1,3.955175,8.155133,snaive1472021-10-01,2022-01-01,1,1.861983,8.155133,direct_sdum_ybar41482021-10-01,2022-04-01,2,5.718468,12.149214,snaive1492021-10-01,2022-04-01,2,2.846785,12.149214,direct_sdum_ybar41502021-10-01,2022-10-01,4,4.000499,2.175574,snaive1512021-10-01,2022-10-01,4,-0.403231,2.175574,direct_sdum_ybar41522022-01-01,2022-04-01,1,5.718468,12.149214,snaive1532022-01-01,2022-04-01,1,4.136631,12.149214,direct_sdum_ybar41542022-01-01,2022-07-01,2,4.797236,3.329702,snaive1552022-01-01,2022-07-01,2,1.049295,3.329702,direct_sdum_ybar41562022-01-01,2023-01-01,4,8.155133,2.422677,snaive1572022-01-01,2023-01-01,4,1.515755,2.422677,direct_sdum_ybar41582022-04-01,2022-07-01,1,4.797236,3.329702,snaive1592022-04-01,2022-07-01,1,3.833713,3.329702,direct_sdum_ybar41602022-04-01,2022-10-01,2,4.000499,2.175574,snaive1612022-04-01,2022-10-01,2,1.211477,2.175574,direct_sdum_ybar41622022-04-01,2023-04-01,4,12.149214,5.908274,snaive1632022-04-01,2023-04-01,4,3.870199,5.908274,direct_sdum_ybar41642022-07-01,2022-10-01,1,4.000499,2.175574,snaive1652022-07-01,2022-10-01,1,2.270380,2.175574,direct_sdum_ybar41662022-07-01,2023-01-01,2,8.155133,2.422677,snaive1672022-07-01,2023-01-01,2,3.530643,2.422677,direct_sdum_ybar41682022-07-01,2023-07-01,4,3.329702,3.975083,snaive1692022-07-01,2023-07-01,4,1.712559,3.975083,direct_sdum_ybar41702022-10-01,2023-01-01,1,8.155133,2.422677,snaive1712022-10-01,2023-01-01,1,4.223804,2.422677,direct_sdum_ybar41722022-10-01,2023-04-01,2,12.149214,5.908274,snaive1732022-10-01,2023-04-01,2,5.229465,5.908274,direct_sdum_ybar41742022-10-01,2023-10-01,4,2.175574,0.336488,snaive1752022-10-01,2023-10-01,4,0.617053,0.336488,direct_sdum_ybar41762023-01-01,2023-04-01,1,12.149214,5.908274,snaive1772023-01-01,2023-04-01,1,5.120949,5.908274,direct_sdum_ybar41782023-01-01,2023-07-01,2,3.329702,3.975083,snaive1792023-01-01,2023-07-01,2,2.235929,3.975083,direct_sdum_ybar41802023-01-01,2024-01-01,4,2.422677,1.007769,snaive1812023-01-01,2024-01-01,4,2.627278,1.007769,direct_sdum_ybar41822023-04-01,2023-07-01,1,3.329702,3.975083,snaive1832023-04-01,2023-07-01,1,2.104212,3.975083,direct_sdum_ybar41842023-04-01,2023-10-01,2,2.175574,0.336488,snaive1852023-04-01,2023-10-01,2,0.640687,0.336488,direct_sdum_ybar41862023-04-01,2024-04-01,4,5.908274,5.497796,snaive1872023-04-01,2024-04-01,4,4.329137,5.497796,direct_sdum_ybar41882023-07-01,2023-10-01,1,2.175574,0.336488,snaive1892023-07-01,2023-10-01,1,0.900937,0.336488,direct_sdum_ybar41902023-07-01,2024-01-01,2,2.422677,1.007769,snaive1912023-07-01,2024-01-01,2,2.813521,1.007769,direct_sdum_ybar41922023-07-01,2024-07-01,4,3.975083,1.239030,snaive1932023-07-01,2024-07-01,4,2.004013,1.239030,direct_sdum_ybar41942023-10-01,2024-01-01,1,2.422677,1.007769,snaive1952023-10-01,2024-01-01,1,2.809175,1.007769,direct_sdum_ybar41962023-10-01,2024-04-01,2,5.908274,5.497796,snaive1972023-10-01,2024-04-01,2,4.419995,5.497796,direct_sdum_ybar41982023-10-01,2024-10-01,4,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive1992023-10-01,2024-10-01,4,0.413059,-0.164982,direct_sdum_ybar42002024-01-01,2024-04-01,1,5.908274,5.497796,snaive2012024-01-01,2024-04-01,1,4.375178,5.497796,direct_sdum_ybar42022024-01-01,2024-07-01,2,3.975083,1.239030,snaive2032024-01-01,2024-07-01,2,1.849878,1.239030,direct_sdum_ybar42042024-01-01,2025-01-01,4,1.007769,2.467620,snaive2052024-01-01,2025-01-01,4,2.453204,2.467620,direct_sdum_ybar42062024-04-01,2024-07-01,1,3.975083,1.239030,snaive2072024-04-01,2024-07-01,1,1.896142,1.239030,direct_sdum_ybar42082024-04-01,2024-10-01,2,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive2092024-04-01,2024-10-01,2,0.461596,-0.164982,direct_sdum_ybar42102024-04-01,2025-04-01,4,5.497796,3.510585,snaive2112024-04-01,2025-04-01,4,4.275671,3.510585,direct_sdum_ybar42122024-07-01,2024-10-01,1,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive2132024-07-01,2024-10-01,1,0.270846,-0.164982,direct_sdum_ybar42142024-07-01,2025-01-01,2,1.007769,2.467620,snaive2152024-07-01,2025-01-01,2,2.326469,2.467620,direct_sdum_ybar42162024-07-01,2025-07-01,4,1.239030,2.026963,snaive2172024-07-01,2025-07-01,4,1.674525,2.026963,direct_sdum_ybar42182024-10-01,2025-01-01,1,1.007769,2.467620,snaive2192024-10-01,2025-01-01,1,2.269183,2.467620,direct_sdum_ybar42202024-10-01,2025-04-01,2,5.497796,3.510585,snaive2212024-10-01,2025-04-01,2,4.129513,3.510585,direct_sdum_ybar42222024-10-01,2025-10-01,4,-0.164982,0.888620,snaive2232024-10-01,2025-10-01,4,0.182117,0.888620,direct_sdum_ybar42242025-01-01,2025-04-01,1,5.497796,3.510585,snaive2252025-01-01,2025-04-01,1,4.213698,3.510585,direct_sdum_ybar42262025-01-01,2025-07-01,2,1.239030,2.026963,snaive2272025-01-01,2025-07-01,2,1.693986,2.026963,direct_sdum_ybar42282025-01-01,2026-01-01,4,2.467620,2.092560,snaive2292025-01-01,2026-01-01,4,2.377516,2.092560,direct_sdum_ybar42302025-04-01,2025-07-01,1,1.239030,2.026963,snaive2312025-04-01,2025-07-01,1,1.525087,2.026963,direct_sdum_ybar42322025-04-01,2025-10-01,2,-0.164982,0.888620,snaive2332025-04-01,2025-10-01,2,0.202810,0.888620,direct_sdum_ybar42342025-04-01,2026-04-01,4,3.510585,6.607773,snaive2352025-04-01,2026-04-01,4,4.113556,6.607773,direct_sdum_ybar42362025-07-01,2025-10-01,1,-0.164982,0.888620,snaive2372025-07-01,2025-10-01,1,0.233824,0.888620,direct_sdum_ybar42382025-07-01,2026-01-01,2,2.467620,2.092560,snaive2392025-07-01,2026-01-01,2,2.316386,2.092560,direct_sdum_ybar42402025-07-01,2026-07-01,4,2.026963,2.440232,snaive2412025-07-01,2026-07-01,4,1.678938,2.440232,direct_sdum_ybar4242