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spb/wp29_uqo

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1{2  "task_id": "F6-conf-03",3  "sample_start": "1960-01-01",4  "sample_end": "2019-10-01",5  "n_sub1": 96,6  "n_sub2": 144,7  "baseline_metric": 0.32465793964999184,8  "model_metric": 0.2497438816636253,9  "effect_estimate": -0.2557677277487258,10  "intercept": 0.18438835418210714,11  "effect_se": 0.0358346333029657,12  "hac_lags": 4,13  "effect_ci_low": -0.32600231842173816,14  "effect_ci_high": -0.18553313707571345,15  "beta_sub1": -0.25902105345680587,16  "beta_sub2": -0.27339263306757905,17  "chow_f_stat": 6.090333006233798,18  "chow_p_value": 0.0026363238517333456,19  "stability_conclusion": "unstable",20  "conclusion": "negative_effect",21  "feasibility": "complete",22  "feasibility_reason": null,23  "data_issues": [24    {25      "issue": "UNRATE.csv: missing value(s) at ['2025-10-01']",26      "handling": "outside 1959Q4-2019Q4 estimation window; no effect on estimates"27    },28    {29      "issue": "Observations after 2019Q4 present in both files (incl. 2020 COVID outliers); GDPC1 is the 2026 vintage (revised data, chained 2017 $)",30      "handling": "post-2019Q4 data excluded per task; current vintage used as provided (log growth rates invariant to base year)"31    },32    {33      "issue": "Large (|z|>4) in-sample observations: ['1975Q1', '2009Q1']",34      "handling": "retained (genuine recession/recovery quarters); influence discussed in report"35    }36  ],37  "n_input_rows": {38    "GDPC1.csv": 319,39    "UNRATE.csv": 94540  },41  "n_analysed": 240,42  "random_seed": null43}
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