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spb/wp29_uqo

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1{2  "task_id": "F6-conf-03",3  "sample_start": "1960-01-01",4  "sample_end": "2019-10-01",5  "n_sub1": 96,6  "n_sub2": 144,7  "baseline_metric": 0.32465793964999184,8  "model_metric": 0.2497438816636253,9  "effect_estimate": -0.2557677277487258,10  "intercept": 0.18438835418210714,11  "effect_se": 0.03583463330296569,12  "hac_lags": 4,13  "effect_ci_low": -0.32600231842173816,14  "effect_ci_high": -0.18553313707571345,15  "beta_sub1": -0.25902105345680587,16  "beta_sub2": -0.27339263306757905,17  "chow_f_stat": 6.0903330062337675,18  "chow_p_value": 0.002636323851733417,19  "stability_conclusion": "unstable",20  "conclusion": "negative_effect",21  "feasibility": "complete",22  "feasibility_reason": null,23  "data_issues": [24    {25      "issue": "UNRATE.csv: missing value at 2025-10-01",26      "handling": "outside the 1959Q4-2019Q4 window used; no effect on estimates"27    },28    {29      "issue": "Both series extend beyond 2019Q4 (to 2026) and are current vintages (revised data, GDP in chained 2017 dollars), not real-time",30      "handling": "observations after 2019Q4 excluded before any computation; revision/vintage effects acknowledged as limitation"31    }32  ],33  "n_input_rows": {34    "GDPC1.csv": 319,35    "UNRATE.csv": 94536  },37  "n_analysed": 240,38  "random_seed": 039}
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