# Log

• 2026-10-30 P0 contract written; passed.
• 2026-10-30 P1 data audited (hash matches); decision: exclude pandemic months 2020-03..2021-12 from estimation; passed.
• 2026-10-30 P2 naive baseline computed (rmse_naive_h1/h3); passed.
• 2026-10-30 P3 model adl_emp_direct implemented in out/analysis.py, DM test added; passed.
• 2026-10-30 P4 reproducibility + consistency checks all pass; gate run.
• 2026-10-30 P4 passed (gate receipt 20261030T050115). P5 report+claims written; final gate run.
• 2026-10-30 Final gate PASSED (receipt 20261030T050148.778599Z). Task complete.