1origin_date,target_date,horizon,forecast,actual,model,last_target_date_used,last_predictor_date_used22022-05-01,2022-06-01,1,4.713443515915146,5.9571,ardl_direct_emp,2022-03-01,2022-04-0132022-06-01,2022-07-01,1,5.821548532468652,5.3974,ardl_direct_emp,2022-04-01,2022-05-0142022-07-01,2022-08-01,1,6.076919461810839,4.8317,ardl_direct_emp,2022-05-01,2022-06-0152022-08-01,2022-09-01,1,5.609360031699046,4.5593,ardl_direct_emp,2022-06-01,2022-07-0162022-09-01,2022-10-01,1,5.086858735476046,3.5699,ardl_direct_emp,2022-07-01,2022-08-0172022-10-01,2022-11-01,1,4.503206333036198,2.9749,ardl_direct_emp,2022-08-01,2022-09-0182022-11-01,2022-12-01,1,4.300371098022399,2.2516,ardl_direct_emp,2022-09-01,2022-10-0192022-12-01,2023-01-01,1,3.428439644754596,3.4862,ardl_direct_emp,2022-10-01,2022-11-01102023-01-01,2023-02-01,1,2.9449434002057444,2.7447,ardl_direct_emp,2022-11-01,2022-12-01112023-02-01,2023-03-01,1,2.5069843468904014,2.4408,ardl_direct_emp,2022-12-01,2023-01-01122023-03-01,2023-04-01,1,3.3480025136952385,2.4286,ardl_direct_emp,2023-01-01,2023-02-01132023-04-01,2023-05-01,1,2.7814861506910002,2.2154,ardl_direct_emp,2023-02-01,2023-03-01142023-05-01,2023-06-01,1,2.520419231926729,1.6614,ardl_direct_emp,2023-03-01,2023-04-01152023-06-01,2023-07-01,1,2.483587760838493,1.6246,ardl_direct_emp,2023-04-01,2023-05-01162023-07-01,2023-08-01,1,2.343877714514651,1.369,ardl_direct_emp,2023-05-01,2023-06-01172023-08-01,2023-09-01,1,1.8848541574929092,1.1132,ardl_direct_emp,2023-06-01,2023-07-01182023-09-01,2023-10-01,1,1.8715283713959878,1.3324,ardl_direct_emp,2023-07-01,2023-08-01192023-10-01,2023-11-01,1,1.654423872572868,1.7142,ardl_direct_emp,2023-08-01,2023-09-01202023-11-01,2023-12-01,1,1.4070292962176174,1.8857,ardl_direct_emp,2023-09-01,2023-10-01212023-12-01,2024-01-01,1,1.5646504420851204,1.1884,ardl_direct_emp,2023-10-01,2023-11-01222024-01-01,2024-02-01,1,1.8609383212906385,1.4547,ardl_direct_emp,2023-11-01,2023-12-01232024-02-01,2024-03-01,1,1.9871712302892273,1.1964,ardl_direct_emp,2023-12-01,2024-01-01242024-03-01,2024-04-01,1,1.4120453835149274,1.5521,ardl_direct_emp,2024-01-01,2024-02-01252024-04-01,2024-05-01,1,1.6121037337530062,1.6785,ardl_direct_emp,2024-02-01,2024-03-01262024-05-01,2024-06-01,1,1.4003426256906655,2.0314,ardl_direct_emp,2024-03-01,2024-04-01272024-06-01,2024-07-01,1,1.698196263698622,2.12,ardl_direct_emp,2024-04-01,2024-05-01282024-07-01,2024-08-01,1,1.784730463831644,2.1932,ardl_direct_emp,2024-05-01,2024-06-01292024-08-01,2024-09-01,1,2.073541292523543,2.5041,ardl_direct_emp,2024-06-01,2024-07-01302024-09-01,2024-10-01,1,2.1392126951198276,2.8193,ardl_direct_emp,2024-07-01,2024-08-01312024-10-01,2024-11-01,1,2.196391927533128,2.3398,ardl_direct_emp,2024-08-01,2024-09-01322024-11-01,2024-12-01,1,2.4449462325601456,2.6735,ardl_direct_emp,2024-09-01,2024-10-01332024-12-01,2025-01-01,1,2.707789533825179,2.9557,ardl_direct_emp,2024-10-01,2024-11-01342025-01-01,2025-02-01,1,2.3425935451622286,2.1683,ardl_direct_emp,2024-11-01,2024-12-01352025-02-01,2025-03-01,1,2.6228234058139024,2.3227,ardl_direct_emp,2024-12-01,2025-01-01362025-03-01,2025-04-01,1,2.8405599501933416,1.8738,ardl_direct_emp,2025-01-01,2025-02-01372025-04-01,2025-05-01,1,2.18660353315295,1.5619,ardl_direct_emp,2025-02-01,2025-03-01382025-05-01,2025-06-01,1,2.296683970406425,1.2753,ardl_direct_emp,2025-03-01,2025-04-01392025-06-01,2025-07-01,1,1.92204054606785,1.7373,ardl_direct_emp,2025-04-01,2025-05-01402025-07-01,2025-08-01,1,1.6839587575811328,1.5573,ardl_direct_emp,2025-05-01,2025-06-01412025-08-01,2025-09-01,1,1.436943711286989,1.5074,ardl_direct_emp,2025-06-01,2025-07-01422025-09-01,2025-10-01,1,1.7849596200885873,0.806,ardl_direct_emp,2025-07-01,2025-08-01432025-10-01,2025-11-01,1,1.6429553287232472,1.1039,ardl_direct_emp,2025-08-01,2025-09-01442025-11-01,2025-12-01,1,1.6203821558679325,1.0085,ardl_direct_emp,2025-09-01,2025-10-01452025-12-01,2026-01-01,1,1.0507263878728783,0.4466,ardl_direct_emp,2025-10-01,2025-11-01462026-01-01,2026-02-01,1,1.266638833422672,0.7697,ardl_direct_emp,2025-11-01,2025-12-01472026-02-01,2026-03-01,1,1.1642311002711154,0.4175,ardl_direct_emp,2025-12-01,2026-01-01482026-03-01,2026-04-01,1,0.6803742802920398,1.1488,ardl_direct_emp,2026-01-01,2026-02-01492026-04-01,2026-05-01,1,0.9507061206460977,1.6466,ardl_direct_emp,2026-02-01,2026-03-01502022-05-01,2022-08-01,3,4.392102871283835,4.8317,ardl_direct_emp,2022-03-01,2022-04-01512022-06-01,2022-09-01,3,5.17076259767614,4.5593,ardl_direct_emp,2022-04-01,2022-05-01522022-07-01,2022-10-01,3,5.336869152429304,3.5699,ardl_direct_emp,2022-05-01,2022-06-01532022-08-01,2022-11-01,3,5.005893373079217,2.9749,ardl_direct_emp,2022-06-01,2022-07-01542022-09-01,2022-12-01,3,4.613027241963304,2.2516,ardl_direct_emp,2022-07-01,2022-08-01552022-10-01,2023-01-01,3,4.1362025730777185,3.4862,ardl_direct_emp,2022-08-01,2022-09-01562022-11-01,2023-02-01,3,3.9793314395502515,2.7447,ardl_direct_emp,2022-09-01,2022-10-01572022-12-01,2023-03-01,3,3.2465264203359676,2.4408,ardl_direct_emp,2022-10-01,2022-11-01582023-01-01,2023-04-01,3,2.846677523316027,2.4286,ardl_direct_emp,2022-11-01,2022-12-01592023-02-01,2023-05-01,3,2.5087195959643225,2.2154,ardl_direct_emp,2022-12-01,2023-01-01602023-03-01,2023-06-01,3,3.157843313743653,1.6614,ardl_direct_emp,2023-01-01,2023-02-01612023-04-01,2023-07-01,3,2.699964701544516,1.6246,ardl_direct_emp,2023-02-01,2023-03-01622023-05-01,2023-08-01,3,2.486035688139082,1.369,ardl_direct_emp,2023-03-01,2023-04-01632023-06-01,2023-09-01,3,2.457126611409273,1.1132,ardl_direct_emp,2023-04-01,2023-05-01642023-07-01,2023-10-01,3,2.3480045758629338,1.3324,ardl_direct_emp,2023-05-01,2023-06-01652023-08-01,2023-11-01,3,1.9784663690392545,1.7142,ardl_direct_emp,2023-06-01,2023-07-01662023-09-01,2023-12-01,3,1.9603729563066539,1.8857,ardl_direct_emp,2023-07-01,2023-08-01672023-10-01,2024-01-01,3,1.7837200005753204,1.1884,ardl_direct_emp,2023-08-01,2023-09-01682023-11-01,2024-02-01,3,1.5801652988723929,1.4547,ardl_direct_emp,2023-09-01,2023-10-01692023-12-01,2024-03-01,3,1.6968921128222882,1.1964,ardl_direct_emp,2023-10-01,2023-11-01702024-01-01,2024-04-01,3,1.9306427376431914,1.5521,ardl_direct_emp,2023-11-01,2023-12-01712024-02-01,2024-05-01,3,2.029153865193163,1.6785,ardl_direct_emp,2023-12-01,2024-01-01722024-03-01,2024-06-01,3,1.5589572629264543,2.0314,ardl_direct_emp,2024-01-01,2024-02-01732024-04-01,2024-07-01,3,1.7273382436252478,2.12,ardl_direct_emp,2024-02-01,2024-03-01742024-05-01,2024-08-01,3,1.5520954274493386,2.1932,ardl_direct_emp,2024-03-01,2024-04-01752024-06-01,2024-09-01,3,1.7859704277365875,2.5041,ardl_direct_emp,2024-04-01,2024-05-01762024-07-01,2024-10-01,3,1.8611798415671494,2.8193,ardl_direct_emp,2024-05-01,2024-06-01772024-08-01,2024-11-01,3,2.098164265576195,2.3398,ardl_direct_emp,2024-06-01,2024-07-01782024-09-01,2024-12-01,3,2.1556468975419665,2.6735,ardl_direct_emp,2024-07-01,2024-08-01792024-10-01,2025-01-01,3,2.2052870913400584,2.9557,ardl_direct_emp,2024-08-01,2024-09-01802024-11-01,2025-02-01,3,2.409744968392067,2.1683,ardl_direct_emp,2024-09-01,2024-10-01812024-12-01,2025-03-01,3,2.621688363882332,2.3227,ardl_direct_emp,2024-10-01,2024-11-01822025-01-01,2025-04-01,3,2.321479532130235,1.8738,ardl_direct_emp,2024-11-01,2024-12-01832025-02-01,2025-05-01,3,2.5468551551291347,1.5619,ardl_direct_emp,2024-12-01,2025-01-01842025-03-01,2025-06-01,3,2.7270485832368503,1.2753,ardl_direct_emp,2025-01-01,2025-02-01852025-04-01,2025-07-01,3,2.202867336508669,1.7373,ardl_direct_emp,2025-02-01,2025-03-01862025-05-01,2025-08-01,3,2.2943167881133486,1.5573,ardl_direct_emp,2025-03-01,2025-04-01872025-06-01,2025-09-01,3,1.9950110750173682,1.5074,ardl_direct_emp,2025-04-01,2025-05-01882025-07-01,2025-10-01,3,1.7973921133430746,0.806,ardl_direct_emp,2025-05-01,2025-06-01892025-08-01,2025-11-01,3,1.599497371586957,1.1039,ardl_direct_emp,2025-06-01,2025-07-01902025-09-01,2025-12-01,3,1.8860624454493096,1.0085,ardl_direct_emp,2025-07-01,2025-08-01912025-10-01,2026-01-01,3,1.7679189107114688,0.4466,ardl_direct_emp,2025-08-01,2025-09-01922025-11-01,2026-02-01,3,1.7430718347609437,0.7697,ardl_direct_emp,2025-09-01,2025-10-01932025-12-01,2026-03-01,3,1.2798970167897832,0.4175,ardl_direct_emp,2025-10-01,2025-11-01942026-01-01,2026-04-01,3,1.461261333139833,1.1488,ardl_direct_emp,2025-11-01,2025-12-01952026-02-01,2026-05-01,3,1.3831007778442284,1.6466,ardl_direct_emp,2025-12-01,2026-01-01962026-03-01,2026-06-01,3,0.9933570750009107,2.0909,ardl_direct_emp,2026-01-01,2026-02-01972026-04-01,2026-07-01,3,1.2069864697925101,1.4203,ardl_direct_emp,2026-02-01,2026-03-01982022-05-01,2022-06-01,1,4.9335,5.9571,naive,2022-03-01,992022-06-01,2022-07-01,1,6.0468,5.3974,naive,2022-04-01,1002022-07-01,2022-08-01,1,6.5129,4.8317,naive,2022-05-01,1012022-08-01,2022-09-01,1,5.9571,4.5593,naive,2022-06-01,1022022-09-01,2022-10-01,1,5.3974,3.5699,naive,2022-07-01,1032022-10-01,2022-11-01,1,4.8317,2.9749,naive,2022-08-01,1042022-11-01,2022-12-01,1,4.5593,2.2516,naive,2022-09-01,1052022-12-01,2023-01-01,1,3.5699,3.4862,naive,2022-10-01,1062023-01-01,2023-02-01,1,2.9749,2.7447,naive,2022-11-01,1072023-02-01,2023-03-01,1,2.2516,2.4408,naive,2022-12-01,1082023-03-01,2023-04-01,1,3.4862,2.4286,naive,2023-01-01,1092023-04-01,2023-05-01,1,2.7447,2.2154,naive,2023-02-01,1102023-05-01,2023-06-01,1,2.4408,1.6614,naive,2023-03-01,1112023-06-01,2023-07-01,1,2.4286,1.6246,naive,2023-04-01,1122023-07-01,2023-08-01,1,2.2154,1.369,naive,2023-05-01,1132023-08-01,2023-09-01,1,1.6614,1.1132,naive,2023-06-01,1142023-09-01,2023-10-01,1,1.6246,1.3324,naive,2023-07-01,1152023-10-01,2023-11-01,1,1.369,1.7142,naive,2023-08-01,1162023-11-01,2023-12-01,1,1.1132,1.8857,naive,2023-09-01,1172023-12-01,2024-01-01,1,1.3324,1.1884,naive,2023-10-01,1182024-01-01,2024-02-01,1,1.7142,1.4547,naive,2023-11-01,1192024-02-01,2024-03-01,1,1.8857,1.1964,naive,2023-12-01,1202024-03-01,2024-04-01,1,1.1884,1.5521,naive,2024-01-01,1212024-04-01,2024-05-01,1,1.4547,1.6785,naive,2024-02-01,1222024-05-01,2024-06-01,1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