1origin_date,target_date,horizon,forecast,actual,model,last_target_date_used,last_predictor_date_used22022-05-01,2022-06-01,1,4.9335,5.9571,naive,2022-03-01,32022-05-01,2022-06-01,1,4.713444,5.9571,ardl_direct_emp,2022-03-01,2022-04-0142022-05-01,2022-08-01,3,4.9335,4.8317,naive,2022-03-01,52022-05-01,2022-08-01,3,4.392103,4.8317,ardl_direct_emp,2022-03-01,2022-04-0162022-06-01,2022-07-01,1,6.0468,5.3974,naive,2022-04-01,72022-06-01,2022-07-01,1,5.821549,5.3974,ardl_direct_emp,2022-04-01,2022-05-0182022-06-01,2022-09-01,3,6.0468,4.5593,naive,2022-04-01,92022-06-01,2022-09-01,3,5.170763,4.5593,ardl_direct_emp,2022-04-01,2022-05-01102022-07-01,2022-08-01,1,6.5129,4.8317,naive,2022-05-01,112022-07-01,2022-08-01,1,6.076919,4.8317,ardl_direct_emp,2022-05-01,2022-06-01122022-07-01,2022-10-01,3,6.5129,3.5699,naive,2022-05-01,132022-07-01,2022-10-01,3,5.336869,3.5699,ardl_direct_emp,2022-05-01,2022-06-01142022-08-01,2022-09-01,1,5.9571,4.5593,naive,2022-06-01,152022-08-01,2022-09-01,1,5.60936,4.5593,ardl_direct_emp,2022-06-01,2022-07-01162022-08-01,2022-11-01,3,5.9571,2.9749,naive,2022-06-01,172022-08-01,2022-11-01,3,5.005893,2.9749,ardl_direct_emp,2022-06-01,2022-07-01182022-09-01,2022-10-01,1,5.3974,3.5699,naive,2022-07-01,192022-09-01,2022-10-01,1,5.086859,3.5699,ardl_direct_emp,2022-07-01,2022-08-01202022-09-01,2022-12-01,3,5.3974,2.2516,naive,2022-07-01,212022-09-01,2022-12-01,3,4.613027,2.2516,ardl_direct_emp,2022-07-01,2022-08-01222022-10-01,2022-11-01,1,4.8317,2.9749,naive,2022-08-01,232022-10-01,2022-11-01,1,4.503206,2.9749,ardl_direct_emp,2022-08-01,2022-09-01242022-10-01,2023-01-01,3,4.8317,3.4862,naive,2022-08-01,252022-10-01,2023-01-01,3,4.136203,3.4862,ardl_direct_emp,2022-08-01,2022-09-01262022-11-01,2022-12-01,1,4.5593,2.2516,naive,2022-09-01,272022-11-01,2022-12-01,1,4.300371,2.2516,ardl_direct_emp,2022-09-01,2022-10-01282022-11-01,2023-02-01,3,4.5593,2.7447,naive,2022-09-01,292022-11-01,2023-02-01,3,3.979331,2.7447,ardl_direct_emp,2022-09-01,2022-10-01302022-12-01,2023-01-01,1,3.5699,3.4862,naive,2022-10-01,312022-12-01,2023-01-01,1,3.42844,3.4862,ardl_direct_emp,2022-10-01,2022-11-01322022-12-01,2023-03-01,3,3.5699,2.4408,naive,2022-10-01,332022-12-01,2023-03-01,3,3.246526,2.4408,ardl_direct_emp,2022-10-01,2022-11-01342023-01-01,2023-02-01,1,2.9749,2.7447,naive,2022-11-01,352023-01-01,2023-02-01,1,2.944943,2.7447,ardl_direct_emp,2022-11-01,2022-12-01362023-01-01,2023-04-01,3,2.9749,2.4286,naive,2022-11-01,372023-01-01,2023-04-01,3,2.846678,2.4286,ardl_direct_emp,2022-11-01,2022-12-01382023-02-01,2023-03-01,1,2.2516,2.4408,naive,2022-12-01,392023-02-01,2023-03-01,1,2.506984,2.4408,ardl_direct_emp,2022-12-01,2023-01-01402023-02-01,2023-05-01,3,2.2516,2.2154,naive,2022-12-01,412023-02-01,2023-05-01,3,2.50872,2.2154,ardl_direct_emp,2022-12-01,2023-01-01422023-03-01,2023-04-01,1,3.4862,2.4286,naive,2023-01-01,432023-03-01,2023-04-01,1,3.348003,2.4286,ardl_direct_emp,2023-01-01,2023-02-01442023-03-01,2023-06-01,3,3.4862,1.6614,naive,2023-01-01,452023-03-01,2023-06-01,3,3.157843,1.6614,ardl_direct_emp,2023-01-01,2023-02-01462023-04-01,2023-05-01,1,2.7447,2.2154,naive,2023-02-01,472023-04-01,2023-05-01,1,2.781486,2.2154,ardl_direct_emp,2023-02-01,2023-03-01482023-04-01,2023-07-01,3,2.7447,1.6246,naive,2023-02-01,492023-04-01,2023-07-01,3,2.699965,1.6246,ardl_direct_emp,2023-02-01,2023-03-01502023-05-01,2023-06-01,1,2.4408,1.6614,naive,2023-03-01,512023-05-01,2023-06-01,1,2.520419,1.6614,ardl_direct_emp,2023-03-01,2023-04-01522023-05-01,2023-08-01,3,2.4408,1.369,naive,2023-03-01,532023-05-01,2023-08-01,3,2.486036,1.369,ardl_direct_emp,2023-03-01,2023-04-01542023-06-01,2023-07-01,1,2.4286,1.6246,naive,2023-04-01,552023-06-01,2023-07-01,1,2.483588,1.6246,ardl_direct_emp,2023-04-01,2023-05-01562023-06-01,2023-09-01,3,2.4286,1.1132,naive,2023-04-01,572023-06-01,2023-09-01,3,2.457127,1.1132,ardl_direct_emp,2023-04-01,2023-05-01582023-07-01,2023-08-01,1,2.2154,1.369,naive,2023-05-01,592023-07-01,2023-08-01,1,2.343878,1.369,ardl_direct_emp,2023-05-01,2023-06-01602023-07-01,2023-10-01,3,2.2154,1.3324,naive,2023-05-01,612023-07-01,2023-10-01,3,2.348005,1.3324,ardl_direct_emp,2023-05-01,2023-06-01622023-08-01,2023-09-01,1,1.6614,1.1132,naive,2023-06-01,632023-08-01,2023-09-01,1,1.884854,1.1132,ardl_direct_emp,2023-06-01,2023-07-01642023-08-01,2023-11-01,3,1.6614,1.7142,naive,2023-06-01,652023-08-01,2023-11-01,3,1.978466,1.7142,ardl_direct_emp,2023-06-01,2023-07-01662023-09-01,2023-10-01,1,1.6246,1.3324,naive,2023-07-01,672023-09-01,2023-10-01,1,1.871528,1.3324,ardl_direct_emp,2023-07-01,2023-08-01682023-09-01,2023-12-01,3,1.6246,1.8857,naive,2023-07-01,692023-09-01,2023-12-01,3,1.960373,1.8857,ardl_direct_emp,2023-07-01,2023-08-01702023-10-01,2023-11-01,1,1.369,1.7142,naive,2023-08-01,712023-10-01,2023-11-01,1,1.654424,1.7142,ardl_direct_emp,2023-08-01,2023-09-01722023-10-01,2024-01-01,3,1.369,1.1884,naive,2023-08-01,732023-10-01,2024-01-01,3,1.78372,1.1884,ardl_direct_emp,2023-08-01,2023-09-01742023-11-01,2023-12-01,1,1.1132,1.8857,naive,2023-09-01,752023-11-01,2023-12-01,1,1.407029,1.8857,ardl_direct_emp,2023-09-01,2023-10-01762023-11-01,2024-02-01,3,1.1132,1.4547,naive,2023-09-01,772023-11-01,2024-02-01,3,1.580165,1.4547,ardl_direct_emp,2023-09-01,2023-10-01782023-12-01,2024-01-01,1,1.3324,1.1884,naive,2023-10-01,792023-12-01,2024-01-01,1,1.56465,1.1884,ardl_direct_emp,2023-10-01,2023-11-01802023-12-01,2024-03-01,3,1.3324,1.1964,naive,2023-10-01,812023-12-01,2024-03-01,3,1.696892,1.1964,ardl_direct_emp,2023-10-01,2023-11-01822024-01-01,2024-02-01,1,1.7142,1.4547,naive,2023-11-01,832024-01-01,2024-02-01,1,1.860938,1.4547,ardl_direct_emp,2023-11-01,2023-12-01842024-01-01,2024-04-01,3,1.7142,1.5521,naive,2023-11-01,852024-01-01,2024-04-01,3,1.930643,1.5521,ardl_direct_emp,2023-11-01,2023-12-01862024-02-01,2024-03-01,1,1.8857,1.1964,naive,2023-12-01,872024-02-01,2024-03-01,1,1.987171,1.1964,ardl_direct_emp,2023-12-01,2024-01-01882024-02-01,2024-05-01,3,1.8857,1.6785,naive,2023-12-01,892024-02-01,2024-05-01,3,2.029154,1.6785,ardl_direct_emp,2023-12-01,2024-01-01902024-03-01,2024-04-01,1,1.1884,1.5521,naive,2024-01-01,912024-03-01,2024-04-01,1,1.412045,1.5521,ardl_direct_emp,2024-01-01,2024-02-01922024-03-01,2024-06-01,3,1.1884,2.0314,naive,2024-01-01,932024-03-01,2024-06-01,3,1.558957,2.0314,ardl_direct_emp,2024-01-01,2024-02-01942024-04-01,2024-05-01,1,1.4547,1.6785,naive,2024-02-01,952024-04-01,2024-05-01,1,1.612104,1.6785,ardl_direct_emp,2024-02-01,2024-03-01962024-04-01,2024-07-01,3,1.4547,2.12,naive,2024-02-01,972024-04-01,2024-07-01,3,1.727338,2.12,ardl_direct_emp,2024-02-01,2024-03-01982024-05-01,2024-06-01,1,1.1964,2.0314,naive,2024-03-01,992024-05-01,2024-06-01,1,1.400343,2.0314,ardl_direct_emp,2024-03-01,2024-04-011002024-05-01,2024-08-01,3,1.1964,2.1932,naive,2024-03-01,1012024-05-01,2024-08-01,3,1.552095,2.1932,ardl_direct_emp,2024-03-01,2024-04-011022024-06-01,2024-07-01,1,1.5521,2.12,naive,2024-04-01,1032024-06-01,2024-07-01,1,1.698196,2.12,ardl_direct_emp,2024-04-01,2024-05-011042024-06-01,2024-09-01,3,1.5521,2.5041,naive,2024-04-01,1052024-06-01,2024-09-01,3,1.78597,2.5041,ardl_direct_emp,2024-04-01,2024-05-011062024-07-01,2024-08-01,1,1.6785,2.1932,naive,2024-05-01,1072024-07-01,2024-08-01,1,1.78473,2.1932,ardl_direct_emp,2024-05-01,2024-06-011082024-07-01,2024-10-01,3,1.6785,2.8193,naive,2024-05-01,1092024-07-01,2024-10-01,3,1.86118,2.8193,ardl_direct_emp,2024-05-01,2024-06-011102024-08-01,2024-09-01,1,2.0314,2.5041,naive,2024-06-01,1112024-08-01,2024-09-01,1,2.073541,2.5041,ardl_direct_emp,2024-06-01,2024-07-011122024-08-01,2024-11-01,3,2.0314,2.3398,naive,2024-06-01,1132024-08-01,2024-11-01,3,2.098164,2.3398,ardl_direct_emp,2024-06-01,2024-07-011142024-09-01,2024-10-01,1,2.12,2.8193,naive,2024-07-01,1152024-09-01,2024-10-01,1,2.139213,2.8193,ardl_direct_emp,2024-07-01,2024-08-011162024-09-01,2024-12-01,3,2.12,2.6735,naive,2024-07-01,1172024-09-01,2024-12-01,3,2.155647,2.6735,ardl_direct_emp,2024-07-01,2024-08-011182024-10-01,2024-11-01,1,2.1932,2.3398,naive,2024-08-01,1192024-10-01,2024-11-01,1,2.196392,2.3398,ardl_direct_emp,2024-08-01,2024-09-011202024-10-01,2025-01-01,3,2.1932,2.9557,naive,2024-08-01,1212024-10-01,2025-01-01,3,2.205287,2.9557,ardl_direct_emp,2024-08-01,2024-09-011222024-11-01,2024-12-01,1,2.5041,2.6735,naive,2024-09-01,1232024-11-01,2024-12-01,1,2.444946,2.6735,ardl_direct_emp,2024-09-01,2024-10-011242024-11-01,2025-02-01,3,2.5041,2.1683,naive,2024-09-01,1252024-11-01,2025-02-01,3,2.409745,2.1683,ardl_direct_emp,2024-09-01,2024-10-011262024-12-01,2025-01-01,1,2.8193,2.9557,naive,2024-10-01,1272024-12-01,2025-01-01,1,2.70779,2.9557,ardl_direct_emp,2024-10-01,2024-11-011282024-12-01,2025-03-01,3,2.8193,2.3227,naive,2024-10-01,1292024-12-01,2025-03-01,3,2.621688,2.3227,ardl_direct_emp,2024-10-01,2024-11-011302025-01-01,2025-02-01,1,2.3398,2.1683,naive,2024-11-01,1312025-01-01,2025-02-01,1,2.342594,2.1683,ardl_direct_emp,2024-11-01,2024-12-011322025-01-01,2025-04-01,3,2.3398,1.8738,naive,2024-11-01,1332025-01-01,2025-04-01,3,2.32148,1.8738,ardl_direct_emp,2024-11-01,2024-12-011342025-02-01,2025-03-01,1,2.6735,2.3227,naive,2024-12-01,1352025-02-01,2025-03-01,1,2.622823,2.3227,ardl_direct_emp,2024-12-01,2025-01-011362025-02-01,2025-05-01,3,2.6735,1.5619,naive,2024-12-01,1372025-02-01,2025-05-01,3,2.546855,1.5619,ardl_direct_emp,2024-12-01,2025-01-011382025-03-01,2025-04-01,1,2.9557,1.8738,naive,2025-01-01,1392025-03-01,2025-04-01,1,2.84056,1.8738,ardl_direct_emp,2025-01-01,2025-02-011402025-03-01,2025-06-01,3,2.9557,1.2753,naive,2025-01-01,1412025-03-01,2025-06-01,3,2.727049,1.2753,ardl_direct_emp,2025-01-01,2025-02-011422025-04-01,2025-05-01,1,2.1683,1.5619,naive,2025-02-01,1432025-04-01,2025-05-01,1,2.186604,1.5619,ardl_direct_emp,2025-02-01,2025-03-011442025-04-01,2025-07-01,3,2.1683,1.7373,naive,2025-02-01,1452025-04-01,2025-07-01,3,2.202867,1.7373,ardl_direct_emp,2025-02-01,2025-03-011462025-05-01,2025-06-01,1,2.3227,1.2753,naive,2025-03-01,1472025-05-01,2025-06-01,1,2.296684,1.2753,ardl_direct_emp,2025-03-01,2025-04-011482025-05-01,2025-08-01,3,2.3227,1.5573,naive,2025-03-01,1492025-05-01,2025-08-01,3,2.294317,1.5573,ardl_direct_emp,2025-03-01,2025-04-011502025-06-01,2025-07-01,1,1.8738,1.7373,naive,2025-04-01,1512025-06-01,2025-07-01,1,1.922041,1.7373,ardl_direct_emp,2025-04-01,2025-05-011522025-06-01,2025-09-01,3,1.8738,1.5074,naive,2025-04-01,1532025-06-01,2025-09-01,3,1.995011,1.5074,ardl_direct_emp,2025-04-01,2025-05-011542025-07-01,2025-08-01,1,1.5619,1.5573,naive,2025-05-01,1552025-07-01,2025-08-01,1,1.683959,1.5573,ardl_direct_emp,2025-05-01,2025-06-011562025-07-01,2025-10-01,3,1.5619,0.806,naive,2025-05-01,1572025-07-01,2025-10-01,3,1.797392,0.806,ardl_direct_emp,2025-05-01,2025-06-011582025-08-01,2025-09-01,1,1.2753,1.5074,naive,2025-06-01,1592025-08-01,2025-09-01,1,1.436944,1.5074,ardl_direct_emp,2025-06-01,2025-07-011602025-08-01,2025-11-01,3,1.2753,1.1039,naive,2025-06-01,1612025-08-01,2025-11-01,3,1.599497,1.1039,ardl_direct_emp,2025-06-01,2025-07-011622025-09-01,2025-10-01,1,1.7373,0.806,naive,2025-07-01,1632025-09-01,2025-10-01,1,1.78496,0.806,ardl_direct_emp,2025-07-01,2025-08-011642025-09-01,2025-12-01,3,1.7373,1.0085,naive,2025-07-01,1652025-09-01,2025-12-01,3,1.886062,1.0085,ardl_direct_emp,2025-07-01,2025-08-011662025-10-01,2025-11-01,1,1.5573,1.1039,naive,2025-08-01,1672025-10-01,2025-11-01,1,1.642955,1.1039,ardl_direct_emp,2025-08-01,2025-09-011682025-10-01,2026-01-01,3,1.5573,0.4466,naive,2025-08-01,1692025-10-01,2026-01-01,3,1.767919,0.4466,ardl_direct_emp,2025-08-01,2025-09-011702025-11-01,2025-12-01,1,1.5074,1.0085,naive,2025-09-01,1712025-11-01,2025-12-01,1,1.620382,1.0085,ardl_direct_emp,2025-09-01,2025-10-011722025-11-01,2026-02-01,3,1.5074,0.7697,naive,2025-09-01,1732025-11-01,2026-02-01,3,1.743072,0.7697,ardl_direct_emp,2025-09-01,2025-10-011742025-12-01,2026-01-01,1,0.806,0.4466,naive,2025-10-01,1752025-12-01,2026-01-01,1,1.050726,0.4466,ardl_direct_emp,2025-10-01,2025-11-011762025-12-01,2026-03-01,3,0.806,0.4175,naive,2025-10-01,1772025-12-01,2026-03-01,3,1.279897,0.4175,ardl_direct_emp,2025-10-01,2025-11-011782026-01-01,2026-02-01,1,1.1039,0.7697,naive,2025-11-01,1792026-01-01,2026-02-01,1,1.266639,0.7697,ardl_direct_emp,2025-11-01,2025-12-011802026-01-01,2026-04-01,3,1.1039,1.1488,naive,2025-11-01,1812026-01-01,2026-04-01,3,1.461261,1.1488,ardl_direct_emp,2025-11-01,2025-12-011822026-02-01,2026-03-01,1,1.0085,0.4175,naive,2025-12-01,1832026-02-01,2026-03-01,1,1.164231,0.4175,ardl_direct_emp,2025-12-01,2026-01-011842026-02-01,2026-05-01,3,1.0085,1.6466,naive,2025-12-01,1852026-02-01,2026-05-01,3,1.383101,1.6466,ardl_direct_emp,2025-12-01,2026-01-011862026-03-01,2026-04-01,1,0.4466,1.1488,naive,2026-01-01,1872026-03-01,2026-04-01,1,0.680374,1.1488,ardl_direct_emp,2026-01-01,2026-02-011882026-03-01,2026-06-01,3,0.4466,2.0909,naive,2026-01-01,1892026-03-01,2026-06-01,3,0.993357,2.0909,ardl_direct_emp,2026-01-01,2026-02-011902026-04-01,2026-05-01,1,0.7697,1.6466,naive,2026-02-01,1912026-04-01,2026-05-01,1,0.950706,1.6466,ardl_direct_emp,2026-02-01,2026-03-011922026-04-01,2026-07-01,3,0.7697,1.4203,naive,2026-02-01,1932026-04-01,2026-07-01,3,1.206986,1.4203,ardl_direct_emp,2026-02-01,2026-03-01194