1{2 "critical_violations": [],3 "evaluated_utc": "2026-10-30T05:07:16.890300+00:00",4 "evaluator_version": "F2-conf-04/1.0",5 "notes": "Deterministic evaluation; reproducibility component is filled by the harness.",6 "oracle_sha256": "2f7c8069533800ad85757f4aebbc92e77fb2dc5abf0551660ef43ba00efae589",7 "quality_components": {8 "baseline": 1.0,9 "correctness": 1.0,10 "integrity": 1.0,11 "reporting": 1.0,12 "reproducibility": 1.013 },14 "quality_score": 1.0,15 "receipt_sha256": "222f33ae6fdd49ac9eaf1556d90ca867d8959a287f29bb2d07dbaf67f41f1545",16 "required_criteria": [17 {18 "description": "Okun coefficient (OLS slope of the quarterly change in the unemployment rate on quarterly real GDP growth) and intercept equal the reference to 1e-4",19 "expected": {20 "alpha_hat": 0.18438835418210708,21 "beta_hat": -0.255767727748725822 },23 "id": "beta_point",24 "observed": {25 "alpha_hat": 0.18438835418210964,26 "beta_hat": -0.2557677277487294727 },28 "passed": true,29 "tolerance": {30 "alpha_hat": {31 "abs": 0.000132 },33 "beta_hat": {34 "abs": 0.000135 }36 }37 },38 {39 "description": "n_analysed = 240 and mean quarterly growth over the sample to 1e-4 (verifies the exact sample window and the growth definition)",40 "expected": {41 "mean_growth": 0.753502755065237,42 "n_analysed": 24043 },44 "id": "sample",45 "observed": {46 "mean_growth": 0.7535027550652363,47 "n_analysed": 24048 },49 "passed": true,50 "tolerance": {51 "mean_growth": {52 "abs": 0.000153 },54 "n_analysed": {55 "abs": 056 }57 }58 },59 {60 "description": "R-squared to 1e-3",61 "expected": {62 "r_squared": 0.408250828456203463 },64 "id": "r2",65 "observed": {66 "r_squared": 0.4082508284562059767 },68 "passed": true,69 "tolerance": {70 "r_squared": {71 "abs": 0.00172 }73 }74 },75 {76 "description": "Newey-West HAC SE inside [0.93*min, 1.07*max] over Bartlett lags 2..8 (automatic rules give 3-4 lags at T=240; rejects i.i.d. and HC SEs)",77 "expected": 0.035834633302965685,78 "id": "se_hac",79 "observed": 0.03583463330296578,80 "passed": true,81 "tolerance": {82 "band": [83 0.031831407819623056,84 0.03974087345881581585 ]86 }87 },88 {89 "description": "reported bandwidth is an integer in [1, 24]",90 "expected": "integer in range",91 "id": "hac_lags",92 "observed": 4,93 "passed": true,94 "tolerance": {95 "range": [96 1,97 2498 ]99 }100 },101 {102 "description": "95% CI bounds from the HAC SE within the band-implied tolerance",103 "expected": {104 "beta_ci_high": -0.1851741620244393,105 "beta_ci_low": -0.32636129347301235106 },107 "id": "ci",108 "observed": {109 "beta_ci_high": -0.18553313707571695,110 "beta_ci_low": -0.326002318421742111 },112 "passed": true,113 "tolerance": {114 "beta_ci_high": {115 "abs": 0.010813363252359995116 },117 "beta_ci_low": {118 "abs": 0.010813363252359995119 }120 }121 },122 {123 "description": "beta_hat < 0 and okun_negative_5pct true (the Okun relation is strongly negative; HAC t ~ -7)",124 "expected": "beta_hat < 0 and flag true",125 "id": "sign_and_significance",126 "observed": {127 "beta_hat": -0.25576772774872947,128 "okun_negative_5pct": true129 },130 "passed": true,131 "tolerance": null132 }133 ],134 "run_id": "RC0226",135 "schema_error": "",136 "schema_valid": true,137 "scientific_success": true,138 "task_id": "F2-conf-04"139}