1{2 "task_id": "F4-conf-03",3 "harmonised": {4 "E1": {5 "value": -35.01,6 "unit": "percent change relative to the counterfactual hospitalisation rate",7 "transformation": "100*(exp(b)-1) with b = -0.431 log points: 100*(exp(-0.431)-1) = -35.01% (printed '% change' row: -35.0%)",8 "harmonisable": true,9 "missing_quantity": null,10 "locator": "arxiv-2609.27732v1 | Table 6 | row 'ATT' | column '5 km' (value -0.431**, extract line 36); cross-check row '% change', column '5 km' (-35.0%, line 40)"11 },12 "E2": {13 "value": 1.96,14 "unit": "percent change relative to the control-group mean reemployment rate",15 "transformation": "100*Delta/p with Delta = 1.47 pp and p = 75.0% (control mean): 100*1.47/75.0 = 1.9600%",16 "harmonisable": true,17 "missing_quantity": null,18 "locator": "arxiv-2606.14621v1 | Table 2 | row 'Reemployment' | column 'Average treatment effect estimate' (1.47 pp) and column 'Control' (75.0%) (extract line 29)"19 },20 "E3": {21 "value": -1.82,22 "unit": "percent change in employment",23 "transformation": "100*eta*g with eta = -0.388 and g = 0.047 (proportional MW change, Table 2 row '% MW changes'): 100*(-0.388)*0.047 = -1.8236%",24 "harmonisable": true,25 "missing_quantity": null,26 "locator": "arxiv-2505.04555v3 | Table 2 | row 'Employment elasticity w.r.t MW' | column 'Estimate (SE)' (-0.388, line 50); row '% MW changes' | column 'Estimate (SE)' (0.047, line 60)"27 },28 "E4": {29 "value": null,30 "unit": "hospitalisations per 100,000 inhabitants per year",31 "transformation": "absolute change = R0*(exp(b)-1) with b = -0.354; exp(-0.354)-1 = -0.2981 (relative change -29.81%), but R0, the counterfactual (or pre-treatment) level of the fatal drug-related hospitalisation rate per 100,000 in treated 5 km regions, is not printed in the extract",32 "harmonisable": false,33 "missing_quantity": "baseline/counterfactual level R0 of the fatal drug-related hospitalisation rate per 100,000 inhabitants per year for the treated 5 km-buffer regions (e.g. pre-opening or never-treated mean rate); not printed in Section 6, Table 7, Section 6.1 or Table A19 of the extract",34 "locator": "arxiv-2609.27732v1 | Table 7 | row 'Drug-related (fatal)' | column '5 km' (-0.354**, extract line 86)"35 },36 "E5": {37 "value": -9.62,38 "unit": "percentage points",39 "transformation": "100*b with b = -0.0962 (0-1 scale): 100*(-0.0962) = -9.62 pp",40 "harmonisable": true,41 "missing_quantity": null,42 "locator": "arxiv-2510.03658v1 | Table 3 | row 'Treatment' | column '(4)' (-0.0962, extract line 49)"43 }44 },45 "n_harmonised": 4,46 "n_not_harmonisable": 1,47 "feasibility": "complete",48 "feasibility_reason": null,49 "data_issues": [50 {51 "issue": "arxiv-2609.27732v1: the abstract states fatal drug-related hospitalisations 'fall by 35%', but Section 6.1 says 'approximately 30% at 5 km' and the Table 7 5 km coefficient -0.354 implies 100*(exp(-0.354)-1) = -29.8%.",52 "handling": "Internal inconsistency of the source. E4 uses only the Table 7 coefficient as specified; the 35% figure in the abstract is not used."53 },54 {55 "issue": "arxiv-2609.27732v1: the standard error of the same 5 km CS-DR ATT (-0.431) is printed as (0.210) in Table 6 but (0.218) in Table A19.",56 "handling": "Does not affect point estimates (no uncertainty propagation required); recorded only."57 },58 {59 "issue": "arxiv-2609.27732v1: the Table A19 note says 640 never-treated comparison regions while the tables (and the Table 6 note) report 608 control regions.",60 "handling": "Recorded; does not affect the harmonised values."61 },62 {63 "issue": "arxiv-2609.27732v1: printed '% change' -24.7% for b = -0.283 does not equal 100*(exp(b)-1) = -24.65% at one decimal.",64 "handling": "Minor discrepancy (at most 0.1 percentage point; plausibly from the printed coefficient being rounded to 3 decimals) in a cell not used for any harmonised item (the E1 cell matches); recorded only."65 },66 {67 "issue": "arxiv-2609.27732v1: printed '% change' -30.3% for b = -0.362 does not equal 100*(exp(b)-1) = -30.37% at one decimal.",68 "handling": "Minor discrepancy (at most 0.1 percentage point; plausibly from the printed coefficient being rounded to 3 decimals) in a cell not used for any harmonised item (the E1 cell matches); recorded only."69 },70 {71 "issue": "arxiv-2609.27732v1: printed '% change' -13.9% for b = -0.149 does not equal 100*(exp(b)-1) = -13.84% at one decimal.",72 "handling": "Minor discrepancy (at most 0.1 percentage point; plausibly from the printed coefficient being rounded to 3 decimals) in a cell not used for any harmonised item (the E1 cell matches); recorded only."73 },74 {75 "issue": "arxiv-2609.27732v1: no level (mean) of any hospitalisation rate is printed in the extract, so log-point effects cannot be converted to absolute changes per 100,000.",76 "handling": "E4 declared not harmonisable (value null) with the missing quantity named; no external value substituted."77 },78 {79 "issue": "arxiv-2505.04555v3: Table 2 prints '% MW changes' = 0.047 while the table note says 'about 4% minimum wage increase'. Despite the '%' label, 0.047 is read as a proportion (4.7%), consistent with the note's order of magnitude.",80 "handling": "Used the table value g = 0.047 as the target definition requires ('as printed in the same table'); with g = 0.04 the implied change would be -1.55% (sensitivity only, not reported as the value)."81 },82 {83 "issue": "arxiv-2510.03658v1: the abstract and the first paragraph of Section 4.1 report an effect of 0.0855 (18.79%, mean 0.455) attributed to 'table 2', which is not in the extract; Table 3 column (4) prints -0.0962 with Mean Dep. Var. 0.261 and % Change -0.3685 (computed b/mean = -0.3686). Footnote markers are rendered as duplicated text (e.g. 'percent^9^9 9').",84 "handling": "E5 uses Table 3 column (4) as specified by effects.json; the 0.0855 figure is not used. The rendering defect does not affect any number used."85 },86 {87 "issue": "arxiv-2510.03658v1: the source calls b/mean a 'percentage change' (a relative change), which differs from the percentage-point target definition.",88 "handling": "E5 reports the absolute change in percentage points (100*b); the relative figure is not used as the harmonised value."89 },90 {91 "issue": "arxiv-2606.14621v1: the Table 2 control mean (75.0%) is a raw aggregate group mean, whereas the ATE (1.47 pp) adjusts for randomisation week (the paper notes that raw group comparisons are biased under blocking). Also a rendering defect 'p ¡ 0.001' in the text; the abstract rounds the effect to 1.5 pp.",92 "handling": "Used the printed control mean as p, as the target definition specifies (percent of the control-group mean); flagged as approximate. Used 1.47 pp from Table 2, not the rounded 1.5."93 }94 ],95 "n_input_rows": {96 "effects.json": 5,97 "README.md": 16,98 "sources/arxiv-2505.04555v3.txt": 66,99 "sources/arxiv-2510.03658v1.txt": 91,100 "sources/arxiv-2606.14621v1.txt": 58,101 "sources/arxiv-2609.27732v1.txt": 134102 },103 "n_analysed": 5,104 "random_seed": null,105 "baseline_printed_estimates": {106 "E1": -0.431,107 "E2": 1.47,108 "E3": -0.388,109 "E4": -0.354,110 "E5": -0.0962111 },112 "consistency_checks": {113 "E1_vs_printed_pct_change": {114 "computed": -35.0141,115 "printed": -35.0,116 "agree_to_printed_precision": true117 },118 "E3_alt_with_note_4pct": -1.552,119 "E4_relative_pct_only": -29.8125,120 "E5_pct_change_consistency": {121 "b_over_mean": -0.3686,122 "printed": -0.3685123 },124 "DCR_pct_change_rows": [125 {126 "b": -0.399,127 "printed_pct": -32.9,128 "computed_pct": -32.9,129 "match_1dp": true130 },131 {132 "b": -0.283,133 "printed_pct": -24.7,134 "computed_pct": -24.65,135 "match_1dp": false136 },137 {138 "b": -0.431,139 "printed_pct": -35.0,140 "computed_pct": -35.01,141 "match_1dp": true142 },143 {144 "b": -0.431,145 "printed_pct": -35.0,146 "computed_pct": -35.01,147 "match_1dp": true148 },149 {150 "b": -0.438,151 "printed_pct": -35.5,152 "computed_pct": -35.47,153 "match_1dp": true154 },155 {156 "b": -0.362,157 "printed_pct": -30.3,158 "computed_pct": -30.37,159 "match_1dp": false160 },161 {162 "b": -0.149,163 "printed_pct": -13.9,164 "computed_pct": -13.84,165 "match_1dp": false166 }167 ],168 "DCR_text_claims_5km_pct": {169 "fatal": -29.81,170 "narcotics": 47.7,171 "mental": -31.68172 }173 }174}