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spb/wp29_uqo

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1{2  "task_id": "F6-conf-01",3  "n_missing_rows": 215,4  "n_train": 2500,5  "n_test": 2501,6  "anova_f_stat": 0.26346571680711994,7  "anova_p_value": 0.9015060507654888,8  "effect_estimate": 0.05017009840169966,9  "effect_ci_low": -0.319335775694099,10  "effect_ci_high": 0.41967597249749833,11  "baseline_metric": 4.875704154642543,12  "model_metric": 4.883841522290305,13  "conclusion": "no_detectable_effect",14  "feasibility": "complete",15  "feasibility_reason": null,16  "data_issues": [17    {18      "issue": "215 rows with empty DGS10 field (US market holidays / no publication)",19      "handling": "rows dropped before computing changes, as required; the change after a gap spans >1 business day and is attributed to the weekday of its end date"20    },21    {22      "issue": "214 changes span a holiday gap (longer than the usual 1 or 3 calendar days); this mixes horizons across weekdays (e.g. Tuesdays after Monday holidays)",23      "handling": "kept as specified by TASK.md; noted as a limitation"24    }25  ],26  "n_input_rows": {27    "DGS10.csv": 521728  },29  "n_analysed": 5001,30  "random_seed": null,31  "supplementary": {32    "monday_contrast_method": "Welch two-sample t (Monday vs other weekdays)",33    "welch_se_bp": 0.18837955539096202,34    "welch_df": 1548.9581965107568,35    "welch_p_value": 0.7900247217974673,36    "train_weekday_means_bp": {37      "Monday": -0.05434782608695535,38      "Tuesday": -0.40545808966861635,39      "Wednesday": -0.20542635658914643,40      "Thursday": 0.013833992094862349,41      "Friday": 0.1168316831683146242    },43    "rmse_train_overall_mean_bp": 4.87519865288523,44    "rmse_ratio_model_to_baseline": 1.0016689625518016,45    "n_valid_obs": 500246  }47}
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