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spb/wp29_uqo

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1{2  "task_id": "F6-conf-01",3  "feasibility": "complete",4  "feasibility_reason": null,5  "data_issues": [6    {7      "issue": "215 rows with empty DGS10 (US market holidays incl. 2001-09-11/12)",8      "handling": "dropped before differencing, per TASK rules"9    },10    {11      "issue": "213 changes span a holiday (calendar gap 2 or 4 days), i.e. cover more than one trading session",12      "handling": "kept and attributed to weekday of t as the TASK prescribes; noted as a limitation"13    },14    {15      "issue": "extreme changes (e.g. -51 bp on 2009-03-18, -27 bp on 2008-09-15) during the 2008-09 crisis",16      "handling": "kept (genuine market events); no outlier trimming; discussed as limitation"17    },18    {19      "issue": "yields quoted to 0.01 percentage point, so changes are discretised at 1 bp",20      "handling": "none needed; noted"21    }22  ],23  "n_input_rows": {24    "DGS10.csv": 521725  },26  "n_analysed": 5001,27  "random_seed": null,28  "n_missing_rows": 215,29  "n_train": 2500,30  "n_test": 2501,31  "anova_f_stat": 0.26346571680712,32  "anova_p_value": 0.9015060507654888,33  "effect_estimate": 0.05017009840169966,34  "effect_ci_low": -0.319335775694099,35  "effect_ci_high": 0.41967597249749833,36  "baseline_metric": 4.875704154642543,37  "model_metric": 4.883841522290305,38  "conclusion": "no_detectable_effect",39  "effect_se_welch": 0.18837955539096202,40  "effect_df_welch": 1548.9581965107568,41  "train_weekday_means_bp": {42    "Monday": -0.05434782608695535,43    "Tuesday": -0.40545808966861635,44    "Wednesday": -0.20542635658914643,45    "Thursday": 0.013833992094862349,46    "Friday": 0.1168316831683146247  },48  "rmse_ratio_model_over_baseline": 1.0016689625518016,49  "robust_kruskal_wallis_p": 0.47102318097227847,50  "robust_levene_p": 1.0122651168712971e-07,51  "robust_effect_ci_hc1": [52    -0.3189570734770597,53    0.419297270280460454  ],55  "robust_effect_ci_nw5": [56    -0.3292803583071403,57    0.42962055511054158  ],59  "robust_anova_p_excl_crisis_2008_09_to_2009_06": 0.5883921797034571,60  "n_excl_crisis": 479461}
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