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spb/wp29_uqo

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# Verification checks (P4), 2026-10-29

check outcome
Clean re-run (deleted results.json, table1.csv, figure1.png, exclusions.csv; re-ran analysis.py) → results.json byte-identical (cmp) PASS
CI contains estimate: 4.854 < 5.267 < 5.680 PASS
effect_se, baseline_metric, model_metric > 0 PASS
Exclusion ledger: 2349 − (396+1736+20) = 197 = n_analysed PASS
n_analysed + n_excluded_missing = 217 countries in 2023 PASS
pearson_r² = r_squared (simple OLS identity) PASS
r_squared = 1 − (model_metric/baseline_metric)² PASS
model_metric < baseline_metric PASS
table1 n_countries sums to n_analysed (197) PASS
CI half-width = 1.95996 × HC3 SE PASS
conclusion code consistent with CI sign PASS
analysis_year = max year with ≥150 complete countries (all years qualify; 2023 has 197) PASS
Magnitude: fitted LE at ln(GDPpc)=9.5 ≈ 72.6 years, plausible; slope in typical literature range (~4–6 yrs/log point) PASS
Figure visually inspected: scatter + OLS line, labelled axes PASS
data/ unmodified (SHA-256 identical to README) PASS
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