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spb/wp29_uqo

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1{2  "task_id": "F6-dev-01",3  "analysis_year": 2023,4  "n_excluded_missing": 20,5  "baseline_metric": 7.07645404460588,6  "model_metric": 3.5949979094078177,7  "pearson_r": 0.8613437957840087,8  "r_squared": 0.7419131345356038,9  "effect_estimate": 5.267173451958655,10  "intercept": 22.56709274982858,11  "effect_se": 0.21067528691162227,12  "effect_ci_low": 4.854257477179233,13  "effect_ci_high": 5.6800894267380775,14  "conclusion": "positive_effect",15  "feasibility": "complete",16  "feasibility_reason": null,17  "data_issues": [18    {19      "issue": "wb_indicators.csv contains 44 regional/income/other aggregate entities mixed with countries/economies",20      "handling": "excluded via region == 'Aggregates' in wb_entities.csv"21    },22    {23      "issue": "20 countries/economies in 2023 lack an indicator (GDPpc missing: 20, LE missing: 0): ASM, CHI, CUB, ERI, GIB, GUM, IMN, LIE, MAF, MCO, MNP, NCL, PRK, PYF, SSD, SYR, VEN, VGB, VIR, YEM; mostly small territories and conflict/sanctioned economies, so missingness is not random",24      "handling": "excluded from the estimate, counted in n_excluded_missing; no imputation"25    },26    {27      "issue": "implausibly large year-to-year life-expectancy swings (>10 years) in: CAF (max |dLE|=38.6), SSD (max |dLE|=16.6), PSE (max |dLE|=11.5); e.g. CAF LE 18.8 in 2022 vs 57.4 in 2023; PSE 2023 LE 65.2 vs 76.7 in 2022 (plausibly war-related; not verified)",28      "handling": "only 2023 values enter the estimate; values kept as published (no editing); influence checked with leave-one-out slopes"29    },30    {31      "issue": "4 entity names in wb_entities.csv carry trailing whitespace",32      "handling": "cosmetic; joins use iso3 only"33    }34  ],35  "n_input_rows": {36    "wb_indicators.csv": 2349,37    "wb_entities.csv": 29638  },39  "n_analysed": 197,40  "random_seed": null,41  "se_type": "HC3",42  "ci_method": "beta +/- 1.959964 * HC3 SE (normal approximation)",43  "complete_countries_by_year": {44    "2015": 199,45    "2016": 199,46    "2017": 199,47    "2018": 199,48    "2019": 199,49    "2020": 199,50    "2021": 199,51    "2022": 199,52    "2023": 19753  },54  "n_countries_in_year": 217,55  "n_aggregate_entities_excluded": 44,56  "effect_se_hc0": 0.20736485591704354,57  "effect_se_hc1": 0.2084255526375312,58  "effect_se_hc2": 0.20901105806015902,59  "effect_se_hc3": 0.21067528691162227,60  "effect_se_classical": 0.22246758287864518,61  "loo_slope_min": 5.205387994234399,62  "loo_slope_min_dropped": "TCD",63  "loo_slope_max": 5.327563424394044,64  "loo_slope_max_dropped": "GRL",65  "rmse_reduction_share": 0.491977495120151,66  "le_gain_per_doubling_gdp": 3.650926427745336,67  "mean_life_expectancy": 73.47408158883249,68  "mean_log_gdp_pc": 9.66495394604360869}
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