1- 2026-10-30 P0 passed: contract written.2- 2026-10-30 P1 passed: audit done, analysis year 2023, 197 analysed, 20 excluded missing GDP. Decision: keep anomalous LE values as published (only 2023 used); HC3 SE with normal 95% CI.3- 2026-10-30 P2 passed: baseline mean-only RMSE computed (baseline_metric) in analysis.py with the same RMSE rule as model_metric.4- 2026-10-30 P3 passed: out/analysis.py written; OLS + HC3, figure, table, exclusions ledger.5- 2026-10-30 P4 passed: clean rerun identical, checks.md all PASS, gate run 1 (failures only for P5 files).6- 2026-10-30 P5: report.md and claims.json written; running final gate.7- 2026-10-30 P5 passed: final gate PASSED (receipt 20261030T053343.137376Z).8