SPB Git

spb/wp29_uqo

Public
3.2 KB · 157 lines json
1{2  "publication_audit": [3    {4      "origin": "2025-10-31",5      "last_month": "2025-08-01",6      "months_behind": 2,7      "payems_last": "2025-08-01"8    },9    {10      "origin": "2025-11-30",11      "last_month": "2025-09-01",12      "months_behind": 2,13      "payems_last": "2025-09-01"14    },15    {16      "origin": "2025-12-31",17      "last_month": "2025-10-01",18      "months_behind": 2,19      "payems_last": "2025-11-01"20    },21    {22      "origin": "2026-01-31",23      "last_month": "2025-11-01",24      "months_behind": 2,25      "payems_last": "2025-12-01"26    },27    {28      "origin": "2026-02-28",29      "last_month": "2025-12-01",30      "months_behind": 2,31      "payems_last": "2026-01-01"32    },33    {34      "origin": "2026-03-31",35      "last_month": "2026-01-01",36      "months_behind": 2,37      "payems_last": "2026-02-01"38    },39    {40      "origin": "2026-04-30",41      "last_month": "2026-03-01",42      "months_behind": 1,43      "payems_last": "2026-03-01"44    },45    {46      "origin": "2026-05-31",47      "last_month": "2026-04-01",48      "months_behind": 1,49      "payems_last": "2026-04-01"50    },51    {52      "origin": "2026-06-30",53      "last_month": "2026-05-01",54      "months_behind": 1,55      "payems_last": "2026-05-01"56    },57    {58      "origin": "2026-07-31",59      "last_month": "2026-06-01",60      "months_behind": 1,61      "payems_last": "2026-06-01"62    }63  ],64  "bootstrap": {65    "1": {66      "rmse_diff_naive_minus_model": 0.44444924822569176,67      "ci95": [68        0.2605365693579822,69        0.645669455582066270      ],71      "share_positive": 1.072    },73    "3": {74      "rmse_diff_naive_minus_model": 0.36619144775041756,75      "ci95": [76        -0.029850618374571158,77        0.905633160106620678      ],79      "share_positive": 0.960496049604960580    }81  },82  "drift_window_sensitivity_posthoc": {83    "W12_h1_rmse": 0.5502977033274408,84    "W12_h3_rmse": 1.1422197516272528,85    "W24_h1_rmse": 0.5309696592940419,86    "W24_h3_rmse": 0.9894188948956547,87    "W36_h1_rmse": 0.5524251036350836,88    "W36_h3_rmse": 1.0538489260016293,89    "W60_h1_rmse": 0.5949739162142739,90    "W60_h3_rmse": 1.0758464480657726,91    "W120_h1_rmse": 0.5516865259647128,92    "W120_h3_rmse": 0.97708690897947993  },94  "revisions_h1": [95    [96      "2025-09-01",97      3.62332320745983,98      4.17354,99      -0.5502167925401702100    ],101    [102      "2025-10-01",103      2.7460176832785423,104      3.410194,105      -0.6641763167214578106    ],107    [108      "2025-11-01",109      2.83868101772185,110      3.277601,111      -0.4389199822781502112    ],113    [114      "2025-12-01",115      2.0700881834455918,116      2.398715,117      -0.3286268165544084118    ],119    [120      "2026-01-01",121      2.1315240242387765,122      3.1072,123      -0.9756759757612237124    ],125    [126      "2026-02-01",127      3.4761653691061247,128      3.886121,129      -0.40995563089387543130    ],131    [132      "2026-04-01",133      4.010302170898596,134      4.758475,135      -0.7481728291014038136    ],137    [138      "2026-05-01",139      6.485002073991283,140      6.650342,141      -0.16533992600871716142    ],143    [144      "2026-06-01",145      5.7589671864483325,146      6.503056,147      -0.7440888135516674148    ],149    [150      "2026-07-01",151      4.430792055022191,152      4.887817,153      -0.45702494497780943154    ]155  ],156  "ar1_note": "see forecasts.csv"157}
Files · main
Menu

Theme