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spb/wp29_uqo

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  • 2026-10-30 P0 passed: contract written.
  • 2026-10-30 P1 passed: audit done; decision: model uses RSAFS vintage only (PAYEMS/UMCSENT not used), pre-specified before any evaluation metric computed.
  • 2026-10-30 P2,P3 passed. P4: all verification checks pass; gate forecasts_chronology fails by construction (h=1 target months precede month-end origins due to publication lag); decided NOT to alter target_date (TASK.md authoritative); P4 marked blocked with explanation.
  • 2026-10-30 P5: report/claims written; final gate 64/65 ok, sole failure forecasts_chronology (spec conflict, documented). P4/P5 status blocked for that reason only.
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