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UQO Working Paper No. 2 — Decoding Real Estate Descriptions: text-based hedonic analysis of housing listings.

harmonisation standard UQO WP (2026-10-17)

Page titre du gabarit, natbib + aer, docs/ pour les rapports d'audit, README au standard (Status, citation WP 2), .gitignore et Makefile/.latexmkrc du gabarit, main.pdf recompilé.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Simon-Pierre Boucher committed (Oct 17, 2026) parent e668c91 Browse files

11 changed files +196 −297

modified .gitignore +27 −9
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1 −# Data — too large / sensitive for git (see data/README.md)
2 −data/*
3 −!data/README.md
1 +# Raw & processed data — never committed (see data/raw/README.md for provenance)
2 +data/raw/*
3 +!data/raw/README.md
4 +data/processed/*
5 +!data/processed/.gitkeep
6 +
7 +# Python
8 +__pycache__/
9 +*.pyc
10 +.pytest_cache/
11 +.venv/
12 +*.egg-info/
4 13
5 −# LaTeX build artifacts
14 +# LaTeX build artifacts (paper/main.pdf IS committed)
6 15 paper/*.aux
7 16 paper/*.log
8 17 paper/*.out
9 18 paper/*.toc
10 −paper/*.bbl
11 −paper/*.blg
19 +paper/*.lof
20 +paper/*.lot
12 21 paper/*.fls
13 22 paper/*.fdb_latexmk
23 +paper/*.bbl
24 +paper/*.blg
25 +paper/*.spl
14 26 paper/*.synctex.gz
27 +paper/*.run.xml
28 +paper/*.bcf
29 +
30 +# Logs
31 +logs/
32 +*.log
15 33
16 34 # macOS
17 35 .DS_Store
18 36
19 −# Python
20 −__pycache__/
21 −*.pyc
37 +# Project-specific: raw SQLite + processed caches (see data/README.md)
38 +data/*
39 +!data/README.md
modified README.md +147 −264
@@ -1,93 +1,76 @@
1 −<!-- Author: Simon-Pierre Boucher — contact@spboucher.ai -->
2 −
3 −<div align="center">
4 −
1 +<!-- Author: Simon-Pierre Boucher — simon-pierre.boucher@uqo.ca -->
5 2 # 🏠 Decoding Real Estate Descriptions
6 3
7 −### Semantic Embeddings and Hedonic Pricing of Residential Properties in Quebec
8 −
9 −**UQO Working Paper No. 2**
10 −
11 −[![Author](https://img.shields.io/badge/Author-Simon--Pierre%20Boucher-0033A0?style=flat-square)](mailto:contact@spboucher.ai)
12 −[![Contact](https://img.shields.io/badge/Contact-contact%40spboucher.ai-D14836?style=flat-square&logo=gmail&logoColor=white)](mailto:contact@spboucher.ai)
13 −[![Institution](https://img.shields.io/badge/UQO-D%C3%A9partement%20des%20sciences%20administratives-00539F?style=flat-square)](https://uqo.ca)
14 −
15 −[![Python](https://img.shields.io/badge/Python-3.14-3776AB?style=flat-square&logo=python&logoColor=white)](https://www.python.org/)
16 −[![LaTeX](https://img.shields.io/badge/LaTeX-latexmk%20%7C%20pdfLaTeX-008080?style=flat-square&logo=latex&logoColor=white)](https://www.latex-project.org/)
17 −[![sentence-transformers](https://img.shields.io/badge/sentence--transformers-all--MiniLM--L6--v2-FF6F00?style=flat-square&logo=huggingface&logoColor=white)](https://huggingface.co/sentence-transformers/all-MiniLM-L6-v2)
18 −[![statsmodels](https://img.shields.io/badge/statsmodels-OLS%20%7C%20QuantReg%20%7C%20HC3-4051B5?style=flat-square)](https://www.statsmodels.org/)
19 −[![scikit-learn](https://img.shields.io/badge/scikit--learn-PCA%20%7C%20Lasso%20%7C%20ElasticNet-F7931E?style=flat-square&logo=scikitlearn&logoColor=white)](https://scikit-learn.org/)
4 +**UQO Working Paper No. 2** — *Semantic Embeddings and Hedonic Pricing of Residential Properties in Quebec*
20 5
21 −[![Reproducible](https://img.shields.io/badge/Reproducible-end--to--end%20pipeline-2E7D32?style=flat-square&logo=githubactions&logoColor=white)](#-reproducing-everything)
22 −[![Sample](https://img.shields.io/badge/n-17%2C087%20houses-1565C0?style=flat-square)](#-data)
23 −[![Model](https://img.shields.io/badge/Adj.%20R%C2%B2-0.452%20%E2%86%92%200.511-6A1B9A?style=flat-square)](#-key-results)
24 −[![Paper](https://img.shields.io/badge/Paper-53%20pages%20PDF-B71C1C?style=flat-square&logo=adobeacrobatreader&logoColor=white)](paper/main.pdf)
25 −[![References](https://img.shields.io/badge/References-86%20verified%20(OpenAlex%20%2B%20DOI)-00695C?style=flat-square&logo=googlescholar&logoColor=white)](paper/references.bib)
26 −[![JEL](https://img.shields.io/badge/JEL-R31%20%C2%B7%20C45%20%C2%B7%20C21%20%C2%B7%20R21-455A64?style=flat-square)](#-citation)
6 +[![Paper](https://img.shields.io/badge/paper-PDF%20(53%20p.)-b31b1b?logo=latex&logoColor=white)](paper/main.pdf)
7 +[![Python](https://img.shields.io/badge/python-3.11%2B-3776AB?logo=python&logoColor=white)](requirements.txt)
8 +[![Data](https://img.shields.io/badge/data-17%2C087%20houses%20·%20SQLite%20%2B%20parquet-4051b5)](data/README.md)
9 +[![Model](https://img.shields.io/badge/model-all--MiniLM--L6--v2%20·%20OLS%20HC3-4051b5)](src/)
10 +[![Reproducible](https://img.shields.io/badge/reproducible-end--to--end%20pipeline-2e7d32)](scripts/)
11 +[![Institution](https://img.shields.io/badge/UQO-D%C3%A9pt.%20des%20sciences%20administratives-16365c)](https://uqo.ca)
12 +[![Author](https://img.shields.io/badge/author-Simon--Pierre%20Boucher-16365c)](mailto:simon-pierre.boucher@uqo.ca)
27 13
28 −</div>
14 +> **TL;DR** — Listing descriptions written by real-estate agents contain price-relevant information that classic hedonic
15 +> variables miss. The free-text `PublicRemarks` of **17,087 Quebec single-family house listings** are embedded with a
16 +> sentence transformer, projected onto **20 researcher-defined semantic reference descriptions** (*Luxury*, *Needs
17 +> Renovation*, *Waterfront*, *Motivated Seller*, …) via cosine similarity, and the 20 interpretable scores are added to a
18 +> log-price hedonic OLS model. Adjusted R² rises from **0.452 to 0.511** (joint *F* = 99.53, *p* < 0.001); each semantic
19 +> dimension carries a named, signed, economically meaningful implicit price (Modern/Contemporary +16.4 %, Luxury +14.2 %,
20 +> Needs Renovation −7.9 %, Motivated Seller −8.5 % per SD).
29 21
30 22 ---
31 23
32 −> **TL;DR** — Listing descriptions written by real estate agents contain price-relevant information that classic hedonic variables miss. This project embeds the free-text `PublicRemarks` of **17,087 Quebec single-family house listings** with a sentence transformer, projects each embedding onto **20 researcher-defined semantic reference descriptions** (*Luxury*, *Needs Renovation*, *Waterfront*, *Motivated Seller*, …) via cosine similarity, and adds those 20 interpretable scores to a log-price hedonic OLS model. Adjusted R² rises from **0.452 to 0.511** (joint *F* = 99.53, *p* < 0.001), and each semantic dimension carries a named, signed, economically meaningful implicit price.
24 +## 📌 Status
33 25
34 −---
35 −
36 −## 📖 Table of Contents
37 −
38 −- [Overview](#-overview)
39 −- [Key Results](#-key-results)
40 −- [Methodology](#-methodology)
41 −- [Repository Structure](#-repository-structure)
42 −- [The Pipeline, Script by Script](#-the-pipeline-script-by-script)
43 −- [Data](#-data)
44 −- [Reproducing Everything](#-reproducing-everything)
45 −- [Building the Paper](#-building-the-paper)
46 −- [Verification & Provenance](#-verification--provenance)
47 −- [Figures Gallery](#-figures-gallery)
48 −- [Requirements](#-requirements)
49 −- [Citation](#-citation)
50 −- [Author & Contact](#-author--contact)
51 −
52 −---
53 −
54 −## 🔍 Overview
26 +| Item | Value |
27 +|---|---|
28 +| Version | 1.1 (May 2026) — cover page harmonised to the UQO WP standard, October 2026 |
29 +| SSRN | Abstract ID **7626640** (submitted 2026-10-17, preliminary upload) |
30 +| Journal | not yet submitted |
31 +| Code & data | fully reproducible from `scripts/`; raw database not redistributed (see Data) |
55 32
56 −Hedonic pricing models decompose a property's price into the implicit prices of its characteristics — bedrooms, bathrooms, lot size. But the *narrative* of a listing ("cuisine gastronomique, comptoirs de quartz…" vs. "besoin de rénovation, vendu tel quel…") carries quality information that no structured field captures.
33 +## 🎯 What this paper does
57 34
58 −The catch, historically, is a **depth-vs-interpretability trade-off**:
35 +Hedonic pricing models decompose a property's price into the implicit prices of its characteristics — bedrooms,
36 +bathrooms, lot size. But the *narrative* of a listing («cuisine gastronomique, comptoirs de quartz…» vs. «besoin de
37 +rénovation, vendu tel quel…») carries quality information that no structured field captures. Historically there has been
38 +a depth-vs-interpretability trade-off:
59 39
60 40 | Approach | Semantic depth | Economic interpretability |
61 41 |---|---|---|
62 42 | Keyword counts / bag-of-words | ❌ shallow | ✅ high |
63 43 | Sentiment scores | ❌ one dimension | ✅ high |
64 44 | LDA topics | 🟡 moderate | ❌ unstable |
65 −| Raw BERT/transformer embeddings | ✅ deep | ❌ opaque (384–768 anonymous dims) |
45 +| Raw transformer embeddings | ✅ deep | ❌ opaque (384–768 anonymous dims) |
66 46 | **Reference-based cosine projection (this paper)** | ✅ **deep** | ✅ **high** |
67 47
68 −**The idea:** instead of feeding 384 anonymous embedding dimensions into a regression, define 20 short *reference descriptions* — synthetic French paragraphs, each embodying one qualitative housing dimension — embed them with the same model, and use the **cosine similarity between each listing and each reference** as 20 named regressors. Every coefficient then reads directly as "the implicit price of sounding more *luxury* / more *fixer-upper* / more *waterfront*", per standard deviation.
69 −
70 −This is conceptually analogous to factor-mimicking portfolios in asset pricing, and to concept-bottleneck models in interpretable ML: the deep representation is channeled through human-named concepts before inference.
71 −
72 −---
48 +Instead of feeding 384 anonymous embedding dimensions into a regression, the paper defines 20 short *reference
49 +descriptions* — synthetic French paragraphs, each embodying one qualitative housing dimension — embeds them with the same
50 +model, and uses the **cosine similarity between each listing and each reference** as 20 named regressors:
73 51
74 −## 📊 Key Results
52 +```
53 +log(P_i) = α + β'X_i + δ·len_i + γ'S_i + ε_i S_i = E_i · Rᵀ (17,087 × 20)
54 +```
75 55
76 −### Model comparison (n = 17,087)
56 +Every coefficient then reads directly as «the implicit price of sounding more *luxury* / more *fixer-upper* / more
57 +*waterfront*», per standard deviation — analogous to factor-mimicking portfolios in asset pricing and to concept-bottleneck
58 +models in interpretable ML.
77 59
78 −| Model | Specification | R² | Adj. R² | AIC | BIC | k |
79 −|:---:|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
80 −| A | Structural only | 0.4525 | 0.4523 | 26,165 | 26,219 | 6 |
81 −| B | A + description length | 0.4647 | 0.4645 | 25,779 | 25,841 | 7 |
82 −| C | A + 20 semantic similarities | 0.4962 | 0.4954 | 24,783 | 24,992 | 26 |
83 −| **D** | **Full (B + C)** | **0.5122** | **0.5115** | **24,232** | 24,448 | 27 |
84 −| E | Parsimonious (16 significant dims) | 0.5118 | 0.5111 | 24,239 | **24,425** | 23 |
60 +## 🏆 Headline results
85 61
86 −Joint significance of the 21 text variables (D vs. A): ***F* = 99.53, *p* < 0.001**. Variance decomposition of Model D: structural 88.3 %, text length 2.4 %, semantics 9.3 %.
62 +| Model (n = 17,087) | Specification | Adj. R² | AIC | k |
63 +|:---:|---|---:|---:|---:|
64 +| A | Structural only | 0.4523 | 26,165 | 6 |
65 +| B | A + description length | 0.4645 | 25,779 | 7 |
66 +| C | A + 20 semantic similarities | 0.4954 | 24,783 | 26 |
67 +| **D** | **Full (B + C)** | **0.5115** | **24,232** | 27 |
68 +| E | Parsimonious (16 significant dims) | 0.5111 | 24,239 | 23 |
87 69
88 −### Implicit semantic price gradients (Model D, per +1 SD, HC3 errors)
70 +Joint significance of the 21 text variables (D vs. A): ***F* = 99.53, *p* < 0.001**. Variance decomposition of Model D:
71 +structural 88.3 %, text length 2.4 %, semantics 9.3 %.
89 72
90 −| 📈 Positive | Impact | 📉 Negative | Impact |
73 +| 📈 Positive (per +1 SD, HC3) | Impact | 📉 Negative | Impact |
91 74 |---|---:|---|---:|
92 75 | Modern/Contemporary | **+16.4 %*** | Family-Friendly | **−11.6 %*** |
93 76 | Luxury | **+14.2 %*** | New Construction | **−10.5 %*** |
@@ -96,223 +79,127 @@ Joint significance of the 21 text variables (D vs. A): ***F* = 99.53, *p* < 0.00
96 79 | Waterfront | +4.7 %*** | Motivated Seller | **−8.5 %*** |
97 80 | Panoramic View | +3.0 %** | Needs Renovation | **−7.9 %*** |
98 81
99 −<sub>*** p < 0.001, ** p < 0.01. Negative coefficients on Family-Friendly / New Construction largely proxy suburban location (see paper §6). Impact = (e^β − 1) × 100 %.</sub>
82 +<sub>*** p < 0.001, ** p < 0.01. Negative coefficients on Family-Friendly / New Construction largely proxy suburban location (paper §6). Impact = (e^β − 1) × 100 %.</sub>
100 83
101 −### Heterogeneity & robustness (highlights)
84 +- **Quantile regressions** (τ = 0.25 / 0.50 / 0.75): the Luxury premium rises monotonically from 9.7 % to 17.3 %; urgency
85 + and condition discounts attenuate at the top of the market.
86 +- **Bootstrap** (1,000 replications): SEs within 9 % of HC3. **Trimming** (1st/99th percentiles): no sign reversal.
87 +- **Multicollinearity disclosed**: similarity dimensions correlate at 0.66–0.97 (mean VIF 17.2); block inference unaffected.
88 +- **PCA benchmark**: 20 principal components fit better (ΔR² +0.070 vs. +0.044) but are economically unreadable.
102 89
103 −- **Quantile regressions** (τ = 0.25 / 0.50 / 0.75): the Luxury premium rises monotonically from **9.7 %** at the 25th percentile to **17.3 %** at the 75th; urgency and condition discounts attenuate at the top of the market.
104 −- **Bootstrap** (1,000 replications, seed 42): SEs within 9 % of HC3 (15/20 within 5 %).
105 −- **Outlier trimming** (1st/99th price percentiles): no sign reversal, all 16 significant dimensions stay significant.
106 −- **Multicollinearity is real and disclosed**: similarity dimensions correlate at 0.66–0.97 (mean VIF 17.2). Block-level inference is unaffected; individual coefficients are partial associations within a correlated block.
107 −- **PCA benchmark**: 20 principal components of the raw embeddings fit *better* (ΔR² +0.070 vs. +0.044) but are economically unreadable — the paper quantifies the interpretability-vs-fit trade-off explicitly.
108 −
109 −---
110 −
111 −## 🧪 Methodology
112 −
113 −```
114 −┌─────────────┐ ┌──────────────┐ ┌──────────────┐ ┌─────────────┐ ┌──────────────┐
115 −│ Property │ │ Sentence │ │ Cosine │ │ Hedonic │ │ Implicit │
116 −│ Listings ├──▶│ Embeddings ├──▶│ Similarity ├──▶│ OLS Model ├──▶│ Price │
117 −│ (n=17,087) │ │ (384-d) │ │ (20 refs) │ │ (HC3 s.e.) │ │ Estimates │
118 −└─────────────┘ └──────────────┘ └──────────────┘ └─────────────┘ └──────────────┘
119 − PublicRemarks all-MiniLM-L6-v2 S = E · Rᵀ log(P) = α + β'X + δℓ + γ's + ε
120 −```
121 −
122 −1. **Extraction** — houses only, price > 0, description ≥ 20 characters; minimal preprocessing (the transformer handles raw text).
123 −2. **Embedding** — `all-MiniLM-L6-v2` (22.7M params, 384-d, L2-normalized), batch 256; the whole corpus encodes in seconds on Apple Silicon.
124 −3. **Projection** — 20 French reference descriptions (146–257 chars each, full verbatim text in paper Appendix A), designed for *semantic saturation*, *dimensional specificity*, *linguistic consistency*. One matrix product yields the 17,087 × 20 similarity matrix.
125 −4. **Estimation** — nested OLS models A–E on log price, all covariates standardized, HC3 robust errors; joint F-tests; quantile regressions; bootstrap; winsorization; VIF; Lasso/Elastic-Net selection; PCA benchmark.
126 −
127 −The 20 dimensions span six domains: **Quality & Standing** (Luxury, Entry-Level) · **Condition** (Renovated, Needs Renovation) · **Physical** (Bright & Spacious, Garage & Parking, Finished Basement, Pool & Landscaping) · **Location & Setting** (Land & Nature, Panoramic View, Premium Location, Quiet & Peaceful, Waterfront) · **Style & Character** (Modern/Contemporary, Heritage/Character, New Construction, Energy Efficient, Family-Friendly) · **Market Signals** (Income/Investment, Motivated Seller).
128 −
129 −---
130 −
131 −## 📁 Repository Structure
90 +## 🗂 Repository layout
132 91
133 92 ```
134 93 wp2_uqo/
135 −├── README.md ← you are here
136 −├── AUDIT.md ← forensic audit of the original (pre-restructuring) project
137 −├── CHANGES.md ← everything that was moved / refactored / corrected, with diffs
138 −├── PAPER_REVIEW.md ← critical pre-upgrade assessment of the paper's scholarship
139 −├── UPGRADE_REPORT.md ← literature expansion: refs added/replaced, claims flagged
140 −├── requirements.txt ← pinned dependencies (exact versions used for verification)
141 −│
142 −├── data/ ← NOT tracked by git (see data/README.md)
143 −│ ├── raw/louka.db │ SQLite, 268 MB, 46,479 listings (5 categories)
144 −│ └── processed/ │ parquet sample, embeddings cache, similarity matrix,
145 −│ └── legacy/ │ analysis CSV + pre-refactor artifacts kept for comparison
146 −│
147 −├── src/ ← analysis package (imported by scripts/)
148 −│ ├── config.py │ repo-relative paths, model name, seed, structural vars
149 −│ ├── references.py │ the 20 French reference descriptions + English labels
150 −│ ├── data.py │ SQLite → DataFrame extraction (n = 17,087)
151 −│ ├── embeddings.py │ encoding, caching, cosine-similarity features
152 −│ └── models.py │ standardized-design OLS A–E, HC3
153 −│
154 −├── scripts/ ← numbered pipeline entry points (run in order)
155 −│ ├── 01_prepare_data.py │ louka.db → data/processed/houses.parquet
156 −│ ├── 02_similarities.py │ embeddings (cached) + 20 similarity features → CSV
157 −│ ├── 03_models.py │ models A–E → results/*.csv
158 −│ ├── 04_robustness.py │ VIF · BP · quantile · winsor · bootstrap · Lasso/ENet
159 −│ ├── 05_figures.py │ figures fig1–fig11 (PDF + PNG)
160 −│ └── 06_tables.py │ LaTeX tables generated from results (no hand transcription)
161 −│
162 −├── figures/ ← all 11 paper figures, regenerated from the pipeline
163 −├── results/ ← model & robustness outputs (CSV, versioned)
164 −│
165 −└── paper/ ← LaTeX source (UQO working-paper style)
166 − ├── main.tex │ metadata + section inputs (53-page PDF)
167 − ├── preamble.tex │ packages, layout, custom macros
168 − ├── main.pdf │ compiled paper (committed for convenience)
169 − ├── Makefile │ latexmk build
170 − ├── references.bib │ 86 entries, every one verified (OpenAlex + DOI)
171 − ├── sections/ │ titlepage · intro · literature · methodology · data ·
172 − │ │ results · robustness · discussion · conclusion · appendix
173 − └── tables/ │ 7 machine-generated + 3 hand-maintained booktabs tables
94 +├── README.md
95 +├── requirements.txt # pinned dependencies (Python 3.14, macOS arm64)
96 +├── docs/ # AUDIT.md · CHANGES.md · PAPER_REVIEW.md · UPGRADE_REPORT.md (restructuring history)
97 +├── data/ # NOT tracked (see data/README.md)
98 +│ ├── raw/louka.db # SQLite, 268 MB, 46,479 listings
99 +│ └── processed/ # parquet sample, embeddings cache, similarity matrix
100 +├── src/ # analysis package
101 +│ ├── config.py # repo-relative paths, model name, seed, structural vars
102 +│ ├── references.py # the 20 French reference descriptions + English labels
103 +│ ├── data.py # SQLite → DataFrame extraction (n = 17,087)
104 +│ ├── embeddings.py # encoding, caching, cosine-similarity features
105 +│ └── models.py # standardized-design OLS A–E, HC3
106 +├── scripts/ # the pipeline, in order
107 +│ ├── 01_prepare_data.py # louka.db → data/processed/houses.parquet
108 +│ ├── 02_similarities.py # embeddings (cached) + 20 similarity features
109 +│ ├── 03_models.py # models A–E → results/*.csv
110 +│ ├── 04_robustness.py # VIF · BP · quantile · winsor · bootstrap · Lasso/ENet
111 +│ ├── 05_figures.py # fig1–fig11 (PDF + PNG)
112 +│ └── 06_tables.py # LaTeX tables generated from results
113 +├── results/ # model & robustness outputs (CSV)
114 +├── figures/ # 11 paper figures
115 +└── paper/ # main.tex + preamble.tex + sections/ + tables/ + references.bib → main.pdf
174 116 ```
175 117
176 −---
177 −
178 −## ⚙️ The Pipeline, Script by Script
179 −
180 −| # | Script | Input | Output | Runtime* |
181 −|---|---|---|---|---|
182 −| 1 | `01_prepare_data.py` | `data/raw/louka.db` | `houses.parquet` (17,087 × 14) | ~15 s |
183 −| 2 | `02_similarities.py` | parquet + refs | embeddings `.npy` (cached), `sim_matrix.npy`, analysis CSV | ~5 s cached / ~3 min fresh |
184 −| 3 | `03_models.py` | analysis CSV | `model_comparison.csv`, coefficient tables, descriptive stats | ~5 s |
185 −| 4 | `04_robustness.py` | analysis CSV | `robustness_results.csv` (163 rows: VIF, BP, QR, winsor, bootstrap, Lasso) | ~4 min (bootstrap) |
186 −| 5 | `05_figures.py` | analysis CSV | `figures/fig1…fig11.{pdf,png}` | ~30 s |
187 −| 6 | `06_tables.py` | `results/*.csv` | `paper/tables/*.tex` (7 tables) | ~2 s |
188 −
189 −<sub>*Apple M-series laptop. All stochastic steps are seeded (`seed = 42`): bootstrap resampling, CV folds, scatter subsampling.</sub>
190 −
191 −**Design principles applied during the refactor** (see `CHANGES.md` for the full story):
192 −
193 −- 🚫 **No hardcoded paths** — everything resolves from the repo root (`src/config.py`); the DB location can be overridden with `WP2_DB_PATH`.
194 −- 🧬 **Single source of truth** — the extraction logic and the 20 reference texts, previously copy-pasted across five scripts (in two languages), now live in exactly one place each.
195 −- 🔁 **Deterministic & cached** — embeddings are deterministic for a given model version and cached; `--force` re-encodes from scratch.
196 −- 📋 **Tables are compiled artifacts** — every number in the paper's statistical tables is written by `06_tables.py` from the results CSVs. The original project transcribed numbers by hand, which introduced errors that this restructuring caught and fixed (documented, with old→new values, in `CHANGES.md` §4).
197 −
198 −---
199 −
200 −## 💾 Data
201 −
202 −The raw data is a **SQLite database (`louka.db`, 268 MB)** of Quebec residential listings collected from Realtor.ca / Centris: **46,479 listings** across five categories — houses (17,089), condos (8,586), land (8,506), rentals (8,240), plexes (4,058). Each row carries structured fields (price, bedrooms, bathrooms) plus a full JSON blob including the agent-written `PublicRemarks`.
203 −
204 −**The analysis sample**: single-family houses with a positive price and a description of ≥ 20 characters → **n = 17,087**. Median listing price $589,900 (mean $807,259, max $25M). Descriptions average 510 characters and are truncated at ~700 characters in the export (disclosed in the paper).
205 −
206 −> ⚠️ **`data/` is not tracked by git**: the raw database exceeds GitHub's 100 MB file limit, contains a leftover application `users` table, and the listing texts are proprietary platform content. `data/README.md` explains how to place a copy of `louka.db` to re-run the pipeline from scratch. All *derived, aggregate* outputs (results CSVs, figures, tables, paper) **are** versioned, so every number in the paper is inspectable without the raw data.
207 −
208 −---
209 −
210 −## 🔄 Reproducing Everything
118 +## 🚀 Quick start
211 119
212 120 ```bash
213 −git clone https://github.com/spboucher-ai/wp2_uqo.git
214 −cd wp2_uqo
215 121 python3 -m pip install -r requirements.txt
216 122
217 123 # place louka.db in data/raw/ (see data/README.md), then:
218 −python3 scripts/01_prepare_data.py # extract the house sample
124 +python3 scripts/01_prepare_data.py # 17,087 houses with a valid price and description
219 125 python3 scripts/02_similarities.py # embed + project (add --force to re-encode)
220 126 python3 scripts/03_models.py # hedonic models A–E
221 −python3 scripts/04_robustness.py # full robustness battery (~4 min)
222 −python3 scripts/05_figures.py # all 11 figures
127 +python3 scripts/04_robustness.py # robustness battery (~4 min, bootstrap)
128 +python3 scripts/05_figures.py # 11 figures
223 129 python3 scripts/06_tables.py # LaTeX tables from results
224 130
225 −cd paper && latexmk -pdf main.tex # 53-page PDF, 0 errors
131 +cd paper && make # latexmk → main.pdf (53 pages)
226 132 ```
227 133
228 −Expected checkpoints along the way:
134 +Total runtime ≈ 8 minutes on an Apple-silicon laptop (embeddings cached after the first run). All stochastic steps are
135 +seeded (`seed = 42`). Expected checkpoints: step 3 prints `R² = 0.4525 / 0.4647 / 0.4962 / 0.5122 / 0.5118` and `F = 99.53`.
229 136
230 −- Step 1 prints `17,087 houses with a valid price and description`.
231 −- Step 3 prints the model table with `R² = 0.4525 / 0.4647 / 0.4962 / 0.5122 / 0.5118` and `F = 99.53`.
232 −- Step 4 prints `Winsorized R2=0.4867` and the Lasso selection (4/20 at the CV penalty).
137 +## 🗃 Data
233 138
234 −---
235 −
236 −## 📝 Building the Paper
139 +A **SQLite database (`louka.db`, 268 MB)** of Quebec residential listings collected from Realtor.ca / Centris:
140 +46,479 listings across five categories — houses (17,089), condos (8,586), land (8,506), rentals (8,240), plexes (4,058).
141 +Each row carries structured fields plus the agent-written `PublicRemarks`.
237 142
238 −The paper (`paper/`) follows the UQO working-paper format: title page with logo, abstract page with keywords + JEL codes, IMRaD body (Introduction · Literature · Methodology · Data · Results · Robustness · Discussion · Conclusion), `natbib`/`apalike` bibliography, and two appendices (verbatim reference texts; parsimonious-model estimates).
143 +**Analysis sample**: single-family houses with a positive price and a description of ≥ 20 characters → **n = 17,087**.
144 +Median listing price $589,900 (mean $807,259). Descriptions average 510 characters, truncated at ~700 characters in the
145 +export (disclosed in the paper).
239 146
240 −```bash
241 −cd paper
242 −make # or: latexmk -pdf main.tex
243 −```
147 +`data/` is not tracked: the database exceeds 100 MB and listing texts are proprietary platform content. All derived,
148 +aggregate outputs (results CSVs, figures, tables, paper) are versioned, so every number in the paper is inspectable
149 +without the raw data. `data/README.md` explains how to place a copy of `louka.db`; the location can be overridden with
150 +`WP2_DB_PATH`.
244 151
245 −Figures are pulled from `../figures/` via `\graphicspath`, so the paper always reflects the latest pipeline run. The build is clean: **0 errors, 0 undefined references, 0 missing citations** (59/59 bib keys resolve).
152 +## 🔬 Methodology
246 153
247 −---
154 +1. **Extraction** — houses only, price > 0, description ≥ 20 characters; minimal preprocessing (`src/data.py`).
155 +2. **Embedding** — `all-MiniLM-L6-v2` (22.7M params, 384-d, L2-normalised), batch 256 (`src/embeddings.py`).
156 +3. **Projection** — 20 French reference descriptions (146–257 chars, verbatim in paper Appendix A), designed for semantic
157 + saturation, dimensional specificity and linguistic consistency; one matrix product yields the 17,087 × 20 similarity
158 + matrix (`src/references.py`).
159 +4. **Estimation** — nested OLS models A–E on log price, standardised covariates, HC3 errors; joint F-tests; quantile
160 + regressions; bootstrap; winsorisation; VIF; Lasso/Elastic-Net selection; PCA benchmark (`src/models.py`,
161 + `scripts/04_robustness.py`).
248 162
249 −## ✅ Verification & Provenance
163 +The 20 dimensions span six domains: Quality & Standing · Condition · Physical · Location & Setting · Style & Character ·
164 +Market Signals.
250 165
251 −This repository is a restructuring of an earlier research folder. Before anything was rewritten, the pipeline was validated against the original artifacts:
166 +## 🖼 Figures & tables inventory
252 167
253 −| Check | Result |
168 +| Figure | Content |
254 169 |---|---|
255 −| Analysis dataset (17,087 × 30) | ✅ identical, column by column |
256 −| Similarity matrix (17,087 × 20) | ✅ bit-identical |
257 −| Models A–E fit statistics | ✅ identical to the paper's Table 4 |
258 −| Model D coefficients (27 params) | ✅ identical to the paper's Table 5 |
259 −| Figures fig1, fig4–fig11 | ✅ regenerated, byte-size within ±2 B |
260 −| Figures fig2, fig3 | 🔧 were *missing* from the original repo (placeholder boxes in the old PDF) — regenerated |
261 −| `robustness_results.csv` | 🔧 lost in the original — regenerated (seeded) |
262 −| Descriptive/robustness numbers in the old LaTeX | ⚠️ several did not match the code's own outputs — corrected and now machine-generated; full old→new list in [`CHANGES.md`](CHANGES.md) §4 |
263 −
264 −`AUDIT.md` documents the original project's layout, dead files, and defects; `CHANGES.md` documents every move, refactor, and numeric correction.
265 −
266 −---
267 −
268 −## 🖼️ Figures Gallery
269 −
270 −| # | Figure | What it shows |
271 −|---|---|---|
272 −| 1 | `fig1_model_comparison` | R² / adj. R² across models A–E |
273 −| 2 | `fig2_coefficient_plot` | Forest plot of the 20 semantic implicit prices (Model D) |
274 −| 3 | `fig3_similarity_distributions` | Box plots of the 20 cosine-similarity features |
275 −| 4 | `fig4_quintile_heatmap` | Mean similarity by price quintile × dimension |
276 −| 5 | `fig5_correlation_matrix` | Inter-dimension Pearson correlations (0.66–0.97) |
277 −| 6 | `fig6_scatter_plots` | Four illustrative similarity–price scatters |
278 −| 7 | `fig7_methodology` | Pipeline diagram |
279 −| 8 | `fig8_r2_decomposition` | Stacked decomposition of Model D's R² |
280 −| 9 | `fig9_price_distribution` | Price and log-price histograms |
281 −| 10 | `fig10_structural_coefficients` | Structural coefficients with 95 % CIs |
282 −| 11 | `fig11_residual_diagnostics` | Residuals vs. fitted + normal Q-Q |
283 −
284 −All figures exist as publication PDF (vector) and PNG (300 dpi).
285 −
286 −---
287 −
288 −## 📦 Requirements
289 −
290 −| Package | Version | Used for |
291 −|---|---|---|
292 −| Python | 3.14 | — |
293 −| numpy | 2.4.4 | linear algebra |
294 −| pandas | 3.0.2 | data wrangling |
295 −| pyarrow | 24.0.0 | parquet I/O |
296 −| scipy | 1.17.1 | tests, distributions |
297 −| scikit-learn | 1.6.1 | PCA, Lasso/ElasticNet CV, scaling |
298 −| statsmodels | 0.14.6 | OLS/HC3, QuantReg, BP test, VIF |
299 −| matplotlib | 3.10.9 | figures |
300 −| sentence-transformers | 5.5.0 | embeddings |
301 −| torch | 2.12.0 | transformer backend (MPS on Apple Silicon) |
302 −
303 −LaTeX: TeX Live 2026 with `latexmk` (newtx, booktabs, threeparttable, natbib, hyperref…).
304 −
305 −---
306 −
307 −## 📚 Citation
170 +| `fig1_model_comparison` | R² / adj. R² across models A–E |
171 +| `fig2_coefficient_plot` | Forest plot of the 20 semantic implicit prices (Model D) |
172 +| `fig3_similarity_distributions` | Box plots of the 20 cosine-similarity features |
173 +| `fig4_quintile_heatmap` | Mean similarity by price quintile × dimension |
174 +| `fig5_correlation_matrix` | Inter-dimension Pearson correlations (0.66–0.97) |
175 +| `fig6_scatter_plots` | Four illustrative similarity–price scatters |
176 +| `fig7_methodology` | Pipeline diagram |
177 +| `fig8_r2_decomposition` | Stacked decomposition of Model D's R² |
178 +| `fig9_price_distribution` | Price and log-price histograms |
179 +| `fig10_structural_coefficients` | Structural coefficients with 95 % CIs |
180 +| `fig11_residual_diagnostics` | Residuals vs. fitted + normal Q-Q |
181 +
182 +Tables (`paper/tables/*.tex`): descriptive statistics, similarity statistics, model comparison, full Model D results,
183 +parsimonious model, quantile regressions, robustness summary, reference texts, text comparison (7 machine-generated by
184 +`06_tables.py`, 3 hand-maintained).
185 +
186 +## ⚠️ Limitations
187 +
188 +- Cross-sectional listing (asking) prices, not transaction prices; coefficients are conditional associations.
189 +- Descriptions truncated at ~700 characters in the export.
190 +- Similarity dimensions are highly collinear (mean VIF 17.2): individual coefficients are partial associations within a
191 + correlated block; block-level inference is the robust object.
192 +- Reference texts embed the researcher's definitional choices; the PCA benchmark quantifies the fit cost of
193 + interpretability.
194 +
195 +## 📝 Citation
308 196
309 197 ```bibtex
310 198 @techreport{boucher2026decoding,
311 199 author = {Boucher, Simon-Pierre},
312 200 title = {Decoding Real Estate Descriptions: Semantic Embeddings and
313 201 Hedonic Pricing of Residential Properties in Quebec},
314 − institution = {Universit\'e du Qu\'ebec en Outaouais,
315 − D\'epartement des sciences administratives},
202 + institution = {Universit\'e du Qu\'ebec en Outaouais, D\'epartement des sciences administratives},
316 203 type = {Working Paper},
317 204 number = {2},
318 205 year = {2026},
@@ -320,21 +207,17 @@ LaTeX: TeX Live 2026 with `latexmk` (newtx, booktabs, threeparttable, natbib, hy
320 207 }
321 208 ```
322 209
323 −---
324 −
325 −## 👤 Author & Contact
326 −
327 −**Simon-Pierre Boucher**
328 −Département des sciences administratives
329 −Université du Québec en Outaouais (UQO)
330 −283, boulevard Alexandre-Taché, Gatineau (Québec) J9A 1L8, Canada
210 +## 👤 Author & contact
331 211
332 −📧 **contact@spboucher.ai**
212 +**Simon-Pierre Boucher** — Département des sciences administratives,
213 +Université du Québec en Outaouais (UQO), Gatineau, QC.
214 +📧 [simon-pierre.boucher@uqo.ca](mailto:simon-pierre.boucher@uqo.ca)
333 215
334 −*Comments and suggestions are welcome. All errors are my own.*
335 −
336 −---
216 +## 🗒 Notes
337 217
338 −<div align="center">
339 −<sub>© 2026 Simon-Pierre Boucher. Paper, code, and figures — all rights reserved.</sub>
340 −</div>
218 +- Format follows `Recherche-UQO/HARMONISATION.md` (2026-10-17): template title page, `natbib` + `aer` bibliography style,
219 + `docs/` for the restructuring reports.
220 +- The original flat May 2026 project (`immo-wp2-spb-20260519`) is archived in
221 + `Recherche-UQO/_archives/versions-mai-2026/decoding-real-estate-descriptions--immo-wp2-20260519/`; `docs/AUDIT.md` and
222 + `docs/CHANGES.md` document the 2026-08-05 restructuring and the numeric corrections it caught (old → new values).
223 +- Build verified 2026-10-17: 0 errors, 0 undefined references, 86 references rendered.
renamed AUDIT.md → docs/AUDIT.md +0 −0
renamed CHANGES.md → docs/CHANGES.md +0 −0
renamed PAPER_REVIEW.md → docs/PAPER_REVIEW.md +0 −0
renamed UPGRADE_REPORT.md → docs/UPGRADE_REPORT.md +0 −0
added paper/.latexmkrc +5 −0
@@ -0,0 +1,5 @@
1 +$pdf_mode = 1;
2 +$pdflatex = 'pdflatex -interaction=nonstopmode -halt-on-error -synctex=1 %O %S';
3 +$bibtex_use = 2;
4 +$clean_ext = 'synctex.gz run.xml bbl bcf fdb_latexmk fls log aux out toc lof lot blg';
5 +@default_files = ('main.tex');
modified paper/Makefile +7 −10
@@ -1,14 +1,11 @@
1 −# Author: Simon-Pierre Boucher — contact@spboucher.ai
2 −#
3 −# Build the paper. Figures are read from ../figures/ (run the pipeline first).
1 +.PHONY: all clean distclean
4 2
5 −all: main.pdf
6 −
7 −main.pdf: main.tex preamble.tex sections/*.tex tables/*.tex references.bib
8 − latexmk -pdf -interaction=nonstopmode main.tex
3 +all:
4 + latexmk
9 5
10 6 clean:
11 − latexmk -C
12 − rm -f *.bbl *.blg *.fdb_latexmk *.fls *.out *.toc
7 + latexmk -c
13 8
14 −.PHONY: all clean
9 +distclean:
10 + latexmk -C
11 + rm -f *.synctex.gz *.run.xml *.bbl *.bcf
modified paper/main.pdf +0 −0

Binary file not shown.

modified paper/preamble.tex +2 −3
@@ -61,9 +61,8 @@
61 61 }
62 62
63 63 % --- Bibliography ---
64 −\usepackage[round, authoryear, comma]{natbib}
65 −\setcitestyle{aysep={,}}
66 −\bibliographystyle{apalike}
64 +\usepackage[authoryear,round,semicolon]{natbib}
65 +\bibliographystyle{aer}
67 66
68 67 % --- Headers & Footers ---
69 68 \usepackage{fancyhdr}
modified paper/sections/titlepage.tex +8 −11
@@ -1,5 +1,3 @@
1 −% Author: Simon-Pierre Boucher — contact@spboucher.ai
2 −%
3 1 % ============================================================================
4 2 % Title Page
5 3 % ============================================================================
@@ -12,8 +10,8 @@
12 10
13 11 \vspace{0.6cm}
14 12
15 −{\footnotesize\textsc{Universit\'e du Qu\'ebec en Outaouais}}\\[0.15cm]
16 −{\footnotesize\textsc{D\'epartement des sciences administratives}}
13 +{\footnotesize\textsc{Université du Québec en Outaouais}}\\[0.15cm]
14 +{\footnotesize\textsc{Département des sciences administratives}}
17 15
18 16 \vspace{0.8cm}
19 17
@@ -32,17 +30,16 @@
32 30 \vspace{1.2cm}
33 31
34 32 % --- Author ---
35 −{\large \WPauthor\footnotemark[1]}\\[0.3cm]
36 −{\normalsize\itshape \WPaffiliation}
37 −
38 −\footnotetext[1]{D\'epartement des sciences administratives, Universit\'e du Qu\'ebec en Outaouais (UQO), 283 boulevard Alexandre-Tach\'e, Gatineau, QC J9A 1L8, Canada. Email: \href{mailto:\WPemail}{\WPemail}. All errors are my own.}
33 +{\large \WPauthor}\\[0.3cm]
34 +{\normalsize \WPaffiliation}\\[0.15cm]
35 +{\normalsize \href{mailto:\WPemail}{\WPemail}}\\[0.15cm]
36 +{\small \WPaddress}
39 37
40 38 \vspace{0.8cm}
41 39
42 40 % --- Date & Version ---
43 −{\normalsize First draft: May 2026}\\[0.1cm]
44 −{\normalsize This version: \today}\\[0.1cm]
45 −{\small\itshape Version~\WPversion}
41 +{\normalsize \WPdate}\\[0.1cm]
42 +{\small Version~\WPversion}
46 43
47 44 \end{center}
48 45
49 46
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