1model,term,coef,se,ci_lo,ci_hi,p,n,llf,events,oster_beta_full,oster_beta_short,r2_full,r2_short,partial_r2_P,robustness_value2R: horizon h=1,P_modern_z,0.3257542271113133,0.09081766270455952,0.14775160821037664,0.5037568460122499,0.0003346275971506812,14635,-2809.836558711094,902.0,,,,,,3R: horizon h=3,P_modern_z,0.3859734372235748,0.08713084027910899,0.2151969902765212,0.5567498841706284,9.431429129652506e-06,14636,-4668.956267136606,1911.0,,,,,,4R: horizon h=10,P_modern_z,0.453180001872445,0.1005232322313484,0.2561544666990021,0.6502055370458879,6.537635724308696e-06,14639,-6759.637175029395,4143.0,,,,,,5R: component y4_f5,P_modern_z,1.0108347606887813,0.19699525159210712,0.6247240675682513,1.3969454538093113,2.878019958646695e-07,10279,-1799.0294235356334,566.0,,,,,,6R: component y5_f5,P_modern_z,0.19570664298345658,0.1369247476865778,-0.07266586248223594,0.4640791484491491,0.15291781385485442,10853,-3397.20354607048,1460.0,,,,,,7R: component y6_f5,P_modern_z,0.24520063567506914,0.09399153647288098,0.060977224188222406,0.42942404716191585,0.009087299826968763,14636,-5000.87591521976,2068.0,,,,,,8R: K = PC1,P_modern_pc1_z,0.3972334263449546,0.08951641349789637,0.22178125588907774,0.5726855968008315,9.098922495056218e-06,14637,-5673.709489767933,2692.0,,,,,,9R: standardized within year,P_modern_within_year_z,0.40912714945850015,0.09087386000252914,0.23101438385354303,0.5872399150634573,6.727156439169484e-06,14637,-5672.715544195022,2692.0,,,,,,10R: D = (log pop + log area)/2,P_modern_area_z,0.35201470671308055,0.09785002058259724,0.16022866637118996,0.5438007470549712,0.00032129986428979315,11735,-4781.639744406581,2359.0,,,,,,11R: years ≥ 1900,P_modern_z,0.3940733263264095,0.09183407311667917,0.21407854301771834,0.5740681096351007,1.777541709685051e-05,13083,-5223.594464430906,2475.0,,,,,,12R: polyarchy not controlled,P_modern_z,0.446333634501256,0.0828013326218674,0.2840430225623959,0.6086242464401161,7.029473808128925e-08,14676,-5712.556048147622,2706.0,,,,,,13R: + persistence control,P_modern_z,0.39035420906242724,0.08878195519207539,0.21634157688595948,0.564366841238895,1.098715434814722e-05,14598,-5641.175860478964,2682.0,,,,,,14Sensitivity (LPM): Oster bias-adjusted β at Rmax=1.3·R² (δ=1); Cinelli–Hazlett RV,P_modern_z,-0.023790190743910956,,,,,14637,,,0.03827708995287325,0.08187222469624048,0.16093354475530663,0.12702234634493959,0.00556334755160398,0.071858029201895915