1model,term,coef,se,ci_lo,ci_hi,p,n,llf2A1 primary: Y1 ~ P + FE,P_main_z,0.19598811961955986,0.05619238684720763,0.08585104139903292,0.3061251978400868,0.00048700208821658047,127,-53.21951166018753A2: Y1 ~ P + X + FE,P_main_z,0.24341189026733162,0.08568261389344095,0.07547396703618736,0.4113498134984759,0.004499275117671632,93,-37.1804094354424564A3: Y1 ~ P + complexity PC1 + X + FE,P_main_z,0.2429688204572906,0.08687303865820412,0.07269766468721053,0.41323997622737063,0.0051607231191516684,93,-37.1781977207571265B1 baseline D only,D_pc1_z,0.41565091830660905,0.17327201631706649,0.07603776632515874,0.7552640702880593,0.016447339389607442,93,-37.1483345930248846B2 baseline K only,K_mean_z,0.040541824590053066,0.24755385135427105,-0.4446637240643182,0.5257473732444243,0.8699124307891858,93,-37.47968608525687B3 baseline complexity PC1,complexity_pc1_z,0.07792536343804582,0.3126352351430059,-0.5348396974422458,0.6906904243183374,0.8031648541752704,93,-37.478095417639868B4 baseline persistence,prior_crisis_nga,0.37306084775672566,0.2023417972380136,-0.023529074829781005,0.7696507703432323,0.06522451210499,93,-37.374555872184289B5 D and K separately,D_pc1_z,0.43982910602046044,0.17026248989971107,0.10611462581702674,0.7735435862238942,0.0097876823350702,93,-37.1338709764107510B5 D and K separately,K_mean_z,-0.1258412380091856,0.18775877943715727,-0.4938484457060138,0.24216596968764267,0.5027122983399126,93,-37.1338709764107511B5 Wald test of beta_D + beta_K = 0 (restriction implied by P),D+K,0.3139878680112749,0.25732705565780184,,,0.2223929040205992,93,12Placebo: P built with production infrastructure instead of K (X = warfare only),P_placebo,0.19182452518483376,0.1655476949176114,-0.13264895685368458,0.5162980072233521,0.24656762616978578,93,-37.7220587983894513Placebo comparison: P with the same controls (X = warfare only),P_main_z,0.2904902706611261,0.0787105927241695,0.13621750892175388,0.4447630324004983,0.00022371501777443585,93,-37.35709232090215414"A1b: Y1b ~ P + region FE (logit, HC1; era FE dropped: separation)",P_main_z,-0.178305671270385,0.20339587470021095,-0.5769615856827984,0.22035024314202845,0.3806803045766206,123,-56.7723917015813715"A2b: Y1b ~ P + X + region FE (logit, HC1)",P_main_z,0.2540624061878291,0.316131066094825,-0.3655544833580279,0.8736792957336861,0.4215924226205888,91,-36.8851064593946216"A3b: Y1b ~ P (logit, HC1, no FE)",P_main_z,-0.06838433580959115,0.17958182211249252,-0.42036470715007646,0.2835960355308942,0.7033534032954329,123,-65.9279698125185717Exploratory: reform consequences ~ P + X + FE,P_main_z,-0.012940021899406238,0.16434677676030227,-0.3350597043495987,0.3091796605507862,0.9372425423271826,91,-13.56676113491072218