1\begin{table}[htbp]\centering\small2\caption{Pilot: mean WIS of the cumulative-return forecast by horizon (minutes)}3\label{tab:pilot_wis}4\begin{adjustbox}{max width=\textwidth}5\begin{tabular}{lcccc}6\toprule7Model & $H=5$ & $H=15$ & $H=30$ & $H=60$ \\8\midrule9Random walk (trailing RMS) & 0.0007 {\scriptsize[0.0007, 0.0008]} & 0.0013 {\scriptsize[0.0012, 0.0014]} & 0.0019 {\scriptsize[0.0017, 0.0020]} & 0.0025 {\scriptsize[0.0023, 0.0028]} \\10Seasonal volatility & 0.0007 {\scriptsize[0.0007, 0.0008]} & 0.0013 {\scriptsize[0.0012, 0.0013]} & 0.0018 {\scriptsize[0.0017, 0.0019]} & 0.0025 {\scriptsize[0.0022, 0.0028]} \\11EWMA-$t$ & 0.0007 {\scriptsize[0.0007, 0.0008]} & 0.0013 {\scriptsize[0.0012, 0.0013]} & 0.0018 {\scriptsize[0.0017, 0.0019]} & 0.0025 {\scriptsize[0.0022, 0.0028]} \\12HAR-RV & 0.0007 {\scriptsize[0.0007, 0.0008]} & 0.0013 {\scriptsize[0.0012, 0.0013]} & 0.0018 {\scriptsize[0.0017, 0.0019]} & 0.0024 {\scriptsize[0.0022, 0.0028]} \\13GARCH(1,1)-$t$ & 0.0007 {\scriptsize[0.0007, 0.0008]} & 0.0013 {\scriptsize[0.0012, 0.0013]} & 0.0018 {\scriptsize[0.0017, 0.0019]} & 0.0025 {\scriptsize[0.0023, 0.0028]} \\14Ridge & 0.0007 {\scriptsize[0.0007, 0.0008]} & 0.0013 {\scriptsize[0.0012, 0.0013]} & 0.0018 {\scriptsize[0.0017, 0.0019]} & 0.0024 {\scriptsize[0.0022, 0.0027]} \\15Elastic net & 0.0007 {\scriptsize[0.0007, 0.0008]} & 0.0013 {\scriptsize[0.0012, 0.0013]} & 0.0018 {\scriptsize[0.0017, 0.0019]} & 0.0024 {\scriptsize[0.0022, 0.0027]} \\16LightGBM & 0.0008 {\scriptsize[0.0007, 0.0008]} & 0.0013 {\scriptsize[0.0012, 0.0014]} & 0.0019 {\scriptsize[0.0017, 0.0020]} & 0.0026 {\scriptsize[0.0023, 0.0029]} \\17MLP (1m) & 0.0007 {\scriptsize[0.0007, 0.0007]} & 0.0013 {\scriptsize[0.0012, 0.0013]} & 0.0018 {\scriptsize[0.0017, 0.0019]} & 0.0025 {\scriptsize[0.0022, 0.0028]} \\18TCN (1m) & 0.0007 {\scriptsize[0.0007, 0.0007]} & 0.0013 {\scriptsize[0.0012, 0.0013]} & 0.0018 {\scriptsize[0.0017, 0.0019]} & 0.0025 {\scriptsize[0.0022, 0.0028]} \\19MRPT-S (1m+5m+30m) & 0.0007 {\scriptsize[0.0007, 0.0008]} & 0.0013 {\scriptsize[0.0012, 0.0013]} & 0.0018 {\scriptsize[0.0017, 0.0019]} & 0.0025 {\scriptsize[0.0022, 0.0028]} \\20MRPT-S (1m only) & 0.0007 {\scriptsize[0.0007, 0.0008]} & 0.0013 {\scriptsize[0.0012, 0.0013]} & 0.0018 {\scriptsize[0.0017, 0.0019]} & 0.0025 {\scriptsize[0.0022, 0.0028]} \\21\bottomrule22\end{tabular}23\end{adjustbox}24\begin{minipage}{0.95\textwidth}\scriptsize Cluster-bootstrap (trading-day) 95\% intervals in brackets.\end{minipage}25\end{table}