1{2 "5": {3 "H": 5,4 "n": 250322,5 "n_days": 251,6 "crps": 0.0007339133854136307,7 "crps_lo": 0.000716954525194725,8 "crps_hi": 0.0007512988000810178,9 "crps_scaled": 0.46205624096436027,10 "crps_scaled_lo": 0.45539027613372857,11 "crps_scaled_hi": 0.4688672830321492,12 "wis": 0.000661877218255307,13 "wis_lo": 0.0006465498414240517,14 "wis_hi": 0.0006776164993629871,15 "qloss": 0.0002868120782189335,16 "qloss_lo": 0.0002800804995721025,17 "qloss_hi": 0.0002937011173374086,18 "mae": 0.0010112112443655021,19 "mae_lo": 0.0009873409247295806,20 "mae_hi": 0.00103483729034782,21 "mse": 2.718776955248785e-06,22 "mse_lo": 2.507451650582555e-06,23 "mse_hi": 2.962870694720048e-06,24 "qlike": -12.371931681438355,25 "qlike_lo": -12.419832332791216,26 "qlike_hi": -12.322500288742681,27 "brier_tail": 0.013785311718506565,28 "brier_tail_lo": 0.012574766596305331,29 "brier_tail_hi": 0.015056118518468014,30 "sharpness": 0.0035191020204404636,31 "sharpness_lo": 0.0034470823267075848,32 "sharpness_hi": 0.0036037025603901742,33 "logscore": -5.379139312753978,34 "logscore_lo": -5.402062874042443,35 "logscore_hi": -5.355283538744862,36 "crps_closed": 0.0007339435740592566,37 "crps_closed_lo": 0.00071699062917719,38 "crps_closed_hi": 0.000751362154840709,39 "dir_acc": 0.5152783344231865,40 "tail_rate": 0.014449389186727495,41 "cov_50": 0.40528599164276413,42 "cov_80": 0.6983085785508265,43 "cov_95": 0.904634830338524,44 "pit_ks": 0.05748326026230843,45 "pit_chi2_p": 0.0,46 "pit_var": 0.103317232407579547 },48 "15": {49 "H": 15,50 "n": 250322,51 "n_days": 251,52 "crps": 0.001238413441335066,53 "crps_lo": 0.001205779754140652,54 "crps_hi": 0.0012702370744146314,55 "crps_scaled": 0.4493542873494001,56 "crps_scaled_lo": 0.4416140680115892,57 "crps_scaled_hi": 0.45684391653813283,58 "wis": 0.0011151520721002658,59 "wis_lo": 0.0010854545552707352,60 "wis_hi": 0.0011440103023384505,61 "qloss": 0.0004809102639448005,62 "qloss_lo": 0.0004677280137400732,63 "qloss_hi": 0.0004937575456102459,64 "mae": 0.001724072788978428,65 "mae_lo": 0.0016807501003502344,66 "mae_hi": 0.0017685909878251145,67 "mse": 7.695605996583919e-06,68 "mse_lo": 7.052077941024328e-06,69 "mse_hi": 8.492122343219463e-06,70 "qlike": -11.456857848640508,71 "qlike_lo": -11.505237527135726,72 "qlike_hi": -11.408879746280558,73 "brier_tail": 0.011962877413890908,74 "brier_tail_lo": 0.010612613316086102,75 "brier_tail_hi": 0.013295600219183822,76 "sharpness": 0.006706152841715048,77 "sharpness_lo": 0.006580701825601469,78 "sharpness_hi": 0.006854414398234611,79 "logscore": -4.8797655505449695,80 "logscore_lo": -4.903541008248036,81 "logscore_hi": -4.854394737164898,82 "crps_closed": 0.0012385708026855509,83 "crps_closed_lo": 0.0012061385264668524,84 "crps_closed_hi": 0.0012702946696844016,85 "dir_acc": 0.5061845036719201,86 "tail_rate": 0.012420003036089517,87 "cov_50": 0.4577544123169358,88 "cov_80": 0.7644114380677687,89 "cov_95": 0.9431572135090004,90 "pit_ks": 0.02596205500154891,91 "pit_chi2_p": 0.0,92 "pit_var": 0.0909364593945626293 },94 "30": {95 "H": 30,96 "n": 250322,97 "n_days": 251,98 "crps": 0.0017031161731297616,99 "crps_lo": 0.0016555110271978268,100 "crps_hi": 0.0017508137992796225,101 "crps_scaled": 0.437570274828292,102 "crps_scaled_lo": 0.4295783376597722,103 "crps_scaled_hi": 0.4460573806958833,104 "wis": 0.0015335338402731192,105 "wis_lo": 0.0014901658353212888,106 "wis_hi": 0.0015764774360630968,107 "qloss": 0.0006610117987831007,108 "qloss_lo": 0.0006419179222491323,109 "qloss_hi": 0.0006795922405640063,110 "mae": 0.0023742370466994507,111 "mae_lo": 0.0023096951039098686,112 "mae_hi": 0.0024399699237403144,113 "mse": 1.4472917939047114e-05,114 "mse_lo": 1.309124029802679e-05,115 "mse_hi": 1.604187936209297e-05,116 "qlike": -10.795693913714647,117 "qlike_lo": -10.847595425903174,118 "qlike_hi": -10.746122362363957,119 "brier_tail": 0.010122598792754931,120 "brier_tail_lo": 0.00865128034924569,121 "brier_tail_hi": 0.011733034512782752,122 "sharpness": 0.009626438370663449,123 "sharpness_lo": 0.00944987600825883,124 "sharpness_hi": 0.009836142698977464,125 "logscore": -4.557321114925322,126 "logscore_lo": -4.582553454402056,127 "logscore_hi": -4.531890525483251,128 "crps_closed": 0.0017031639342419698,129 "crps_closed_lo": 0.0016553900474831555,130 "crps_closed_hi": 0.0017504979435156972,131 "dir_acc": 0.5047041417699998,132 "tail_rate": 0.010370642612315338,133 "cov_50": 0.4783279136472224,134 "cov_80": 0.7845215362612955,135 "cov_95": 0.9510790102348176,136 "pit_ks": 0.012909995084134374,137 "pit_chi2_p": 0.0,138 "pit_var": 0.08675515852459052139 },140 "60": {141 "H": 60,142 "n": 250322,143 "n_days": 251,144 "crps": 0.0023270661275599995,145 "crps_lo": 0.0022509727373915818,146 "crps_hi": 0.0023992436391516757,147 "crps_scaled": 0.42424427457210295,148 "crps_scaled_lo": 0.4135809134722054,149 "crps_scaled_hi": 0.4354826002648982,150 "wis": 0.0020959609096906843,151 "wis_lo": 0.0020262117172753858,152 "wis_hi": 0.0021619176018771303,153 "qloss": 0.0009036776860064286,154 "qloss_lo": 0.0008725207767737553,155 "qloss_hi": 0.0009327563687957259,156 "mae": 0.0032448603495173257,157 "mae_lo": 0.0031431571808479457,158 "mae_hi": 0.0033439797509036947,159 "mse": 2.7085563055019082e-05,160 "mse_lo": 2.3933559727316633e-05,161 "mse_hi": 3.153072106295824e-05,162 "qlike": -10.139491695648609,163 "qlike_lo": -10.194524632149266,164 "qlike_hi": -10.087277444964059,165 "brier_tail": 0.008613653514273617,166 "brier_tail_lo": 0.006686059452716985,167 "brier_tail_hi": 0.011021783150349754,168 "sharpness": 0.013616876369086423,169 "sharpness_lo": 0.013370022449353128,170 "sharpness_hi": 0.013905292717537876,171 "logscore": -4.237610634829012,172 "logscore_lo": -4.268646096267611,173 "logscore_hi": -4.207841675899739,174 "crps_closed": 0.0023267387262219347,175 "crps_closed_lo": 0.0022504522076606673,176 "crps_closed_hi": 0.0023986305681659554,177 "dir_acc": 0.5043974927182395,178 "tail_rate": 0.008740741924401371,179 "cov_50": 0.501214435806681,180 "cov_80": 0.8047315058205032,181 "cov_95": 0.9558528615143695,182 "pit_ks": 0.007687348080692991,183 "pit_chi2_p": 0.0,184 "pit_var": 0.08250593155889659185 }186}