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# PHASE 9 — Release (2026-11-03)

# Package

  • Repository wp41_uqo (git, origin = gitsrv:srv/git/wp41_uqo.git, branch main), installable package chronos_x (pyproject.toml, make install), CLI chronos-x (forecast at one origin from a saved model and a cached grid).
  • Configs: pilot, feasibility, main, ablations, baselines, final, synthetic_smoke.
  • Scripts: audit → universe → coverage → download → experiment (3 stages) → benchmark → pairwise/economic → evaluate → figures → static tables → references; node_run.sh for detached runs; make_synthetic.py for license-free fixtures.
  • Docs: DATA_CARD, MODEL_CARD, REPRODUCIBILITY, LICENSE, OPERATIONS, PHASE_0..9_REPORT, README, CLAUDE.md.
  • Paper: paper/main.tex + sections + generated tables/figures/macros + verified references.bib + main.pdf.

# License review (FirstRate Data private use)

Committed / released: code, configs, manifests (tickers and selection rules), aggregate scores (summaries, leaderboards, comparisons, pairwise, subgroups, calibration), figures of scores, benchmark, API audit (no bars), coverage audit (bar counts per instrument — allowed aggregate), synthetic fixtures, the manuscript. Excluded by .gitignore and kept only on the compute node / laptop mirror: Parquet bars, grids, origins_*.csv (realised returns per origin), pred_*.npz, per_origin_*.npz, checkpoints. Checked with git ls-files | grep -E 'parquet|origins_|pred_|\.pt$' (empty). Attribution line in the paper: "Intraday data: FirstRate Data (private license), accessed through FinData OS."

# Reproducibility instructions

docs/REPRODUCIBILITY.md (environment, license-free example, full study command list in order, seeds, artifact map). The synthetic example reproduces the software path end to end in about three minutes on an Apple-silicon laptop and is also the slow integration test.

# Gates at release

  • Offline tests: 27 passed (unit 6, synthetic 5, leakage 5, numerical 10, slow synthetic end-to-end pipeline 1), 5 live tests skipped without WP41_LIVE — results/logs/release_tests.out, 2026-11-03.
  • Live contract tests: 5/5 on 2026-11-02 (WP41_LIVE=1).
  • Manuscript: latexmk exit 0, 0 undefined references/citations, every table and figure generated from saved results.
  • Figures/tables ↔ outputs: paper/tables/*.tex and paper/figures/* regenerated from results/metrics immediately before the final build (scripts/evaluate.py, make_figures.py, make_static_tables.py); macros count 3 468.

# Not done / deferred (honest list)

  • SSRN deposit and www.spboucher.ai entry (owner's decision).
  • Extended-hours experiments, delisted-instrument backfill, quote data, mixed precision, Large (50–100 M) preset.
  • Foundation-model baselines (Chronos/TimesFM), iTransformer, EGARCH.
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