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spb/wp44_uqo

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1{2 "last_complete": "2026-06",3 "first": "2018-02",4 "events": {5  "chatgpt": "2022-12-01",6  "gpt3": "2020-06-01",7  "dalle2": "2022-05-01",8  "gpt4": "2023-04-01",9  "o1": "2024-10-01"10 },11 "series": {12  "total": {13   "series": "total",14   "n_months": 101,15   "total": 5440005.0,16   "its_chatgpt": {17    "level_change": -0.009396903254103695,18    "level_se": 0.02357106161704485,19    "level_t": -0.3986627079752975,20    "level_p": 0.690141749414118,21    "slope_change": 0.010821637523844106,22    "slope_se": 0.00089134797645171,23    "slope_t": 12.140755136869245,24    "slope_p": 6.423050844729066e-34,25    "pre_slope": 0.0030981228180606427,26    "pre_slope_se": 0.0005432686215918967,27    "n": 101,28    "r2": 0.9655911514023348,29    "event": "2022-12-01"30   },31   "placebo_chatgpt": {32    "n_placebo": 65,33    "level_t_true": -0.3986627079752975,34    "level_t_placebo_p": 0.9692307692307692,35    "level_t_rank": 63,36    "slope_t_true": 12.140755136869245,37    "slope_t_placebo_p": 0.015384615384615385,38    "slope_t_rank": 139   },40   "placebo_chatgpt_baseline_only": {41    "n_placebo": 34,42    "level_t_placebo_p": 1.0,43    "slope_t_placebo_p": 0.044   },45   "its_chatgpt_donut": {46    "months_excluded_each_side": 3,47    "level_change": 0.04918686859029903,48    "level_se": 0.025699471356875562,49    "level_t": 1.9139253063717092,50    "level_p": 0.05562970036424188,51    "slope_change": 0.010993092689358677,52    "slope_se": 0.001090542418735597,53    "slope_t": 10.080389813817927,54    "slope_p": 6.745796245896679e-24,55    "pre_slope": 0.0031358535286518264,56    "pre_slope_se": 0.0006218571091529119,57    "n": 94,58    "r2": 0.9648205862717799,59    "event": "2022-12-01"60   },61   "its_gpt3": {62    "level_change": -0.09117493784388897,63    "level_se": 0.059026668223155644,64    "level_t": -1.5446397465497101,65    "level_p": 0.12243342656909337,66    "slope_change": 0.005880775392146449,67    "slope_se": 0.0014958372519001373,68    "slope_t": 3.9314272890825506,69    "slope_p": 8.444303644891461e-05,70    "pre_slope": 0.003441462194050704,71    "pre_slope_se": 0.0012488958021564377,72    "n": 101,73    "r2": 0.9264985977485929,74    "event": "2020-06-01"75   },76   "its_dalle2": {77    "level_change": -0.07527108288162726,78    "level_se": 0.02758867729465141,79    "level_t": -2.7283324270214284,80    "level_p": 0.006365542308047846,81    "slope_change": 0.009998532356660306,82    "slope_se": 0.0009005915867089822,83    "slope_t": 11.10218272546581,84    "slope_p": 1.2241713612645047e-28,85    "pre_slope": 0.0033652328356685076,86    "pre_slope_se": 0.0006957094804252004,87    "n": 101,88    "r2": 0.9652553620998705,89    "event": "2022-05-01"90   },91   "its_gpt4": {92    "level_change": 0.024787023008294384,93    "level_se": 0.024161661860307077,94    "level_t": 1.0258823731415037,95    "level_p": 0.3049470322176382,96    "slope_change": 0.010911375547889395,97    "slope_se": 0.0009605813070235952,98    "slope_t": 11.359137917953856,99    "slope_p": 6.680056045236688e-30,100    "pre_slope": 0.00320170148362576,101    "pre_slope_se": 0.0004708513371811864,102    "n": 101,103    "r2": 0.9656841511211479,104    "event": "2023-04-01"105   },106   "its_o1": {107    "level_change": 0.103385756577691,108    "level_se": 0.03907630699873901,109    "level_t": 2.6457402072572327,110    "level_p": 0.008151239132855826,111    "slope_change": 0.011485347022849562,112    "slope_se": 0.0018220772152619058,113    "slope_t": 6.303435950269899,114    "slope_p": 2.9111854697693965e-10,115    "pre_slope": 0.004865443502248999,116    "pre_slope_se": 0.0006265145570542231,117    "n": 101,118    "r2": 0.9512320243101126,119    "event": "2024-10-01"120   },121   "bai_perron": {122    "m_bic": 1,123    "m_lwz": 1,124    "breaks_bic": [125     50126    ],127    "h": 15,128    "break_dates_bic": [129     "2022-04-01"130    ],131    "break_dates_lwz": [132     "2022-04-01"133    ],134    "input": "log, seasonally adjusted (baseline month means)",135    "bic_by_m": {136     "0": -463.8,137     "1": -555.25,138     "2": -551.53,139     "3": -545.89140    }141   },142   "pelt": [143    "2023-05",144    "2024-12"145   ],146   "bocpd_resets": [],147   "bocpd_cp_prob_2022_12_to_2023_03": 0.03275100075824258148  }149 },150 "sensitivity_last_complete_total": {151  "2026-03": {152   "its_chatgpt": {153    "level_change": -0.008356803533087098,154    "level_se": 0.02406023745909037,155    "level_t": -0.34732838972583596,156    "level_p": 0.7283446248839207,157    "slope_change": 0.010758916597688975,158    "slope_se": 0.0009344255132367924,159    "slope_t": 11.513937114602909,160    "slope_p": 1.1223484857790609e-30,161    "pre_slope": 0.003090502530495308,162    "pre_slope_se": 0.0005398711562243559,163    "n": 98,164    "r2": 0.9633203188704952,165    "event": "2022-12-01"166   },167   "bai_perron": [168    "2022-04-01"169   ]170  },171  "2026-08": {172   "its_chatgpt": {173    "level_change": 0.0044081881604915996,174    "level_se": 0.025723920879460883,175    "level_t": 0.17136532883722605,176    "level_p": 0.863936515065235,177    "slope_change": 0.009780405684111652,178    "slope_se": 0.0011361491922444876,179    "slope_t": 8.608381496791145,180    "slope_p": 7.409930440207624e-18,181    "pre_slope": 0.0031105108937132843,182    "pre_slope_se": 0.0005610204602059098,183    "n": 103,184    "r2": 0.9596647911595556,185    "event": "2022-12-01"186   },187   "bai_perron": [188    "2022-02-01"189   ]190  }191 }192}
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