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1{"text": "{\"genre\":\"theoretical\",\"subfield\":\"macro_finance\",\"subfield_secondary\":\"information economics / feedback between financial markets and real economy\",\"primary_method\":\"theoretical_model_analytical\",\"identification\":{\"estimand\":\"not applicable (theoretical model)\",\"strategy\":\"not applicable; analytical general equilibrium model with numerical illustrations\",\"key_assumptions\":[\"mutual learning between firms and financial markets\",\"monopolistic competition with constant markup\",\"CARA speculators\",\"OLG dynamic structure\"],\"threats_addressed\":[],\"causal_language_strength\":1,\"uses_causal_claim\":false},\"abstract_moves\":{\"question\":{\"present\":false,\"sentence_index\":-1},\"gap\":{\"present\":false,\"sentence_index\":-1},\"method\":{\"present\":true,\"sentence_index\":0},\"results\":{\"present\":true,\"sentence_index\":1},\"magnitude\":{\"present\":false,\"sentence_index\":-1},\"contribution\":{\"present\":true,\"sentence_index\":0}},\"introduction\":{\"moves\":[{\"paragraph_index\":0,\"move\":\"motivation\"},{\"paragraph_index\":0,\"move\":\"tension_or_puzzle\"},{\"paragraph_index\":0,\"move\":\"preview_of_approach\"},{\"paragraph_index\":0,\"move\":\"mechanism_or_theory_sketch\"}],\"contribution_paragraph_index\":0,\"contribution_types\":[\"new_theory_or_model\"],\"roadmap_present\":false,\"literature_positioning_location\":\"inside_introduction\"},\"section_roles\":[{\"idx\":0,\"role\":\"introduction\"},{\"idx\":1,\"role\":\"theory\"},{\"idx\":2,\"role\":\"theory\"},{\"idx\":3,\"role\":\"theory\"},{\"idx\":4,\"role\":\"theory\"},{\"idx\":5,\"role\":\"other\"},{\"idx\":6,\"role\":\"conclusion\"},{\"idx\":7,\"role\":\"appendix\"},{\"idx\":8,\"role\":\"appendix\"}],\"results_presentation\":{\"economic_significance_discussed\":false,\"statistical_significance_language\":\"unclear\",\"magnitude_statements_in_intro\":false},\"robustness\":{\"location\":\"none_seen\",\"types\":[]},\"tables\":{\"convention_notes\":\"Two tables: one lists the parameter values used for the numerical illustration, with descriptions and sources; the other compares good versus bad steady-state equilibrium outcomes (GDP, investment, TFP, information precisions). 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(2012)\"},{\"claim\":\"Mutual learning creates strategic complementarity in information production between firms and speculators\",\"evidence_type\":\"equation_or_proof\",\"evidence_ref\":\"Sections I–II; Appendix B\"},{\"claim\":\"General equilibrium model yields amplification, co-movement of uncertainties, contagion and cross-sectional implications\",\"evidence_type\":\"equation_or_proof\",\"evidence_ref\":\"Section III.C; Figures 2–4\"},{\"claim\":\"Dynamic OLG model can have two steady states (uncertainty traps) and a two-stage crisis\",\"evidence_type\":\"figure\",\"evidence_ref\":\"Figures 5, 6, 8; Table II\"}],\"structural_summary\":\"The paper opens with stylized facts on joint uncertainty spikes and poses them as research questions. 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