Manuscript audit — The Yield Curve at One-Minute Resolution
Generated 2026-11-09T19:44:25+00:00 (jof250 abe8945-dirty). Body words: 8020.
Sections
- Introduction — role
introduction, 1269 words - Related literature — role
literature, 620 words - Data — role
data, 717 words - Methodology — role
empirical_design, 1158 words - Results — role
results, 2636 words - Robustness and limitations — role
robustness, 552 words - Conclusion — role
conclusion, 354 words - Pre-registered design, review, and changes — role
other, 444 words - Additional tables — role
other, 12 words
Tables (0) and figures (7)
- figure 7 (fig:realizedvol): never referenced
Equations (4, 3 labelled)
- \ref to undefined label: tab:correlations
- \ref to undefined label: tab:dailyfactors
- \ref to undefined label: tab:data
- \ref to undefined label: tab:etf
- \ref to undefined label: tab:eventsa
- \ref to undefined label: tab:eventsb
- \ref to undefined label: tab:fidelity
- \ref to undefined label: tab:fidelityalt
- \ref to undefined label: tab:har
- \ref to undefined label: tab:spanning
- \ref to undefined label: tab:weights
Citations
- \cite commands: 58; bib entries: 50 (47 with DOI)
- unknown keys: none
- DOI check: {'checked': 47, 'resolved': 47, 'unresolved': []}
Possibly unsupported claims (3)
- [reduces] Estimating $\lambda$ by non-linear least squares over the same period gives \lambdaHat{} and reduces the error to \fitRmseLamHatBp{} basis points; we keep the fixed value, which makes the loadings constant over time and the factors comparable with the literature.
- [shows that] Out of sample, the construction reproduces the daily level factor almost completely, the slope and curvature factors to the extent that the futures span the curve beyond the bill segment, and a cash-yield ceiling shows that most of what is lost is the bill segment rather than the futures basis.
- [lower] Scheduled releases concentrate yield-curve risk: a thirty-minute window around the Employment report carries a third of the day's realized factor variance and the FOMC statement a fifth, and the mix of factors in the response has shifted from the short rate during the zero lower bound to the two-yea
Overlap with the JoF corpus (8-gram shingles)
- max share of manuscript shingles found in one corpus document: 0.0002 [{'doc_id': 'jof_12969', 'share': 0.0002}, {'doc_id': 'jof_12885', 'share': 0.0002}, {'doc_id': 'jof_12882', 'share': 0.0002}]