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UQO Working Paper No. 7 — Options-implied information for cross-asset return and volatility prediction: evidence from 3.8B option contracts.

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# Raw data (external — not shipped)

The extraction step (scripts/01_extract_data.py) and a few raw-dependent analysis sections read four DuckDB stores that are too large to live in this repository (~3.83 billion option records and ~11.5 billion intraday OHLCV bars):

File Contents
options.duckdb End-of-day option chains (option_chain table): 11,077 underlyings, 2010–2025, quotes, IVs, Greeks, volume, OI
stock_5min.duckdb 5-minute OHLCV bars, US equities (ohlcv table)
etf_5min.duckdb 5-minute OHLCV bars, ETFs (ohlcv table)
index_5min.duckdb 5-minute OHLCV bars, indices incl. SPX/VIX (ohlcv table)

Place them in this directory — or point the WP7_RAW_DATA_DIR environment variable at the directory that contains them:

bash
export WP7_RAW_DATA_DIR=/path/to/duckdb/stores

Without the raw stores the pipeline still reproduces every analysis that feeds the paper's tables from the derived datasets in data/processed/ (shipped with the repository). Raw-dependent steps detect the missing stores and skip themselves with an explanatory message. See AUDIT.md §6.1 for the exact reproducibility map.

⚠️ As of 2026-08-05 the original stores no longer exist on the author's machine; data/processed/ is the authoritative surviving copy of the data.