spb/traite-evaluation-qc

1% Nouvelles références du chapitre 39 — à fusionner dans library.bib par l'orchestrateur.2% Toutes vérifiées le 2026-10-31 par l'API Crossref (titre, auteurs, revue, volume, numéro, pages, année), sauf watanabe20103% (pas de DOI : page de la revue jmlr.org/papers/v11/watanabe10a.html ouverte le 2026-10-31).4% Non citées par \parencite dans ch39.tex (règle de collision : seules les clés déjà dans library.bib y sont citées) ;5% le chapitre les mentionne en toutes lettres avec leur DOI dans des notes de bas de page. Après fusion, remplacer ces notes par6% \parencite{gelmanRubin1992}, \parencite{gelfandSmith1990}, \parencite{gemanGeman1984}, \parencite{gelman2006},7% \parencite{gelfandSahuCarlin1995}, \parencite{vehtariGelmanGabry2017}, \parencite{watanabe2010}, \parencite{vehtariEtAl2021},8% \parencite{efronMorris1975}.910@article{gelmanRubin1992,11  author       = {Gelman, Andrew and Rubin, Donald B.},12  title        = {Inference from Iterative Simulation Using Multiple Sequences},13  journaltitle = {Statistical Science},14  volume       = {7},15  number       = {4},16  pages        = {457--472},17  year         = {1992},18  doi          = {10.1214/ss/1177011136},19  urldate      = {2026-10-31},20  note         = {Statistique $\hat R$ (facteur de réduction d'échelle potentielle) ; vérifié Crossref}21}2223@article{gelfandSmith1990,24  author       = {Gelfand, Alan E. and Smith, Adrian F. M.},25  title        = {Sampling-Based Approaches to Calculating Marginal Densities},26  journaltitle = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},27  volume       = {85},28  number       = {410},29  pages        = {398--409},30  year         = {1990},31  doi          = {10.1080/01621459.1990.10476213},32  urldate      = {2026-10-31},33  note         = {Échantillonneur de Gibbs comme outil d'inférence bayésienne générale ; vérifié Crossref}34}3536@article{gemanGeman1984,37  author       = {Geman, Stuart and Geman, Donald},38  title        = {Stochastic Relaxation, {Gibbs} Distributions, and the {Bayesian} Restoration of Images},39  journaltitle = {IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence},40  volume       = {PAMI-6},41  number       = {6},42  pages        = {721--741},43  year         = {1984},44  doi          = {10.1109/TPAMI.1984.4767596},45  urldate      = {2026-10-31},46  note         = {Origine de l'échantillonneur de Gibbs ; vérifié Crossref}47}4849@article{gelman2006,50  author       = {Gelman, Andrew},51  title        = {Prior Distributions for Variance Parameters in Hierarchical Models (Comment on Article by {Browne} and {Draper})},52  journaltitle = {Bayesian Analysis},53  volume       = {1},54  number       = {3},55  pages        = {515--534},56  year         = {2006},57  doi          = {10.1214/06-BA117A},58  urldate      = {2026-10-31},59  note         = {A priori sur la variance des groupes : inverse-gamma $\mathcal{IG}(\epsilon,\epsilon)$ déconseillée, uniforme sur $\tau$ ou demi-Cauchy ; vérifié Crossref}60}6162@article{gelfandSahuCarlin1995,63  author       = {Gelfand, Alan E. and Sahu, Sujit K. and Carlin, Bradley P.},64  title        = {Efficient Parametrisations for Normal Linear Mixed Models},65  journaltitle = {Biometrika},66  volume       = {82},67  number       = {3},68  pages        = {479--488},69  year         = {1995},70  doi          = {10.1093/biomet/82.3.479},71  urldate      = {2026-10-31},72  note         = {Paramétrisation centrée des modèles linéaires mixtes et mélange du Gibbs ; vérifié Crossref}73}7475@article{vehtariGelmanGabry2017,76  author       = {Vehtari, Aki and Gelman, Andrew and Gabry, Jonah},77  title        = {Practical {Bayesian} Model Evaluation Using Leave-One-Out Cross-Validation and {WAIC}},78  journaltitle = {Statistics and Computing},79  volume       = {27},80  number       = {5},81  pages        = {1413--1432},82  year         = {2017},83  doi          = {10.1007/s11222-016-9696-4},84  urldate      = {2026-10-31},85  note         = {WAIC, LOO par échantillonnage préférentiel lissé de Pareto (PSIS) ; en ligne 2016, volume imprimé 2017 ; vérifié Crossref}86}8788@article{watanabe2010,89  author       = {Watanabe, Sumio},90  title        = {Asymptotic Equivalence of {Bayes} Cross Validation and Widely Applicable Information Criterion in Singular Learning Theory},91  journaltitle = {Journal of Machine Learning Research},92  volume       = {11},93  pages        = {3571--3594},94  year         = {2010},95  url          = {https://www.jmlr.org/papers/v11/watanabe10a.html},96  urldate      = {2026-10-31},97  note         = {Critère WAIC ; pas de DOI, page de la revue consultée}98}99100@article{vehtariEtAl2021,101  author       = {Vehtari, Aki and Gelman, Andrew and Simpson, Daniel and Carpenter, Bob and B{\"u}rkner, Paul-Christian},102  title        = {Rank-Normalization, Folding, and Localization: An Improved $\hat{R}$ for Assessing Convergence of {MCMC} (with Discussion)},103  journaltitle = {Bayesian Analysis},104  volume       = {16},105  number       = {2},106  pages        = {667--718},107  year         = {2021},108  doi          = {10.1214/20-BA1221},109  urldate      = {2026-10-31},110  note         = {$\hat R$ scindé et rang-normalisé, ESS pour quantiles ; vérifié Crossref}111}112113@article{efronMorris1975,114  author       = {Efron, Bradley and Morris, Carl},115  title        = {Data Analysis Using {Stein}'s Estimator and its Generalizations},116  journaltitle = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},117  volume       = {70},118  number       = {350},119  pages        = {311--319},120  year         = {1975},121  doi          = {10.1080/01621459.1975.10479864},122  urldate      = {2026-10-31},123  note         = {Rétrécissement empirique (James–Stein) ; vérifié Crossref}124}125