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1% WP23 (forecasting-architectures-quebec) -- verified references only.2% Every entry was checked on 2026-10-21 against Crossref (/works/<DOI>), the arXiv API, proceedings.neurips.cc,3% jmlr.org, RePEc or the publisher page; sources and caveats are recorded in docs/literature/references_verified.json4% and docs/literature/unverified.md. The first block (42 entries) is reused verbatim from WP225% (../sharp-hpi-quebec/paper/references.bib, verified there); the second block (110 entries) is new.6% Keys: lowercase author+year+word. natbib/aer.bst compatible; non-ASCII characters are LaTeX-escaped.78%% ===================== Block 1: entries reused from WP22 =====================910@article{caseshiller1987,11  author       = {Case, Karl E. and Shiller, Robert J.},12  title        = {Prices of Single-Family Homes Since 1970: New Indexes for Four Cities},13  journal      = {New England Economic Review},14  year         = {1987},15  pages        = {45--56},16  month        = {September},17  url          = {https://ideas.repec.org/a/fip/fedbne/y1987isepp45-56.html}18}1920@article{caseshiller1989,21  author       = {Case, Karl E. and Shiller, Robert J.},22  title        = {The Efficiency of the Market for Single-Family Homes},23  journal      = {American Economic Review},24  year         = {1989},25  volume       = {79},26  number       = {1},27  pages        = {125--137},28  url          = {https://ideas.repec.org/a/aea/aecrev/v79y1989i1p125-37.html}29}3031@article{hollypesaran2010,32  author       = {Holly, Sean and Pesaran, M. Hashem and Yamagata, Takashi},33  title        = {A spatio-temporal model of house prices in the {USA}},34  journal      = {Journal of Econometrics},35  year         = {2010},36  volume       = {158},37  number       = {1},38  pages        = {160--173},39  doi          = {10.1016/j.jeconom.2010.03.040}40}4142@article{pace2000spatiotemporal,43  author       = {Pace, R. Kelley and Barry, Ronald and Gilley, Otis W. and Sirmans, C. F.},44  title        = {A method for spatial--temporal forecasting with an application to real estate prices},45  journal      = {International Journal of Forecasting},46  year         = {2000},47  volume       = {16},48  number       = {2},49  pages        = {229--246},50  doi          = {10.1016/s0169-2070(99)00047-3}51}5253@book{anselin1988,54  author       = {Anselin, Luc},55  title        = {Spatial Econometrics: Methods and Models},56  year         = {1988},57  publisher    = {Kluwer Academic Publishers},58  doi          = {10.1007/978-94-015-7799-1}59}6061@article{kelejianprucha2010,62  author       = {Kelejian, Harry H. and Prucha, Ingmar R.},63  title        = {Specification and estimation of spatial autoregressive models with autoregressive and heteroskedastic disturbances},64  journal      = {Journal of Econometrics},65  year         = {2010},66  volume       = {157},67  number       = {1},68  pages        = {53--67},69  doi          = {10.1016/j.jeconom.2009.10.025}70}7172@book{lesagepace2009,73  author       = {LeSage, James and Pace, Robert Kelley},74  title        = {Introduction to Spatial Econometrics},75  year         = {2009},76  publisher    = {Chapman and Hall/CRC},77  doi          = {10.1201/9781420064254}78}7980@article{hyndman2011hierarchical,81  author       = {Hyndman, Rob J. and Ahmed, Roman A. and Athanasopoulos, George and Shang, Han Lin},82  title        = {Optimal combination forecasts for hierarchical time series},83  journal      = {Computational Statistics \& Data Analysis},84  year         = {2011},85  volume       = {55},86  number       = {9},87  pages        = {2579--2589},88  doi          = {10.1016/j.csda.2011.03.006}89}9091@article{wickramasuriya2019mint,92  author       = {Wickramasuriya, Shanika L. and Athanasopoulos, George and Hyndman, Rob J.},93  title        = {Optimal Forecast Reconciliation for Hierarchical and Grouped Time Series Through Trace Minimization},94  journal      = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},95  year         = {2019},96  volume       = {114},97  number       = {526},98  pages        = {804--819},99  doi          = {10.1080/01621459.2018.1448825}100}101102@article{athanasopoulos2024reconciliation,103  author       = {Athanasopoulos, George and Hyndman, Rob J. and Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Panagiotelis, Anastasios},104  title        = {Forecast reconciliation: A review},105  journal      = {International Journal of Forecasting},106  year         = {2024},107  volume       = {40},108  number       = {2},109  pages        = {430--456},110  doi          = {10.1016/j.ijforecast.2023.10.010}111}112113@book{durbinkoopman2012,114  author       = {Durbin, James and Koopman, Siem Jan},115  title        = {Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods},116  year         = {2012},117  publisher    = {Oxford University Press},118  edition      = {2},119  doi          = {10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199641178.001.0001}120}121122@book{harvey1989,123  author       = {Harvey, Andrew C.},124  title        = {Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the {Kalman} Filter},125  year         = {1989},126  publisher    = {Cambridge University Press},127  doi          = {10.1017/CBO9781107049994}128}129130@article{kalman1960,131  author       = {Kalman, R. E.},132  title        = {A New Approach to Linear Filtering and Prediction Problems},133  journal      = {Journal of Basic Engineering},134  year         = {1960},135  volume       = {82},136  number       = {1},137  pages        = {35--45},138  doi          = {10.1115/1.3662552}139}140141@inproceedings{ke2017lightgbm,142  author       = {Ke, Guolin and Meng, Qi and Finley, Thomas and Wang, Taifeng and Chen, Wei and Ma, Weidong and Ye, Qiwei and Liu, Tie-Yan},143  title        = {LightGBM: A Highly Efficient Gradient Boosting Decision Tree},144  booktitle    = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 30 (NIPS 2017)},145  year         = {2017},146  pages        = {3146--3154},147  url          = {https://proceedings.neurips.cc/paper/2017/hash/6449f44a102fde848669bdd9eb6b76fa-Abstract.html}148}149150@article{gatzlaffhaurin1997,151  author       = {Gatzlaff, Dean H. and Haurin, Donald R.},152  title        = {Sample Selection Bias and Repeat-Sales Index Estimates},153  journal      = {The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics},154  year         = {1997},155  volume       = {14},156  number       = {1-2},157  pages        = {33--50},158  doi          = {10.1023/a:1007763816289}159}160161@article{gatzlaffhaurin1998,162  author       = {Gatzlaff, Dean H. and Haurin, Donald R.},163  title        = {Sample Selection and Biases in Local House Value Indices},164  journal      = {Journal of Urban Economics},165  year         = {1998},166  volume       = {43},167  number       = {2},168  pages        = {199--222},169  doi          = {10.1006/juec.1997.2045}170}171172@article{hwangquigley2004,173  author       = {Hwang, Min and Quigley, John M.},174  title        = {Selectivity, Quality Adjustment and Mean Reversion in the Measurement of House Values},175  journal      = {The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics},176  year         = {2004},177  volume       = {28},178  number       = {2-3},179  pages        = {161--178},180  doi          = {10.1023/b:real.0000011152.40485.12}181}182183@article{clapp1991alltransactions,184  author       = {Clapp, John M. and Giaccotto, Carmelo and Tirtiroglu, Dogan},185  title        = {Housing Price Indices Based on All Transactions Compared to Repeat Subsamples},186  journal      = {Real Estate Economics},187  year         = {1991},188  volume       = {19},189  number       = {3},190  pages        = {270--285},191  doi          = {10.1111/1540-6229.00553}192}193194@book{gelmanhill2007,195  author       = {Gelman, Andrew and Hill, Jennifer},196  title        = {Data Analysis Using Regression and {Multilevel/Hierarchical} Models},197  year         = {2007},198  publisher    = {Cambridge University Press},199  doi          = {10.1017/CBO9780511790942}200}201202@article{gelman2006prior,203  author       = {Gelman, Andrew},204  title        = {Prior distributions for variance parameters in hierarchical models (comment on article by Browne and Draper)},205  journal      = {Bayesian Analysis},206  year         = {2006},207  volume       = {1},208  number       = {3},209  pages        = {515--534},210  doi          = {10.1214/06-ba117a}211}212213@article{rosen1974,214  author       = {Rosen, Sherwin},215  title        = {Hedonic Prices and Implicit Markets: Product Differentiation in Pure Competition},216  journal      = {Journal of Political Economy},217  year         = {1974},218  volume       = {82},219  number       = {1},220  pages        = {34--55},221  doi          = {10.1086/260169}222}223224@article{francke2017hierarchical,225  author       = {Francke, Marc K. and van de Minne, Alex},226  title        = {The Hierarchical Repeat Sales Model for Granular Commercial Real Estate and Residential Price Indices},227  journal      = {The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics},228  year         = {2017},229  volume       = {55},230  number       = {4},231  pages        = {511--532},232  doi          = {10.1007/s11146-017-9632-1}233}234235@article{francke2010thin,236  author       = {Francke, Marc K.},237  title        = {Repeat Sales Index for Thin Markets},238  journal      = {The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics},239  year         = {2010},240  volume       = {41},241  number       = {1},242  pages        = {24--52},243  doi          = {10.1007/s11146-009-9203-1}244}245246@article{francke2021heterogeneity,247  author       = {Francke, Marc and van de Minne, Alex},248  title        = {Modeling unobserved heterogeneity in hedonic price models},249  journal      = {Real Estate Economics},250  year         = {2021},251  volume       = {49},252  number       = {4},253  pages        = {1315--1339},254  doi          = {10.1111/1540-6229.12320}255}256257@article{bailey1963,258  author       = {Bailey, Martin J. and Muth, Richard F. and Nourse, Hugh O.},259  title        = {A Regression Method for Real Estate Price Index Construction},260  journal      = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},261  year         = {1963},262  volume       = {58},263  number       = {304},264  pages        = {933--942},265  doi          = {10.1080/01621459.1963.10480679}266}267268@article{goetzmann1992,269  author       = {Goetzmann, William Nelson},270  title        = {The accuracy of real estate indices: Repeat sale estimators},271  journal      = {The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics},272  year         = {1992},273  volume       = {5},274  number       = {1},275  pages        = {5--53},276  doi          = {10.1007/bf00153997}277}278279@article{clappgiaccotto1992,280  author       = {Clapp, John M. and Giaccotto, Carmelo},281  title        = {Estimating Price Indices for Residential Property: A Comparison of Repeat Sales and Assessed Value Methods},282  journal      = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},283  year         = {1992},284  volume       = {87},285  number       = {418},286  pages        = {300--306},287  doi          = {10.1080/01621459.1992.10475209}288}289290@article{bourassa2006simple,291  author       = {Bourassa, Steven C. and Hoesli, Martin and Sun, Jian},292  title        = {A simple alternative house price index method},293  journal      = {Journal of Housing Economics},294  year         = {2006},295  volume       = {15},296  number       = {1},297  pages        = {80--97},298  doi          = {10.1016/j.jhe.2006.03.001}299}300301@book{wood2017gam,302  author       = {Wood, Simon N.},303  title        = {Generalized Additive Models},304  year         = {2017},305  publisher    = {Chapman and Hall/CRC},306  edition      = {2},307  doi          = {10.1201/9781315370279}308}309310@article{chernozhukov2018dml,311  author       = {Chernozhukov, Victor and Chetverikov, Denis and Demirer, Mert and Duflo, Esther and Hansen, Christian and Newey, Whitney and Robins, James},312  title        = {Double/debiased machine learning for treatment and structural parameters},313  journal      = {The Econometrics Journal},314  year         = {2018},315  volume       = {21},316  number       = {1},317  pages        = {C1-C68},318  doi          = {10.1111/ectj.12097}319}320321@article{hill2013survey,322  author       = {Hill, Robert J.},323  title        = {Hedonic Price Indexes for Residential Housing: A Survey, Evaluation and Taxonomy},324  journal      = {Journal of Economic Surveys},325  year         = {2013},326  volume       = {27},327  number       = {5},328  pages        = {879--914},329  doi          = {10.1111/j.1467-6419.2012.00731.x}330}331332@article{hill2026survey,333  author       = {Hill, Robert J. and Steurer, Miriam},334  title        = {Real Estate Price Measurement Since the Global Financial Crisis: Methods, Data and Policy Developments},335  journal      = {Review of Income and Wealth},336  year         = {2026},337  volume       = {72},338  number       = {1},339  doi          = {10.1111/roiw.70055},340  note         = {Article e70055}341}342343@book{eurostat2013handbook,344  author       = {{Eurostat} and {ILO} and {IMF} and {OECD} and {UNECE} and {World Bank}},345  title        = {Handbook on Residential Property Price Indices ({RPPIs})},346  year         = {2013},347  publisher    = {OECD Publishing / Eurostat},348  doi          = {10.1787/9789264197183-en}349}350351@article{nagaraja2011autoregressive,352  author       = {Nagaraja, Chaitra H. and Brown, Lawrence D. and Zhao, Linda H.},353  title        = {An autoregressive approach to house price modeling},354  journal      = {The Annals of Applied Statistics},355  year         = {2011},356  volume       = {5},357  number       = {1},358  pages        = {124--149},359  doi          = {10.1214/10-aoas380}360}361362@article{bogin2019local,363  author       = {Bogin, Alexander and Doerner, William and Larson, William},364  title        = {Local House Price Dynamics: New Indices and Stylized Facts},365  journal      = {Real Estate Economics},366  year         = {2019},367  volume       = {47},368  number       = {2},369  pages        = {365--398},370  doi          = {10.1111/1540-6229.12233}371}372373@article{mcmillen2012matching,374  author       = {McMillen, Daniel P.},375  title        = {Repeat Sales as a Matching Estimator},376  journal      = {Real Estate Economics},377  year         = {2012},378  volume       = {40},379  number       = {4},380  pages        = {745--773},381  doi          = {10.1111/j.1540-6229.2012.00343.x}382}383384@article{fayherriot1979,385  author       = {Fay, Robert E. and Herriot, Roger A.},386  title        = {Estimates of Income for Small Places: An Application of {James-Stein} Procedures to Census Data},387  journal      = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},388  year         = {1979},389  volume       = {74},390  number       = {366},391  pages        = {269--277},392  doi          = {10.1080/01621459.1979.10482505}393}394395@article{efronmorris1973,396  author       = {Efron, Bradley and Morris, Carl},397  title        = {Stein's Estimation Rule and its Competitors---An Empirical {Bayes} Approach},398  journal      = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},399  year         = {1973},400  volume       = {68},401  number       = {341},402  pages        = {117--130},403  doi          = {10.1080/01621459.1973.10481350}404}405406@article{francke2022daily,407  author       = {Francke, Marc and van de Minne, Alex},408  title        = {Daily appraisal of commercial real estate a new mixed frequency approach},409  journal      = {Real Estate Economics},410  year         = {2022},411  volume       = {50},412  number       = {5},413  pages        = {1257--1281},414  doi          = {10.1111/1540-6229.12378}415}416417@article{francke2025censustract,418  author       = {Francke, Marc and Rolheiser, Lyndsey and van de Minne, Alex},419  title        = {Estimating Census Tract House Price Indexes: A New Spatial Dynamic Factor Approach},420  journal      = {The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics},421  year         = {2025},422  volume       = {70},423  number       = {3},424  pages        = {483--514},425  doi          = {10.1007/s11146-023-09957-w}426}427428@article{dattalahiri2000,429  author       = {Datta, Gauri Sankar and Lahiri, Partha},430  title        = {A Unified Measure of Uncertainty of Estimated Best Linear Unbiased Predictors in Small Area Estimation Problems},431  journal      = {Statistica Sinica},432  year         = {2000},433  volume       = {10},434  number       = {2},435  pages        = {613--627},436  url          = {https://www3.stat.sinica.edu.tw/statistica/J10n2/j10n214/j10n214.htm}437}438439@article{pfeffermann2013sae,440  author       = {Pfeffermann, Danny},441  title        = {New Important Developments in Small Area Estimation},442  journal      = {Statistical Science},443  year         = {2013},444  volume       = {28},445  number       = {1},446  pages        = {40--68},447  doi          = {10.1214/12-sts395}448}449450%% ===================== Block 2: new entries verified for WP23 =====================451452@article{rapachstrauss2009,453  author       = {Rapach, David E. and Strauss, Jack K.},454  title        = {Differences in housing price forecastability across US states},455  journal      = {International Journal of Forecasting},456  year         = {2009},457  volume       = {25},458  number       = {2},459  pages        = {351--372},460  doi          = {10.1016/j.ijforecast.2009.01.009}461}462463@article{borkmoller2015,464  author       = {Bork, Lasse and M{\o}ller, Stig V.},465  title        = {Forecasting house prices in the 50 states using Dynamic Model Averaging and Dynamic Model Selection},466  journal      = {International Journal of Forecasting},467  year         = {2015},468  volume       = {31},469  number       = {1},470  pages        = {63--78},471  doi          = {10.1016/j.ijforecast.2014.05.005}472}473474@incollection{ghysels2013forecasting,475  author       = {Ghysels, Eric and Plazzi, Alberto and Valkanov, Rossen and Torous, Walter},476  editor       = {Elliott, Graham and Timmermann, Allan},477  title        = {Forecasting Real Estate Prices},478  booktitle    = {Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Volume 2A},479  year         = {2013},480  volume       = {2},481  pages        = {509--580},482  publisher    = {Elsevier},483  doi          = {10.1016/b978-0-444-53683-9.00009-8}484}485486@article{gupta2011forecasting,487  author       = {Gupta, Rangan and Kabundi, Alain and Miller, Stephen M.},488  title        = {Forecasting the US real house price index: Structural and non-structural models with and without fundamentals},489  journal      = {Economic Modelling},490  year         = {2011},491  volume       = {28},492  number       = {4},493  pages        = {2013--2021},494  doi          = {10.1016/j.econmod.2011.04.005}495}496497@article{gupta2011large,498  author       = {Gupta, Rangan and Kabundi, Alain and Miller, Stephen},499  title        = {Using Large Data Sets to Forecast House Prices: A Case Study of Twenty U.S. States},500  journal      = {Journal of Housing Research},501  year         = {2011},502  volume       = {20},503  number       = {2},504  pages        = {161--190},505  doi          = {10.1080/10835547.2011.12092042}506}507508@article{plakandaras2015forecasting,509  author       = {Plakandaras, Vasilios and Gupta, Rangan and Gogas, Periklis and Papadimitriou, Theophilos},510  title        = {Forecasting the U.S. real house price index},511  journal      = {Economic Modelling},512  year         = {2015},513  volume       = {45},514  pages        = {259--267},515  doi          = {10.1016/j.econmod.2014.10.050}516}517518@article{milunovich2020forecasting,519  author       = {Milunovich, George},520  title        = {Forecasting Australia's real house price index: A comparison of time series and machine learning methods},521  journal      = {Journal of Forecasting},522  year         = {2020},523  volume       = {39},524  number       = {7},525  pages        = {1098--1118},526  doi          = {10.1002/for.2678}527}528529@article{kouwenbergzwinkels2014,530  author       = {Kouwenberg, Roy and Zwinkels, Remco},531  title        = {Forecasting the US housing market},532  journal      = {International Journal of Forecasting},533  year         = {2014},534  volume       = {30},535  number       = {3},536  pages        = {415--425},537  doi          = {10.1016/j.ijforecast.2013.12.010}538}539540@article{caseshiller1990forecasting,541  author       = {Case, Karl E. and Shiller, Robert J.},542  title        = {Forecasting Prices and Excess Returns in the Housing Market},543  journal      = {Real Estate Economics},544  year         = {1990},545  volume       = {18},546  number       = {3},547  pages        = {253--273},548  doi          = {10.1111/1540-6229.00521}549}550551@article{xuzhang2022hpi,552  author       = {Xu, Xiaojie and Zhang, Yun},553  title        = {Residential housing price index forecasting via neural networks},554  journal      = {Neural Computing and Applications},555  year         = {2022},556  volume       = {34},557  number       = {17},558  pages        = {14763--14776},559  doi          = {10.1007/s00521-022-07309-y}560}561562@article{yeo2025deepdfvar,563  author       = {Yeo, Jisu and Stitsyuk, Artyom and Choi, Jaesik},564  title        = {Deep-DFVAR: Dynamic factor vector autoregression with deep learning for regional house price index forecasting},565  journal      = {Neurocomputing},566  year         = {2025},567  volume       = {656},568  pages        = {131103},569  doi          = {10.1016/j.neucom.2025.131103}570}571572@article{bourassa2010spatial,573  author       = {Bourassa, Steven and Cantoni, Eva and Hoesli, Martin},574  title        = {Predicting House Prices with Spatial Dependence: A Comparison of Alternative Methods},575  journal      = {Journal of Real Estate Research},576  year         = {2010},577  volume       = {32},578  number       = {2},579  pages        = {139--160},580  doi          = {10.1080/10835547.2010.12091276}581}582583@article{pacehayunga2020residuals,584  author       = {Pace, R. Kelley and Hayunga, Darren},585  title        = {Examining the Information Content of Residuals from Hedonic and Spatial Models Using Trees and Forests},586  journal      = {The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics},587  year         = {2020},588  volume       = {60},589  number       = {1-2},590  pages        = {170--180},591  doi          = {10.1007/s11146-019-09724-w}592}593594@article{mayer2019updating,595  author       = {Mayer, Michael and Bourassa, Steven C. and Hoesli, Martin and Scognamiglio, Donato},596  title        = {Estimation and updating methods for hedonic valuation},597  journal      = {Journal of European Real Estate Research},598  year         = {2019},599  volume       = {12},600  number       = {1},601  pages        = {134--150},602  doi          = {10.1108/jerer-08-2018-0035}603}604605@article{hu2019rental,606  author       = {Hu, Lirong and He, Shenjing and Han, Zixuan and Xiao, He and Su, Shiliang and Weng, Min and Cai, Zhongliang},607  title        = {Monitoring housing rental prices based on social media: An integrated approach of machine-learning algorithms and hedonic modeling to inform equitable housing policies},608  journal      = {Land Use Policy},609  year         = {2019},610  volume       = {82},611  pages        = {657--673},612  doi          = {10.1016/j.landusepol.2018.12.030}613}614615@article{kok2017bigdata,616  author       = {Kok, Nils and Koponen, Eija-Leena and Mart{\'{\i}}nez-Barbosa, Carmen Adriana},617  title        = {Big Data in Real Estate? 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