1origin_date,target_date,horizon,forecast,actual,model,last_target_date_used,last_predictor_date_used22022-05-01,2022-06-01,1,4.933500,5.957100,naive,2022-03-01,32022-05-01,2022-06-01,1,4.733948,5.957100,ardl_direct_emp,2022-03-01,2022-04-0142022-05-01,2022-08-01,3,4.933500,4.831700,naive,2022-03-01,52022-05-01,2022-08-01,3,4.463230,4.831700,ardl_direct_emp,2022-03-01,2022-04-0162022-06-01,2022-07-01,1,6.046800,5.397400,naive,2022-04-01,72022-06-01,2022-07-01,1,5.812446,5.397400,ardl_direct_emp,2022-04-01,2022-05-0182022-06-01,2022-09-01,3,6.046800,4.559300,naive,2022-04-01,92022-06-01,2022-09-01,3,5.351835,4.559300,ardl_direct_emp,2022-04-01,2022-05-01102022-07-01,2022-08-01,1,6.512900,4.831700,naive,2022-05-01,112022-07-01,2022-08-01,1,6.062994,4.831700,ardl_direct_emp,2022-05-01,2022-06-01122022-07-01,2022-10-01,3,6.512900,3.569900,naive,2022-05-01,132022-07-01,2022-10-01,3,5.506270,3.569900,ardl_direct_emp,2022-05-01,2022-06-01142022-08-01,2022-09-01,1,5.957100,4.559300,naive,2022-06-01,152022-08-01,2022-09-01,1,5.590574,4.559300,ardl_direct_emp,2022-06-01,2022-07-01162022-08-01,2022-11-01,3,5.957100,2.974900,naive,2022-06-01,172022-08-01,2022-11-01,3,5.124700,2.974900,ardl_direct_emp,2022-06-01,2022-07-01182022-09-01,2022-10-01,1,5.397400,3.569900,naive,2022-07-01,192022-09-01,2022-10-01,1,5.075115,3.569900,ardl_direct_emp,2022-07-01,2022-08-01202022-09-01,2022-12-01,3,5.397400,2.251600,naive,2022-07-01,212022-09-01,2022-12-01,3,4.710249,2.251600,ardl_direct_emp,2022-07-01,2022-08-01222022-10-01,2022-11-01,1,4.831700,2.974900,naive,2022-08-01,232022-10-01,2022-11-01,1,4.498882,2.974900,ardl_direct_emp,2022-08-01,2022-09-01242022-10-01,2023-01-01,3,4.831700,3.486200,naive,2022-08-01,252022-10-01,2023-01-01,3,4.188577,3.486200,ardl_direct_emp,2022-08-01,2022-09-01262022-11-01,2022-12-01,1,4.559300,2.251600,naive,2022-09-01,272022-11-01,2022-12-01,1,4.297243,2.251600,ardl_direct_emp,2022-09-01,2022-10-01282022-11-01,2023-02-01,3,4.559300,2.744700,naive,2022-09-01,292022-11-01,2023-02-01,3,4.048127,2.744700,ardl_direct_emp,2022-09-01,2022-10-01302022-12-01,2023-01-01,1,3.569900,3.486200,naive,2022-10-01,312022-12-01,2023-01-01,1,3.428245,3.486200,ardl_direct_emp,2022-10-01,2022-11-01322022-12-01,2023-03-01,3,3.569900,2.440800,naive,2022-10-01,332022-12-01,2023-03-01,3,3.298917,2.440800,ardl_direct_emp,2022-10-01,2022-11-01342023-01-01,2023-02-01,1,2.974900,2.744700,naive,2022-11-01,352023-01-01,2023-02-01,1,2.946099,2.744700,ardl_direct_emp,2022-11-01,2022-12-01362023-01-01,2023-04-01,3,2.974900,2.428600,naive,2022-11-01,372023-01-01,2023-04-01,3,2.909503,2.428600,ardl_direct_emp,2022-11-01,2022-12-01382023-02-01,2023-03-01,1,2.251600,2.440800,naive,2022-12-01,392023-02-01,2023-03-01,1,2.515265,2.440800,ardl_direct_emp,2022-12-01,2023-01-01402023-02-01,2023-05-01,3,2.251600,2.215400,naive,2022-12-01,412023-02-01,2023-05-01,3,2.679685,2.215400,ardl_direct_emp,2022-12-01,2023-01-01422023-03-01,2023-04-01,1,3.486200,2.428600,naive,2023-01-01,432023-03-01,2023-04-01,1,3.351233,2.428600,ardl_direct_emp,2023-01-01,2023-02-01442023-03-01,2023-06-01,3,3.486200,1.661400,naive,2023-01-01,452023-03-01,2023-06-01,3,3.222850,1.661400,ardl_direct_emp,2023-01-01,2023-02-01462023-04-01,2023-05-01,1,2.744700,2.215400,naive,2023-02-01,472023-04-01,2023-05-01,1,2.786112,2.215400,ardl_direct_emp,2023-02-01,2023-03-01482023-04-01,2023-07-01,3,2.744700,1.624600,naive,2023-02-01,492023-04-01,2023-07-01,3,2.792536,1.624600,ardl_direct_emp,2023-02-01,2023-03-01502023-05-01,2023-06-01,1,2.440800,1.661400,naive,2023-03-01,512023-05-01,2023-06-01,1,2.524703,1.661400,ardl_direct_emp,2023-03-01,2023-04-01522023-05-01,2023-08-01,3,2.440800,1.369000,naive,2023-03-01,532023-05-01,2023-08-01,3,2.572085,1.369000,ardl_direct_emp,2023-03-01,2023-04-01542023-06-01,2023-07-01,1,2.428600,1.624600,naive,2023-04-01,552023-06-01,2023-07-01,1,2.488009,1.624600,ardl_direct_emp,2023-04-01,2023-05-01562023-06-01,2023-09-01,3,2.428600,1.113200,naive,2023-04-01,572023-06-01,2023-09-01,3,2.529714,1.113200,ardl_direct_emp,2023-04-01,2023-05-01582023-07-01,2023-08-01,1,2.215400,1.369000,naive,2023-05-01,592023-07-01,2023-08-01,1,2.350735,1.369000,ardl_direct_emp,2023-05-01,2023-06-01602023-07-01,2023-10-01,3,2.215400,1.332400,naive,2023-05-01,612023-07-01,2023-10-01,3,2.446047,1.332400,ardl_direct_emp,2023-05-01,2023-06-01622023-08-01,2023-09-01,1,1.661400,1.113200,naive,2023-06-01,632023-08-01,2023-09-01,1,1.893191,1.113200,ardl_direct_emp,2023-06-01,2023-07-01642023-08-01,2023-11-01,3,1.661400,1.714200,naive,2023-06-01,652023-08-01,2023-11-01,3,2.083252,1.714200,ardl_direct_emp,2023-06-01,2023-07-01662023-09-01,2023-10-01,1,1.624600,1.332400,naive,2023-07-01,672023-09-01,2023-10-01,1,1.882787,1.332400,ardl_direct_emp,2023-07-01,2023-08-01682023-09-01,2023-12-01,3,1.624600,1.885700,naive,2023-07-01,692023-09-01,2023-12-01,3,2.088397,1.885700,ardl_direct_emp,2023-07-01,2023-08-01702023-10-01,2023-11-01,1,1.369000,1.714200,naive,2023-08-01,712023-10-01,2023-11-01,1,1.668734,1.714200,ardl_direct_emp,2023-08-01,2023-09-01722023-10-01,2024-01-01,3,1.369000,1.188400,naive,2023-08-01,732023-10-01,2024-01-01,3,1.926004,1.188400,ardl_direct_emp,2023-08-01,2023-09-01742023-11-01,2023-12-01,1,1.113200,1.885700,naive,2023-09-01,752023-11-01,2023-12-01,1,1.420963,1.885700,ardl_direct_emp,2023-09-01,2023-10-01762023-11-01,2024-02-01,3,1.113200,1.454700,naive,2023-09-01,772023-11-01,2024-02-01,3,1.707933,1.454700,ardl_direct_emp,2023-09-01,2023-10-01782023-12-01,2024-01-01,1,1.332400,1.188400,naive,2023-10-01,792023-12-01,2024-01-01,1,1.578252,1.188400,ardl_direct_emp,2023-10-01,2023-11-01802023-12-01,2024-03-01,3,1.332400,1.196400,naive,2023-10-01,812023-12-01,2024-03-01,3,1.814800,1.196400,ardl_direct_emp,2023-10-01,2023-11-01822024-01-01,2024-02-01,1,1.714200,1.454700,naive,2023-11-01,832024-01-01,2024-02-01,1,1.871131,1.454700,ardl_direct_emp,2023-11-01,2023-12-01842024-01-01,2024-04-01,3,1.714200,1.552100,naive,2023-11-01,852024-01-01,2024-04-01,3,2.021065,1.552100,ardl_direct_emp,2023-11-01,2023-12-01862024-02-01,2024-03-01,1,1.885700,1.196400,naive,2023-12-01,872024-02-01,2024-03-01,1,1.993806,1.196400,ardl_direct_emp,2023-12-01,2024-01-01882024-02-01,2024-05-01,3,1.885700,1.678500,naive,2023-12-01,892024-02-01,2024-05-01,3,2.091487,1.678500,ardl_direct_emp,2023-12-01,2024-01-01902024-03-01,2024-04-01,1,1.188400,1.552100,naive,2024-01-01,912024-03-01,2024-04-01,1,1.419333,1.552100,ardl_direct_emp,2024-01-01,2024-02-01922024-03-01,2024-06-01,3,1.188400,2.031400,naive,2024-01-01,932024-03-01,2024-06-01,3,1.625574,2.031400,ardl_direct_emp,2024-01-01,2024-02-01942024-04-01,2024-05-01,1,1.454700,1.678500,naive,2024-02-01,952024-04-01,2024-05-01,1,1.617840,1.678500,ardl_direct_emp,2024-02-01,2024-03-01962024-04-01,2024-07-01,3,1.454700,2.120000,naive,2024-02-01,972024-04-01,2024-07-01,3,1.776301,2.120000,ardl_direct_emp,2024-02-01,2024-03-01982024-05-01,2024-06-01,1,1.196400,2.031400,naive,2024-03-01,992024-05-01,2024-06-01,1,1.407439,2.031400,ardl_direct_emp,2024-03-01,2024-04-011002024-05-01,2024-08-01,3,1.196400,2.193200,naive,2024-03-01,1012024-05-01,2024-08-01,3,1.609596,2.193200,ardl_direct_emp,2024-03-01,2024-04-011022024-06-01,2024-07-01,1,1.552100,2.120000,naive,2024-04-01,1032024-06-01,2024-07-01,1,1.705493,2.120000,ardl_direct_emp,2024-04-01,2024-05-011042024-06-01,2024-09-01,3,1.552100,2.504100,naive,2024-04-01,1052024-06-01,2024-09-01,3,1.845174,2.504100,ardl_direct_emp,2024-04-01,2024-05-011062024-07-01,2024-08-01,1,1.678500,2.193200,naive,2024-05-01,1072024-07-01,2024-08-01,1,1.789480,2.193200,ardl_direct_emp,2024-05-01,2024-06-011082024-07-01,2024-10-01,3,1.678500,2.819300,naive,2024-05-01,1092024-07-01,2024-10-01,3,1.899253,2.819300,ardl_direct_emp,2024-05-01,2024-06-011102024-08-01,2024-09-01,1,2.031400,2.504100,naive,2024-06-01,1112024-08-01,2024-09-01,1,2.077303,2.504100,ardl_direct_emp,2024-06-01,2024-07-011122024-08-01,2024-11-01,3,2.031400,2.339800,naive,2024-06-01,1132024-08-01,2024-11-01,3,2.128477,2.339800,ardl_direct_emp,2024-06-01,2024-07-011142024-09-01,2024-10-01,1,2.120000,2.819300,naive,2024-07-01,1152024-09-01,2024-10-01,1,2.141786,2.819300,ardl_direct_emp,2024-07-01,2024-08-011162024-09-01,2024-12-01,3,2.120000,2.673500,naive,2024-07-01,1172024-09-01,2024-12-01,3,2.176142,2.673500,ardl_direct_emp,2024-07-01,2024-08-011182024-10-01,2024-11-01,1,2.193200,2.339800,naive,2024-08-01,1192024-10-01,2024-11-01,1,2.198422,2.339800,ardl_direct_emp,2024-08-01,2024-09-011202024-10-01,2025-01-01,3,2.193200,2.955700,naive,2024-08-01,1212024-10-01,2025-01-01,3,2.220977,2.955700,ardl_direct_emp,2024-08-01,2024-09-011222024-11-01,2024-12-01,1,2.504100,2.673500,naive,2024-09-01,1232024-11-01,2024-12-01,1,2.446129,2.673500,ardl_direct_emp,2024-09-01,2024-10-011242024-11-01,2025-02-01,3,2.504100,2.168300,naive,2024-09-01,1252024-11-01,2025-02-01,3,2.417448,2.168300,ardl_direct_emp,2024-09-01,2024-10-011262024-12-01,2025-01-01,1,2.819300,2.955700,naive,2024-10-01,1272024-12-01,2025-01-01,1,2.709193,2.955700,ardl_direct_emp,2024-10-01,2024-11-011282024-12-01,2025-03-01,3,2.819300,2.322700,naive,2024-10-01,1292024-12-01,2025-03-01,3,2.631126,2.322700,ardl_direct_emp,2024-10-01,2024-11-011302025-01-01,2025-02-01,1,2.339800,2.168300,naive,2024-11-01,1312025-01-01,2025-02-01,1,2.346702,2.168300,ardl_direct_emp,2024-11-01,2024-12-011322025-01-01,2025-04-01,3,2.339800,1.873800,naive,2024-11-01,1332025-01-01,2025-04-01,3,2.356214,1.873800,ardl_direct_emp,2024-11-01,2024-12-011342025-02-01,2025-03-01,1,2.673500,2.322700,naive,2024-12-01,1352025-02-01,2025-03-01,1,2.627541,2.322700,ardl_direct_emp,2024-12-01,2025-01-011362025-02-01,2025-05-01,3,2.673500,1.561900,naive,2024-12-01,1372025-02-01,2025-05-01,3,2.586783,1.561900,ardl_direct_emp,2024-12-01,2025-01-011382025-03-01,2025-04-01,1,2.955700,1.873800,naive,2025-01-01,1392025-03-01,2025-04-01,1,2.843824,1.873800,ardl_direct_emp,2025-01-01,2025-02-011402025-03-01,2025-06-01,3,2.955700,1.275300,naive,2025-01-01,1412025-03-01,2025-06-01,3,2.753432,1.275300,ardl_direct_emp,2025-01-01,2025-02-011422025-04-01,2025-05-01,1,2.168300,1.561900,naive,2025-02-01,1432025-04-01,2025-05-01,1,2.189052,1.561900,ardl_direct_emp,2025-02-01,2025-03-011442025-04-01,2025-07-01,3,2.168300,1.737300,naive,2025-02-01,1452025-04-01,2025-07-01,3,2.222606,1.737300,ardl_direct_emp,2025-02-01,2025-03-011462025-05-01,2025-06-01,1,2.322700,1.275300,naive,2025-03-01,1472025-05-01,2025-06-01,1,2.297541,1.275300,ardl_direct_emp,2025-03-01,2025-04-011482025-05-01,2025-08-01,3,2.322700,1.557300,naive,2025-03-01,1492025-05-01,2025-08-01,3,2.299393,1.557300,ardl_direct_emp,2025-03-01,2025-04-011502025-06-01,2025-07-01,1,1.873800,1.737300,naive,2025-04-01,1512025-06-01,2025-07-01,1,1.922496,1.737300,ardl_direct_emp,2025-04-01,2025-05-011522025-06-01,2025-09-01,3,1.873800,1.507400,naive,2025-04-01,1532025-06-01,2025-09-01,3,1.996922,1.507400,ardl_direct_emp,2025-04-01,2025-05-011542025-07-01,2025-08-01,1,1.561900,1.557300,naive,2025-05-01,1552025-07-01,2025-08-01,1,1.686596,1.557300,ardl_direct_emp,2025-05-01,2025-06-011562025-07-01,2025-10-01,3,1.561900,0.806000,naive,2025-05-01,1572025-07-01,2025-10-01,3,1.818360,0.806000,ardl_direct_emp,2025-05-01,2025-06-011582025-08-01,2025-09-01,1,1.275300,1.507400,naive,2025-06-01,1592025-08-01,2025-09-01,1,1.438603,1.507400,ardl_direct_emp,2025-06-01,2025-07-011602025-08-01,2025-11-01,3,1.275300,1.103900,naive,2025-06-01,1612025-08-01,2025-11-01,3,1.612386,1.103900,ardl_direct_emp,2025-06-01,2025-07-011622025-09-01,2025-10-01,1,1.737300,0.806000,naive,2025-07-01,1632025-09-01,2025-10-01,1,1.783347,0.806000,ardl_direct_emp,2025-07-01,2025-08-011642025-09-01,2025-12-01,3,1.737300,1.008500,naive,2025-07-01,1652025-09-01,2025-12-01,3,1.870211,1.008500,ardl_direct_emp,2025-07-01,2025-08-011662025-10-01,2025-11-01,1,1.557300,1.103900,naive,2025-08-01,1672025-10-01,2025-11-01,1,1.641981,1.103900,ardl_direct_emp,2025-08-01,2025-09-011682025-10-01,2026-01-01,3,1.557300,0.446600,naive,2025-08-01,1692025-10-01,2026-01-01,3,1.757875,0.446600,ardl_direct_emp,2025-08-01,2025-09-011702025-11-01,2025-12-01,1,1.507400,1.008500,naive,2025-09-01,1712025-11-01,2025-12-01,1,1.621385,1.008500,ardl_direct_emp,2025-09-01,2025-10-011722025-11-01,2026-02-01,3,1.507400,0.769700,naive,2025-09-01,1732025-11-01,2026-02-01,3,1.750109,0.769700,ardl_direct_emp,2025-09-01,2025-10-011742025-12-01,2026-01-01,1,0.806000,0.446600,naive,2025-10-01,1752025-12-01,2026-01-01,1,1.052641,0.446600,ardl_direct_emp,2025-10-01,2025-11-011762025-12-01,2026-03-01,3,0.806000,0.417500,naive,2025-10-01,1772025-12-01,2026-03-01,3,1.295888,0.417500,ardl_direct_emp,2025-10-01,2025-11-011782026-01-01,2026-02-01,1,1.103900,0.769700,naive,2025-11-01,1792026-01-01,2026-02-01,1,1.265901,0.769700,ardl_direct_emp,2025-11-01,2025-12-011802026-01-01,2026-04-01,3,1.103900,1.148800,naive,2025-11-01,1812026-01-01,2026-04-01,3,1.453369,1.148800,ardl_direct_emp,2025-11-01,2025-12-011822026-02-01,2026-03-01,1,1.008500,0.417500,naive,2025-12-01,1832026-02-01,2026-03-01,1,1.161292,0.417500,ardl_direct_emp,2025-12-01,2026-01-011842026-02-01,2026-05-01,3,1.008500,1.646600,naive,2025-12-01,1852026-02-01,2026-05-01,3,1.356154,1.646600,ardl_direct_emp,2025-12-01,2026-01-011862026-03-01,2026-04-01,1,0.446600,1.148800,naive,2026-01-01,1872026-03-01,2026-04-01,1,0.675356,1.148800,ardl_direct_emp,2026-01-01,2026-02-011882026-03-01,2026-06-01,3,0.446600,2.090900,naive,2026-01-01,1892026-03-01,2026-06-01,3,0.949608,2.090900,ardl_direct_emp,2026-01-01,2026-02-011902026-04-01,2026-05-01,1,0.769700,1.646600,naive,2026-02-01,1912026-04-01,2026-05-01,1,0.946536,1.646600,ardl_direct_emp,2026-02-01,2026-03-011922026-04-01,2026-07-01,3,0.769700,1.420300,naive,2026-02-01,1932026-04-01,2026-07-01,3,1.169822,1.420300,ardl_direct_emp,2026-02-01,2026-03-01194