1origin_date,target_date,horizon,forecast,actual,model22015-10-01,2016-01-01,1,1.834183271803245,1.049043,ar_seas_aic32016-01-01,2016-04-01,1,4.0120500314417695,4.583383,ar_seas_aic42016-04-01,2016-07-01,1,1.7725835984953477,0.207093,ar_seas_aic52016-07-01,2016-10-01,1,-0.2656785388246843,-0.31068,ar_seas_aic62016-10-01,2017-01-01,1,2.1907895915131586,3.095991,ar_seas_aic72017-01-01,2017-04-01,1,4.1429387265564985,2.25526,ar_seas_aic82017-04-01,2017-07-01,1,0.908078204139176,0.408685,ar_seas_aic92017-07-01,2017-10-01,1,0.34105993909426724,1.325348,ar_seas_aic102017-10-01,2018-01-01,1,2.38447273101918,4.151411,ar_seas_aic112018-01-01,2018-04-01,1,3.7662955566535437,3.210451,ar_seas_aic122018-04-01,2018-07-01,1,0.6951600161512808,1.894085,ar_seas_aic132018-07-01,2018-10-01,1,0.3254454205345114,-1.19522,ar_seas_aic142018-10-01,2019-01-01,1,1.7943865030274848,2.486024,ar_seas_aic152019-01-01,2019-04-01,1,4.170370322698083,5.317656,ar_seas_aic162019-04-01,2019-07-01,1,1.4339784156386526,1.074613,ar_seas_aic172019-07-01,2019-10-01,1,-0.3694289235740813,-0.585795,ar_seas_aic182019-10-01,2020-01-01,1,2.1015381094526706,1.365522,ar_seas_aic192020-01-01,2020-04-01,1,3.9449222074731845,-1.756529,ar_seas_aic202020-04-01,2020-07-01,1,0.8180358248113766,2.048535,ar_seas_aic212020-07-01,2020-10-01,1,1.4715878639939748,1.456843,ar_seas_aic222020-10-01,2021-01-01,1,2.0491329631160893,3.955175,ar_seas_aic232021-01-01,2021-04-01,1,3.50904891151412,5.718468,ar_seas_aic242021-04-01,2021-07-01,1,1.204958005015008,4.797236,ar_seas_aic252021-07-01,2021-10-01,1,0.14185314061644494,4.000499,ar_seas_aic262021-10-01,2022-01-01,1,2.2090953082101477,8.155133,ar_seas_aic272022-01-01,2022-04-01,1,5.058240373747086,12.149214,ar_seas_aic282022-04-01,2022-07-01,1,4.3035650733394455,3.329702,ar_seas_aic292022-07-01,2022-10-01,1,0.8099695182170692,2.175574,ar_seas_aic302022-10-01,2023-01-01,1,2.996062674306381,2.422677,ar_seas_aic312023-01-01,2023-04-01,1,4.049319128581741,5.908274,ar_seas_aic322023-04-01,2023-07-01,1,2.1571475507346998,3.975083,ar_seas_aic332023-07-01,2023-10-01,1,1.0885933631598355,0.336488,ar_seas_aic342023-10-01,2024-01-01,1,2.3848786533448267,1.007769,ar_seas_aic352024-01-01,2024-04-01,1,3.6596212132548187,5.497796,ar_seas_aic362024-04-01,2024-07-01,1,2.086243524528437,1.23903,ar_seas_aic372024-07-01,2024-10-01,1,0.17408570163431936,-0.164982,ar_seas_aic382024-10-01,2025-01-01,1,2.1791873739611156,2.46762,ar_seas_aic392025-01-01,2025-04-01,1,4.192652719413716,3.510585,ar_seas_aic402025-04-01,2025-07-01,1,1.4294010433853563,2.026963,ar_seas_aic412025-07-01,2025-10-01,1,0.4102801424441731,0.88862,ar_seas_aic422015-10-01,2016-04-01,2,4.115759619584688,4.583383,ar_seas_aic432016-01-01,2016-07-01,2,1.696368935522088,0.207093,ar_seas_aic442016-04-01,2016-10-01,2,-0.0720635928712352,-0.31068,ar_seas_aic452016-07-01,2017-01-01,2,2.1963381542716283,3.095991,ar_seas_aic462016-10-01,2017-04-01,2,4.0286720180167075,2.25526,ar_seas_aic472017-01-01,2017-07-01,2,1.1253288949070477,0.408685,ar_seas_aic482017-04-01,2017-10-01,2,0.3982055055476992,1.325348,ar_seas_aic492017-07-01,2018-01-01,2,2.2652100099435133,4.151411,ar_seas_aic502017-10-01,2018-04-01,2,3.5499005423634857,3.210451,ar_seas_aic512018-01-01,2018-07-01,2,0.7671427212111313,1.894085,ar_seas_aic522018-04-01,2018-10-01,2,0.187755768126471,-1.19522,ar_seas_aic532018-07-01,2019-01-01,2,1.9667734407746278,2.486024,ar_seas_aic542018-10-01,2019-04-01,2,4.095038335846163,5.317656,ar_seas_aic552019-01-01,2019-07-01,2,1.3058198967706267,1.074613,ar_seas_aic562019-04-01,2019-10-01,2,-0.3288198143411938,-0.585795,ar_seas_aic572019-07-01,2020-01-01,2,2.1254383932334155,1.365522,ar_seas_aic582019-10-01,2020-04-01,2,4.028438411692139,-1.756529,ar_seas_aic592020-01-01,2020-07-01,2,1.5499112731234288,2.048535,ar_seas_aic602020-04-01,2020-10-01,2,1.3262004184727076,1.456843,ar_seas_aic612020-07-01,2021-01-01,2,2.0505643826107742,3.955175,ar_seas_aic622020-10-01,2021-04-01,2,3.2882453867826813,5.718468,ar_seas_aic632021-01-01,2021-07-01,2,0.9124595664565254,4.797236,ar_seas_aic642021-04-01,2021-10-01,2,-0.4224464248697042,4.000499,ar_seas_aic652021-07-01,2022-01-01,2,1.4247499003202229,8.155133,ar_seas_aic662021-10-01,2022-04-01,2,2.9789702946536005,12.149214,ar_seas_aic672022-01-01,2022-07-01,2,1.7855979199985703,3.329702,ar_seas_aic682022-04-01,2022-10-01,2,1.1685192962955613,2.175574,ar_seas_aic692022-07-01,2023-01-01,2,2.5541844574218593,2.422677,ar_seas_aic702022-10-01,2023-04-01,2,4.233632145300049,5.908274,ar_seas_aic712023-01-01,2023-07-01,2,1.564103260604919,3.975083,ar_seas_aic722023-04-01,2023-10-01,2,0.4905540887834188,0.336488,ar_seas_aic732023-07-01,2024-01-01,2,2.6305751325174294,1.007769,ar_seas_aic742023-10-01,2024-04-01,2,4.10370882240392,5.497796,ar_seas_aic752024-01-01,2024-07-01,2,1.5010643634135352,1.23903,ar_seas_aic762024-04-01,2024-10-01,2,0.44178557646359695,-0.164982,ar_seas_aic772024-07-01,2025-01-01,2,2.2859918351163877,2.46762,ar_seas_aic782024-10-01,2025-04-01,2,4.101867946341197,3.510585,ar_seas_aic792025-01-01,2025-07-01,2,1.643861799243206,2.026963,ar_seas_aic802025-04-01,2025-10-01,2,0.22271502996920312,0.88862,ar_seas_aic812025-07-01,2026-01-01,2,2.369787185364882,2.09256,ar_seas_aic822015-10-01,2016-10-01,4,0.012593637904925181,-0.31068,ar_seas_aic832016-01-01,2017-01-01,4,1.8699460074633982,3.095991,ar_seas_aic842016-04-01,2017-04-01,4,3.9252247838572156,2.25526,ar_seas_aic852016-07-01,2017-07-01,4,1.3360415345088694,0.408685,ar_seas_aic862016-10-01,2017-10-01,4,0.010703821442089811,1.325348,ar_seas_aic872017-01-01,2018-01-01,4,2.0402501695337385,4.151411,ar_seas_aic882017-04-01,2018-04-01,4,3.7610588410627477,3.210451,ar_seas_aic892017-07-01,2018-07-01,4,1.267737572369454,1.894085,ar_seas_aic902017-10-01,2018-10-01,4,0.15855814437255633,-1.19522,ar_seas_aic912018-01-01,2019-01-01,4,2.2243194027041957,2.486024,ar_seas_aic922018-04-01,2019-04-01,4,3.8018698720184534,5.317656,ar_seas_aic932018-07-01,2019-07-01,4,1.386703936414504,1.074613,ar_seas_aic942018-10-01,2019-10-01,4,-0.012029088611386296,-0.585795,ar_seas_aic952019-01-01,2020-01-01,4,2.101912706762667,1.365522,ar_seas_aic962019-04-01,2020-04-01,4,3.954805304035018,-1.756529,ar_seas_aic972019-07-01,2020-07-01,4,1.358926303564242,2.048535,ar_seas_aic982019-10-01,2020-10-01,4,-0.016798467840961617,1.456843,ar_seas_aic992020-01-01,2021-01-01,4,2.0184907419870894,3.955175,ar_seas_aic1002020-04-01,2021-04-01,4,3.3605161291099566,5.718468,ar_seas_aic1012020-07-01,2021-07-01,4,1.3485623654412595,4.797236,ar_seas_aic1022020-10-01,2021-10-01,4,0.16327045960349995,4.000499,ar_seas_aic1032021-01-01,2022-01-01,4,2.2518634920324785,8.155133,ar_seas_aic1042021-04-01,2022-04-01,4,3.833739843289732,12.149214,ar_seas_aic1052021-07-01,2022-07-01,4,1.647516149369044,3.329702,ar_seas_aic1062021-10-01,2022-10-01,4,0.3436075794272191,2.175574,ar_seas_aic1072022-01-01,2023-01-01,4,2.385141800526399,2.422677,ar_seas_aic1082022-04-01,2023-04-01,4,4.137492041377124,5.908274,ar_seas_aic1092022-07-01,2023-07-01,4,1.577017487629817,3.975083,ar_seas_aic1102022-10-01,2023-10-01,4,0.3204509715160617,0.336488,ar_seas_aic1112023-01-01,2024-01-01,4,2.373529095527809,1.007769,ar_seas_aic1122023-04-01,2024-04-01,4,4.119296785305236,5.497796,ar_seas_aic1132023-07-01,2024-07-01,4,1.6706155071328659,1.23903,ar_seas_aic1142023-10-01,2024-10-01,4,0.3016699277389048,-0.164982,ar_seas_aic1152024-01-01,2025-01-01,4,2.3112663594293745,2.46762,ar_seas_aic1162024-04-01,2025-04-01,4,4.162239580865158,3.510585,ar_seas_aic1172024-07-01,2025-07-01,4,1.6258843793550295,2.026963,ar_seas_aic1182024-10-01,2025-10-01,4,0.28115896826926967,0.88862,ar_seas_aic1192025-01-01,2026-01-01,4,2.332116002267724,2.09256,ar_seas_aic1202025-04-01,2026-04-01,4,4.120619590943022,6.607773,ar_seas_aic1212025-07-01,2026-07-01,4,1.6462526425283996,2.440232,ar_seas_aic1222015-10-01,2016-01-01,1,0.212823,1.049043,snaive1232016-01-01,2016-04-01,1,4.548509,4.583383,snaive1242016-04-01,2016-07-01,1,1.469818,0.207093,snaive1252016-07-01,2016-10-01,1,-0.944263,-0.31068,snaive1262016-10-01,2017-01-01,1,1.049043,3.095991,snaive1272017-01-01,2017-04-01,1,4.583383,2.25526,snaive1282017-04-01,2017-07-01,1,0.207093,0.408685,snaive1292017-07-01,2017-10-01,1,-0.31068,1.325348,snaive1302017-10-01,2018-01-01,1,3.095991,4.151411,snaive1312018-01-01,2018-04-01,1,2.25526,3.210451,snaive1322018-04-01,2018-07-01,1,0.408685,1.894085,snaive1332018-07-01,2018-10-01,1,1.325348,-1.19522,snaive1342018-10-01,2019-01-01,1,4.151411,2.486024,snaive1352019-01-01,2019-04-01,1,3.210451,5.317656,snaive1362019-04-01,2019-07-01,1,1.894085,1.074613,snaive1372019-07-01,2019-10-01,1,-1.19522,-0.585795,snaive1382019-10-01,2020-01-01,1,2.486024,1.365522,snaive1392020-01-01,2020-04-01,1,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive1402020-04-01,2020-07-01,1,1.074613,2.048535,snaive1412020-07-01,2020-10-01,1,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive1422020-10-01,2021-01-01,1,1.365522,3.955175,snaive1432021-01-01,2021-04-01,1,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive1442021-04-01,2021-07-01,1,2.048535,4.797236,snaive1452021-07-01,2021-10-01,1,1.456843,4.000499,snaive1462021-10-01,2022-01-01,1,3.955175,8.155133,snaive1472022-01-01,2022-04-01,1,5.718468,12.149214,snaive1482022-04-01,2022-07-01,1,4.797236,3.329702,snaive1492022-07-01,2022-10-01,1,4.000499,2.175574,snaive1502022-10-01,2023-01-01,1,8.155133,2.422677,snaive1512023-01-01,2023-04-01,1,12.149214,5.908274,snaive1522023-04-01,2023-07-01,1,3.329702,3.975083,snaive1532023-07-01,2023-10-01,1,2.175574,0.336488,snaive1542023-10-01,2024-01-01,1,2.422677,1.007769,snaive1552024-01-01,2024-04-01,1,5.908274,5.497796,snaive1562024-04-01,2024-07-01,1,3.975083,1.23903,snaive1572024-07-01,2024-10-01,1,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive1582024-10-01,2025-01-01,1,1.007769,2.46762,snaive1592025-01-01,2025-04-01,1,5.497796,3.510585,snaive1602025-04-01,2025-07-01,1,1.23903,2.026963,snaive1612025-07-01,2025-10-01,1,-0.164982,0.88862,snaive1622015-10-01,2016-04-01,2,4.548509,4.583383,snaive1632016-01-01,2016-07-01,2,1.469818,0.207093,snaive1642016-04-01,2016-10-01,2,-0.944263,-0.31068,snaive1652016-07-01,2017-01-01,2,1.049043,3.095991,snaive1662016-10-01,2017-04-01,2,4.583383,2.25526,snaive1672017-01-01,2017-07-01,2,0.207093,0.408685,snaive1682017-04-01,2017-10-01,2,-0.31068,1.325348,snaive1692017-07-01,2018-01-01,2,3.095991,4.151411,snaive1702017-10-01,2018-04-01,2,2.25526,3.210451,snaive1712018-01-01,2018-07-01,2,0.408685,1.894085,snaive1722018-04-01,2018-10-01,2,1.325348,-1.19522,snaive1732018-07-01,2019-01-01,2,4.151411,2.486024,snaive1742018-10-01,2019-04-01,2,3.210451,5.317656,snaive1752019-01-01,2019-07-01,2,1.894085,1.074613,snaive1762019-04-01,2019-10-01,2,-1.19522,-0.585795,snaive1772019-07-01,2020-01-01,2,2.486024,1.365522,snaive1782019-10-01,2020-04-01,2,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive1792020-01-01,2020-07-01,2,1.074613,2.048535,snaive1802020-04-01,2020-10-01,2,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive1812020-07-01,2021-01-01,2,1.365522,3.955175,snaive1822020-10-01,2021-04-01,2,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive1832021-01-01,2021-07-01,2,2.048535,4.797236,snaive1842021-04-01,2021-10-01,2,1.456843,4.000499,snaive1852021-07-01,2022-01-01,2,3.955175,8.155133,snaive1862021-10-01,2022-04-01,2,5.718468,12.149214,snaive1872022-01-01,2022-07-01,2,4.797236,3.329702,snaive1882022-04-01,2022-10-01,2,4.000499,2.175574,snaive1892022-07-01,2023-01-01,2,8.155133,2.422677,snaive1902022-10-01,2023-04-01,2,12.149214,5.908274,snaive1912023-01-01,2023-07-01,2,3.329702,3.975083,snaive1922023-04-01,2023-10-01,2,2.175574,0.336488,snaive1932023-07-01,2024-01-01,2,2.422677,1.007769,snaive1942023-10-01,2024-04-01,2,5.908274,5.497796,snaive1952024-01-01,2024-07-01,2,3.975083,1.23903,snaive1962024-04-01,2024-10-01,2,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive1972024-07-01,2025-01-01,2,1.007769,2.46762,snaive1982024-10-01,2025-04-01,2,5.497796,3.510585,snaive1992025-01-01,2025-07-01,2,1.23903,2.026963,snaive2002025-04-01,2025-10-01,2,-0.164982,0.88862,snaive2012025-07-01,2026-01-01,2,2.46762,2.09256,snaive2022015-10-01,2016-10-01,4,-0.944263,-0.31068,snaive2032016-01-01,2017-01-01,4,1.049043,3.095991,snaive2042016-04-01,2017-04-01,4,4.583383,2.25526,snaive2052016-07-01,2017-07-01,4,0.207093,0.408685,snaive2062016-10-01,2017-10-01,4,-0.31068,1.325348,snaive2072017-01-01,2018-01-01,4,3.095991,4.151411,snaive2082017-04-01,2018-04-01,4,2.25526,3.210451,snaive2092017-07-01,2018-07-01,4,0.408685,1.894085,snaive2102017-10-01,2018-10-01,4,1.325348,-1.19522,snaive2112018-01-01,2019-01-01,4,4.151411,2.486024,snaive2122018-04-01,2019-04-01,4,3.210451,5.317656,snaive2132018-07-01,2019-07-01,4,1.894085,1.074613,snaive2142018-10-01,2019-10-01,4,-1.19522,-0.585795,snaive2152019-01-01,2020-01-01,4,2.486024,1.365522,snaive2162019-04-01,2020-04-01,4,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive2172019-07-01,2020-07-01,4,1.074613,2.048535,snaive2182019-10-01,2020-10-01,4,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive2192020-01-01,2021-01-01,4,1.365522,3.955175,snaive2202020-04-01,2021-04-01,4,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive2212020-07-01,2021-07-01,4,2.048535,4.797236,snaive2222020-10-01,2021-10-01,4,1.456843,4.000499,snaive2232021-01-01,2022-01-01,4,3.955175,8.155133,snaive2242021-04-01,2022-04-01,4,5.718468,12.149214,snaive2252021-07-01,2022-07-01,4,4.797236,3.329702,snaive2262021-10-01,2022-10-01,4,4.000499,2.175574,snaive2272022-01-01,2023-01-01,4,8.155133,2.422677,snaive2282022-04-01,2023-04-01,4,12.149214,5.908274,snaive2292022-07-01,2023-07-01,4,3.329702,3.975083,snaive2302022-10-01,2023-10-01,4,2.175574,0.336488,snaive2312023-01-01,2024-01-01,4,2.422677,1.007769,snaive2322023-04-01,2024-04-01,4,5.908274,5.497796,snaive2332023-07-01,2024-07-01,4,3.975083,1.23903,snaive2342023-10-01,2024-10-01,4,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive2352024-01-01,2025-01-01,4,1.007769,2.46762,snaive2362024-04-01,2025-04-01,4,5.497796,3.510585,snaive2372024-07-01,2025-07-01,4,1.23903,2.026963,snaive2382024-10-01,2025-10-01,4,-0.164982,0.88862,snaive2392025-01-01,2026-01-01,4,2.46762,2.09256,snaive2402025-04-01,2026-04-01,4,3.510585,6.607773,snaive2412025-07-01,2026-07-01,4,2.026963,2.440232,snaive242