1origin_date,target_date,horizon,forecast,actual,model22015-10-01,2016-01-01,1,1.859489,1.049043,sar_aic32016-01-01,2016-04-01,1,4.013076,4.583383,sar_aic42016-04-01,2016-07-01,1,1.773983,0.207093,sar_aic52016-07-01,2016-10-01,1,-0.267427,-0.310680,sar_aic62016-10-01,2017-01-01,1,2.214506,3.095991,sar_aic72017-01-01,2017-04-01,1,4.143812,2.255260,sar_aic82017-04-01,2017-07-01,1,0.906100,0.408685,sar_aic92017-07-01,2017-10-01,1,0.342464,1.325348,sar_aic102017-10-01,2018-01-01,1,2.409491,4.151411,sar_aic112018-01-01,2018-04-01,1,3.764803,3.210451,sar_aic122018-04-01,2018-07-01,1,0.692014,1.894085,sar_aic132018-07-01,2018-10-01,1,0.328220,-1.195220,sar_aic142018-10-01,2019-01-01,1,1.819095,2.486024,sar_aic152019-01-01,2019-04-01,1,4.172296,5.317656,sar_aic162019-04-01,2019-07-01,1,1.434044,1.074613,sar_aic172019-07-01,2019-10-01,1,-0.372408,-0.585795,sar_aic182019-10-01,2020-01-01,1,2.127658,1.365522,sar_aic192020-01-01,2020-04-01,1,3.945379,-1.756529,sar_aic202020-04-01,2020-07-01,1,0.816231,2.048535,sar_aic212020-07-01,2020-10-01,1,1.477449,1.456843,sar_aic222020-10-01,2021-01-01,1,2.072310,3.955175,sar_aic232021-01-01,2021-04-01,1,3.507841,5.718468,sar_aic242021-04-01,2021-07-01,1,1.203344,4.797236,sar_aic252021-07-01,2021-10-01,1,0.137984,4.000499,sar_aic262021-10-01,2022-01-01,1,2.229779,8.155133,sar_aic272022-01-01,2022-04-01,1,5.052773,12.149214,sar_aic282022-04-01,2022-07-01,1,4.320146,3.329702,sar_aic292022-07-01,2022-10-01,1,0.802489,2.175574,sar_aic302022-10-01,2023-01-01,1,3.020414,2.422677,sar_aic312023-01-01,2023-04-01,1,4.049265,5.908274,sar_aic322023-04-01,2023-07-01,1,2.175071,3.975083,sar_aic332023-07-01,2023-10-01,1,1.081548,0.336488,sar_aic342023-10-01,2024-01-01,1,2.409246,1.007769,sar_aic352024-01-01,2024-04-01,1,3.661132,5.497796,sar_aic362024-04-01,2024-07-01,1,2.106103,1.239030,sar_aic372024-07-01,2024-10-01,1,0.169979,-0.164982,sar_aic382024-10-01,2025-01-01,1,2.201587,2.467620,sar_aic392025-01-01,2025-04-01,1,4.192497,3.510585,sar_aic402025-04-01,2025-07-01,1,1.449900,2.026963,sar_aic412025-07-01,2025-10-01,1,0.405072,0.888620,sar_aic422015-10-01,2016-04-01,2,4.120418,4.583383,sar_aic432016-01-01,2016-07-01,2,1.697718,0.207093,sar_aic442016-04-01,2016-10-01,2,-0.073121,-0.310680,sar_aic452016-07-01,2017-01-01,2,2.219854,3.095991,sar_aic462016-10-01,2017-04-01,2,4.032199,2.255260,sar_aic472017-01-01,2017-07-01,2,1.124101,0.408685,sar_aic482017-04-01,2017-10-01,2,0.399563,1.325348,sar_aic492017-07-01,2018-01-01,2,2.289940,4.151411,sar_aic502017-10-01,2018-04-01,2,3.551221,3.210451,sar_aic512018-01-01,2018-07-01,2,0.763900,1.894085,sar_aic522018-04-01,2018-10-01,2,0.190176,-1.195220,sar_aic532018-07-01,2019-01-01,2,1.992209,2.486024,sar_aic542018-10-01,2019-04-01,2,4.099386,5.317656,sar_aic552019-01-01,2019-07-01,2,1.305644,1.074613,sar_aic562019-04-01,2019-10-01,2,-0.331702,-0.585795,sar_aic572019-07-01,2020-01-01,2,2.151297,1.365522,sar_aic582019-10-01,2020-04-01,2,4.032203,-1.756529,sar_aic592020-01-01,2020-07-01,2,1.550912,2.048535,sar_aic602020-04-01,2020-10-01,2,1.330588,1.456843,sar_aic612020-07-01,2021-01-01,2,2.074325,3.955175,sar_aic622020-10-01,2021-04-01,2,3.289094,5.718468,sar_aic632021-01-01,2021-07-01,2,0.909852,4.797236,sar_aic642021-04-01,2021-10-01,2,-0.427268,4.000499,sar_aic652021-07-01,2022-01-01,2,1.444811,8.155133,sar_aic662021-10-01,2022-04-01,2,2.977652,12.149214,sar_aic672022-01-01,2022-07-01,2,1.806765,3.329702,sar_aic682022-04-01,2022-10-01,2,1.166025,2.175574,sar_aic692022-07-01,2023-01-01,2,2.577478,2.422677,sar_aic702022-10-01,2023-04-01,2,4.240857,5.908274,sar_aic712023-01-01,2023-07-01,2,1.583915,3.975083,sar_aic722023-04-01,2023-10-01,2,0.491700,0.336488,sar_aic732023-07-01,2024-01-01,2,2.651728,1.007769,sar_aic742023-10-01,2024-04-01,2,4.111528,5.497796,sar_aic752024-01-01,2024-07-01,2,1.523301,1.239030,sar_aic762024-04-01,2024-10-01,2,0.442922,-0.164982,sar_aic772024-07-01,2025-01-01,2,2.306731,2.467620,sar_aic782024-10-01,2025-04-01,2,4.109058,3.510585,sar_aic792025-01-01,2025-07-01,2,1.663558,2.026963,sar_aic802025-04-01,2025-10-01,2,0.224566,0.888620,sar_aic812025-07-01,2026-01-01,2,2.389484,2.092560,sar_aic822015-10-01,2016-10-01,4,0.009914,-0.310680,sar_aic832016-01-01,2017-01-01,4,1.891664,3.095991,sar_aic842016-04-01,2017-04-01,4,3.928455,2.255260,sar_aic852016-07-01,2017-07-01,4,1.330437,0.408685,sar_aic862016-10-01,2017-10-01,4,0.008387,1.325348,sar_aic872017-01-01,2018-01-01,4,2.064028,4.151411,sar_aic882017-04-01,2018-04-01,4,3.763207,3.210451,sar_aic892017-07-01,2018-07-01,4,1.261483,1.894085,sar_aic902017-10-01,2018-10-01,4,0.159654,-1.195220,sar_aic912018-01-01,2019-01-01,4,2.252250,2.486024,sar_aic922018-04-01,2019-04-01,4,3.804560,5.317656,sar_aic932018-07-01,2019-07-01,4,1.380589,1.074613,sar_aic942018-10-01,2019-10-01,4,-0.015047,-0.585795,sar_aic952019-01-01,2020-01-01,4,2.127589,1.365522,sar_aic962019-04-01,2020-04-01,4,3.958910,-1.756529,sar_aic972019-07-01,2020-07-01,4,1.352787,2.048535,sar_aic982019-10-01,2020-10-01,4,-0.019778,1.456843,sar_aic992020-01-01,2021-01-01,4,2.041539,3.955175,sar_aic1002020-04-01,2021-04-01,4,3.361318,5.718468,sar_aic1012020-07-01,2021-07-01,4,1.342526,4.797236,sar_aic1022020-10-01,2021-10-01,4,0.161611,4.000499,sar_aic1032021-01-01,2022-01-01,4,2.278229,8.155133,sar_aic1042021-04-01,2022-04-01,4,3.838628,12.149214,sar_aic1052021-07-01,2022-07-01,4,1.644553,3.329702,sar_aic1062021-10-01,2022-10-01,4,0.345388,2.175574,sar_aic1072022-01-01,2023-01-01,4,2.411761,2.422677,sar_aic1082022-04-01,2023-04-01,4,4.145549,5.908274,sar_aic1092022-07-01,2023-07-01,4,1.599162,3.975083,sar_aic1102022-10-01,2023-10-01,4,0.323399,0.336488,sar_aic1112023-01-01,2024-01-01,4,2.398704,1.007769,sar_aic1122023-04-01,2024-04-01,4,4.127055,5.497796,sar_aic1132023-07-01,2024-07-01,4,1.693793,1.239030,sar_aic1142023-10-01,2024-10-01,4,0.304497,-0.164982,sar_aic1152024-01-01,2025-01-01,4,2.333960,2.467620,sar_aic1162024-04-01,2025-04-01,4,4.169164,3.510585,sar_aic1172024-07-01,2025-07-01,4,1.647745,2.026963,sar_aic1182024-10-01,2025-10-01,4,0.283302,0.888620,sar_aic1192025-01-01,2026-01-01,4,2.353997,2.092560,sar_aic1202025-04-01,2026-04-01,4,4.127567,6.607773,sar_aic1212025-07-01,2026-07-01,4,1.667955,2.440232,sar_aic1222015-10-01,2016-01-01,1,0.212823,1.049043,snaive1232016-01-01,2016-04-01,1,4.548509,4.583383,snaive1242016-04-01,2016-07-01,1,1.469818,0.207093,snaive1252016-07-01,2016-10-01,1,-0.944263,-0.310680,snaive1262016-10-01,2017-01-01,1,1.049043,3.095991,snaive1272017-01-01,2017-04-01,1,4.583383,2.255260,snaive1282017-04-01,2017-07-01,1,0.207093,0.408685,snaive1292017-07-01,2017-10-01,1,-0.310680,1.325348,snaive1302017-10-01,2018-01-01,1,3.095991,4.151411,snaive1312018-01-01,2018-04-01,1,2.255260,3.210451,snaive1322018-04-01,2018-07-01,1,0.408685,1.894085,snaive1332018-07-01,2018-10-01,1,1.325348,-1.195220,snaive1342018-10-01,2019-01-01,1,4.151411,2.486024,snaive1352019-01-01,2019-04-01,1,3.210451,5.317656,snaive1362019-04-01,2019-07-01,1,1.894085,1.074613,snaive1372019-07-01,2019-10-01,1,-1.195220,-0.585795,snaive1382019-10-01,2020-01-01,1,2.486024,1.365522,snaive1392020-01-01,2020-04-01,1,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive1402020-04-01,2020-07-01,1,1.074613,2.048535,snaive1412020-07-01,2020-10-01,1,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive1422020-10-01,2021-01-01,1,1.365522,3.955175,snaive1432021-01-01,2021-04-01,1,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive1442021-04-01,2021-07-01,1,2.048535,4.797236,snaive1452021-07-01,2021-10-01,1,1.456843,4.000499,snaive1462021-10-01,2022-01-01,1,3.955175,8.155133,snaive1472022-01-01,2022-04-01,1,5.718468,12.149214,snaive1482022-04-01,2022-07-01,1,4.797236,3.329702,snaive1492022-07-01,2022-10-01,1,4.000499,2.175574,snaive1502022-10-01,2023-01-01,1,8.155133,2.422677,snaive1512023-01-01,2023-04-01,1,12.149214,5.908274,snaive1522023-04-01,2023-07-01,1,3.329702,3.975083,snaive1532023-07-01,2023-10-01,1,2.175574,0.336488,snaive1542023-10-01,2024-01-01,1,2.422677,1.007769,snaive1552024-01-01,2024-04-01,1,5.908274,5.497796,snaive1562024-04-01,2024-07-01,1,3.975083,1.239030,snaive1572024-07-01,2024-10-01,1,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive1582024-10-01,2025-01-01,1,1.007769,2.467620,snaive1592025-01-01,2025-04-01,1,5.497796,3.510585,snaive1602025-04-01,2025-07-01,1,1.239030,2.026963,snaive1612025-07-01,2025-10-01,1,-0.164982,0.888620,snaive1622015-10-01,2016-04-01,2,4.548509,4.583383,snaive1632016-01-01,2016-07-01,2,1.469818,0.207093,snaive1642016-04-01,2016-10-01,2,-0.944263,-0.310680,snaive1652016-07-01,2017-01-01,2,1.049043,3.095991,snaive1662016-10-01,2017-04-01,2,4.583383,2.255260,snaive1672017-01-01,2017-07-01,2,0.207093,0.408685,snaive1682017-04-01,2017-10-01,2,-0.310680,1.325348,snaive1692017-07-01,2018-01-01,2,3.095991,4.151411,snaive1702017-10-01,2018-04-01,2,2.255260,3.210451,snaive1712018-01-01,2018-07-01,2,0.408685,1.894085,snaive1722018-04-01,2018-10-01,2,1.325348,-1.195220,snaive1732018-07-01,2019-01-01,2,4.151411,2.486024,snaive1742018-10-01,2019-04-01,2,3.210451,5.317656,snaive1752019-01-01,2019-07-01,2,1.894085,1.074613,snaive1762019-04-01,2019-10-01,2,-1.195220,-0.585795,snaive1772019-07-01,2020-01-01,2,2.486024,1.365522,snaive1782019-10-01,2020-04-01,2,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive1792020-01-01,2020-07-01,2,1.074613,2.048535,snaive1802020-04-01,2020-10-01,2,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive1812020-07-01,2021-01-01,2,1.365522,3.955175,snaive1822020-10-01,2021-04-01,2,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive1832021-01-01,2021-07-01,2,2.048535,4.797236,snaive1842021-04-01,2021-10-01,2,1.456843,4.000499,snaive1852021-07-01,2022-01-01,2,3.955175,8.155133,snaive1862021-10-01,2022-04-01,2,5.718468,12.149214,snaive1872022-01-01,2022-07-01,2,4.797236,3.329702,snaive1882022-04-01,2022-10-01,2,4.000499,2.175574,snaive1892022-07-01,2023-01-01,2,8.155133,2.422677,snaive1902022-10-01,2023-04-01,2,12.149214,5.908274,snaive1912023-01-01,2023-07-01,2,3.329702,3.975083,snaive1922023-04-01,2023-10-01,2,2.175574,0.336488,snaive1932023-07-01,2024-01-01,2,2.422677,1.007769,snaive1942023-10-01,2024-04-01,2,5.908274,5.497796,snaive1952024-01-01,2024-07-01,2,3.975083,1.239030,snaive1962024-04-01,2024-10-01,2,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive1972024-07-01,2025-01-01,2,1.007769,2.467620,snaive1982024-10-01,2025-04-01,2,5.497796,3.510585,snaive1992025-01-01,2025-07-01,2,1.239030,2.026963,snaive2002025-04-01,2025-10-01,2,-0.164982,0.888620,snaive2012025-07-01,2026-01-01,2,2.467620,2.092560,snaive2022015-10-01,2016-10-01,4,-0.944263,-0.310680,snaive2032016-01-01,2017-01-01,4,1.049043,3.095991,snaive2042016-04-01,2017-04-01,4,4.583383,2.255260,snaive2052016-07-01,2017-07-01,4,0.207093,0.408685,snaive2062016-10-01,2017-10-01,4,-0.310680,1.325348,snaive2072017-01-01,2018-01-01,4,3.095991,4.151411,snaive2082017-04-01,2018-04-01,4,2.255260,3.210451,snaive2092017-07-01,2018-07-01,4,0.408685,1.894085,snaive2102017-10-01,2018-10-01,4,1.325348,-1.195220,snaive2112018-01-01,2019-01-01,4,4.151411,2.486024,snaive2122018-04-01,2019-04-01,4,3.210451,5.317656,snaive2132018-07-01,2019-07-01,4,1.894085,1.074613,snaive2142018-10-01,2019-10-01,4,-1.195220,-0.585795,snaive2152019-01-01,2020-01-01,4,2.486024,1.365522,snaive2162019-04-01,2020-04-01,4,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive2172019-07-01,2020-07-01,4,1.074613,2.048535,snaive2182019-10-01,2020-10-01,4,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive2192020-01-01,2021-01-01,4,1.365522,3.955175,snaive2202020-04-01,2021-04-01,4,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive2212020-07-01,2021-07-01,4,2.048535,4.797236,snaive2222020-10-01,2021-10-01,4,1.456843,4.000499,snaive2232021-01-01,2022-01-01,4,3.955175,8.155133,snaive2242021-04-01,2022-04-01,4,5.718468,12.149214,snaive2252021-07-01,2022-07-01,4,4.797236,3.329702,snaive2262021-10-01,2022-10-01,4,4.000499,2.175574,snaive2272022-01-01,2023-01-01,4,8.155133,2.422677,snaive2282022-04-01,2023-04-01,4,12.149214,5.908274,snaive2292022-07-01,2023-07-01,4,3.329702,3.975083,snaive2302022-10-01,2023-10-01,4,2.175574,0.336488,snaive2312023-01-01,2024-01-01,4,2.422677,1.007769,snaive2322023-04-01,2024-04-01,4,5.908274,5.497796,snaive2332023-07-01,2024-07-01,4,3.975083,1.239030,snaive2342023-10-01,2024-10-01,4,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive2352024-01-01,2025-01-01,4,1.007769,2.467620,snaive2362024-04-01,2025-04-01,4,5.497796,3.510585,snaive2372024-07-01,2025-07-01,4,1.239030,2.026963,snaive2382024-10-01,2025-10-01,4,-0.164982,0.888620,snaive2392025-01-01,2026-01-01,4,2.467620,2.092560,snaive2402025-04-01,2026-04-01,4,3.510585,6.607773,snaive2412025-07-01,2026-07-01,4,2.026963,2.440232,snaive242